Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election explained

Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election was carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The opinion polls listed range from the previous election on 12 December 2019 to the election on Thursday, 4 July 2024.[1]

Graphical summaries

  • Guide to tables

    Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a poll result is a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded and displayed in bold.

    "Green" in these tables refers to combined totals for the green parties in the United Kingdom, namely the Green Party of England and Wales, the Scottish Greens, and, for polls of the entire UK, the Green Party Northern Ireland. The three parties share a commitment to environmental policies, but are independent of one another, with each contesting elections only in its own region.

    The polling company ComRes was acquired by Savanta in July 2019.[2] It was rebranded as Savanta ComRes in November 2019[3] and as Savanta in December 2022.[4] In August 2023, the market research company Omnisis rebranded its public polling arm as We Think.[5] In October 2023, the Norstat group acquired Panelbase.[6] In November 2023, Kantar Public rebranded to Verian.[7] None of these organisational changes entailed changes in methodology.

    National poll results

    Most national opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties from the rest of the United Kingdom. This distinction is made in the tables below in the area column, where "GB" means Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales), and "UK" means the entire United Kingdom. Plaid Cymru only stand candidates in Wales and the Scottish National Party (SNP) only stand candidates in Scotland.

    2024

    When compared to the result, the final week of polls on average underestimated the Conservative and Lib Dem vote shares and overestimated the Labour and Reform vote shares. The projected SNP and Green vote shares were largely accurate.[8]

    Dates
    conducted    		PollsterClientAreaSample
    size    		ConLabLib DemsSNPGreenReformOthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    4 Jul 20242024 general election–UK–23.7%33.7%12.2%2.5%6.8%14.3%6.8%10.0
    GB24.4%34.7%12.5%2.5%6.9%14.7%4.3%10.3
    Number Cruncher Politics N/AGB2,49623%41%11%2%7%13%18
    JL Partners The Rest Is PoliticsGB2,00523%38%13%3%5%17%15
    Savanta N/AUK2,10120%39%10%2%5%17%7%19
    We ThinkN/AGB1,21023%41%11%2%7%15%2%18
    SurvationGood Morning BritainGB1,67920%38%12%3%7%17%18
    NorstatN/AGB3,13424%37%11%4%6%16%13
    OpiniumN/AGB2,21921%41%11%2%7%17%20
    IpsosN/AGB2,07619%37%11%5%9%15%18
    DeltapollN/AGB1,73722%39%10%2%7%17%17
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,26016%36%10%4%9%20%5%16
    Whitestone InsightDaily Express/Daily MirrorGB2,00821%38%10%3%7%18%17
    BMGThe iGB1,85422%39%11%3%7%16%17
    TechneN/AGB5,50321%40%11%3%6%16%3%19
    Redfield & Wilton N/AGB20,00022%41%10%3%6%16%19
    SurvationGood Morning BritainUK1,02218%38%11%3%7%17%20
    YouGov (MRP) N/AGB47,75122%39%12%3%7%15%17
    Verian N/AGB2,13521%36%13%3%7%16%15
    JL Partners The Rest Is PoliticsGB2,02824%39%10%4%5%16%15
    Lord Ashcroft N/AGB5,18319%38%11%3%8%18%3%19
    More in Common (MRP)The News AgentsGB13,55624%40%11%2%6%14%3%16
    Survation (MRP)N/AGB34,55823%42%11%2%5%11%19
    Focaldata (MRP)N/AGB36,72623%40%12%3%5%16%19
    Savanta The TelegraphUK2,28724%39%10%3%4%13%7%17
    More in Common N/AGB4,52524%39%12%3%5%15%15
    DeltapollMail on SundayGB1,64521%42%11%3%4%16%21
    We ThinkN/AGB1,21020%42%10%3%7%16%2%22
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,09221%38%11%2%6%14%7%17
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,50320%40%13%3%6%17%20
    More in CommonN/AGB3,36124%39%13%3%5%13%15
    Whitestone InsightDaily Express/Daily MirrorGB2,01218%38%11%2%7%21%17
    TechneN/AGB1,64319%41%12%3%5%17%3%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB5,00019%42%11%3%5%18%23
    YouGovN/AGB4,11020%37%13%3%7%17%17
    Survation (MRP)N/AGB23,36425%42%11%2%5%11%17
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,93215%40%9%2%9%21%19
    BMGThe iGB1,52220%42%12%3%6%16%2%22
    More in CommonThe News AgentsGB3,42023%40%11%3%5%14%17
    NorstatN/AGB2,02523%39%12%4%6%15%16
    DeltapollThe NationalGB2,07720%42%11%3%4%17%22
    YouGovN/AGB1,57218%36%15%3%8%17%18
    SurvationGood Morning BritainUK1,02218%41%12%2%5%14%23
    JL Partners (SRP)The Sunday TimesGB13,58422%38%13%3%5%17%16
    JL PartnersThe Rest is PoliticsGB2,00525%41%11%3%5%15%16
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56819%43%13%2%5%15%2%24
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB10,00018%42%12%3%6%19%23
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,31821%42%10%3%5%14%6%21
    IpsosN/AGB1,40219%42%11%5%7%15%23
    VerianN/AGB1,04721%38%12%3%8%16%17
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,13419%40%10%3%9%17%25
    FindOutNow/Electoral Calculus (MRP)Daily Mirror and GB NewsGB19,99315%40%14%3%7%17%23
    We Think (MRP)N/AGB18,59522%42%11%3%6%14%20
    More in CommonN/AGB2,04625%41%10%2%5%15%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,27022%43%8%3%7%13%21
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,10319%42%9%3%5%16%6%23
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,48420%40%12%3%9%16%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04719%37%13%3%6%18%18
    Whitestone InsightDaily Express/Daily MirrorGB2,02919%39%12%3%6%20%19
    TechneN/AGB1,64219%42%12%2%5%17%3%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50018%42%11%3%5%19%23
    Focaldata (MRP)N/AGB24,53623%41%11%3%5%16%18
    BMGThe iGB1,62719%42%9%3%7%19%1%23
    NorstatN/AGB2,05920%40%12%3%5%19%20
    More in CommonN/AGB2,03525%39%11%3%5%14%14
    18 JunPeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,22815%35%12%3%8%24%11
    YouGovN/AGB1,62520%36%14%3%7%18%16
    SurvationGood Morning BritainUK1,00820%41%12%2%6%15%5%21
    YouGov (MRP)Sky NewsGB39,97922%39%12%3%7%15%17
    Savanta (MRP)The TelegraphGB17,81223%44%12%3%4%13%21
    FocaldataN/AGB2,60421%43%10%2%5%16%2%22
    DeltapollN/AGB1,38319%46%10%2%5%16%27
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB10,00018%43%12%3%5%18%25
    VerianN/AGB1,03421%39%13%3%7%13%18
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,18718%43%9%3%7%18%21
    More in Common (MRP)The News AgentsGB10,85028%44%11%3%5%8%16
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,04621%40%11%3%4%14%5%19
    More in CommonN/AGB2,36925%41%11%2%5%14%16
    JL PartnersThe Rest is PoliticsGB2,08323%40%9%3%5%18%17
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,05923%40%12%2%7%14%17
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,04521%46%11%2%5%13%3%25
    TechneN/AGB1,63619%43%11%2%6%16%3%24
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,21118%37%14%3%7%19%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50018%42%13%3%5%17%1%24
    We ThinkN/AGB1,29720%43%11%2%6%14%23
    Whitestone InsightDaily Express/Daily MirrorGB2,01419%41%11%3%6%17%22
    Survation (MRP)Best For BritainGB42,26924%40%11%4%6%12%16
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,23419%39%10%3%9%17%3%20
    BMGThe iGB1,54621%41%12%3%6%14%20
    More in CommonThe News AgentsGB2,03725%41%10%3%5%13%16
    NorstatN/AGB1,01721%41%11%3%6%17%20
    Ipsos (MRP)N/AGB19,68925%43%10%3%6%12%1%18
    YouGovSky NewsGB1,61118%38%15%2%8%17%20
    FocaldataN/AGB3,12424%42%9%3%5%15%2%18
    SurvationGood Morning BritainUK1,07623%41%10%3%6%12%18
    VerianN/AGB1,30520%41%11%3%8%15%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB10,00019%45%10%3%5%17%26
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB4,97521%44%7%2%8%15%22
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,21925%44%9%3%4%10%4%19
    JL PartnersThe Rest is PoliticsGB2,00424%41%11%3%5%15%17
    DeltapollMail on SundayGB2,01021%46%9%4%5%12%25
    We ThinkN/AGB1,19820%45%10%3%5%15%25
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,47124%42%10%3%7%12%18
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,09526%46%10%2%3%11%20
    More in CommonN/AGB2,61825%46%9%3%6%11%21
    Whitestone InsightN/AGB2,00122%42%9%3%5%16%20
    YouGovN/AGB1,65019%41%11%3%7%16%22
    TechneN/AGB1,64520%44%10%2%6%15%3%24
    SurvationN/AGB1,05623%43%9%3%5%15%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00019%42%12%3%6%17%23
    FocaldataN/AGB2,07725%44%9%2%5%14%2%19
    NorstatN/AGB1,00522%45%10%3%5%14%23
    BMGThe iGB1,53423%42%9%4%6%16%1%19
    YouGovSky NewsGB2,14419%40%10%3%7%17%21
    IpsosN/AGB1,01423%43%8%5%9%9%20
    Nigel Farage becomes leader of Reform UK
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,67422%46%8%3%8%10%3%24
    More in CommonN/AGB2,05527%46%8%3%5%10%19
    DeltapollN/AGB1,07725%48%10%2%4%9%23
    VerianN/AGB1,40523%41%12%3%8%9%18
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,20323%47%6%2%6%11%24
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,20928%42%9%3%4%9%14
    JL PartnersThe Rest is PoliticsGB2,01326%43%11%3%3%12%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB10,00020%46%10%2%5%14%26
    Survation (MRP)Best for BritainGB30,04424%43%10%3%4%11%19
    YouGov (MRP)Sky NewsGB58,87525%43%11%3%7%10%2%18
    FocaldataN/AGB2,62626%43%9%2%6%12%17
    We ThinkN/AGB1,32821%46%8%3%6%13%25
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,18425%45%8%3%6%11%2%20
    TechneN/AGB1,63021%45%11%2%6%12%3%24
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04021%46%8%2%6%15%25
    Whitestone InsightDaily Express/Daily MirrorGB2,02424%44%9%3%6%11%20
    BMGThe iGB1,50027%43%9%2%6%11%16
    9 Apr – 29 MayMore in Common (MRP)N/AGB15,08929%43%11%3%5%8%14
    More in CommonN/AGB2,04926%45%9%2%5%11%19
    YouGovSky NewsGB2,12820%47%9%3%7%12%27
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB4,82824%47%6%3%8%11%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB12,00023%46%9%3%5%13%23
    SurvationN/AUK2,04024%47%11%3%3%8%23
    FindOutNow/Electoral Calculus (MRP)Daily MailGB10,39019%46%10%3%8%12%27
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,23527%44%10%3%4%8%17
    JL PartnersThe Rest is PoliticsGB2,01328%40%10%3%5%12%12
    DeltapollMail on SundayGB1,51723%45%9%3%6%10%22
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,05027%41%10%2%7%10%1%14
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,07222%44%9%3%6%14%22
    We ThinkN/AGB1,24222%47%8%3%6%12%2%25
    TechneN/AGB1,64319%45%12%2%5%14%3%26
    More in CommonN/AGB2,00827%44%9%3%5%10%17
    Rishi Sunak announces that a general election will be held on 4 July 2024
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,09321%46%9%3%7%12%25
    SurvationN/AUK1,01627%48%8%3%2%8%21
    YouGovN/AGB10,10820%46%9%3%7%13%26
    DeltapollN/AGB1,96823%45%10%3%5%12%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB3,70023%45%10%2%5%12%1%22
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,29526%43%10%3%5%9%4%17
    More in CommonN/AGB2,30827%43%9%2%6%11%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,06423%46%8%2%8%11%2%23
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,45825%43%9%3%7%10%18
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,47620%46%8%3%8%14%26
    Whitestone InsightDaily Express/Daily MirrorGB2,02424%44%8%3%6%13%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,03120%47%9%3%8%11%27
    TechneN/AGB1,64121%44%12%2%6%12%3%23
    IpsosN/AGB1,00820%41%11%3%11%9%21
    DeltapollN/AGB1,03127%45%8%2%6%10%18
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,48522%45%8%3%8%11%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB3,00021%42%12%3%6%15%1%21
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,09025%43%12%3%4%10%4%18
    SurvationN/AUK1,05424%44%10%2%7%8%5%20
    We ThinkN/AGB1,18324%47%9%2%6%10%3%23
    TechneN/AGB1,63821%45%11%2%6%12%3%24
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,07218%48%9%3%7%13%30
    John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland
    DeltapollN/AGB1,99326%43%10%3%5%10%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00021%44%9%3%5%15%1%23
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,26727%43%11%3%4%9%4%16
    JL PartnersThe Rest is PoliticsGB2,01126%41%11%3%5%13%2%15
    More in CommonN/AGB2,13526%43%10%3%5%11%1%17
    We ThinkN/AGB1,17724%44%8%2%6%13%2%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,40224%40%11%3%7%12%16
    Local elections in England, PCC elections and the Blackpool South by-election
    TechneN/AGB1,63322%44%10%2%6%13%3%22
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01018%44%10%2%8%15%26
    DeltapollN/AGB1,57724%44%8%3%5%12%20
    Labour TogetherN/AGB9,40322%44%10%3%6%13%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00022%45%9%3%6%14%2%23
    More in CommonN/AGB2,05324%43%11%3%6%11%2%19
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,14426%44%10%3%3%10%4%18
    We ThinkN/AGB1,26522%44%9%3%6%13%3%22
    TechneN/AGB1,64223%44%9%3%6%11%3%21
    SurvationN/AUK2,03626%44%9%3%4%10%5%18
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,10020%45%9%3%7%13%25
    BMGThe iGB1,50025%41%9%3%6%14%1%16
    DeltapollN/AGB1,52527%43%9%3%5%12%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00020%43%12%3%6%14%1%23
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,33227%43%9%2%4%10%4%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,26626%43%9%2%7%11%2%17
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,43125%41%10%2%7%13%16
    SurvationN/AUK1,01026%44%11%3%4%8%4%18
    TechneN/AGB1,64022%45%9%3%5%13%3%23
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04821%44%8%3%8%14%23
    DeltapollN/AGB2,07225%45%9%3%5%11%4%20
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,41023%44%6%TBC8%11%TBC21
    IpsosN/AGB1,07219%44%9%3%9%13%6%25
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00022%44%9%3%6%15%1%22
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,22125%43%10%3%4%9%4%18
    We ThinkN/AGB1,27124%44%9%2%6%11%1%20
    TechneN/AGB1,63023%44%10%3%5%12%3%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04419%45%8%3%7%15%26
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00021%44%10%2%6%15%1%23
    SavantaThe TelegraphGB2,21027%42%10%3%4%10%4%15
    JL PartnersThe Rest is PoliticsGB2,01124%42%10%4%5%13%2%18
    We ThinkN/AGB1,28024%45%10%2%5%13%2%21
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,31825%41%10%3%8%11%16
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,80919%45%9%4%8%14%1%26
    TechneN/AGB1,63822%45%9%3%5%13%3%23
    BMGThe iGB1,53025%43%8%3%6%14%1%18
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00420%43%8%3%8%16%1%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00022%46%10%3%5%14%2%24
    TechneN/AGB1,64123%44%10%3%5%12%3%21
    We ThinkN/AGB1,29525%44%10%3%5%10%3%19
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06121%40%10%3%8%16%19
    SavantaThe SunUK3,30224%45%10%3%3%12%4%21
    YouGov (MRP)The TimesGB18,76124%41%12%—7%12%1%17
    More in CommonN/AGB1,96627%42%10%3%5%11%15
    DeltapollN/AGB2,07226%44%9%3%6%11%2%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00022%42%12%2%6%14%2%20
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,21624%44%10%3%4%11%4%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,87425%41%10%3%8%11%2%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,27024%47%10%2%6%11%2%23
    Survation (MRP)Best for BritainUK15,02926%45%10%3%4%9%3%19
    TechneN/AGB1,63222%43%10%3%6%13%3%21
    More in CommonN/AGB2,02725%43%11%3%5%11%18
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04719%44%9%3%8%15%25
    DeltapollN/AGB2,07223%46%9%2%5%12%3%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00021%47%8%3%6%14%1%26
    SavantaThe TelegraphUK2,13326%44%9%3%4%11%4%18
    Labour TogetherN/AGB1,27024%42%10%3%7%—13%18
    We ThinkN/AGB1,27025%43%10%2%6%12%2%18
    TechneN/AGB1,62422%44%11%3%5%12%3%22
    SurvationN/AUK1,04326%45%11%2%3%8%5%19
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04720%44%9%3%7%14%24
    More in CommonN/AGB2,02727%42%10%3%6%10%15
    DeltapollN/AGB1,50227%44%10%2%4%11%2%17
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,29923%45%6%3%8%11%5%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%42%12%2%5%14%1%18
    SavantaN/AGB2,03225%43%11%3%4%9%4%18
    We ThinkN/AGB1,21624%43%9%3%6%13%2%19
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,05425%41%10%3%7%11%4%16
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,73418%46%10%4%7%13%28
    BMGThe iGB1,54125%41%10%3%6%13%1%16
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,05320%47%9%3%7%13%27
    TechneN/AUK1,64023%44%11%3%6%11%2%21
    DeltapollN/AGB1,50027%41%9%3%6%12%3%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00023%43%10%3%6%13%2%20
    SavantaN/AGB2,24527%44%10%3%4%8%4%17
    We ThinkN/AGB1,24023%47%9%3%5%10%3%24
    OpiniumN/AUK2,05025%40%10%3%7%12%3%15
    Rochdale by-election
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,10020%46%7%3%7%14%26
    TechneN/AUK1,63223%44%10%3%7%10%3%21
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00420%47%9%4%8%8%2%27
    More in CommonN/AGB2,07528%43%10%3%5%9%1%15
    DeltapollN/AGB1,49023%44%11%3%5%10%3%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00023%43%10%3%8%12%2%20
    SavantaN/AGB2,09726%44%10%3%4%10%4%18
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,07927%42%10%3%7%10%1%15
    We ThinkN/AGB1,24325%44%9%3%6%10%2%19
    TechneN/AUK1,63724%44%10%3%6%10%3%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,03520%46%9%4%7%13%26
    DeltapollN/AGB1,51927%48%8%3%6%7%2%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00023%46%9%3%6%11%1%23
    SavantaN/AUK2,11828%42%10%3%4%8%5%14
    We ThinkN/AGB1,24626%46%9%2%6%8%2%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00227%43%10%3%7%9%2%16
    Kingswood by-election and Wellingborough by-election
    TechneN/AUK1,62823%42%11%3%7%11%3%19
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,03024%44%9%3%8%11%20
    SurvationN/AUK1,02029%44%9%3%3%7%4%15
    YouGovWPI StrategyGB4,01422%45%9%3%7%12%2%23
    DeltapollN/AGB1,97727%45%8%3%4%10%2%18
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,04627%43%7%3%8%10%3%16
    FindOutNow/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The MirrorGB18,15122%42%11%4%7%10%4%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00021%46%11%3%5%12%2%25
    SavantaN/AUK2,22429%41%11%3%3%8%4%12
    More in CommonN/AGB2,05029%40%11%3%6%10%1%11
    We ThinkN/AGB1,17126%42%11%3%6%10%2%16
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,05025%43%11%2%7%10%3%18
    TechneN/AUK1,63924%44%10%3%6%10%3%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,02921%46%9%3%7%12%25
    Whitestone InsightLady McAlpineGB13,53420%42%10%3%8%13%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB5,00023%44%11%3%5%12%1%21
    DeltapollN/AGB2,00427%43%10%3%5%9%3%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%45%9%3%4%12%21
    We ThinkN/AGB1,28323%45%9%3%9%11%2%22
    TechneN/AUK1,63423%45%10%3%6%10%3%22
    BMGThe iGB1,50529%44%11%2%6%8%1%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00823%44%9%3%6%12%21
    SurvationN/AUK81027%44%11%4%3%7%5%17
    More in CommonN/AGB3,11329%43%10%3%6%8%1%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00022%45%11%3%6%12%23
    DeltapollN/AGB2,06429%43%10%2%6%9%14
    SavantaN/AUK2,27927%46%10%2%3%9%4%19
    We ThinkN/AGB1,26423%47%9%2%6%12%2%24
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,06027%42%10%3%6%10%1%15
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,64820%45%10%4%9%12%1%25
    TechneN/AUK1,64124%44%10%3%7%9%3%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00820%47%8%4%6%13%27
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00327%49%7%4%7%4%1%22
    DeltapollN/AGB2,17628%45%9%3%5%8%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00022%45%11%2%6%12%23
    SavantaN/AUK2,01729%43%10%3%4%8%4%14
    We ThinkN/AGB1,16323%48%9%3%5%10%2%25
    TechneN/AUK1,64025%43%11%3%6%9%3%18
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,09220%47%8%3%7%12%2%27
    DeltapollN/AGB2,13628%44%10%3%6%7%16
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB5,14927%44%6%3%6%10%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00025%44%10%3%5%11%2%19
    SavantaN/AUK2,14827%44%11%3%4%7%4%17
    We ThinkN/AGB1,16123%45%11%3%5%11%2%22
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,05027%41%11%4%6%10%2%14
    TechneN/AUK1,63324%44%10%3%6%10%3%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,05722%45%9%3%8%10%2%23
    More in CommonTimes RadioGB2,05627%42%10%3%8%9%0%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%43%10%3%5%11%2%16
    SavantaN/AUK2,26826%45%10%3%5%8%4%19
    We ThinkN/AGB1,22625%47%9%2%5%10%2%22
    YouGov (MRP)Conservative Britain AllianceGB14,11026%39.5%12.5%3%7.5%9%2.5%13.5
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01622%46%10%3%7%9%2%24

