2016 United States Senate election in Florida explained

See also: 2016 United States Senate elections.

The 2016 United States Senate election in Florida was held November 8, 2016 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Florida, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary elections for both the Republicans and Democrats took place on August 30, 2016.^[1]

Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio ran for another term but faced well-funded Republican primary opposition after initially announcing he would not seek re-election to his Senate seat. He had openly considered whether to seek re-election or run for president in 2016.^{[2] [3] [4]} He stated in April 2014 that he would not run for both the Senate and president in 2016, as Florida law prohibits a candidate from simultaneously appearing twice on a ballot, but did not rule out running for either office.^[5]

However, in April 2015, Rubio announced that he was running for President and would not seek re-election.^{[6] [7] [8] [9]} Rubio had initially said he would not run for re-election to the Senate even if he dropped out of the GOP presidential primary before he would have to qualify for the 2016 Senate primary ballot, for which the filing deadline was June 24, 2016.^{[10] [11]}

On June 13, 2016, despite his previous statements that he would not run for re-election to his Senate seat, Rubio "seemed to open the door to running for re-election," citing the previous day's mass shooting in Orlando and how "it really gives you pause, to think a little bit about your service to your country and where you can be most useful to your country."^[12] On June 22, 2016, Rubio announced that he would seek re-election to the Senate, reversing his pledge not to run.^[13]

On August 30, the Republican Party nominated Marco Rubio, and the Democratic Party nominated Representative Patrick Murphy. Rubio won with the largest raw vote total in Florida history (until Donald Trump broke the record in 2020), taking a greater percentage of the popular vote than Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, who won the state in the election. He is the first Republican Senator from Florida since 1994, and only the second with Connie Mack, to be reelected to a second term. Also, with Mel Martinez's victory in 2004, this marks the first time that Republicans have won one of Florida's Senate seats three times in a row (Mack succeeded Lawton Chiles, a Democrat, and was succeeded by another Democrat, Bill Nelson).

Marco Rubio won 48% of the Hispanic vote and 17% of the African American vote during this election, an exceptional number for a Republican during a presidential year.^[14] Additionally, Rubio's raw vote total was the highest vote total for any Republican Senate candidate up until Texas Senator John Cornyn broke it in 2020.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Carlos Beruff, real estate developer and chair of the Florida Commission on Healthcare and Hospital Funding^{[15] [16] [17]}
• Ernie Rivera, businessman
• Marco Rubio, incumbent U.S. Senator
• Dwight Young, Pinellas County Sheriff's deputy^[18]

Withdrawn

• Ron DeSantis, U.S. Representative (ran for reelection)^{[19] [20] [21]}
• Mary Elisabeth Godwin, pastor^{[22] [23]}
• David Jolly, U.S. Representative (ran for reelection)^{[24] [25]}
• Carlos Lopez-Cantera, Lieutenant Governor of Florida^{[26] [27] [28]}
• Todd Wilcox, businessman and former CIA case officer^{[29] [30] [31]}

Declined

• Jeff Atwater, Chief Financial Officer of Florida^[32]
• Rick Baker, former mayor of St. Petersburg^{[33] [34]}
• Pam Bondi, Florida Attorney General^[35]
• Dan Bongino, radio host, former Secret Service agent, and nominee for the U.S. Senate from Maryland in 2012 and for MD-06 in 2014^{[36] [37] [38]} (running for FL-19)
• Vern Buchanan, U.S. Representative (ran for reelection)^{[39] [40]}
• Ben Carson, retired neurosurgeon and former candidate for President in 2016^{[41] [42]}
• Curt Clawson, U.S. Representative^{[43] [44]}
• Randy Fine, businessman^[45]
• Anitere Flores, state senator (ran for reelection)^[46]
• Don Gaetz, state senator and former State Senate President^[47]
• Mike Haridopolos, former President of the Florida Senate and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012^[48]
• George LeMieux, former U.S. senator^[49]
• Connie Mack IV, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012^[50]
• Bill McCollum, former Florida Attorney General, former U.S. Representative, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2000, candidate in 2004 and candidate for governor in 2010^{[51] [52]}
• John Mica, U.S. Representative (ran for reelection)^[53]
• Jeff Miller, U.S. Representative^[54]
• Adam Putnam, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture and former U.S. Representative^{[55] [56]}
• Francis Rooney, former United States Ambassador to the Holy See (ran for U.S. House)^{[57] [58] [59]}
• Tom Rooney, U.S. Representative (ran for reelection)^{[60] [61] [62]}
• Dennis A. Ross, U.S. Representative (ran for reelection)^[63]
• Joe Scarborough, cable news personality and former U.S. Representative^[64]
• Will Weatherford, former Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives^[65]
• Daniel Webster, U.S. Representative^[66]
• Allen West, former U.S. Representative^[67]
• Ted Yoho, U.S. Representative (ran for reelection)^{[68] [69]}

