2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election explained

See also: 2014 United States gubernatorial elections.

Election Name:2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election
Country:Wisconsin
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 Wisconsin gubernatorial recall election
Previous Year:2012 (recall)
Next Election:2018 Wisconsin gubernatorial election
Next Year:2018
Election Date:November 4, 2014
Image1:Scott Walker (16485216228) (1).jpg
Nominee1:Scott Walker
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Running Mate1:Rebecca Kleefisch
Popular Vote1:1,259,706
Percentage1:52.26%
Nominee2:Mary Burke
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Running Mate2:John Lehman
Popular Vote2:1,122,913
Percentage2:46.59%
Map Size:260px
Governor
Before Election:Scott Walker
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Scott Walker
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Turnout:54.5% (3.3%)

The 2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to determine the governor and lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Wisconsin. It occurred concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican governor Scott Walker won re-election to a second term in office, defeating Democratic businesswoman and Madison school board member Mary Burke and two minor party candidates in the general election.

Walker, who was elected in 2010, survived an attempted recall in 2012, the first governor in United States history to do so, defeating Democrat Tom Barrett both times. Wisconsin voters have elected a governor from a different political party than the sitting president in 27 of the last 31 elections since 1932; only once has a Democratic candidate been elected governor in Wisconsin in the last 18 contests when a Democrat was in the White House.[1] Eleven of the last twelve Wisconsin governors, dating back to Republican Vernon Wallace Thomson in the late 1950s, had, unlike Burke, previously won an election to state government, the exception being Republican Lee S. Dreyfus in 1978.[2]

The polling leading up to the election was very close, with no candidate clearly in the lead. The consensus among most analysts was that the race was either a tossup or leaning Republican. As of 2024, this is the last time a Republican was elected governor of Wisconsin, and the last time that a candidate was elected Governor of Wisconsin by winning a majority of counties.

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Results

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Disqualified

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mary
Burke
Brett
Hulsey
Marcia Mercedes
Perkins
Hari
Trivedi
OtherUndecided
Marquette University[21] May 15–18, 2014?± ? align=center66%3%1%1%24%