    2023

    Dates
    conducted    		PollsterClientAreaSample
    size    		Con.Lab.Lib. DemsSNPGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    We ThinkN/AGB1,18126%43%11%3%6%11%2%17
    DeltapollDaily MirrorGB1,64228%42%12%2%6%9%14
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,98723%45%10%4%6%10%22
    We ThinkN/AGB1,17727%41%12%3%6%9%14
    TechneN/AUK1,64623%43%11%3%7%10%3%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,05224%43%10%3%8%11%1%19
    SurvationN/AUK1,04428%45%10%2%2%8%4%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%42%11%4%6%10%2%18
    SavantaN/AUK2,28627%43%10%3%3%9%5%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,06525%46%10%3%5%9%2%21
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,42627%40%11%3%7%9%2%13
    TechneN/AUK1,63722%44%12%3%7%9%3%22
    More in CommonN/AGB2,04128%42%11%4%6%8%2%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01822%44%10%3%7%11%2%22
    DeltapollN/AGB1,00529%40%11%3%7%7%4%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00025%43%13%2%5%11%1%18
    SavantaN/AUK2,07926%43%10%3%4%9%4%17
    We ThinkN/AGB1,20125%45%11%2%5%9%2%20
    TechneN/AUK1,64222%45%12%3%7%8%3%23
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,05422%45%10%3%7%11%2%23
    IpsosN/AGB1,00624%41%13%3%9%7%3%17
    DeltapollN/AGB1,00027%42%13%3%6%6%4%15
    More in Common N/AGB2,03029%41%12%3%6%8%2%12
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%42%12%3%6%10%0%16
    SavantaN/AUK2,08628%43%11%3%3%7%4%15
    We ThinkN/AGB1,12328%44%9%3%6%8%3%16
    TechneN/AUK1,62923%45%11%3%7%8%3%22
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,05522%45%9%4%7%10%1%23
    BMGThe iGB1,50227%43%10%2%5%11%2%16
    More in CommonTimes RadioGB2,02228%44%10%3%5%8%2%16
    DeltapollN/AGB1,99628%42%11%3%6%7%2%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00025%45%11%3%6%10%1%20
    SavantaN/AUK2,26626%44%11%3%5%7%5%18
    We ThinkN/AGB1,11926%44%12%3%6%8%1%18
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,45326%42%11%3%7%8%2%16
    TechneN/AUK1,64021%46%12%3%7%8%3%25
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06925%44%10%4%7%9%2%19
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56527%44%10%3%6%6%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,16024%43%14%4%5%7%1%19
    SavantaN/AUK2,26327%44%11%3%5%7%4%17
    We ThinkN/AGB1,16025%45%11%3%5%10%2%20
    More in CommonN/AGB2,03129%41%13%3%5%7%2%12
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,43327%40%12%3%6%9%3%13
    TechneN/AUK1,63222%46%11%2%7%8%3%24
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,48021%44%10%4%8%10%3%23
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,58119%49%9%3%7%11%30
    FindOutNowThe MirrorGB2,02619%46%9%5%8%10%4%27
    DeltapollN/AGB1,84028%44%13%3%6%4%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%43%12%3%6%8%1%16
    SavantaN/AUK2,23028%46%10%2%4%6%4%18
    We ThinkN/AGB1,14724%48%9%3%6%8%2%24
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,43326%43%11%3%6%9%3%17
    TechneN/AUK1,63425%46%10%2%7%7%3%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,08023%47%10%3%7%8%1%24
    IpsosN/AGB1,00125%46%12%5%6%4%5%21
    Lord AshcroftN/AGB2,51827%43%10%2%7%8%3%16
    DeltapollN/AGB1,02124%45%12%3%7%6%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%45%11%2%4%9%1%17
    SavantaN/AUK1,02129%45%11%2%3%5%4%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,15527%45%10%3%5%9%1%18
    SurvationUK Spirits AllianceGB12,18829%46%10%3%3%5%17
    TechneN/AUK1,63526%46%11%2%6%6%3%20
    More in CommonN/AGB2,04328%44%10%3%7%7%1%16
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,19323%44%9%3%9%9%1%21
    FindOutNowN/AGB2,46123%45%11%4%7%8%3%22
    DeltapollN/AGB1,54625%46%11%2%6%7%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00025%45%13%3%6%7%2%20
    SavantaN/AUK2,04329%46%9%2%3%7%4%17
    We ThinkN/AGB1,18926%46%10%3%6%7%3%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,43327%42%10%3%7%8%2%15
    TechneN/AUK1,63025%46%11%3%5%7%3%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,03524%48%9%4%5%8%2%24
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,90621%49%9%4%7%9%28
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%44%13%2%4%8%1%18
    SavantaN/AUK2,27929%46%10%2%3%5%4%17
    DeltapollN/AGB1,03627%47%10%2%5%6%20
    We ThinkN/AGB1,18527%48%10%2%4%7%2%21
    By-elections in Mid Bedfordshire and Tamworth
    TechneN/AUK1,63426%45%11%3%6%6%3%19
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,03125%47%9%3%7%7%2%22
    IpsosN/AGB1,00324%44%13%4%8%4%20
    More in CommonN/AGB2,33630%42%12%3%6%7%1%12
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56827%47%10%2%6%5%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00029%43%14%1%4%7%2%14
    SavantaN/AUk2,25829%45%10%3%2%5%4%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,19828%44%9%3%6%7%2%16
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,46128%44%10%3%6%6%3%16
    BMGThe iGB1,59130%43%11%2%6%7%1%13
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06724%47%9%4%6%8%1%23
    TechneN/AUK1,63526%46%10%3%6%6%3%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%43%13%1%6%8%2%16
    Survation (MRP)UK Anti-corruption CoalitionGB6,46629%47%11%3%3%4%18
    SavantaN/AUK2,00030%46%10%2%3%5%4%16
    DeltapollMail on SundayGB1,51728%43%12%3%6%7%15
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,37029%42%11%3%6%6%2%13
    We ThinkN/AGB1,26128%44%10%2%5%6%3%16
    By-election in Rutherglen and Hamilton West
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06224%45%11%4%7%8%21
    BMGThe iGB1,50230%44%10%2%7%6%1%14
    TechneN/AUK1,62426%45%11%3%6%6%3%19
    DeltapollN/AGB1,51626%44%12%3%6%5%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00029%43%12%3%4%7%1%14
    SavantaN/AUK2,12927%46%11%3%4%5%4%19
    We ThinkN/AGB1,28527%47%10%3%5%7%1%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,99329%39%12%3%7%7%3%10
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06624%45%11%3%7%8%1%21
    TechneN/AUK1,63327%45%10%3%6%6%3%18
    DeltapollN/AGB2,50728%44%10%4%6%5%16
    Survation38 DegreesGB11,79329%46%12%5%3%5%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%43%13%2%5%8%1%15
    Savanta UK2,09330%44%11%2%4%5%4%14
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,14427%43%10%4%7%8%2%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,26828%45%9%3%6%6%2%17
    TechneN/AUK1,63626%45%11%3%7%5%3%19
    More in CommonN/AGB1,35528%43%12%3%6%7%0%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%44%14%3%6%6%1%18
    SavantaN/AUK2,25526%46%12%3%4%5%5%20
    We ThinkN/AGB1,26827%44%11%3%6%7%2%17
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,41426%41%11%3%7%8%2%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04924%45%9%3%9%8%2%21
    DeltapollN/AGB2,03923%47%10%4%7%6%24
    TechneN/AUK1,63426%46%10%3%6%6%3%20
    IpsosN/AGB1,00424%44%12%4%8%4%3%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00025%45%12%4%6%6%1%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,10724%46%10%4%7%6%2%22
    We ThinkN/AGB1,26826%46%9%3%6%6%3%20
    TechneN/AUK1,62725%46%10%3%6%7%3%21
    Deltapoll N/AGB2,00928%46%10%3%5%7%18
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,14627%43%13%5%5%4%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%44%14%3%4%6%1%16
    SavantaN/AUK2,22329%45%10%3%3%6%5%16
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,40028%42%9%3%8%8%2%14
    We ThinkN/AGB1,29425%46%11%3%5%7%2%21
    SurvationGreenpeaceGB20,20529%46%11%3%3%4%17
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,10326%44%10%4%7%7%2%18
    TechneN/AUK1,63324%45%11%3%6%8%3%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%44%12%3%4%7%3%16
    SavantaN/AUK2,15929%46%10%3%4%5%3%17
    DeltapollN/AGB1,06130%46%12%3%3%5%16
    We ThinkN/AGB1,35626%47%11%3%5%6%2%21
    BMGThe iGB1,33829%44%10%3%4%8%1%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,10624%44%9%3%8%9%20
    DeltapollN/AGB1,52025%50%9%3%7%4%25
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%42%13%3%6%7%1%15
    OmnisisN/AGB1,31528%44%10%3%5%7%16
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,12226%45%10%3%8%7%19
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,45226%41%11%3%7%9%15
    More in Common N/AGB2,05229%44%11%4%6%6%0%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%48%10%4%4%5%0%20
    OmnisisN/AGB1,34524%48%10%3%6%6%24
    DeltapollMail on SundayGB1,50429%46%12%2%5%4%17
    DeltapollN/AGB1,02326%47%12%3%4%4%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%45%10%3%6%8%1%18
    OmnisisN/AGB1,42025%47%11%3%5%7%22
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,48426%40%10%3%7%10%14
    FindOutNow/Electoral CalculusChannel 4 NewsGB11,14224%44%12%4%8%6%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,31325%47%10%3%6%7%22
    TechneN/AUK1,62426%46%10%3%5%7%3%20
    DeltapollN/AGB1,55625%48%11%3%5%6%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%43%11%4%5%7%3%15
    OmnisisN/AGB1,33925%48%10%3%6%6%23
    TechneN/AUK1,62425%45%10%3%6%8%3%20
    BMGThe iGB1,52427%44%14%3%4%7%2%17
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00025%45%10%3%7%7%20
    DeltapollN/AGB1,48226%49%9%3%5%4%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%45%14%2%4%6%1%17
    SavantaN/AUK2,24028%47%10%3%3%4%19
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,06528%45%12%3%6%3%17
    OmnisisN/AGB1,38025%47%10%3%5%7%22
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,46825%42%11%3%6%10%17
    By-elections in Selby and Ainsty, Somerton and Frome, and Uxbridge and South Ruislip
    TechneN/AUK1,63226%45%11%3%5%7%3%19
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06925%44%10%3%7%8%19
    More in Common N/AGB1,58429%44%12%4%5%5%1%15
    DeltapollN/AGB1,00024%48%11%3%5%6%24
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%44%13%3%4%8%1%17
    SavantaN/AUK2,26528%46%11%3%3%5%18
    OmnisisN/AGB1,36125%47%10%3%5%6%22
    TechneN/AUK1,62826%46%11%3%5%6%3%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01525%43%11%4%7%9%18
    DeltapollN/AGB1,61728%46%9%4%7%4%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%48%11%4%3%5%1%21
    SurvationN/AUK83828%46%12%3%3%4%18
    SavantaN/AUK2,24230%45%10%3%3%5%4%15
    OmnisisN/AGB1,31225%51%8%3%5%5%26
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,47328%43%9%3%6%8%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06222%47%9%3%7%9%25
    TechneN/AUK1,63226%47%10%3%5%6%3%21
    DeltapollN/AGB1,50725%48%10%4%5%5%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%46%11%3%5%5%2%18
    SurvationN/AUK1,01330%45%11%3%3%3%15
    SavantaN/AUK2,21628%46%11%3%4%4%4%18
    OmnisisN/AGB1,35126%48%8%4%5%7%22
    TechneN/AUK1,63127%46%11%3%5%6%2%19
    BMGThe iGB1,50029%43%11%3%7%6%14
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04724%46%10%3%7%8%22
    SurvationN/AUK2,05428%45%11%3%3%4%17
    DeltapollN/AGB1,08924%47%12%4%4%7%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%44%13%3%5%6%3%18
