2016 United States presidential election in Missouri explained

See main article: 2016 United States presidential election.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Missouri was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Missouri voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Missouri has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[2]

Trump carried the state with 56.4% of the vote, while Clinton received 37.9%.^[3] Trump's 18.5-point margin of victory in the state was almost double that of Mitt Romney's from 2012. Clinton carried only four jurisdictions: Boone County, home to Columbia and the University of Missouri; Jackson County, which includes most of Kansas City; St. Louis County; and St. Louis City. Clinton's vote share percentage was the lowest a Democratic presidential nominee obtained in the state since George McGovern's 37.7% in 1972, further cementing the state's drift towards the Republican Party and away from its long-held status as a bellwether state. Missouri was also one of eleven states that voted for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 but were lost by Hillary Clinton in 2016. Additionally, this was the first time since 1984 that Missouri voted by double digits for the Republican candidate, and the first time since 1992 that the state voted by double digits for either candidate. This was also the first time since 2004 where the state would vote for the winning candidate.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: 2016 Missouri Democratic presidential primary. Nine candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:^[4]

• Hillary Clinton
• Henry Hewes
• Rocky De La Fuente
• Bernie Sanders
• Keith Judd
• Willie L. Wilson
• Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
• John Wolfe Jr.
• Jon Adams

Missouri Democratic primary, March 15, 2016

Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	310,600	49.61%	36	11	47
Bernie Sanders	309,073	49.37%	35	0	35
Uncommitted	3,697	0.59%	0	2	2
Henry Hewes	651	0.10%	0	0	0
	437	0.07%	0	0	0
Jon Adams	428	0.07%	0	0	0
Rocky De La Fuente	340	0.05%	0	0	0
Willie Wilson	305	0.05%	0	0	0
Keith Judd	284	0.05%	0	0	0
John Wolfe	245	0.04%	0	0	0
Total	626,060	100%	71	13	84
Source:The Green Papers

Republican primary

See main article: 2016 Missouri Republican presidential primary. Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:^[4]

• Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
• Ben Carson (withdrawn)
• Chris Christie (withdrawn)
• Ted Cruz
• Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
• Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
• John Kasich
• Rand Paul (withdrawn)
• Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
• Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
• Donald Trump

Libertarian primary

The Missouri primary ran on March 15, 2016, alongside those of the Republican, Democratic, and Constitution parties. 40% of the electorate voted to stand uncommitted to any candidate. Austin Petersen, running in his home state, finished second, with 29% of the statewide vote, which was double that of Steve Kerbel from Colorado, who finished third, with 14%. Petersen comfortably won the support of voters in the state's capital, Jefferson City, and its surrounding counties, but was fell heavily behind the uncommitted vote in the state's two largest cities, Kansas City and St. Louis. Kerbel won three counties around Springfield, while Marc Allan Feldman, Cecil Ince, and Rhett Smith all won a sprawl of counties across the state; in most of these counties, however, only a single vote was cast. No votes were cast for Libertarian Party candidates in the northwestern counties of Harrison, Holt, Mercer, and Worth.^[5]

Missouri Libertarian presidential primary, March 15, 2016

Candidate	Votes	Percentage
Uncommitted	1,183	40.61%
Austin Petersen	854	29.32%
Steve Kerbel	401	13.77%
Marc Allan Feldman	242	8.31%
Cecil Ince	134	4.60%
Rhett Smith	99	3.40%
Total	2,913	100%

General election

Polling

Republican Donald Trump won every pre-election poll conducted here except one. Trump won most polls by high single digits or low double digits. The average of the last three polls had Donald Trump leading Democrat Hillary Clinton 50% to 39%.^[6]

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Missouri as of Election Day.

Source	Ranking	As of
Los Angeles Times[7]		November 6, 2016
CNN[8]		November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[9]		November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[10]		November 8, 2016
align=left	Rothenberg Political Report[11]		November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]		November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[13]		November 8, 2016
Fox News[14]		November 7, 2016

Results

The Statewide election results were as follows. The total vote count was 2,828,266.