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Results

Minor parties

Candidates

Declared

Disqualified

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[26] November 3, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[28] November 3, 2014
align=left Real Clear Politics[29] November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
Walker (R)
Mary
Burke (D)
OtherUndecided
YouGov[30] October 25–31, 20141,494± 3.4% align=center45%43%1%11%
Public Policy Polling[31] October 28–30, 20141,814± 3% align=center48%47%5%
Marquette University[32] align=center rowspan=2October 23–26, 20141,164 LV± 3% align=center50%43%1%7%
1,409 RV± 2.7% align=center46%45%1%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[33] October 16–23, 20143,308± 3% align=center46%45%0%10%
Rasmussen Reports[34] October 20–21, 2014973± 3%48% align=center49%1%2%
WPR/St. Norbert College[35] October 18–21, 2014525± 4.4% align=center47%46%6%
Public Policy Polling[36] October 17–18, 2014860± ? align=center47%46%7%
Marquette University[37] align=center rowspan=2October 9–12, 2014803 LV± 3.5% align=center47%47%0%5%
1,004 RV± 3.2% align=center48%45%1%6%
Gravis Marketing[38] October 3–4, 2014837± 3% align=center50%46%4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[39] September 20–October 1, 20141,444± 3%48% align=center49%0%3%
Marquette University[40] September 25–28, 2014585 LV± 4.1% align=center51%45%1%4%
801 RV± 3.5% align=center46%45%1%8%
Gravis Marketing[41] September 22–23, 2014908± 3%45% align=center50%4%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 15–16, 2014650± 4% align=center48%46%3%3%
Marquette University[42] September 11–14, 2014589 LV± 4.1% align=center49%46%1%4%
800 RV± 3.5%46% align=center46%1%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[43] August 18–September 2, 20141,473± 4% align=center49%45%0%5%
We Ask America[44] September 3, 20141,170 LV± 3%44% align=center48%2%6%
Marquette University[45] align=center rowspan=2August 21–24, 2014609 LV± 4.1%47% align=center49%1%4%
815 RV± 3.5% align=center48%44%1%8%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 13–14, 2014750± 4% align=center48%47%5%
Gravis Marketing[46] July 31–August 2, 20141,346± 3%47%47%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[47] July 5–24, 20141,968± ? align=center47%46%1%5%
Marquette University[48] align=center rowspan=2July 17–20, 2014549 LV± 4.3%46% align=center47%1%8%
804 RV± 3.5% align=center46%45%1%8%
Marquette UniversityMay 15–18, 2014805± 3.5%46%46%6%
Public Policy Polling[49] April 17–20, 20141,144± 2.9% align=center48%45%7%
Magellan Strategies[50] April 14–15, 2014851± 3.36%47%47%2%4%
St. Norbert College[51] March 24–April 3, 2014401± 5% align=center55%40%5%
Marquette University[52] March 20–23, 2014801± 3.5% align=center48%41%11%
Gravis Marketing[53] March 17, 2014988± 4% align=center49%44%7%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 10–11, 2014500± 4.5%45%45%5%5%
Marquette University[54] January 20–23, 2014802± 3.5% align=center47%41%8%
Marquette University[55] October 21–24, 2013800± 3.5% align=center47%45%8%
Public Policy Polling[56] September 13–16, 20131,180± 2.9% align=center48%42%10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
Walker (R)
Jon
Erpenbach (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[57] February 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3% align=center48%42%9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
Walker (R)
Russ
Feingold (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3%47% align=center49%4%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
Walker (R)
Mahlon
Mitchell (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3% align=center48%39%13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
Walker (R)
Brett
Hulsey (D)
OtherUndecided
Marquette UniversityMay 15–18, 2014805± 3.5% align=center48%39%13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
Walker (R)
Steve
Kagen (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3% align=center48%41%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
Walker (R)
Tom
Nelson (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingSeptember 13–16, 20131,180± 2.9% align=center47%40%12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
Walker (R)
Ron
Kind (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3% align=center46%42%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
Walker (R)
Kathleen
Vinehout (D)
OtherUndecided
Marquette UniversityOctober 21–24, 2013800± 3.5% align=center47%44%9%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 13–16, 20131,180± 2.9% align=center47%41%10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Scott
Walker (R)
Peter W.
Barca (D)
OtherUndecided
Marquette UniversityOctober 21–24, 2013800± 3.5% align=center48%42%10%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 13–16, 20131,180± 2.9% align=center47%43%10%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3% align=center48%43%9%