    SavantaTBAUK2,32231%43%10%4%3%5%4%12
    OmnisisN/AGB1,33627%47%9%3%6%6%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,06326%44%8%2%7%10%18
    TechneN/AUK1,62929%45%10%3%5%5%3%16
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,29422%47%11%3%8%7%25
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,03325%47%13%3%8%3%22
    DeltapollN/AGB1,55427%46%10%4%6%5%19
    SurvationN/AUK1,00729%47%11%3%3%3%18
    More in Common N/AGB1,57028%47%10%4%5%6%1%19
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%46%12%3%6%7%1%20
    SavantaN/AUK2,19628%46%11%3%3%4%5%18
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,07224%43%11%4%8%7%19
    OmnisisN/AGB1,30626%48%10%3%6%5%22
    TechneN/AUK1,62528%44%11%3%5%6%3%16
    DeltapollN/AGB1,08431%42%12%4%4%4%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00030%44%13%3%4%6%1%14
    SavantaN/AUK2,03028%45%9%4%4%6%4%17
    YouGovTimes RadioGB9,90326%44%10%4%7%7%18
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,10729%41%11%3%7%6%12
    OmnisisN/AGB1,29627%47%10%3%5%6%20
    TechneN/AUK1,63229%42%12%3%6%5%3%13
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,07126%42%11%4%8%7%16
    DeltapollN/AGB1,52529%43%13%3%5%5%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00030%44%12%3%5%5%1%14
    SavantaN/AUK2,10930%44%11%3%3%5%3%14
    OmnisisN/AGB1,35125%46%10%3%7%6%21
    TechneN/AUK1,63029%43%12%3%6%4%3%14
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00025%44%11%3%7%6%19
    BMGThe iGB1,52927%44%10%4%7%7%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%43%12%3%7%5%3%15
    SavantaN/AUK2,22331%44%9%3%3%5%5%13
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,07225%43%11%4%7%7%18
    Omnisis N/AGB1,36128%47%10%3%5%5%19
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,06228%43%9%3%7%6%15
    TechneN/AUK1,62530%44%11%3%5%4%3%14
    DeltapollN/AGB1,57530%47%9%4%4%4%17
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,14329%42%11%4%5%5%13
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00030%42%13%4%4%5%2%12
    SavantaN/AUK2,04330%46%9%3%3%5%4%16
    Local elections in Northern Ireland[9]
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00625%43%12%3%8%6%18
    OmnisisN/AGB1,38925%47%10%3%5%6%22
    TechneN/AUK1,63329%45%10%3%4%5%3%16
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00628%44%13%4%6%2%4%16
    More in Common N/AGB2,01731%42%13%3%5%5%2%11
    DeltapollN/AGB1,51129%45%12%3%4%5%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%42%11%4%5%8%2%14
    SavantaN/AUK2,21429%46%9%3%3%5%4%17
    OmnisisN/AGB1,35524%51%10%3%4%6%27
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,05029%43%11%3%5%6%14
    TechneN/AUK1,62528%45%11%3%5%5%3%17
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00125%43%11%3%8%7%18
    DeltapollN/AGB1,55028%47%9%3%5%5%19
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00029%41%16%3%4%5%1%12
    SavantaN/AUK2,16830%46%9%4%3%5%4%16
    OmnisisN/AGB1,35527%48%7%4%6%6%21
    Local elections in England[10]
    BMGThe iGB1,53429%43%11%3%6%5%14
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01226%43%10%4%7%6%17
    TechneN/AUK1,63229%44%11%3%5%6%3%15
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56129%44%11%4%4%4%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%45%12%2%4%7%1%17
    SavantaN/AUK2,24131%44%9%4%3%5%4%13
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,42526%44%10%3%7%7%18
    SurvationGood Morning BritainUK2,01428%45%12%3%4%3%17
    OmnisisN/AGB1,35228%45%10%4%6%6%17
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,11127%41%11%4%7%7%14
    TechneN/AUK1,62730%44%9%3%5%6%3%14
    DeltapollN/AGB1,57630%43%9%4%5%5%13
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00029%44%11%3%5%6%1%15
    SavantaN/AUK2,15631%42%9%3%3%7%5%11
    TechneN/AUK1,62631%44%10%3%5%5%3%13
    OmnisisN/AGB1,31827%47%7%4%6%7%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01028%43%10%2%6%7%15
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56729%43%10%4%5%4%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%44%10%4%4%4%1%12
    SavantaN/AUK2,23731%45%8%3%3%5%4%14
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,37028%42%10%3%6%8%14
    TechneN/AUK1,63030%45%10%3%4%6%3%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01027%45%10%3%5%6%18
    OmnisisN/AGB1,34025%48%9%4%5%7%23
    More in CommonN/AGB2,04630%44%10%3%6%5%2%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00030%44%10%3%5%6%2%14
    OmnisisN/AUK1,32826%46%10%3%5%7%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,08130%41%10%3%5%7%11
    TechneN/AUK1,62930%45%9%3%5%5%2%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04227%44%9%4%7%6%17
    DeltapollN/AGB1,58727%48%9%4%4%5%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%45%12%4%4%5%2%17
    SavantaN/AUK2,14929%45%10%3%3%5%16
    SurvationN/AUK1,00929%46%8%4%3%5%17
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,05029%44%9%3%5%7%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00226%46%9%3%7%7%20
    TechneN/AUK1,63330%46%9%3%4%5%3%16
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,20924%42%9%5%7%8%18
    Omnisis N/AGB1,34427%50%9%3%4%6%23
    Humza Yousaf becomes leader of the SNP and then First Minister of Scotland
    IpsosEvening StandardUK1,00426%49%11%5%6%2%23
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56930%45%10%4%4%4%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%46%10%3%4%8%2%19
    SavantaN/AUK2,09729%45%9%4%3%4%16
    Omnisis N/AGB1,38229%44%10%3%5%6%15
    SurvationN/AUK83131%45%8%4%3%4%14
    TechneN/AUK1,62431%46%8%4%4%5%2%15
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,17522%43%10%4%8%9%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,02623%49%10%3%6%6%26
    SurvationN/AUK81231%46%8%4%2%4%15
    DeltapollN/AGB1,05435%45%7%4%4%3%10
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%47%11%4%6%5%2%21
    SavantaN/AUK2,17531%45%9%3%3%4%14
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,28920%45%9%5%13%6%25
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00029%44%8%3%6%7%15
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,15527%46%9%4%6%6%19
    BMGN/AGB1,54629%46%8%4%4%6%17
    TechneN/AUK1,63230%47%8%3%4%5%2%17
    OmnisisN/AUK1,12625%46%6%3%7%9%21
    SurvationN/AUK1,01132%48%8%3%2%3%16
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56127%50%9%3%4%4%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%48%11%3%5%6%1%21
    SavantaN/AUK2,09330%45%9%3%3%5%15
    OpiniumN/AGB2,00029%44%8%3%5%8%15
    Omnisis N/AGB1,32326%50%7%4%5%6%24
    TechneN/AUK1,62429%46%9%3%5%6%2%17
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,15823%42%8%4%10%7%19
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,04923%45%10%4%7%7%22
    DeltapollN/AGB1,63031%47%8%4%5%4%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%50%9%3%5%7%1%26
    SavantaN/AUK2,13832%43%9%4%3%5%11
    SurvationN/AUK87029%45%10%3%3%4%16
    FindOutNow/Electoral CalculusDaily TelegraphGB1,48725%48%9%4%6%5%23
    OpiniumHeadlands ConsultancyGB3,00030%42%9%3%6%8%12
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,41927%44%7%3%7%8%17
    OmnisisN/AGB1,28426%45%11%4%6%6%19
    TechneN/AUK1,62529%47%8%3%5%6%2%18
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,15824%45%9%5%8%7%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,07325%47%10%4%5%6%22
    IpsosEvening StandardUK1,00425%51%9%5%5%3%26
    DeltapollN/AGB1,06031%46%8%3%4%5%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%51%9%3%5%7%1%27
    SavantaN/AUK2,22429%44%9%4%3%6%15
    OmnisisN/AGB1,24824%48%10%4%5%8%24
    TechneN/AUK1,63327%49%8%3%5%5%3%22
    BMGN/AGB1,50029%46%9%4%4%6%17
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,19220%46%7%5%8%9%26
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00323%46%9%4%7%8%23
    DeltapollN/AGB1,07928%50%9%4%3%2%22
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,12028%45%9%5%7%5%17
    SavantaN/AUK2,10331%45%9%3%3%4%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%51%10%3%5%6%1%27
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,45128%44%9%4%6%7%2%16
    OmnisisN/AGB1,25925%48%10%3%5%7%23
    TechneN/AUK1,63127%48%8%3%5%6%3%21
    SurvationN/AUK6,09429%48%8%3%3%4%19
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,14821%48%8%5%8%7%27
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06222%50%9%4%6%7%28
    DeltapollN/AGB1,00428%48%8%5%6%3%20
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%48%9%4%5%6%1%21
    FocaldataN/AGB1,04128%48%9%3%4%6%2%20
    SavantaN/AUK2,17528%45%10%3%4%5%17
    OmnisisN/AGB1,28126%47%10%4%4%8%21
    West Lancashire by-election[11]
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,22921%50%7%4%6%7%29
    TechneN/AUK1,62726%47%9%4%5%6%3%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,06124%47%10%4%6%6%23
    DeltapollN/AGB1,83129%47%9%4%4%5%18
    SurvationN/AUK1,92326%42%11%4%5%6%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%50%10%3%5%6%26
    SavantaN/AUK2,24727%46%9%3%4%5%19
    FindOutNow/Electoral CalculusThe Daily TelegraphGB28,19123%48%11%4%5%5%—25
    OmnisisN/AGB1,32424%48%9%4%5%6%24
    TechneN/AUK1,63427%48%8%4%4%7%2%21
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,13922%46%9%5%7%7%24
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00624%48%9%4%6%6%24
    DeltapollN/AGB1,05729%46%9%4%4%4%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%49%8%4%5%5%1%21
    SavantaN/AUK2,04126%47%9%3%4%6%21
    Omnisis N/AGB1,31126%50%7%3%6%7%24
    TechneN/AUK1,63126%47%8%4%5%7%3%21
    BMGN/AGB1,50229%46%9%4%3%6%17
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,05826%45%10%4%7%6%19
    IpsosN/AUK1,00126%51%9%6%5%2%25
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,27021%50%8%6%5%7%29
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%48%9%5%4%6%1%22
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56330%44%9%4%5%4%14
    Omnisis N/AGB1,26824%50%8%4%5%5%26
    TechneN/AUK1,62527%46%9%4%5%6%3%19
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00426%48%8%4%5%7%22
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,16821%45%9%5%9%8%24
    FocaldataSam FreedmanGB1,02824%49%9%3%4%7%4%25
    DeltapollN/AGB1,05929%45%10%5%5%4%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%47%10%4%5%6%1%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00029%45%9%3%5%6%16
    TechneN/AUK1,63626%47%8%4%5%7%3%21
    Omnisis N/AGB1,24728%48%7%4%7%3%20
    PeoplePollingGB NewsUK1,16021%48%8%5%7%7%27
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69125%47%9%5%5%7%22
    YouGovThe TimesGB4,92224%47%9%5%5%7%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%48%9%4%5%6%2%22
    DeltapollN/AGB1,59331%45%9%3%5%3%14
    Omnisis N/AGB1,28527%49%10%4%4%4%22
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70925%46%9%5%6%7%21
    TechneN/AUK1,62525%46%9%4%5%8%3%21
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,20922%46%7%5%7%8%24
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%47%12%4%3%5%1%20