By county

County	Donald Trump Republican		Hillary Clinton Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
		%		%		%		%
	Adair		6,030		58.97%		3,500		34.23%		696		6.80%		2,530		24.74%		10,226
	Andrew		6,665		72.49%		2,045		22.24%		484		5.27%		4,620		50.25%		9,194
	Atchison		2,060		75.46%		541		19.82%		129		4.72%		1,519		55.64%		2,730
	Audrain		6,981		68.89%		2,570		25.36%		582		5.75%		4,411		43.53%		10,133
	Barry		11,428		78.25%		2,710		18.56%		467		3.19%		8,718		59.69%		14,605
	Barton		4,959		83.50%		795		13.39%		185		3.11%		4,164		70.11%		5,939
	Bates		6,001		74.24%		1,618		20.02%		464		5.74%		4,383		54.22%		8,083
	Benton		7,213		75.21%		2,025		21.12%		352		3.67%		5,188		54.09%		9,590
	Bollinger		4,827		85.04%		705		12.42%		144		2.54%		4,122		72.62%		5,676
	Boone		36,200		43.16%		41,125		49.04%		6,543		7.80%		-4,925		-5.88%		83,868
	Buchanan		21,320		59.28%		12,013		33.40%		2,631		7.32%		9,307		25.88%		35,964
	Butler		13,650		79.09%		3,036		17.59%		573		3.32%		10,614		61.50%		17,259
	Caldwell		3,232		74.95%		838		19.43%		242		5.62%		2,394		55.52%		4,312
	Callaway		13,057		67.54%		4,989		25.81%		1,287		6.65%		8,068		41.73%		19,333
	Camden		16,944		74.71%		4,768		21.02%		968		4.27%		12,176		53.69%		22,680
	Cape Girardeau		27,017		72.41%		8,492		22.76%		1,802		4.83%		18,525		49.65%		37,311
	Carroll		3,480		79.80%		745		17.08%		136		3.12%		2,735		62.72%		4,361
	Carter		2,324		81.54%		436		15.30%		90		3.16%		1,888		66.24%		2,850
	Cass		33,098		64.38%		14,846		28.88%		3,466		6.74%		18,252		35.50%		51,410
	Cedar		5,021		79.36%		1,011		15.98%		295		4.66%		4,010		63.38%		6,327
	Chariton		2,950		74.33%		888		22.37%		131		3.30%		2,062		51.96%		3,969
	Christian		30,946		73.92%		8,508		20.32%		2,409		5.76%		22,438		53.60%		41,863
	Clark		2,458		74.13%		724		21.83%		134		4.04%		1,734		52.30%		3,316
	Clay		57,476		51.70%		45,304		40.75%		8,390		7.55%		12,172		10.95%		111,170
	Clinton		7,067		68.60%		2,572		24.97%		662		6.43%		4,495		43.63%		10,301
	Cole		24,616		65.37%		10,913		28.98%		2,127		5.65%		13,703		36.39%		37,656
	Cooper		5,624		70.42%		1,932		24.19%		430		5.39%		3,692		46.23%		7,986
	Crawford		7,724		77.86%		1,824		18.39%		372		3.75%		5,900		59.47%		9,920
	Dade		3,184		80.59%		637		16.12%		130		3.29%		2,547		64.47%		3,951
	Dallas		5,895		79.10%		1,272		17.07%		286		3.83%		4,623		62.03%		7,453
	Daviess		2,767		74.02%		730		19.53%		241		6.45%		2,037		54.49%		3,738
	DeKalb		3,540		76.52%		824		17.81%		262		5.67%		2,716		58.71%		4,626
	Dent		5,600		82.46%		978		14.40%		213		3.14%		4,622		68.06%		6,791
	Douglas		5,486		82.30%		984		14.76%		196		2.94%		4,502		67.54%		6,666
	Dunklin		8,026		75.87%		2,360		22.31%		192		1.82%		5,666		53.56%		10,578
	Franklin		35,430		70.20%		12,341		24.45%		2,701		5.35%		23,089		45.75%		50,472
	Gasconade		5,670		76.10%		1,520		20.40%		261		3.50%		4,150		55.70%		7,451
	Gentry		2,304		75.71%		605		19.88%		134		4.41%		1,699		55.83%		3,043
	Greene		78,035		59.79%		42,728		32.74%		9,760		7.47%		35,307		27.05%		130,523
	Grundy		3,462		78.18%		780		17.62%		186		4.20%		2,682		60.56%		4,428
	Harrison		2,965		80.37%		574		15.56%		150		4.07%		2,391		64.81%		3,689
	Henry		7,075		71.38%		2,357		23.78%		480		4.84%		4,718		47.60%		9,912
	Hickory		3,542		74.40%		1,016		21.34%		203		4.26%		2,526		53.06%		4,761
	Holt		1,926		81.78%		347		14.73%		82		3.49%		1,579		67.05%		2,355
	Howard		3,277		67.32%		1,283		26.36%		308		6.32%		1,994		40.96%		4,868
	Howell		13,893		79.59%		2,881		16.51%		681		3.90%		11,012		63.08%		17,455
	Iron		3,173		74.33%		933		21.86%		163		3.81%		2,240		52.47%		4,269
	Jackson		116,211		38.14%		168,972		55.46%		19,504		6.40%		-52,761		-17.32%		304,687
	Jasper		35,070		72.57%		10,572		21.88%		2,684		5.55%		24,498		50.69%		48,326
	Jefferson		69,036		64.52%		31,568		29.50%		6,391		5.98%		37,468		35.02%		106,995
	Johnson		13,719		64.22%		5,930		27.76%		1,713		8.02%		7,789		36.46%		21,362
	Knox		1,416		75.72%		379		20.27%		75		4.01%		1,037		55.45%		1,870
	Laclede		12,881		79.81%		2,553		15.82%		706		4.37%		10,328		63.99%		16,140
	Lafayette		10,988		68.78%		4,053		25.37%		934		5.85%		6,935		43.41%		15,975
	Lawrence		13,089		77.86%		2,901		17.26%		821		4.88%		10,188		60.60%		16,811
	Lewis		3,344		74.64%		934		20.85%		202		4.51%		2,410		53.79%		4,480
	Lincoln		18,159		72.31%		5,575		22.20%		1,380		5.49%		12,584		50.11%		25,114
