Next Croatian parliamentary election explained

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Croatia by 2028.

Electoral system

See main article: Elections in Croatia.

The 151 members of the Croatian Parliament are elected from ten geographical and two special constituencies.^[1] 140 seats are elected from ten 14-seat constituencies (1st–10th constituencies) by open list proportional representation using a 5% electoral threshold, with seats allocated using the d'Hondt method. Voters can give their "preference vote" to a single candidate on the list, but only candidates who have received at least 10% of the party's votes take precedence over the other candidates on the list.^[2] A further three seats are elected in a special electoral district (11th constituency) for Croatian citizens living abroad

Eight seats are elected from a constituency for national minorities (12th constituency), with three seats for Serbs and one each for Italians, Hungarian, Czechs and Slovaks, Albanians/Bosniaks/Macedonians/Montenegrins/Slovenes and Austrians/Bulgarians/Germans/Jews/Poles/Roma/Romanians/Rusyns/Russians/Turks/Ukrainians/Vlachs. Voters with the right to vote in the 12th constituency can choose to either vote for a candidate list on the ballot in the district they belong to according to their place of residence (one of the ten geographical districts) or for a candidate of their minority in the 12th constituency.^[3]

Candidate lists may be proposed independently by one political party or by two or more political parties (coalition list) which are registered in Croatia on the day the decision to call the elections is announced, or by voters. Voters can propose independent candidate lists by collecting 500 signatures of residents of the constituency the list is running in.^[4]

Opinion polls

Surveys in Croatia are conducted by specialized companies in the field of public opinion polls, and their results are published in cooperation with national television or newspapers. The media that publish the results are listed in the table below according to which TV show they publish the results, with which poll company they cooperate, the size of the poll, the number of polls conducted so far and the time of publication of the results.

Media	Presentation of the results	Polling firm	Poll size	Conducted polls	Time of publication of polls
HRT	Dnevnik 2 at 19:00	Promocija plus	1,100-1,400	1	20th of the month (except in April 2022)
RTL	RTL Danas at 18:30		1,300	7	Between 4th and 10th of the month, usually on Sunday
Nova TV	Dnevnik Nove TV at 19:15	Ipsos	980–1,000	7	Between 23rd and 26th of the month
Večernji list	Internet publication	2x1 komunikacije	1,041	4	Between 24th and 30th of the month

Poll results published by major media are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date of publication, name of polling firm with a link to the page of results and poll size. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then all tied parties cells would be shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party or the support percentage is less than 1.0%, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown with a dash. Table also include other elections that are held between two parliamentary elections.