    2022

    Dates
    conducted    		PollsterClientAreaSample
    size    		Con.Lab.Lib. DemsSNPGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,16919%45%8%6%9%8%26
    Omnisis N/AGB1,24325%51%7%4%5%6%26
    TechneN/AUK1,63328%45%8%4%5%7%3%17
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,15122%46%8%5%6%8%3%24
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67224%48%9%4%5%8%24
    SavantaN/AUK2,02428%45%9%5%3%5%5%17
    OmnisisN/AGB1,21626%47%9%5%6%6%1%21
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00029%44%9%3%5%8%15
    Stretford and Urmston by-election[12]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69023%48%8%5%5%9%25
    TechneN/AUK1,63128%46%9%3%5%6%3%18
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,15124%45%7%5%6%7%4%21
    IpsosN/AGB1,00723%49%13%5%3%2%4%26
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,09729%46%9%5%5%4%17
    DeltapollN/AGB1,08832%45%9%5%5%4%13
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00029%46%9%3%5%7%17
    SavantaN/AUK2,19429%45%8%3%3%6%5%16
    OmnisisN/AGB1,29430%48%9%2%6%4%18
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,23120%47%8%5%6%9%5%27
    TechneN/AUK1,62527%48%9%4%4%5%3%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69624%48%9%4%5%8%24
    DeltapollN/AGB1,63228%48%10%4%4%4%20
    SavantaN/AUK6,23728%48%11%—3%4%—20
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%48%10%3%6%5%1%22
    SavantaN/AUK2,21131%42%10%4%3%5%11
    OmnisisN/AGB1,18925%48%9%4%6%5%23
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00029%43%8%4%6%6%14
    City of Chester by-election[13]
    TechneN/AUK1,63226%49%10%4%4%5%2%23
    BMGThe iGB1,57128%46%10%4%5%6%18
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,14521%46%7%5%9%7%25
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63722%47%9%4%5%9%25
    DeltapollN/AGB1,06230%48%10%3%3%4%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%47%11%3%5%5%1%20
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,10626%47%10%4%2%5%21
    Omnisis N/AGB1,17425%49%9%3%5%6%24
    TechneN/AUK1,62527%50%9%4%4%—6%23
    PeoplePollingN/AGB1,14524%44%8%5%8%5%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67225%48%9%4%5%5%23
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,11130%45%8%5%4%5%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00028%49%9%4%4%5%2%21
    Savanta ComResIndependentUK2,10628%46%10%3%3%3%6%18
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,60425%51%9%3%4%4%26
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,33121%47%10%5%7%6%26
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,48428%45%9%3%4%6%3%17
    Omnisis N/AGB1,15921%48%10%5%7%5%27
    TechneN/AUK1,62828%50%8%4%4%—6%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50027%48%10%5%4%5%1%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68226%47%9%5%5%6%21
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00429%50%7%5%3%2%21
    DeltapollN/AGB1,06027%50%6%5%6%3%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00026%50%9%3%5%4%2%24
    Omnisis N/AGB1,18126%49%7%3%5%9%1%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50028%49%11%3%4%4%1%21
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70825%48%10%5%5%5%23
    TechneN/AUK1,62830%49%8%4%4%—5%19
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,19821%42%9%5%9%8%21
    DeltapollN/AGB1,04929%47%9%4%5%3%4%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%48%10%4%3%5%2%21
    Omnisis N/AGB1,35227%51%7%4%4%6%24
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,44528%46%8%4%6%—7%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50030%47%12%3%3%4%1%17
    TechneN/AUK1,66329%49%9%4%4%—3%20
    SurvationN/AUK1,01727%50%7%4%3%3%23
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70224%50%9%4%5%6%26
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,21221%47%10%5%5%5%26
    DeltapollN/AGB1,60626%51%9%4%4%3%25
    YouGovBen Ansell/ERC WEALTHPOLUK2,46425% 49% <---49.3%--->9% 4% 5% 4% 24
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00027%50%9%4%5%3%2%23
    FocaldataBest for BritainGB2,00029%49%8%4%4%4%20
    Omnisis N/AGB1,38325%53%7%4%4%6%28
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,49928%44%10%4%5%—8%16
    TechneN/AUK1,62626%50%10%4%5%—5%24
    SurvationN/AUK2,02827%51%8%5%2%3%24
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,23720%51%9%5%5%7%5%31
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50023%55%9%4%5%4%1%32
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,64623%51%9%5%4%6%28
    BMGIndependentGB1,56826%49%10%4%5%5%2%23
    FocaldataBest for BritainGB10,00023%53%10%4%4%4%30
    Rishi Sunak becomes leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister[14]
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00021%54%11%3%4%4%2%33
    DeltapollSky NewsGB2,01225%51%10%4%5%3%26
    Savanta ComResIndependentUK1,99625%51%8%4%2%—10%26
    Omnisis N/AGB1,35322%56%10%4%4%3%34
    JL PartnersN/AGB2,00026%51%8%5%3%3%4%25
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70019%56%10%4%4%5%37
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,02323%50%9%3%6%—6%27
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,23714%53%11%5%6%5%5%39
    Omnisis N/AGB1,38222%57%7%4%4%3%3%35
    TechneN/AUK1,63222%53%11%4%5%—5%31
    Liz Truss announces her resignation as leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50019%55%12%4%4%4%1%36
    SurvationN/AUK1,25223%52%11%4%3%2%29
    DeltapollN/AGB1,05023%55%7%4%4%3%32
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00020%56%11%4%5%2%1%36
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,19522%52%11%4%2%—8%30
    OmnisisN/AGB1,32828%49%10%3%5%2%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50024%53%13%4%3%2%3%29
    TechneN/AUK1,62625%49%11%4%6%—5%24
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,15819%53%8%6%6%4%34
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67523%51%9%5%7%3%28
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00126%47%10%4%8%2%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00025%54%10%3%4%3%1%29
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,03623%51%10%4%4%—8%28
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,73722%52%9%5%6%5%30
    DeltapollN/AGB1,03426%51%9%4%4%2%25
    OmnisisN/AGB1,32824%51%10%3%5%4%27
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,02326%47%11%3%6%—6%21
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,51220%52%8%5%7%4%32
    TechneN/AUK1,63626%48%10%4%6%—6%22
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50024%52%10%4%5%3%1%28
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00024%52%10%5%5%3%1%28
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,11325%50%11%3%3%—8%25
    OmnisisN/AGB1,32023%55%7%5%5%3%32
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,46827%46%9%4%6%—19
    SurvationN/AUK1,32928%49%11%5%1%2%21
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB2,21620%50%9%5%8%3%30
    TechneN/AUK1,62527%47%11%4%6%—5%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,71221%54%7%5%6%4%33
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50029%46%13%3%4%4%1%17
    BMGN/AGB1,51630%47%9%4%5%3%2%17
    DeltapollDaily MirrorGB1,61329%48%9%4%4%2%19
    FindOutNowChannel 4GB10,43527%45%10%5%7%3%18
    OmnisisN/AGB1,30732%44%10%4%5%4%12
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,14135%39%10%5%4%3%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00031%44%11%4%6%2%1%13
    Savanta ComResMHPUK2,25929%43%12%5%4%—8%14
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,73028%45%9%4%7%3%17
    DeltapollN/AGB2,19231%44%12%4%4%2%13
    OpiniumN/AUK1,49134%39%10%4%7%—5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,71332%40%9%5%8%3%8
    TechneN/AUK1,63934%41%11%4%5%—5%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%42%12%4%5%4%2%10
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,29828%40%10%6%8%4%12
    DeltapollN/AGB2,08432%42%10%4%6%2%10
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%42%10%4%5%3%1%8
    Savanta ComResLabour ListUK6,22633%45%10%?4%3%5%12
    TechneN/AUK1,64735%41%10%4%5%—5%6
    IpsosN/AGB1,00030%40%13%5%8%1%4%10
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,24528%40%10%4%6%5%12
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,72732%42%10%4%7%2%10
    DeltapollN/AGB1,57332%44%9%4%4%2%12
    Savanta ComResDaily MailUK2,27235%42%10%4%3%3%7
    TechneN/AUK1,62834%42%11%4%4%—5%8
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,16228%40%9%5%7%4%12
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00030%42%14%5%6%2%2%12
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68829%44%10%5%7%3%15
    Liz Truss becomes leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister[15]
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00031%43%12%5%6%3%1%12
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,51634%38%12%4%6%—4
    TechneN/AUK1,62832%42%12%4%5%—5%10
    DeltapollN/AGB1,57331%42%10%5%6%3%11
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,71128%43%11%5%6%3%15
    SurvationN/AUK1,01333%43%11%4%3%5%10
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00031%42%12%4%7%3%2%11
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,20325%42%10%5%7%4%17
    DeltapollThe MirrorGB1,60031%44%12%4%4%2%13
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%42%13%3%4%4%9
    TechneN/AUK1,63033%41%11%4%6%—5%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50033%42%12%4%5%2%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00731%39%11%5%7%5%8
    PeoplePollingGB NewsGB1,23526%40%11%6%6%5%14
    DeltapollN/AGB1,59131%43%11%5%6%2%12
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,10633%40%14%4%6%2%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00031%43%13%5%5%3%12
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,52731%39%10%3%7%—8
    BMGN/AUK2,09132%42%11%5%4%3%10
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69628%43%11%5%7%4%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%41%12%4%5%3%7
    TechneN/AUK1,64135%39%12%4%5%—5%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,80930%39%12%5%6%4%9
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%40%12%4%5%3%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,01034%37%12%4%6%—3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,96833%37%11%5%8%3%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50032%40%13%4%4%4%8
    TechneN/AUK1,63034%39%13%4%5%—5%5
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,09632%36%13%6%8%4%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%38%11%4%7%4%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,79734%35%13%5%7%3%1
    TechneN/AUK1,64533%40%12%4%6%—5%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50033%41%11%4%5%4%2%8
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,05230%44%10%5%8%1%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%40%12%4%5%3%6
    Savanta ComResThe IndependentUK2,27229%42%12%3%4%4%5%13
    DeltapollMail on SundayGB1,58831%42%10%4%6%3%11
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69232%39%12%4%8%4%7
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00134%37%13%3%7%—3
    TechneN/AUK1,64532%41%12%4%6%—5%9
    Savanta ComResDaily ExpressUK2,10933%44%9%3%3%3%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50035%44%9%3%5%3%1%9
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,07733%37%13%4%7%4%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%42%12%4%5%3%10
    Savanta ComResN/AUK1,98030%43%11%4%4%3%13
    TechneN/AUK1,64531%40%13%4%6%—6%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,73329%40%13%4%7%4%11
    JL PartnersThe Sunday TelegraphGB4,43431%42%12%4%6%3%11
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,00225%46%8%5%8%5%21
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00031%42%12%4%5%5%11
    Savanta ComRes [16] N/AUK2,16828%43%12%4%4%3%15
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00033%38%12%3%6%—5
    TechneN/AUK1,64429%41%14%4%6%—6%12
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50031%43%12%3%7%2%3%12
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68729%40%15%5%6%3%11
    Boris Johnson announces his resignation as leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%41%11%3%5%5%6
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,10632%41%11%4%3%4%9
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,01527%47%9%4%6%4%20
    BMGThe IndependentUK1,52132%42%11%4%4%4%10
    TechneN/AUK1,63233%39%13%4%5%—6%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50032%40%13%5%5%3%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67133%36%13%5%6%3%3
    IpsosN/AGB1,05930%41%15%5%6%1%11
    SurvationN/AUK1,01735%43%11%3%2%—5%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%41%15%4%4%3%8
    Savanta ComResThe IndependentUK2,21734%41%10%5%5%1%7
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00034%37%11%4%6%—3
    By-elections in Tiverton and Honiton and Wakefield[17] [18]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67134%39%9%4%8%4%5
    TechneN/AUK1,63032%38%14%4%6%—6%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%41%13%4%5%4%9
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,14134%36%13%4%5%4%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%40%13%4%5%5%7
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,05031%42%10%4%5%3%11
    TechneN/AUK1,61233%39%13%4%5%—6%6
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,72733%39%10%4%6%4%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%42%12%3%4%3%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%39%15%5%6%2%7
    Savanta ComRes [19] N/AUK2,23734%40%10%4%4%2%6
    SurvationN/AUK2,05334%41%10%4%3%—7%7
    TechneN/AUK1,63233%39%12%4%6%—6%6
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00234%36%13%3%6%—2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,72732%39%11%5%7%3%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%40%13%4%5%4%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%38%11%4%7%4%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00032%36%12%5%8%4%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%39%12%4%6%4%1%6
    TechneN/AUK1,63232%40%12%4%6%—6%8
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,02625%48%9%4%6%5%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00036%43%10%3%5%3%2%7
    Savanta ComRes [20] N/AUK2,17731%42%11%4%3%3%11
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00033%36%11%4%8%—3
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,02629%44%8%4%5%5%15
    TechneN/AUK1,62933%40%11%4%6%—6%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50031%40%14%4%5%3%2%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,75531%39%12%4%7%4%8
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,08732%38%13%3%8%3%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%39%12%4%5%4%6
    Savanta ComResDaily MailUK2,02134%40%10%4%4%2%6
    TechneN/AUK1,63535%39%10%4%6%—6%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69231%39%12%5%7%4%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50033%39%12%4%4%5%6
    IpsosN/AGB1,01333%39%12%5%5%1%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%39%12%4%6%3%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,19634%41%10%4%4%2%7
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00034%37%12%4%7%—3
    TechneN/AUK1,63434%39%11%4%6%—6%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,99033%38%12%4%6%3%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%39%12%5%7%2%1%6
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,16134%39%11%4%3%3%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70735%36%10%5%8%3%1
    Local elections in England, Scotland and Wales, and the Northern Ireland Assembly election[21] [22]
    TechneN/AUK1,63534%40%10%4%5%—7%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%41%12%4%5%3%8
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,23635%41%9%4%4%3%6
    TechneN/AUK1,63335%40%9%4%6%—6%5
    IpsosN/AGB1,00635%40%10%5%7%1%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,77933%39%11%5%6%3%6
    SurvationN/AUK2,58733%42%9%4%4%2%9
    OpiniumN/AGB4,00035%37%10%—7%—2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%42%11%4%4%4%8
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,23134%40%11%4%3%3%6
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00234%36%10%4%8%—2
    TechneN/AUK1,63134%40%10%4%5%—7%6
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,07933%39%9%4%8%3%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%42%10%5%5%3%8
    DeltapollMail on SundayGB1,55032%43%9%5%6%2%11
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,96033%38%10%4%7%5%5
    TechneN/AUK1,62834%41%9%4%5%—7%7
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,15234%37%11%5%7%4%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%42%8%4%5%4%8
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,14534%40%9%4%4%3%6
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK91825%49%6%4%6%3%24
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00434%38%10%4%7%—4
    TechneN/AUK1,63535%40%10%4%4%—7%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,82634%37%10%4%7%4%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00036%42%9%3%4%3%6
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,22033%40%11%5%4%3%7
    TechneN/AUK1,63936%39%9%5%5%—6%3
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,00633%37%9%6%6%5%4
    SurvationN/AUK2,03335%42%9%4%3%2%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%37%9%6%5%5%2
    Savanta ComResN/AGB2,22635%39%11%5%3%3%4
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00236%38%9%4%7%—2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,75935%37%10%4%7%4%2
    TechneN/AUK1,64135%40%10%4%5%—6%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,81035%36%9%4%8%5%1
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,04236%36%12%3%6%3%data-sort-value="0"Tie
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%40%11%4%7%2%5
    TechneN/AUK1,63635%39%10%4%6%—6%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,76133%39%10%5%7%4%6
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00035%39%10%5%7%—5%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00036%39%10%4%6%4%3
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,19235%40%9%4%3%3%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00735%37%9%4%7%—2
    DeltapollN/AGB2,00334%40%10%5%5%2%6
    TechneN/AUK1,64136%38%9%4%6%—7%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70033%39%10%4%7%4%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00037%40%10%4%5%2%3
    Survation38 DegreesGB2,03437%40%9%5%5%—3
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,22234%41%9%5%4%3%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65835%37%7%5%8%5%2
    Birmingham Erdington by-election[23]
    TechneN/AUK1,63135%38%10%4%6%—7%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%38%12%5%5%4%3
    Number Cruncher PoliticsITVUK2,00135%42%8%5%6%2%7
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,20834%42%9%4%3%3%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,74134%39%9%5%6%5%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,06834%38%11%4%6%—4
    TechneN/AUK1,63535%39%9%4%6%—7%4
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,00427%46%8%5%7%4%19
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%39%11%5%7%4%6
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,09034%39%12%4%6%2%5
    SurvationN/AUK2,05035%42%9%4%3%2%7
    Savanta ComResThe IndependentUK2,20133%40%11%4%5%3%7
    FindOutNowN/AGB12,70032%38%13%5%7%4%6
    TechneN/AUK1,62534%39%10%4%6%—7%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,72034%38%10%4%6%4%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%38%11%4%6%5%5
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,22632%41%11%4%4%3%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,72034%37%10%5%8%4%3
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,52634%37%11%3%6%—3
    TechneN/AUK1,63133%41%9%4%6%—7%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%42%9%4%6%4%10
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,23233%42%9%4%5%3%9
    DeltapollThe Sun on SundayGB1,58734%41%10%4%5%2%7
    Southend West by-election[24]
    TechneN/AUK1,63132%40%10%4%6%—8%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66132%41%10%5%6%4%9
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00033%40%11%4%6%3%7
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,28333%44%9%4%3%3%11
    TechneN/AUK—31%38%12%4%6%2%7%7
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,64734%39%9%5%5%—5
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,00528%48%7%5%6%4%20
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65632%38%11%5%7%3%6
    DeltapollDaily MirrorGB1,51532%42%10%5%6%1%10
    SurvationDaily MailUK1,11735%40%10%5%3%3%5
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,05931%40%13%4%9%1%9
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00034%41%11%5%5%3%7
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,08634%38%11%5%7%2%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09532%40%11%5%4%3%8
    JL PartnersSunday TimesGB4,56132%42%10%5%7%2%10
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66832%39%8%5%8%4%7
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,01527%45%8%5%7%4%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00030%43%9%4%7%4%13
    Survation38 DegreesUK2,03633%43%10%4%3%2%10
    Savanta ComResN/AGB2,15132%41%11%5%4%3%9
    DeltapollN/AGB4,29232%41%11%5%5%2%9
    Savanta ComResN/AGB2,15132%42%11%4%4%2%10
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68331%39%11%5%6%5%8
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,27131%41%9%4%6%—10
    FindOutNow/Electoral CalculusN/AGB2,12827%41%11%5%8%5%14
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69029%40%11%5%6%6%1%11
    FocaldataN/AGB1,00333%42%11%3%4%3%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66628%38%13%5%7%4%3%10
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%39%12%4%5%4%4
    Savanta ComResN/AGB2,20733%37%11%5%4%4%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,74433%37%10%5%6%5%4
    Opinium [25] The ObserverUK1,32634%39%11%4%5%—5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00035%38%10%5%5%4%3

