2010 Vermont gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2010 Vermont gubernatorial election
Country:Vermont
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 Vermont gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2008
Election Date:November 2, 2010
Next Election:2012 Vermont gubernatorial election
Next Year:2012
Image1:File:Peter Shumlin (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Peter Shumlin
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:119,543
Percentage1:49.48%
Electoral Vote1:145
Nominee2:Brian Dubie
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:115,212
Percentage2:47.69%
Electoral Vote2:28
Governor
Before Election:Jim Douglas
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Peter Shumlin
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2010 Vermont gubernatorial general election took place on November 2.[1] Vermont and New Hampshire are the only two states where the governor serves a two-year term instead of four.[2] Primary elections took place on August 24.[1]

Incumbent Republican governor Jim Douglas was not a candidate for re-election.[3] Brian Dubie, the incumbent Lieutenant Governor, was the Republican nominee.[1] The Democratic nomination was won by Peter Shumlin, the President pro tempore of the Vermont Senate.[1]

The result was a 119,543 (49.5 percent) to 115,212 (47.7 percent) plurality for Shumlin.[1] Several minor candidates got between 600 and 2,000 votes each.[1] In accordance with the Vermont Constitution, if no candidate receives a majority, the contest is decided by the Vermont General Assembly.[4] In such races, the combined Vermont House and Senate almost always chooses the candidate who won a plurality.[4] Dubie indicated on November 3 that he did not intend to ask for a recount or contest the election in the legislature, and conceded to Shumlin.[5] On January 6, 2011, with 173 of 180 members voting, 87 votes were necessary for a choice.[6] The General Assembly elected Shumlin on the first ballot, 145–28.[6]

Republican primary

Candidate

Democratic primary

Candidates

Peter Shumlin won the Democratic primary according to the uncertified tabulation of statewide votes released by the Office of the Secretary of State on August 27, 2010, by 197 votes over Doug Racine, who requested a recount.[12] The recount began September 8.[13] Racine conceded on September 10.[14]

Results

Progressive primary

Candidates

Results

Independent and third-party candidates

General Election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[17] October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[18] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[19] November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[21] October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredBrian
Dubie (R)		Peter
Shumlin (D)
Rasmussen Reports[22] October 28, 201045% align=center50%
Vermont Public Radio[23] October 12, 2010 align=center44%43%
Rasmussen Reports[24] September 13, 201046% align=center49%
Rasmussen Reports[25] June 17, 2010 align=center55%36%
Rasmussen Reports[26] March 18, 2010 align=center51%33%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

General Assembly Results

Vermont's Constitution requires the Vermont General Assembly to select if no candidate obtains a majority. The combined Vermont House and Senate almost always chooses the candidate who won a plurality. The legislature officially elected Peter Shumlin on January 6, 2011.

See also

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Vermont Gubernatorial Election, 2010 . Ballotpedia . Lucy Burns Institute . Middleton, WI . January 19, 2021 .
  2. News: Allen . Anne Wallace . February 3, 2019 . Vermont governors are divided on question of 4-year terms . VT Digger . MOntpelier, VT.
  3. News: August 27, 2009 . Vermont Governor Douglas will not seek re-election . Vermont Biz.com . Vermont Business Magazine . South Burlington, VT.
  4. News: Dobbs . Taylor . November 6, 2014 . Wait, The Legislature Is Choosing The Governor? . Vermont Public Radio . Colchester, VT.
  5. News: Galloway . Anne . November 3, 2010 . Dubie concedes; Shumlin holds victory presser at noon . VT Digger . Montpelier, VT.
  6. News: Remsen . Nancy . January 7, 2011 . 'Regular Guy' Phil Scott sworn in as lt. governor . . Burlington, VT . 4 . Newspapers.com.
  7. Web site: Dubie will run for governor . 1 October 2009 . Ross . Sneyd . Vermont Public Radio.
  8. News: Sen. Bartlett Enters 2010 Governor's Race. WCAX News. 2009-05-04. 2009-05-04. https://web.archive.org/web/20120224223027/http://www.wcax.com/global/story.asp?s=10476836. 2012-02-24. dead.
  9. Web site: Dunne will run: Times Argus Online . Timesargus.com . 2009-11-03 . 2010-08-21 . August 21, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100821021042/http://www.timesargus.com/article/20091103/NEWS02/911030349/1003/NEWS02 . dead .
  10. News: Hallenbeck. Terri. Democrats crowd race for governor. The Burlington Free Press. 2009-02-24. 2009-03-03.
  11. Web site: Sen. Shumlin Confirms He'll Run for Governor | www.rherald.com | Randolph Herald . www.rherald.com . 2009-11-19 . 2010-08-21.
  12. News: Shumlin wins; Racine calls for recount. The Burlington Free Press. August 27, 2010. August 27, 2010.
  13. http://www.benningtonbanner.com/ci_15988782 Judge will speed up Vt. primary recount
  14. News: Remsen. Nancy. Racine concedes. The Burlington Free Press. September 10, 2010. September 11, 2010.
  15. News: Abbott drops out of governor's race. The Burlington Free Press. August 28, 2010. August 29, 2010.
  16. Web site: As Vermont Goes, So Goes the Nation? . The New York Times . Molly Worthen . April 5, 2014 . September 28, 2014.
  17. Web site: 2010 Governors Race Ratings . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028141343/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php . dead . October 28, 2010 . . October 28, 2010.
  18. Web site: Governor Ratings . . October 28, 2010.
  19. Web site: 2010 Governor Races . . October 28, 2010.
  20. Web site: THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS . . October 28, 2010.
  21. Web site: Race Ratings Chart: Governor . . October 28, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101005231611/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor . October 5, 2010 .
  22. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/vermont/election_2010_vermont_governor Rasmussen Reports
  23. http://www.vpr.net/news_detail/89024/ Vermont Public Radio
  24. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/vermont/toplines/toplines_vermont_governor_september_13_2010/ Rasmussen Reports
  25. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/vermont/toplines/toplines_2010_vermont_governor_june_17_2010/ Rasmussen Reports
  26. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/vermont/election_2010_vermont_governor Rasmussen Reports

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