Publication date	Polling firm	Votes	HDZ	SDP	DP	PiP	Možemo	Most	HS	Fokus	IDS	NPS	RF	Centar	HSS	HSU	HNS	Others	Undecided	Lead
				data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
25 Nov 2024	IPSOS PULS	986	29.4	21.5	4.9	-	10.7	7.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	11.6	7.9
20 Nov 2024	Promocija plus	1,000	26.8	22.8	3.0	0.6	8.9	6.5	0.6	0.9	1.5	0.8	1.1	1.9	1.5	1.0	1.0	-	17.9	4.0
10 Nov 2024	Promocija plus	1,300	26.7	22.2	3.5	0.6	9.0	6.4	0.6	1.1	1.3	0.8	1.1	1.9	1.0	1.1	1.1	-	17.8	4.5
25 Oct 2024	IPSOS	980	29.8	21.6	3.0	-	9.4	7.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	16.8	8.2
20 Oct 2024	Promocija plus	1,300	27.5	22.5	3.1	0.6	8.7	6.1	0.6	0.7	1.4	0.9	0.8	1.7	1.0	0.8	0.9	-	17.2	5.0
6 Oct 2024	Promocija plus	1,300	26.9	21.6	4.5	-	8.6	6.1	-	-	1.7	-	1.6	1.1	-	1.1	-	-	17.4	5.3
1 Oct 2024	2x1 komunikacije	1,041	30.1	20.9	4.9	-	7.1	6.2	1.2	-	1.8	-	-	2.0	-	1.8	-	4.8	17.5	9.2
25 Sep 2024	Ipsos	991	30.3	20.4	5.4	-	10.4	6.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	14.5	9.9
8 Sep 2024	Promocija Plus	1,300	27.3	21.2	4.6	-	8.4	7.0	0.9	1.0	1.3	0.6	0.8	1.3	1.1	0.8	1.0	-	17.4	6.1
29 Aug 2024	2x1 komunikacije	984	30.3	20.8	7.0	-	6.9	6.2	1.2	0.9	1.8	-	-	2.0	-	1.4	-	-	17.7	9.5
23 Aug 2024	Ipsos	984	29.9	19.6	6.4	-	10.2	7.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	13.1	10.3
4 Aug 2024	Promocija plus	1,300	28.5	22.2	6.7	1.0	9.1	6.0	0.7	1.0	1.5	-	1.2	0.8	0.9	0.5	0.6	-	15.7	6.3
31 Jul 2024	2x1 komunikacije	1,041	30.3	20.6	7.5	-	7.1	6.0	1.1	1.4	1.6	-	-	2.1	-	1.4	-	-	18.1	9.7
25 Jul 2024	Ipsos	984	30.2	19.0	7.5	-	8.5	7.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	14.8	11.2
7 Jul 2024	Promocija plus	1,300	30.7	25.9	7.1	0.8	10.3	6.6	0.3	1.4	1.3	0.5	0.8	0.3	0.6	0.5	0.8	0.9	10.4	4.8
1 Jul 2024	2x1 komunikacije	1,041	30.0	21.1	7.6	-	7.4	5.9	1.1	1.2	1.5	-	-	2.1	-	1.3	-	-	12.9	8.9
25 Jun 2024	Ipsos	1,000	31.5	20.5	7.8	-	9.1	7.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	12.9	11.0
9 Jun	2024 European Parliament election
7 Jun 2024	Promocija plus	1,300	29.8	22.3	8.4	1.2	9.2	6.7	0.5	1.4	2.0	-	0.8	1.0	1.0	0.6	0.7	-	10.7	7.5
24 May 2024	Ipsos	990	30.5	20.2	7.4	-	11.1	8.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	10.6	11.6	10.3
12 May 2024	Promocija plus	1,000	29.5	23.2	8.3	1.2	9.3	5.6	0.7	1.3	1.1	1.0	1.0	1.1	1.4	1.2	0.8	-	9.5	6.3
25 Apr 2024	Ipsos	1,000	28.5	22.2	10.1	-	12.3	8.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6.7	6.3
17 Apr 2024	2024 election results	N/A	34.4	25.4	9.6		9.1	8.0		2.3	2.3	1.2	0.8	-	-	-	-	6.98	-	9.0

Notes and References

1. http://www.ipu.org/parline-e/reports/2077_B.htm Electoral system
2. Web site: Zakon o izborima zastupnika u Hrvatski sabor (Act on Election of Representatives to the Croatian Parliament) . hr . 27 August 2018 . 28 August 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20180828035834/https://www.zakon.hr/z/355/Zakon-o-izborima-zastupnika-u-Hrvatski-sabor . live .
3. Web site: Zakon o izborima zastupnika u Hrvatski sabor (pročišćeni tekst) . Zakon . 2 April 2024 . 28 August 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20180828035834/https://www.zakon.hr/z/355/Zakon-o-izborima-zastupnika-u-Hrvatski-sabor . live .
4. Web site: Elections of representatives to the Croatian Parliament . State Electoral Commission of the Republic of Croatia . 2 April 2024 . 2 April 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240402234732/https://www.izbori.hr/site/en/about-elections-referenda/elections-of-representatives-to-the-croatian-parliament/1724 . live .