    2021

    Dates
    conducted    		PollsterClientAreaSample
    size    		Con.Lab.Lib. DemsSNPGreenRef.OthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,56735%40%10%5%4%3%5
    TechneN/AUKTBA32%37%11%4%4%—12%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,21632%39%11%5%6%—7
    FocaldataN/AGB1,00834%41%9%4%4%4%7
    FocaldataThe TimesGB24,37332%40%10%3%7%6%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00031%39%13%5%6%5%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,79030%36%12%6%8%5%6
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09632%37%13%4%5%4%5
    North Shropshire by-election[26]
    Savanta ComResThe Daily ExpressUK2,13934%38%10%5%4%4%4
    FindOutNow/Electoral CalculusThe TelegraphGB1,01730%38%10%2%10%7%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,71432%37%10%5%7%6%5
    Survation38 DegreesUK2,03934%40%8%5%4%2%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00032%37%11%4%7%7%5
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,07434%38%11%3%7%3%4
    YouGovFabian SocietyGB3,38031%38%8%5%8%6%7
    SurvationGMBUK1,21832%39%9%5%5%4%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,74132%40%8%4%7%7%8
    Savanta ComResDaily MailUK2,11833%39%9%5%4%4%6
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,04232%41%9%5%5%—9
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00534%39%11%5%7%2%5
    FocaldataTimes RadioGB1,00133%41%7%5%6%6%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68633%37%9%5%7%6%4
    SurvationDaily MirrorUK1,17834%40%10%4%4%3%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50034%38%11%4%6%5%4
    Partygate scandal begins
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00038%36%9%4%6%4%2
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,23238%37%9%4%5%2%1
    DeltapollN/AGB1,55337%38%10%5%5%2%1
    Old Bexley and Sidcup by-election[27]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70836%33%9%5%9%6%3
    SurvationN/AUK1,06036%39%9%5%3%3%3
    FindOutNowDaily TelegraphGB10,27236%35%11%5%8%3%1
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00038%36%10%4%6%4%2
    Savanta ComResN/AGB2,06037%37%8%5%5%4%data-sort-value="0"Tie
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,99036%38%8%5%6%—2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69236%35%7%5%8%6%1
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,11939%36%10%4%5%2%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00037%37%9%4%6%3%data-sort-value="0"Tie
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,18436%38%10%4%5%3%2
    PanelbaseN/AGB3,88838%39%9%4%6%—1
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,80036%34%7%4%10%5%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00036%37%10%4%5%4%1
    Survation38 DegreesUK3,10837%37%10%5%4%2%data-sort-value="0"Tie
    Savanta ComRes [28] Daily MailUK2,01934%40%10%5%5%3%6
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK1,17536%37%9%5%7%—1
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69635%35%8%5%10%4%data-sort-value="0"Tie
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50036%38%10%4%6%3%2
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,00530%42%6%5%8%5%12
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00037%36%10%5%6%5%1
    FindOutNowDaily TelegraphGB10,70036%35%11%4%8%2%1
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,24238%35%10%5%4%3%3
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,17537%36%9%5%6%—1
    DeltapollN/AGB1,56040%37%8%3%6%2%3
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,00435%41%5%5%7%5%6
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69936%35%8%5%9%5%1
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00735%36%9%5%11%1%1
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%35%10%4%6%3%5
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,24240%35%9%5%4%3%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00140%35%8%5%7%—5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69939%33%8%5%10%3%6
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00039%36%10%4%6%4%3
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09237%35%8%5%7%4%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67737%33%9%5%10%4%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%37%9%4%5%3%3
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,07539%34%8%5%8%2%5
    Number Cruncher PoliticsN/AUK1,00040%32%6%6%9%3%8
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09240%35%8%4%5%3%5
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB3,04338%37%9%4%6%2%1
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00041%37%7%5%5%—4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65941%31%9%4%8%4%10
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK50137%34%7%6%8%4%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%36%9%4%6%4%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,10340%35%8%5%5%2%5
    SurvationSunday MirrorUK1,04039%35%9%4%5%3%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66739%31%9%6%9%4%8
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK1,00734%39%7%5%8%4%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%37%10%4%4%3%3
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09540%35%9%5%4%3%5
    Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay are elected co-leaders of the Green Party of England and Wales[29]
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00439%35%8%6%6%—4
    SurvationN/AUK1,00141%36%8%5%5%—5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,83339%31%8%5%9%4%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%35%10%4%5%3%6
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,08943%30%11%4%6%3%13
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69039%32%10%4%9%3%7
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00839%36%9%6%6%0%3
    SurvationN/AUK1,06040%35%8%4%4%—5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%35%8%4%7%3%6
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,11240%35%9%4%5%2%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00040%37%7%5%6%—3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63539%35%7%5%7%3%4
    PanelbaseN/AGB3,93841%36%10%4%5%—5
    SurvationN/AUK2,16440%36%9%4%5%—4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00039%35%9%4%6%5%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09739%35%9%4%6%3%4
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,05938%38%8%5%6%—data-sort-value="0"Tie
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65733%35%10%5%9%5%2
    FindOutNow (MRP)The Sunday TelegraphGB10,67337%33%12%5%8%4%4
    OmnisisThe Byline TimesUK99334%39%9%5%6%3%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%32%11%4%6%4%9
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,08740%36%9%4%4%3%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65338%34%8%5%10%3%4
    DeltapollThe Sun on SundayGB1,58941%33%9%3%7%3%8
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,01440%35%7%6%6%—5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%33%9%4%5%4%8
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,06240%34%10%4%5%2%6
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70339%31%8%5%9%4%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%33%10%3%6%3%10
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,09437%34%14%4%5%2%3
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,08341%34%9%4%4%2%7
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00339%36%8%6%6%—3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70340%32%9%5%8%3%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%36%10%5%5%3%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,07541%34%9%4%4%2%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,16940%32%9%5%7%2%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%37%9%4%6%3%3
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,11341%30%13%6%8%0%11
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,04741%33%10%4%4%2%8
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00042%35%7%6%5%—7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,73041%33%8%5%7%3%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%34%11%4%6%3%7
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,10040%34%10%4%6%1%6
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63739%34%8%4%9%3%5
    DeltapollN/AGB1,59042%37%6%3%6%2%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%36%9%4%6%4%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,16140%34%10%4%4%2%6
    SurvationN/AUK1,01339%37%10%4%5%—2
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00043%35%8%5%5%—8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66738%34%9%5%8%3%4
    SurvationN/AUK1,03239%35%11%4%5%—4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00042%33%10%4%5%3%9
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,12741%34%8%4%5%2%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,76144%31%8%4%6%3%13
    SurvationN/AUK2,11943%32%9%5%6%—11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%33%12%4%6%3%8
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,05744%31%12%6%4%1%13
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,13740%35%9%4%6%2%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00143%35%6%5%6%—8
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,05442%30%9%5%7%2%12
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,05340%31%13%6%6%0%9
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%34%8%4%6%4%9
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,17641%35%8%3%4%3%6
    PanelbaseSunday TimesGB3,39144%33%10%5%5%—11
    Batley and Spen by-election[30]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,76242%31%10%5%6%3%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%34%9%5%5%3%7
    Savanta ComResN/AGB2,14842%33%9%4%5%2%9
    SurvationN/AUK1,00141%35%10%3%5%—6
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00043%35%7%5%5%—8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,75842%30%9%5%7%4%12
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%33%10%4%4%3%11
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,19144%30%10%4%5%1%14
    DeltapollN/AGB2,34341%35%10%2%5%2%6
    Chesham and Amersham by-election[31]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,64245%31%6%5%7%4%14
    SurvationN/AUK2,02441%33%8%4%7%—9
    Number Cruncher PoliticsN/AUK1,51745%34%5%5%7%3%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%34%9%4%5%2%10
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,10841%34%8%5%6%2%7
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,60846%34%7%2%5%2%12
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00243%34%6%6%7%—9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63044%31%7%5%9%2%13
    SurvationN/AUK2,01742%35%9%4%5%—7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%36%7%5%5%1%7
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,12245%32%8%4%6%2%13
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,08944%32%8%4%5%2%12
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70346%30%6%4%9%2%16
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00244%35%6%5%7%0%9
    SurvationN/AUK1,53341%33%9%4%6%—8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00045%34%8%4%5%3%11
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,18042%32%9%4%5%2%10
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00442%36%6%5%5%1%6
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70543%29%8%5%8%3%14
    Survation [32] Daily MailUK1,01043%33%10%5%5%—10
    Number Cruncher PoliticsN/AUK1,00144%32%7%5%8%2%12
    SurvationN/AUK1,04144%33%8%4%6%—11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%33%10%4%5%3%10
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,21543%34%9%4%4%2%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69946%28%8%5%8%2%18
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00042%33%10%4%6%2%9
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,13143%32%8%4%5%2%11
    FindOutNow (MRP)The Sunday TelegraphGB14,71543%30%11%5%9%2%13
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00444%31%8%5%7%0%13
    Airdrie and Shotts by-election[33]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,64745%30%7%5%8%2%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00045%34%8%4%5%2%11
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,15242%34%8%5%4%2%8
    Local elections in England and Wales, Scottish and Welsh parliament elections, and the Hartlepool by-election[34] [35] [36] [37]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68343%33%7%5%6%3%10
    PanelbaseN/AGB1,00345%36%6%4%5%—9
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%38%7%4%5%3%2
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,24240%36%8%4%4%2%4
    FocaldataThe Sunday TimesGB1,55540%39%6%4%4%3%1
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00142%37%7%5%4%0%5
    Number Cruncher PoliticsN/AUK1,00143%34%5%5%7%2%9
    SurvationDaily MailUK1,07739%38%9%4%6%—1
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,80344%33%7%4%7%3%11
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%34%8%5%4%3%10
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,11541%33%10%5%7%3%8
    BMGThe IndependentGB1,50039%35%9%4%6%3%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,14442%35%8%5%3%2%7
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00044%33%7%6%5%0%11
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,73044%34%5%5%7%2%10
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,09040%37%8%6%5%2%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%34%10%4%4%3%10
    SurvationN/AUK1,00840%34%9%4%7%—6
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09443%34%7%5%4%1%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68943%29%8%5%8%3%14
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%36%7%4%5%3%7
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,17442%35%7%5%4%2%7
    SurvationN/AUK1,00943%35%8%3%4%—8
    Deltapoll [38] The Mail on SundayGB1,60845%36%6%2%4%4%9
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00645%36%6%6%4%0%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70841%34%6%5%6%3%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%34%9%4%5%2%10
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,06542%35%8%4%3%2%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,73642%34%7%5%6%3%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%36%7%4%4%2%8
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,10242%34%9%7%4%2%8
    Deltapoll [39] The Mail on SundayGB1,61044%36%6%2%4%3%8
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,74242%32%8%5%7%3%10
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00241%37%6%6%5%1%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00042%36%9%4%6%2%6