	Linn		4,088		73.17%		1,240		22.19%		259		4.64%		2,848		50.98%		5,587
	Livingston		4,879		75.99%		1,265		19.70%		277		4.31%		3,614		56.29%		6,421
	Macon		5,798		75.98%		1,548		20.29%		285		3.73%		4,250		55.69%		7,631
	Madison		4,102		77.09%		1,005		18.89%		214		4.02%		3,097		58.20%		5,321
	Maries		3,561		79.13%		794		17.64%		145		3.23%		2,767		61.49%		4,500
	Marion		9,419		72.80%		2,994		23.14%		525		4.06%		6,425		49.66%		12,938
	McDonald		6,599		79.49%		1,329		16.01%		374		4.50%		5,270		63.48%		8,302
	Mercer		1,486		85.16%		216		12.38%		43		2.46%		1,270		72.78%		1,745
	Miller		9,285		80.87%		1,750		15.24%		447		3.89%		7,535		65.63%		11,482
	Mississippi		3,600		69.65%		1,458		28.21%		111		2.14%		2,142		41.44%		5,169
	Moniteau		5,347		78.29%		1,237		18.11%		246		3.60%		4,110		60.18%		6,830
	Monroe		3,159		76.01%		853		20.52%		144		3.47%		2,306		55.49%		4,156
	Montgomery		4,127		76.02%		1,119		20.61%		183		3.37%		3,008		55.41%		5,429
	Morgan		6,760		76.64%		1,768		20.04%		293		3.32%		4,992		56.60%		8,821
	New Madrid		5,270		71.63%		1,933		26.27%		154		2.10%		3,337		45.36%		7,357
	Newton		20,553		76.67%		4,990		18.61%		1,264		4.72%		15,563		58.06%		26,807
	Nodaway		6,380		67.46%		2,529		26.74%		549		5.80%		3,851		40.72%		9,458
	Oregon		3,671		78.64%		865		18.53%		132		2.83%		2,806		60.11%		4,668
	Osage		5,856		82.60%		998		14.08%		236		3.32%		4,858		68.52%		7,090
	Ozark		3,639		80.78%		724		16.07%		142		3.15%		2,915		64.71%		4,505
	Pemiscot		3,964		65.60%		1,947		32.22%		132		2.18%		2,017		33.38%		6,043
	Perry		6,908		79.04%		1,520		17.39%		312		3.57%		5,388		61.65%		8,740
	Pettis		12,810		70.37%		4,324		23.75%		1,070		5.88%		8,486		46.62%		18,204
	Phelps		12,709		67.92%		4,766		25.47%		1,238		6.61%		7,943		42.45%		18,713
	Pike		5,274		71.00%		1,806		24.31%		348		4.69%		3,468		46.69%		7,428
	Platte		25,933		52.28%		20,057		40.43%		3,618		7.29%		5,876		11.85%		49,608
	Polk		10,438		75.84%		2,631		19.12%		694		5.04%		7,807		56.72%		13,763
	Pulaski		9,876		72.71%		2,922		21.51%		784		5.78%		6,954		51.20%		13,582
	Putnam		1,936		82.52%		353		15.05%		57		2.43%		1,583		67.47%		2,346
	Ralls		3,969		74.97%		1,138		21.50%		187		3.53%		2,831		53.47%		5,294
	Randolph		7,529		72.34%		2,283		21.94%		596		5.72%		5,246		50.40%		10,408
	Ray		7,104		64.91%		3,090		28.23%		751		6.86%		4,014		36.68%		10,945
	Reynolds		2,406		79.20%		540		17.77%		92		3.03%		1,866		61.43%		3,038
	Ripley		4,522		81.86%		830		15.03%		172		3.11%		3,692		66.83%		5,524
	Saline		5,977		64.45%		2,789		30.07%		508		5.48%		3,188		34.38%		9,274
	Schuyler		1,505		77.74%		354		18.29%		77		3.97%		1,151		59.45%		1,936
	Scotland		1,525		76.98%		365		18.43%		91		4.59%		1,160		58.55%		1,981
	Scott		13,168		75.95%		3,575		20.62%		594		3.43%		9,593		55.33%		17,337
	Shannon		2,966		75.97%		776		19.88%		162		4.15%		2,190		56.09%		3,904
	Shelby		2,524		77.09%		606		18.51%		144		4.40%		1,918		58.58%		3,274
	St. Charles		121,650		59.87%		68,626		33.78%		12,908		6.35%		53,024		26.09%		203,184
	St. Clair		3,501		75.62%		936		20.22%		193		4.16%		2,565		55.40%		4,630
	St. Francois		17,468		70.10%		6,250		25.08%		1,202		4.82%		11,218		45.02%		24,920
	St. Louis		202,434		38.95%		286,704		55.17%		30,548		5.88%		-84,270		-16.22%		519,686
	St. Louis City		20,832		15.72%		104,235		78.68%		7,420		5.60%		-83,403		-62.96%		132,487
	Ste. Genevieve		5,496		64.57%		2,542		29.86%		474		5.57%		2,954		34.71%		8,512
	Stoddard		11,079		83.36%		1,876		14.11%		336		2.53%		9,203		69.25%		13,291
	Stone		13,158		79.05%		2,887		17.34%		600		3.61%		10,271		61.71%		16,645
	Sullivan		1,884		75.78%		526		21.16%		76		3.06%		1,358		54.62%		2,486
	Taney		18,276		77.20%		4,373		18.47%		1,024		4.33%		13,903		58.73%		23,673
	Texas		8,875		81.01%		1,728		15.77%		353		3.22%		7,147		65.24%		10,956
	Vernon		6,533		75.69%		1,707		19.78%		391		4.53%		4,826		55.91%		8,631
	Warren		11,111		70.39%		3,915		24.80%		758		4.81%		7,196		45.59%		15,784
	Washington		7,048		75.53%		1,926		20.64%		357		3.83%		5,122		54.89%		9,331
	Wayne		4,658		80.84%		948		16.45%		156		2.71%		3,710		64.39%		5,762
	Webster		12,840		76.69%		3,177		18.98%		726		4.33%		9,663		57.71%		16,743
	Worth		808		77.25%		195		18.64%		43		4.11%		613		58.61%		1,046
	Wright		6,707		82.61%		1,170		14.41%		242		2.98%		5,537		68.20%		8,119
Totals	1,594,511	56.38%	1,071,068	37.87%	162,687	5.75%	523,443	18.51%	2,828,266