Results

By county

CountyScott Walker
Republican
Mary Burke
Democratic
All Others
Various
MarginTotal votes cast
%%%%
Adams4,29752.50%3,76245.96%1261.54%5356.54%8,185
Ashland2,33335.53%4,15063.20%831.26%-1,817-27.67%6,566
Barron9,69657.89%6,83240.79%2211.32%2,86417.10%16,749
Bayfield3,07538.33%4,88860.92%600.75%-1,813-22.60%8,023
Brown58,40858.24%40,75140.63%1,1321.13%17,65717.61%100,291
Buffalo3,16957.58%2,26741.19%681.24%90216.39%5,504
Burnett3,86859.17%2,61540.00%540.83%1,25319.17%6,537
Calumet14,08665.17%7,28533.71%2431.12%6,80131.47%21,614
Chippewa13,76556.17%10,40242.45%3391.38%3,36313.72%24,506
Clark7,40965.04%3,84833.78%1341.18%3,56131.26%11,391
Columbia11,83747.92%12,52750.72%3361.36%-690-2.79%24,700
Crawford2,97447.41%3,22551.41%741.18%-251-4.00%6,273
Dane73,67629.18%175,93769.69%2,8561.13%-102,261-40.50%252,469
Dodge23,71564.38%12,73234.56%3911.06%10,98329.81%36,838
Door8,16053.79%6,84245.10%1681.11%1,3188.69%15,170
Douglas6,00138.11%9,59060.91%1540.98%-3,589-22.79%15,745
Dunn8,22953.02%7,06645.53%2251.45%1,1637.49%15,520
Eau Claire20,30448.22%21,23950.44%5621.33%-935-2.22%42,105
Florence1,34967.42%62931.43%231.15%72035.98%2,001
Fond du Lac27,48564.02%15,01434.97%4301.00%12,47129.05%42,929
Forest2,03256.57%1,51142.07%491.36%52114.50%3,592
Grant9,14950.36%8,70447.91%3131.72%4452.45%18,166
Green7,19346.90%7,94851.82%1971.28%-755-4.92%15,338
Green Lake5,33667.77%2,46431.29%740.94%2,87236.47%7,874
Iowa4,48042.34%5,93756.12%1631.54%-1,457-13.77%10,580
Iron1,75561.06%1,08537.75%341.18%67023.31%2,874
Jackson3,81250.52%3,63148.12%1021.35%1812.40%7,545
Jefferson21,44359.96%13,87638.80%4431.24%7,56721.16%35,762
Juneau4,81753.33%4,08045.17%1351.49%7378.16%9,032
Kenosha28,39850.28%27,36748.45%7171.27%1,0311.83%56,482
Kewaunee5,67662.14%3,37936.99%790.86%2,29725.15%9,134
La Crosse22,32146.10%25,42952.52%6721.39%-3,108-6.42%48,422
Lafayette3,19151.05%2,98247.70%781.25%2093.34%6,251
Langlade5,47664.59%2,92134.45%810.96%2,55530.14%8,478
Lincoln6,86656.52%5,10442.02%1781.47%1,76214.50%12,148
Manitowoc21,04461.83%12,56336.91%4261.25%8,48124.92%34,033
Marathon34,58361.19%21,30537.70%6251.11%13,27823.50%56,513
Marinette9,61060.87%6,02338.15%1550.98%3,58722.72%15,788
Marquette3,61157.08%2,62941.56%861.36%98215.52%6,326
Menominee21521.52%75375.38%313.10%-538-53.85%999
Milwaukee132,70636.05%231,31662.84%4,0711.11%-98,610-26.79%368,093
Monroe8,44655.98%6,39942.41%2431.61%2,04713.57%15,088
Oconto10,30063.84%5,65735.06%1781.10%4,64328.78%16,135
Oneida9,85256.90%7,19041.53%2721.57%2,66215.37%17,314
Outagamie44,54359.43%29,50339.37%8991.20%15,04020.07%74,945
Ozaukee32,69669.95%13,69629.30%3490.75%19,00040.65%46,741
Pepin1,79156.62%1,33342.14%391.23%45814.48%3,163
Pierce7,76053.02%6,66645.54%2111.44%1,0947.47%14,637
Polk9,34558.16%6,51640.55%2071.29%2,82917.61%16,068
Portage14,65048.26%15,28350.34%4251.40%-633-2.09%30,358
Price3,72557.29%2,70041.53%771.18%1,02515.76%6,502
Racine42,94453.96%35,76944.95%8681.09%7,1759.02%79,581
Richland3,43550.25%3,31548.49%861.26%1201.76%6,836
Rock24,99342.76%32,52355.64%9321.59%-7,530-12.88%58,448
Rusk3,50259.48%2,28638.82%1001.70%1,21620.65%5,888
Sauk12,22247.73%13,04150.92%3461.35%-819-3.20%25,609
Sawyer3,72154.51%3,02944.37%761.11%69210.14%6,826
Shawano10,93764.95%5,73034.03%1711.02%5,20730.92%16,838
Sheboygan31,72863.16%17,95535.74%5491.09%13,77327.42%50,232
St. Croix20,06659.44%13,23139.19%4631.37%6,83520.25%33,760
Taylor5,40669.81%2,24829.03%901.16%3,15840.78%7,744
Trempealeau5,61752.34%4,97446.35%1401.30%6435.99%10,731
Vernon5,68748.31%5,93250.40%1521.29%-245-2.08%11,771
Vilas6,94261.34%4,24037.47%1351.19%2,70223.88%11,317
Walworth25,41564.00%13,80934.77%4881.23%11,60629.23%39,712
Washburn3,94555.63%3,07443.34%731.03%87112.28%7,092
Washington50,27875.88%15,50723.40%4780.72%34,77152.47%66,263
Waukesha147,26672.46%54,50026.81%1,4820.73%92,76645.64%203,248
Waupaca13,13063.13%7,47135.92%1970.95%5,65927.21%20,798
Waushara6,10062.19%3,60936.79%1001.02%2,49125.40%9,809
Winnebago37,89454.75%30,25843.72%1,0611.53%7,63611.03%69,213
Wood17,82057.30%12,86141.35%4201.35%4,95915.94%31,101
Total1,259,70652.26%1,122,91346.59%27,6951.15%136,7935.68%2,410,314