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09842%38%6%4%3%2%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69243%34%5%5%7%3%9
    BMGThe IndependentGB1,49839%37%9%4%6%3%2
    Number Cruncher PoliticsN/AUK1,00142%37%7%5%5%2%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%36%7%4%5%3%7
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,09239%37%8%4%4%3%2
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00143%37%6%5%4%0%6
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00945%38%6%5%5%0%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68042%33%7%4%6%3%9
    SurvationSunday MirrorUK1,03743%33%9%5%5%1%10
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00045%36%7%4%4%3%9
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,12942%36%8%4%4%3%6
    Richard Tice becomes leader of Reform UK[40]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,71545%32%6%5%7%3%13
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50044%38%7%4%3%2%6
    Savanta ComRes [41] N/AUK2,18243%36%7%4%3%3%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63741%36%5%5%7%3%5
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,52742%38%6%2%4%3%4
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00343%36%7%6%4%0%7
    SurvationN/AUK1,00242%34%7%5%6%—8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%37%7%4%5%3%6
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,11440%33%11%4%6%3%7
    Savanta ComRes [42] N/AUK2,18940%38%7%4%3%3%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66340%37%7%5%6%3%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%39%8%5%5%2%2
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,17042%37%7%4%3%2%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00642%37%6%5%5%0%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66041%36%6%5%7%3%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%38%7%5%4%2%5
    Savanta ComRes [43] N/AUK2,11941%37%8%4%4%2%4
    SurvationN/AUK1,00339%33%9%5%7%—6
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,05642%38%7%5%8%0%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,68441%37%6%5%6%3%4
    FindOutNowN/AGB5,00239%38%7%6%6%3%1
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%38%8%5%4%3%2
    Number Cruncher PoliticsITVUK2,00143%37%5%5%5%3%6
    Savanta ComRes [44] N/AUK2,28841%38%6%5%3%2%3
    Opinium [45] The ObserverUK2,00241%38%7%5%4%1%3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,72137%41%6%5%4%3%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00042%37%8%5%4%3%5
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,10040%37%10%4%5%2%3
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,07040%37%8%5%3%2%3
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,63241%39%7%4%3%2%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70339%38%5%5%6%4%1
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%38%8%4%5%2%2
    Savanta ComRes [46] N/AUK1,91439%37%7%5%3%2%2
    Opinium [47] The ObserverUK2,00337%41%6%6%4%—4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70238%39%5%5%6%3%1
    SurvationN/AUK1,03340%38%7%4%5%1%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00041%37%8%5%5%2%4
    Savanta ComRes [48] N/AUK1,55040%37%8%4%4%2%3
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00339%40%6%5%4%—1
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70439%39%6%5%6%3%data-sort-value="0"Tie

    2020

    Dates
    conducted    		PollsterClientAreaSample
    size    		Con.Lab.Lib. DemsSNPGreenBrexitOthersLead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    DeltapollDaily MirrorGB1,60843%38%4%5%5%3%5
    Focaldata (MRP)N/AGB22,18636%38%9%4%7%4%2
    SurvationN/AUK1,01139%38%8%5%4%1%1
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,71337%41%5%5%5%4%4
    Savanta ComRes [49] Daily ExpressUK1,43341%39%8%5%4%2%2
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00139%39%6%5%4%—data-sort-value="0" Tie
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,89839%37%6%5%6%4%2
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,13738%37%10%5%3%3%1
    Savanta ComRes [50] N/AUK1,29538%37%8%5%5%4%1
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,02741%41%6%5%5%0%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    SurvationN/AUK3,45239%37%8%5%5%1%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69937%37%8%5%6%5%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK6,94940%38%6%5%4%0%2
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00238%40%6%6%3%—2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70638%38%6%5%5%3%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00040%37%9%5%6%—3
    Savanta ComRes [51] N/AUK1,42839%38%8%5%3%3%1
    DeltapollDaily MailGB1,52537%38%9%4%4%3%1
    Number Cruncher PoliticsN/AGB1,00139%37%7%5%5%4%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69637%40%5%6%5%5%3
    Savanta ComRes [52] N/AUK1,27239%37%7%5%4%3%2
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00141%38%6%6%4%—3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50040%39%8%5%4%—1
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70038%37%7%6%6%4%1
    Savanta ComRes [53] N/AUK2,07541%38%5%5%4%2%3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63238%40%5%5%5%4%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50040%40%7%5%5%—data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Savanta ComRes [54] N/AUK2,13040%36%8%5%5%2%4
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,14140%36%8%5%5%2%4
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00338%42%7%5%3%—4
    SurvationN/AUK1,03439%37%9%5%4%2%2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66535%40%7%5%4%6%5
    Savanta ComRes [55] N/AUK2,12640%40%7%5%3%2%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65838%38%6%5%5%4%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB3,00039%41%7%4%4%—2
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00737%42%8%6%5%1%5
    Savanta ComRes [56] N/AUK2,11142%39%7%4%3%2%3
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,58942%39%7%3%3%3%3
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00238%40%6%5%5%—2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66540%39%7%5%5%3%1
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB3,00040%40%7%5%4%—data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,27442%36%8%4%3%2%6
    Number Cruncher PoliticsPestonGB2,08841%38%5%5%6%4%3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67539%38%6%5%6%5%1
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,12339%39%7%5%4%3%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00140%40%6%6%3%—data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB3,00041%39%8%4%4%—2
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,67341%38%5%5%6%3%3
    SurvationN/AUK1,02241%37%7%4%4%1%4
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,08142%39%7%4%3%2%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB4,00039%39%8%5%5%—data-sort-value="0" Tie
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,70039%39%6%5%5%4%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,11241%38%8%5%3%2%3
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,58342%38%6%5%4%3%4
    OpiniumThe ObserverUK2,00239%42%5%6%4%—3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,62341%38%6%4%5%3%3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50040%40%7%4%5%—data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,12540%38%9%4%4%3%2
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,10940%37%8%5%3%3%3
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,01340%37%8%7%5%0%3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,61840%40%6%4%5%3%data-sort-value="0" Tie
    SurvationN/AUK1,00340%38%7%5%4%1%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50041%39%8%5%5%—2
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00142%39%6%5%4%—3
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,61542%37%6%5%4%3%5
    Number Cruncher PoliticsBloombergGB1,00142%38%6%5%5%2%4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63343%37%6%6%4%3%6
    SurvationN/AUK1,04740%38%8%5%4%1%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,50043%37%8%4%4%—6
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00240%40%6%5%3%—data-sort-value="0" Tie
    Ed Davey is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats[57]
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66943%36%6%5%4%3%7
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00042%37%9%4%5%—5
    SurvationN/AUK1,00541%37%9%5%4%1%4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%37%7%4%4%—7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65240%38%6%5%6%4%2
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,08342%37%7%4%3%2%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00542%39%5%5%3%—3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%36%9%4%4%—7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63444%35%5%6%5%3%9
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,16142%35%8%6%3%3%7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,60642%36%8%5%5%2%6
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,01945%37%6%5%5%1%8
    SurvationN/AUK1,01944%35%8%4%5%0%9
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,62343%35%6%5%5%3%8
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00241%38%6%6%4%—3
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%38%7%4%4%—5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00242%38%6%5%4%—4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,64844%35%7%5%4%3%9
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%36%8%4%5%—8
    Savanta ComResN/AUK2,08543%37%6%5%2%2%6
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00344%36%6%6%4%—8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%37%8%4%4%—7
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,13145%35%9%5%2%2%10
    SurvationN/AUK2,02242%36%8%4%5%1%6
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00242%38%6%6%4%—4
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,54144%38%7%3%3%3%6
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,61446%36%6%5%3%2%10
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00044%39%7%4%4%—5
    SurvationN/AUK1,01244%37%7%4%4%0%7
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,54941%36%7%3%5%4%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00241%37%8%5%4%—4
    Redfield & WiltonElection Maps UKGB2,00042%38%8%4%5%—4
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,62645%37%5%5%4%2%8
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00143%39%6%5%4%—4
    Redfield & WiltonElection Maps UKGB2,00044%38%7%4%4%—6
    SurvationN/AUK2,00343%36%8%5%4%0%7
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00144%40%5%5%3%—4
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB2,00043%38%8%4%4%—5
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,12443%35%8%5%4%2%8
    Savanta ComResThe Daily TelegraphUK2,10640%36%9%5%3%3%4
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00144%39%6%5%2%—5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69345%37%6%5%4%2%8
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50041%39%9%5%4%—2
    SurvationN/AUK1,06242%36%8%5%4%1%6
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,05943%38%10%4%1%3%5
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00243%40%6%5%3%—3
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,54741%38%8%2%4%3%3
    SurvationN/AUK1,01841%39%7%4%4%1%2
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50043%36%9%4%5%—7
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,65045%35%6%5%5%2%10
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,01243%39%6%5%3%—4
    DeltapollThe Mail on SundayGB1,55743%38%8%3%4%2%5
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50043%37%9%5%3%—6
    YouGovDatapraxisEUGB2,02943%38%6%5%4%3%5
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,62944%38%6%5%4%2%6
    SurvationN/AUK1,04046%33%8%5%4%0%13
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00847%35%6%5%3%—12
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,71848%33%6%5%5%2%15
    Savanta ComRes [58] N/AGB2,07946%33%7%4%4%2%13
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50047%35%9%4%3%—12
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,06249%34%6%5%3%—15
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,13051%32%7%5%2%2%19
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,05349%33%6%5%5%0%16
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50050%31%7%4%5%—19
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,66750%30%7%4%5%3%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,07251%33%6%5%3%0%18
    SurvationN/AUK1,02348%31%8%4%5%1%17
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50050%33%7%5%4%—17
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00050%33%7%5%3%0%17
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,11854%28%9%4%4%1%26
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50052%31%8%4%3%—21
    YouGovThe TimesGB2,01553%32%5%4%3%1%21
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00051%32%6%5%3%0%19
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00555%29%5%5%4%0%26
    BMGThe IndependentGB1,54146%29%10%3%6%2%17
    Keir Starmer is elected leader of the Labour Party[59]
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00053%30%7%5%3%0%23
    Redfield & WiltonN/AUK2,00049%29%8%4%4%—20
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,63152%28%8%5%5%1%24
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00654%28%6%5%3%0%26
    Number Cruncher PoliticsBloombergGB1,01054%28%7%4%4%2%26
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,50047%29%8%5%5%—18
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00551%31%7%5%3%0%20
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00352%30%9%4%4%0%22
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB2,00549%32%6%5%5%0%17
    Kantar PublicN/AGB1,17150%29%11%4%1%2%21
    BMGThe IndependentGB1,49845%28%11%3%6%3%17
    Savanta ComResSunday ExpressGB2,00547%31%9%4%4%3%16
    Opinium [60] The ObserverGB2,00747%32%7%6%4%2%15
    Redfield & WiltonN/AGB1,21649%31%9%4%4%—18
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,69448%28%10%4%6%2%20
    BMGThe IndependentGB1,50341%29%11%5%8%3%12
    IpsosEvening StandardGB1,00147%30%11%4%5%1%17
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,57549%30%8%4%5%2%19
    SurvationN/AUK1,01544%33%10%5%3%3%11
    YouGovThe TimesGB1,62849%29%10%5%4%2%20
    OpiniumThe ObserverGB1,97847%30%9%5%4%3%17
    BMGThe IndependentGB1,50844%29%11%3%5%4%15
    2019 general electionUK—43.6%32.1%11.6%3.9%2.7%2.0%3.7%11.5
    GB44.7%32.9%11.8%4.0%2.8%2.1%2.2%11.8