By congressional district

Trump won 6 of 8 congressional districts.^[15]

District	Trump	Clinton	Representative
		19%	77%		Lacy Clay
		53%	42%		Ann Wagner
		67%	28%		Blaine Luetkemeyer
		65%	29%		Vicky Hartzler
		40%	55%		Emanuel Cleaver
		63%	31%		Sam Graves
		70%	25%		Billy Long
		75%	21%		Jason Smith

See also

• United States presidential elections in Missouri
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2016 Libertarian Party presidential primaries

External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Missouri

Notes and References

1. Web site: Voter Turnout Report - State of Missouri General Election - 2016 General Election. Missouri's Secretary of State.
2. Web site: Distribution of Electoral Votes. National Archives and Records Administration. 19 September 2019. November 29, 2020.
3. News: Missouri Election Results 2016 . . 2018-07-09 . en.
4. Web site: Home. 2016-02-03. 2016-01-31. https://web.archive.org/web/20160131224627/http://www.memphisdemocrat.com/notice-of-primary-election/. dead.
5. Web site: State of Missouri - Election Night Results. Missouri Secretary of State. Government of Missouri. 16 March 2016. 16 March 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160318113410/http://enr.sos.mo.gov/EnrNet/. 18 March 2016. dead. dmy-all.
6. Web site: RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Missouri: Trump vs. Clinton.
7. News: Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours. . . 2016-11-06 . 2016-11-13.
8. News: Chalian . David . David Chalian. Road to 270: CNN's new election map . March 3, 2019 . . November 4, 2016.
9. Web site: 2016 Electoral Scorecard . November 7, 2016 . . en . March 3, 2019 . March 1, 2019 . https://web.archive.org/web/20190301010353/https://cookpolitical.com/presidential/charts/scorecard . dead .
10. Web site: 2016 Electoral Map Prediction . November 8, 2016 . . March 3, 2019.
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