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Walker won 6 of 8 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[58]

DistrictWalkerBurkeRepresentative
58.25%40.73%Paul Ryan
33.35%65.51%Mark Pocan
50.1%48.52%Ron Kind
27.35%71.65%Gwen Moore
67.64%31.53%Jim Sensenbrenner
60.71%38.17%Glenn Grothman
57.84%40.98%Sean Duffy
60.16%38.76%Reid Ribble

See also

External links

Official campaign websites (archived)

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Scott Walker's Ticket to Ride: Obama in the White House? . Smart Politics . Eric . Ostermeier . August 23, 2013.
  2. Web site: Wisconsin Gubernatorial Pathways: How Does Burke's Measure Up? . Smart Politics . Eric . Ostermeier . September 17, 2014.
  3. Web site: June 5, 2013. 8 firebrand GOP governors meet 2014's political reality. 2021-01-05. The Northwestern. en-US.
  4. Web site: Democrats testing potential candidacy of Mary Burke against Walker in 2014. June 25, 2013. June 27, 2013. Star Tribune. Scott. Bauer.
  5. Web site: Brett Hulsey running for Wisconsin governor: 'I promise you it will be very entertaining'. April 21, 2014. April 21, 2014. The Capital Times. Jack. Craver.
  6. Web site: Citing rapport with Gov. Walker, Abele says he's not contemplating 2014 Democratic run for governor. February 26, 2013. August 8, 2013. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Steve. Schultze.
  7. Web site: Few Democrats lining up to challenge Walker in 2014. December 15, 2012. December 19, 2012. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Jason. Stein.
  8. Web site: 2014 Dem field unclear as party looks to next shot at Walker. June 9, 2012. December 18, 2012. Wispolitics.com. JR. Ross.
  9. Web site: Barrett: Will Walker run for governor again?. June 4, 2013. June 8, 2013. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Dave. Umhoefer.
  10. Web site: Run for governor? Brewer Deb Carey prefers suds to hot oil. March 18, 2013. August 8, 2013. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Tom. Kertscher.
  11. Web site: Walker's next opponent could come from Northeastern Wisconsin. June 7, 2013. June 8, 2013. Green Bay Press-Gazette. Nick. Penzenstadler. Jessica. Opoien.
  12. Web site: Can a woman defeat Scott Walker in 2014? YES!!!. June 6, 2013 . August 15, 2013 . The Apollo Report. Aaron. Camp.
  13. Web site: Is a competitive Democratic primary for Governor of Wisconsin inevitable?. August 12, 2013. August 15, 2013. The Prairie Badger. Aaron. Camp. February 20, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140220115953/http://prairiebadger.wordpress.com/2013/08/12/is-a-competitive-democratic-primary-for-governor-of-wisconsin-inevitable/. dead.
  14. Web site: Fox Valley's Nelson, Harris could present challenge to Walker in 2014. June 7, 2013. August 8, 2013. The Post-Crescent. Nick. Penzenstadler. Jessie. Opoien.
  15. Web site: Who Will be Elected Governor in 2014. July 2, 2013. August 26, 2013 . Germantown Now. Paul. Adair.
  16. Web site: Russ Feingold teases Democrats about 2016 Senate run. June 7, 2013. June 8, 2013. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Don. Walker.
  17. Web site: Winnebago County Exec Mark Harris declines run for governor. August 30, 2013 . August 30, 2013. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Bill. Glauber.
  18. Web site: WI-Gov: Sara Johann considering run . May 24, 2013. August 8, 2013 . Daily Kos.
  19. Web site: Kind says no plans to run for governor. June 8, 2013. June 8, 2013. Wisconsin Radio Network. Andrew. Beckett.
  20. Web site: Kathleen Vinehout announces she won't run for governor. January 17, 2014. January 17, 2014. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Patrick Marley.
  21. https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2014/05/21/new-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-wisconsin-governors-race-tied Marquette University
  22. Web site: A Mary Burke and a Robert Burke running for governor?. February 14, 2014. April 4, 2014. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Tom. Kertscher.
  23. Web site: Local man launches campaign for governor's race. March 19, 2014. April 10, 2014. wqow.com. Aarik Woods. April 13, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140413144442/http://www.wqow.com/story/25022031/2014/03/19/local-man-launches-campaign-for-governors-race. dead.
  24. Web site: State Rep. Brad Hulsey launches write-in campaign for governor. The Daily Cardinal. October 23, 2014. October 28, 2014 . Jen . Wagman .