    Non-geographical samples

    The following polls sampled subsets of voters according to particular characteristics from across the UK or Great Britain.

    Ethnic minority voters

    Dates
    conducted    		PollsterClientAreadata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size    		Lab.Con.Lib. DemsSNPGreenRef.Othersdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election (Ipsos)[61] [62] GBN/A46%17%8%1%11%3%13%29
    YouGovSky NewsGB1,00153%14%6%0%7%14%39
    Number Cruncher PoliticsITVN/A1,00159%21%8%2%2%2%38
    Number Cruncher PoliticsITVN/A50151%28%7%3%2%9%23
    Number Cruncher PoliticsITVN/A1,00058%22%6%2%3%8%36
    Number Cruncher PoliticsITVUK1,00060%22%5%3%2%5%38
    2019 general election (Ipsos MORI)[63] GB27,59164%20%12%2%1%-1%44

    Muslim voters

    Dates
    conducted    		PollsterClientAreadata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size    		Lab.Con.Lib. DemsSNPGreenOthersdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    More in CommonCommunity Exchange HubGB1,41757%7%6%1%10%47
    SavantaHyphenUK2,86263%12%12%1%7%51
    JL PartnersHenry Jackson SocietyUK1,00061%12%9%1%9%5%49
    SurvationLabour Muslim NetworkUK68360%8%9%4%14%5%46
    SavantaN/AUK1,02364%19%9%1%5%45
    rowspan="4" style="background:#e9e9e9;"
    2019 election (JL Partners)UK1,00072%17%7%0%3%0%55
    2019 election (Survation)UK50486%9%1%1%3%0%77
    2019 election (Savanta)UK1,02367%25%5%1%—1%42

    Jewish voters

    Dates
    conducted    		PollsterClientAreadata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size    		Con.Lab.Ref.Lib. DemsOthersdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    SurvationJewish ChronicleUK50442%33%11%7%7%9

    Private renter voters

    Dates
    conducted    		PollsterClientAreadata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size    		Lab.Con.Lib. DemsGreenRef.Othersdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election (Ipsos)GBN/A40%19%16%12%12%21
    Survation38 DegreesUK2,00949%23%9%8%10%1%26
    2019 election (Ipsos)UKN/A46%31%11%–—12%15

    Young voters

    Savanta published polls of voters aged between 18 and 25. The 2019 result comes from the British Election Study's estimate of voters aged 18 to 24 and the 2024 result comes from Ipsos' estimate of voters among the same age group.

    Dates
    conducted    		PollsterClientAreadata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size    		Lab.Con.Lib. DemsSNPGreenRef.Othersdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    2024 general election (Ipsos)GBN/A41%5%16%5%19%8%5%22
    SavantaITV PestonUK1,24353%11%12%3%10%7%5%41
    SavantaITV PestonUK1,23261%14%10%2%7%3%4%47
    SavantaITV PestonUK1,02356%15%16%3%5%1%4%40
    SavantaITV PestonUK1,02362%15%9%3%7%-6%47
    2019 general election (British Election Study)[64] GBN/A52%28%11%9%24

    16–17 year olds

    JL Partners polled a sample of 16 and 17 year olds. The voting age in UK elections is 18, therefore none of the individuals polled had the legal right to vote. However, there was an active debate during the campaign on lowering the minimum voting age, and Labour included the policy in their manifesto.[65] [66] [67] [68] [69]

    Dates
    conducted    		PollsterClientAreadata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size    		Lab.Con.Lib. DemsGreenRef.Othersdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    JL PartnersThe SunUK20139%5%9%18%23%5%16

    GB News viewers

    Dates
    conducted    		PollsterClientAreadata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Sample
    size    		Con.Lab.Lib. DemsSNPGreenRef.Othersdata-sort-type="number" rowspan="2"Lead
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    JL PartnersGB NewsGB52024%38%8%2%3%25%0%13
    JL PartnersGB NewsGB530%%%%%%%21
    JL PartnersGB NewsGB518%%%%%%%11

    Seat projections

    The general election was contested under the first-past the post electoral system in 650 constituencies. 326 seats were needed for a parliamentary majority.

    Most polls were reported in terms of the overall popular vote share, and the pollsters did not typically project how these shares would equate to numbers of seats in the House of Commons.

    Projections from aggregators

    Various models existed which continually projected election outcomes for the seats in Britain based on the aggregate of polling data. Final predictions of some notable models are tabulated below.

    Organisation! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"
    Con.Lab.SNPLib. DemsPlaid CymruGreenRef.OthersMajority
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    Britain Predicts/New Statesman11441823633461Lab. 186
    The Economist11042920503131Lab. 208
    ElectionMapsUK10143219684431Lab. 214
    Electoral Calculus7845319673372Lab. 256

    MRP and SRP polls

    Multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) was used by YouGov to predict outcomes for the 2017 and 2019 elections.[70] [71] Multiple polling companies conducted such polling and modelling for the 2024 election, these are tabulated below. Also included is a stacked regression with poststratification (SRP) poll produced by J.L. Partners, the first time such a method has been used for a UK election.[72] All of these polls use sample sizes substantially larger than typical national polls.

    These polls were of Britain only, though the reporting of some results include the 18 Northern Irish seats under "Others". Polling companies also differ in their handling of the Speaker's seat, considering it variously as Labour, "Other", or omitting it from the results. Negative values in the rightmost "majority" column below indicate that the party with the most seats would have a plurality of seats, but would not have a majority. The overall vote share values for these polls, where reported, are also included in the tables above.

    Dates
    conducted    		PollsterClientSample
    size    		AreaConLabSNPLib DemsPlaid CymruGreenReformOthersMajority
    data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;" data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
    4 Jul 20242024 general election––UK12141297244523Lab. 174
    data-sort-value="2024-07-03" 15 Jun – 3 Jul 2024Survation (MRP)N/A36,177GB64475136043130Lab. 318
    data-sort-value="2024-07-03" 28 Jun – 2 Jul 2024Techne (MRP)The Independent5,503GB82461195503723Lab. 272
    data-sort-value="2024-07-02" 19 Jun – 2 Jul 2024YouGov (MRP)Sky News47,751GB10243118723230Lab. 212
    data-sort-value="2024-07-101 24 Jun – 1 Jul 2024More in Common (MRP)The News Agents13,556GB12643016522122Lab. 210
    data-sort-value="2024-07-02" 15 Jun–1 Jul 2024Survation (MRP)N/A34,558GB6448410613370Lab. 318
    data-sort-value="2024-07-01" 10 Jun – 1 Jul 2024Focaldata (MRP)N/A36,726GB108444155721219Lab. 238
    data-sort-value="2024-06-28" 15–27 Jun 2024Survation (MRP)N/A23,364GB8547012563240Lab. 290
    data-sort-value="2024-06-25" 7–25 Jun 2024JL Partners (SRP)The Sunday Times13,584GB105450155531219Lab. 250
    data-sort-value="2024-06-24" 14–24 Jun 2024Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)Daily Mirror19,993GB60450247144181Lab. 250
    data-sort-value="2024-06-21" 30 May – 21 Jun 2024We Think (MRP)The Economist18,595GB76465295233319Lab. 280
    Focaldata (MRP)N/A24,536GB110450165021119Lab. 250
    data-sort-value="2024-06-18" 11–18 Jun 2024YouGov (MRP)Sky News39,979GB10842520674250Lab. 200
    data-sort-value="2024-06-18" 7–18 Jun 2024Savanta (MRP)The Telegraph17,812GB535168504000Lab. 382
    data-sort-value="2024-06-18" 22 May – 17 Jun 2024More in Common (MRP)The News Agents10,850GB15540618492100Lab. 162
    data-sort-value="2024-06-18" 7–12 Jun 2024Ipsos (MRP)N/A19,689GB11545315384330Lab. 256
    Survation (MRP)Best for Britain42,269GB7245637562170Lab. 262
    Nigel Farage becomes leader of Reform UK
    Survation (MRP)Best for Britain30,044GB7148726432030Lab. 324
    YouGov (MRP)Sky News58,875GB14042217482200Lab. 194
    data-sort-value="2024-05-29" 9 Apr – 29 May 2024More in Common (MRP)N/A15,000GB18038235303100Lab. 114
    20–27 May 2024Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP – with tactical voting)Daily Mail/GB News10,390GB6647626593200Lab. 302
    -->Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP – without tactical voting)7249322394200Lab. 336
    Rishi Sunak announces that a general election will be held on 4 July 2024
    John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland
    Local elections in England and Wales and the Blackpool South by-election
    YouGov (MRP)N/A18,761GB15540319494100Lab. 156
    Survation (MRP)Best for Britain15,029GB9846841222000Lab. 286
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The Mirror18,151GB8045240534201Lab. 254
    YouGov (MRP)Conservative Britain Alliance[73] 14,110GB16938525483100Lab. 120
    Survation (MRP)Greenpeace20,205GB14242636252123Lab. 202
    Stonehaven (MRP)N/A2,000GB1963722536–105Lab. 90
    Find Out Now/Electoral CalculusChannel 411,000GB9046138374101Lab. 272
    BestForBritain/FocaldataN/A10,102GB1294702625Lab. 290
    Local Elections in England
    Humza Yousaf becomes leader of the SNP and then First Minister of Scotland
    Survation (MRP)38 Degrees6,434GB1004754552221Lab. 318
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The Daily Telegraph28,000GB4550950234100Lab. 368
    Savanta/Electoral Calculus (MRP)N/A6,237GB6948255214100Lab. 314
    Focaldata/Best for Britain (MRP)N/A12,010GB6451838120000Lab. 404
    Rishi Sunak becomes leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister
    Liz Truss announces her resignation as leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister
    Opinium (MRP)Trades Union Congress10,495GB13841237395100Lab. 172
    FindOutNow/Electoral Calculus (MRP)Channel 4 News10,435GB17438151214100Lab. 112
    Savanta ComRes/Electoral Calculus (MRP)LabourList6,226GB21135348153100Lab. 56
    Liz Truss becomes leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister
    Boris Johnson announces his resignation as leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister
    Local elections in England, Scotland and Wales, and the Northern Ireland Assembly election
    Focaldata (MRP)Best for Britain10,010GB23033653841018Lab. 22
    Survation (MRP)38 Degrees8,002GB2732935473101Lab. –64
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)N/A12,700GB2433085916510N/ALab. –34
    JL Partners Polls (MRP)Sunday Times4,561GB2013525816410N/ALab. 54
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The Daily Telegraph10,994GB249311598510N/ALab. –28
    Focaldata (MRP)The Times24,373GB2373384811110N/ALab. 26
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The Daily Telegraph10,272GB288271598510N/ACon. –74
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The Daily Telegraph10,763GB3012575810510N/ACon. –48
    Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay are elected co-leaders of the Green Party of England and Wales
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The Daily Telegraph10,673GB3112445912510N/ACon. –28
    Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)The Sunday Telegraph14,715GB386172589520N/ACon. 122
    Local elections in England and Wales, Scottish and Welsh parliament elections, and the Hartlepool by-election
    Richard Tice becomes leader of Reform UK
    Focaldata (MRP)Best for Britain22,186GB28428257225Con –82
    Ed Davey is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats
    Keir Starmer is elected leader of the Labour Party
    2019 general election–UK365202481141019Con. 80

    Exit poll

    An exit poll conducted by Ipsos for the BBC, ITV, and Sky News was published at the end of voting at 22:00, predicting the number of seats for each party.[74]

    PartiesSeatsChange
    Labour Party410 209
    Conservative Party131 241
    Liberal Democrats61 53
    Reform UK13 13
    Scottish National Party10 38
    Plaid Cymru4 2
    Green Party2 1
    Others19 1
    Labour majority of 170
    The extent of Labour's victory was projected to be slightly less than seen in the last week of opinion polls, though still a substantial landslide. The exit poll ended up being close to the actual results, apart from the Reform figure which was slightly overestimated.