  25. Web site: Ahoy! Pirate Party Will Rally Downtown. June 8, 2013. June 13, 2013. Urban Milwaukee. Michael. Horne.
  26. Web site: 2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  27. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . November 3, 2014 . September 3, 2018.
  28. Web site: 2014 Gubernatorial Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  29. Web site: 2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races . Real Clear Politics . September 3, 2018.
  30. http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/wpa4m6lkg3/toplines_likely_WI.pdf YouGov
  31. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/WisconsinPollResults102810291030.pdf Public Policy Polling
  32. https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2014/10/29/final-pre-election-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-walker-leading-burke-in-wisconsin-governors-race/ Marquette University
  33. https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  34. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/wisconsin/election_2014_wisconsin_governor Rasmussen Reports
  35. http://www.wbay.com/story/26866602/2014/10/22/sncwpr-poll-walker-leads-burke-47-46 WPR/St. Norbert College
  36. https://www.scribd.com/doc/243830089/Public-Policy-Polling-in-WI-GOV-10-21-14 Public Policy Polling
  37. https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2014/10/15/new-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-ties-in-wisconsin-races-for-both-governor-and-attorney-general Marquette University
  38. http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/october-polling-in-wisconsin/ Gravis Marketing
  39. http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  40. https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2014/10/01/new-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-walker-leading-in-race-for-wisconsin-governor-attorney-general-race-remains-tied/ Marquette University
  41. http://media.townhall.com/townhall/blog/gravisthpoll00107.pdf Gravis Marketing
  42. https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2014/09/17/new-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-wisconsin-governors-race-remains-statistical-dead-heat/ Marquette University
  43. https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/10/battleground-tracker-2014-wisconsin/#WIgovernor CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  44. https://archive.today/20140905111555/http://weaskamerica.com/2014/09/04/3rd-time-around/ We Ask America
  45. https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2014/08/27/new-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-walker-burke-remain-inside-margin-of-error-in-wisconsin-governors-race/ Marquette University
  46. http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/wisconsin-polling-scott-walker-and-mary-burke-47-47 Gravis Marketing
  47. http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  48. https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2014/07/23/new-marquette-law-school-poll-finds-walker-burke-tied-in-wisconsin-governors-race/ Marquette University
  49. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_WI_423.pdf Public Policy Polling
  50. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Magellan_Wisconsin_0414.pdf Magellan Strategies
  51. http://www.snc.edu/sri/docs/2014/201404frequencies.pdf St. Norbert College
  52. https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2014/03/26/wisconsin-gov-scott-walker-holds-lead-over-challenger-mary-burke-in-new-marquette-law-school-poll/ Marquette University
  53. http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/gravis-phone-survey-shows-scott-walker-ahead-in-wi/ Gravis Marketing
  54. https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2014/01/27/new-marquette-law-school-poll-examines-wi-governors-race-direction-of-the-state-and-jobs-outlook/ Marquette University
  55. https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2013/10/29/marquette-law-school-poll-shows-walker-in-tight-race-with-burke-for-wisconsin-governor-in-2014/ Marquette University
  56. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_WI_917.pdf Public Policy Polling
  57. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_022613.pdf Public Policy Polling
  58. Web site: Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts. Daily Kos. 11 August 2020.