    BBC updated forecasts

    Throughout the night and into the early hours of 5 July, BBC News updated their forecast, combining the exit poll with the results coming in.[75] [76] [77]

    PartiesFirst forecast
    		Second forecast
    		Third forecast
    SeatsChangeSeatsChangeSeatsChange
    Labour Party405 204408 207413 212
    Conservative Party154 218136 236122 250
    Liberal Democrats56 4866 5871 63
    Scottish National Party6 428 4010 38
    Plaid Cymru4 24 24 2
    Reform UK4 44 44 4
    Green Party2 12 14 3
    Others19 122 422 4
    Projected resultLabour majority of 160Labour majority of 166Labour majority of 176

    See also

    Notes and References

    1. Web site: 22 May 2024 . Rishi Sunak announces 4 July general election . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20240608214915/https://www.bbc.com/news/live/uk-politics-69042935 . 8 June 2024 . 22 May 2024 . BBC News.
    2. Jane Bainbridge, "ComRes Sold To Savanta", Research Live, 1 August 2019. Retrieved 13 January 2024.
    3. Web site: ComRes rebrands to Savanta ComRes News . 2024-07-05 . Research Live . en . 17 June 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240617125425/https://www.research-live.com/article/news/comres-rebrands-to-savanta-comres/id/5061492 . live .
    4. Katie McQuater, "Savanta Drops ComRes, MSI, Youthsight and Mindspark Brand Names", Research Live, 1 December 2022. Retrieved 13 January 2024.
    5. Mike Underwood, "Visit WeThink — the new home for polling by the team at Omnisis", Omnisis, 30 August 2023. Retrieved 13 January 2024.
    6. Web site: Panelbase Message . 2024-02-01 . www.panelbase.net . 1 February 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240201095106/https://www.panelbase.net/norstatfaqs . live .
    7. Web site: Kantar Public rebrands globally to become Verian . 2024-06-20 . www.veriangroup.com . en . 28 February 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240228054651/https://www.veriangroup.com/press-release/kantar-public-rebrands-globally-to-become-verian . live .
    8. News: Vincent . Jonathan . Why did the pollsters overestimate Labour's vote? . 9 July 2024 . Financial Times . 9 July 2024 . 9 July 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240709125147/https://www.ft.com/content/ed2513a0-435d-4e44-a912-9fd15b94ab7a . live .
    9. News: Northern Ireland local election results 2023 . 19 May 2023 . BBC News . en . 18 May 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20230518115438/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2023/northern-ireland/results . live .
    10. News: England local election results 2023 . 5 May 2023 . 4 May 2023 . BBC News . en . 4 May 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20230504064154/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2023/england/results . live .
    11. News: West Lancashire: Tories out of road, say Labour after by-election win. 10 February 2023. 11 February 2023. BBC News. en. 10 February 2023. https://web.archive.org/web/20230210192234/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-lancashire-64570223. live.
    12. News: Faye Brown . Labour holds seat in Stretford and Urmston by-election . 16 December 2022 . 16 December 2022 . Sky News . en . 16 December 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20221216030915/https://news.sky.com/story/labour-holds-seat-in-stretford-and-urmston-by-election-12768825 . live .
    13. Web site: Chester by-election: Labour hold seat in Rishi Sunak's first electoral test. BBC News. 2 December 2022. 16 December 2022. 23 May 2024. https://web.archive.org/web/20240523005514/https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-63825130. live.
    14. News: Nevett . Joshua . 25 October 2022 . Rishi Sunak calls for stability and unity as he wins contest to be PM . BBC News . 27 October 2022 . 25 October 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20221025133419/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-63375281 . live .
    15. News: 5 September 2022 . How Liz Truss won the Conservative leadership race . BBC News . 8 October 2022 . 5 September 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220905091715/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-60037657 . live .
    16. Web site: Archived copy . 11 July 2022 . 12 July 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220712071841/https://2sjjwunnql41ia7ki31qqub1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/Omni_vi_W117_Post_Private.xlsx . dead .
    17. News: 23 June 2022. Tiverton and Honiton by-election: Lib Dems take seat. BBC News. 6 July 2022. 6 July 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220706174914/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-devon-61918899. live.
    18. News: 5 May 2022. Wakefield by-election: Labour win a great result, says Keir Starmer. BBC News. 6 July 2022. 6 July 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220706190533/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-leeds-61896693. live.
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    20. Web site: Archived copy . 1 June 2022 . 31 May 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220531124808/https://2sjjwunnql41ia7ki31qqub1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Omni_W112_VI_Post_Tables_20220530_Private.xlsx . dead .
    21. News: 5 May 2022. England Local Elections 2022. BBC News. 6 July 2022. 20 July 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220720140903/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2022/england/results. live.
    22. News: 5 May 2022. Northern Ireland Assembly Election Results 2022. BBC News. 6 July 2022. 20 July 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220720102719/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2022/northern-ireland/results. live.
    23. News: 3 March 2022. Birmingham Erdington by-election: Starmer hails new MP as 'champion of working people'. BBC News. 6 July 2022. 6 July 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220706174913/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-birmingham-60613453. live.
    24. News: 3 February 2022. Southend West by-election: Anna Firth wins seat for Tories. BBC News. 6 July 2022. 4 February 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220204013059/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-essex-60254176. live.
    25. Web site: Archived copy . 8 January 2022 . 8 January 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220108211249/https://www.opinium.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/VI-2022-01-05-Observer-Tables-FINAL.xlsx . bot: unknown .
    26. News: 17 December 2021. Tories lose North Shropshire seat they held for nearly 200 years. BBC News. 18 December 2021. 17 December 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20211217084843/http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-shropshire-59693102. live.
    27. News: 3 December 2021. Old Bexley and Sidcup: Tories hold safe London seat at by-election. BBC News. 18 December 2021. 18 December 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20211218191140/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-59505204. live.
    28. Web site: Archived copy . 13 November 2021 . 24 January 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220124231727/https://2sjjwunnql41ia7ki31qqub1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/P018868_Final_weight_20211112_v1_Private.xlsx . dead .
    29. News: 1 October 2021. Green Party's new leadership team to focus on power not protests. BBC News. 1 October 2021. 1 October 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20211001094257/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-58761003. live.
    30. News: 2 July 2021. Batley and Spen: Labour hold seat in by-election. en-GB. BBC News. 2 July 2021. 2 July 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210702042715/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-57691543. live.
    31. News: 18 June 2021. Chesham and Amersham by-election won by Lib Dems. en-GB. BBC News. 18 June 2021. 18 June 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210618151428/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-beds-bucks-herts-57472032. live.
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    34. News: England local elections 2021 – BBC News. 15 May 2021. BBC News. en-GB. 26 November 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20211126224116/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/topics/c481drqqzv7t/england-local-elections-2021. live.
    35. News: Scottish Parliament election 2021. 15 May 2021. BBC News. en-GB. 11 October 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20211011204736/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/topics/c37d28xdn99t/scottish-parliament-election-2021. live.
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    37. News: 7 May 2021. Elections 2021: Conservatives hail historic Labour defeat in Hartlepool by-election. en-GB. BBC News. 15 May 2021. 10 May 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210510231118/https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-57019456. live.
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    39. Web site: Latest Voting Intention (27th March 2021) | Deltapoll . 27 March 2021 . 28 March 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210328010009/http://www.deltapoll.co.uk/polls/voting-intention-210327 . dead .
    40. News: 6 March 2021. Nigel Farage: Brexit-backing politician to quit as leader of Reform UK. en-GB. BBC News. 8 March 2021. 7 March 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210307103528/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-56311599. live.
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    43. Web site: Archived copy . 15 February 2021 . 16 February 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210216105303/https://2sjjwunnql41ia7ki31qqub1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Final_VI_20210209_Private.pdf . dead .
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    57. News: 27 August 2020. Davey wins Liberal Democrat leadership race. en-GB. BBC News. 29 August 2020. 27 August 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200827133317/https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-53933470. live.
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    59. News: 4 April 2020. Labour leadership winner: Sir Keir Starmer. en-GB. BBC News. 4 April 2020. 7 April 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200407101148/https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-51049756. live.
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    61. Web site: How Britain voted in the 2024 election . Ipsos . 2024-07-26 . 2024-10-18 . www.ipsos.com.
    62. Web site: How Britain voted in 2024. 2024-07-26 . Ipsos . XLSX.
    63. News: How Britain voted in the 2019 election . 20 December 2019 . Ipsos MORI . 5 February 2021 . 15 February 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20200215183515/https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/how-britain-voted-2019-election . live.
    64. Web site: Age and voting behaviour at the 2019 General Election – The British Election Study . 2023-05-07 . www.britishelectionstudy.com . 23 May 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240523012125/https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/bes-findings/age-and-voting-behaviour-at-the-2019-general-election/ . live .
    65. Web site: Should 16- year-olds be allowed to vote in the general election? Join The Independent Debate . . 4 June 2024 . 2024-07-02 . live . 27 June 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240627135255/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/voting-age-uk-16-keir-starmer-b2555856.html .
    66. Web site: The case for lowering the voting age to 16 . 2024-07-02 . live . 7 June 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240607120258/https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/the-case-for-lowering-the-voting-age-to-16/ .
    67. Web site: POLL: Should 16 year olds be allowed to vote in the UK? . 28 May 2024 . 2024-07-02 . live . 29 May 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240529055025/https://www.bridgwatermercury.co.uk/news/24351204.poll-16-year-olds-allowed-vote-uk/ .
    68. Web site: Lowering the voting age is important, youth says . 14 June 2024 . 2024-07-02 . live . 17 June 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240617124520/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9007edn144o .
    69. Web site: Shocking news: Daily Mail says public opposes Labour's votes-at-16 policy – here's why Starmer won't flinch . 7 June 2024 . 2024-07-02 . live . 9 June 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240609184553/https://www.qmul.ac.uk/media/news/2024/hss/shocking-news-daily-mail-says-public-opposes-labours-votes-at-16-policy--heres-why-starmer-wont-flinch.html .
    70. News: Cohen . Daniel . 'I've never known voters be so promiscuous': the pollsters working to predict the next UK election . 31 October 2019 . The Guardian . 27 September 2019 . 11 September 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240911131900/https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/sep/27/voters-so-promiscuous-the-pollsters-working-to-predict-next-election . live .
    71. Web site: YouGov UK General Election MRP Estimates – February 2019. YouGov. 11 February 2019. 22 May 2019. https://web.archive.org/web/20190212090317/https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/416n3133f2/YouGov%20Feb%202019%20voting%20intention%20MRP.pdf. 12 February 2019. live.
    72. Web site: First J.L. Partners SRP Model Shows Labour On Course For A Landslide . J.L. Partners . 30 June 2024 . 30 June 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240630165135/https://jlpartners.co.uk/first-jl-partners-srp-model-shows-labour-on-course-for-a-landslide?s=09/ . live .
    73. News: Tories facing 1997-style wipeout . Rayner . Gordon . 2024-01-15 . The Telegraph . 1 . The poll was commissioned by a group of Conservative donors called the Conservative Britain Alliance and carried out by Yougov, working with Lord Frost..
    74. Web site: Wheeler . Brian . 4 July 2024 . Starmer set to be PM as Tories face worst defeat - exit poll . 4 July 2024 . BBC News . en-GB . 4 July 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240704210119/https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd1xnzlzz99o . live .
    75. BBC UK General Election 2024 Part 1 9:55pm to 2am 4th July 2024 . 2024-07-05 . Political TV . 2024-08-26 . YouTube . 26 August 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240826023815/https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=4X13jmmsqBI . live .
    76. BBC UK General Election 2024 Part 2 2am to 6am 5th July 2024 . 2024-07-05 . Political TV . 2024-08-26 . YouTube . 26 August 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240826023815/https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=JktYCuYybLI . live .
    77. BBC UK General Election 2024 Part 3 6am to 8am 5th July 2024 . 2024-07-05 . Political TV . 2024-08-26 . YouTube . 26 August 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240826023816/https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=u8c_zCN8Xnk . live .

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