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Carlos Beruff	Ron DeSantis	David Jolly	Ilya Katz	Carlos	Marco Rubio	Todd Wilcox	Other/ Undecided
Mason-Dixon[70]	August 22–24, 2016	400	± 5%	22%	—	—	—	—	align=center	61%	—	15%
Florida Atlantic University[71]	August 19–22, 2016	327	± 5.4%	8%	—	—	—	—	align=center	69%	5%	align=center	15%
Florida Chamber of Commerce[72]	August 17–22, 2016	249	± 4.0%	19%	—	—	—	—	align=center	68%	—	10%
St. Leo University[73]	August 14–18, 2016	479	± 4.5%	14%	—	—	—	—	align=center	68%	—	align=center	18%
Suffolk University[74]	August 1–3, 2016	183	± 4.4%	12%	–	–	–	–	align=center	62%	–	26%
St. Pete Polls[75]	August 2, 2016	1,835	± 2.3%	22%	–	–	–	–	align=center	55%	–	23%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSA[76]	June 25–27, 2016	555	± 4.1%	11%	–	–	–	–	align=center	63%	–	13%
Vox Populi Polling (R)[77]	June 19–20, 2016	487	± 4.4%	5%	–	–	–	–	align=center	57%	4%	34%
St. Leo University[78]	June 10–16, 2016	500	± 7%	4%	5%	4%	1%	3%	align=center	52%	2%	27%
				8%	8%	8%	2%	align=center	9%	–	5%	align=center	57%
Mason-Dixon[79]	May 31–June 2, 2016	400	± 5%	align=center	17%	10%	13%	–	9%	–	2%	align=center	49%
News 13/Bay News 9[80]	March 4–6, 2016	724	± 3.7%	1%	11%	align=center	18%	4%	9%	–	7%	align=center	50%
Washington Post/Univision[81]	March 2–5, 2016	450	± 5.5%	0%	align=center	6%	5%	–	align=center	6%	–	2%	align=center	81%
Public Policy Polling[82]	February 24–25, 2016	464	± 4.6%	–	14%	align=center	26%	–	11%	–	2%	align=center	47%
Florida Atlantic University College of Business[83]	January 15–18, 2016	345	± 5.2%	–	8%	align=center	28%	–	8%	–	–	align=center	57%
St. Pete Polls/Saint Petersblog[84]	December 14–15, 2015	2,694	± 1.9%	–	18%	align=center	21%	–	10%	–	8%	align=center	44%
St. Leo University[85]		147	± 8%	–	6%	align=center	12%	4%	8%	–	7%	align=center	63%
Public Policy Polling[86]	September 11–13, 2015	377	± 5.1%	–	15%	align=center	18%	–	14%	–	–	align=center	52%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	error	Vern Buchanan	Ben Carson	Ron DeSantis	Don Gaetz	David Jolly	George LeMieux	Carlos	Bill McCollum	Jeff Miller	Tom Rooney	Todd Wilcox	Other/ Undecided
News 13/Bay News 9	March 4–6, 2016	724	± 3.7%	–	align=center	56%	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	44%
Mason-Dixon[87]	July 20–24, 2015	500	± 4.5%	–	–	8%	–	11%	–	7%	align=center	22%	6%	–	1%	align=center	45%
	–	–	9%	–	align=center	16%	–	10%	–	8%	–	2%	align=center	55%
St. Pete Polls[88]		1,074	± 3.0%	–	—	9%	—	align=center	22%	—	11%	—	12%	—	–	align=center	46%
Gravis Marketing[89]		729	± 3.6%	–	—	16%	—	—	—	7%	align=center	25%	6%	—	–	align=center	46%
St. Leo University[90]		425	± 4.5%	–	—	6%	4%	6%	3%	7%	align=center	16%	8%	—	–	align=center	43%
Mason-Dixon[91]		425	± 4.8%	7%	–	4%	1%	8%	3%	4%	align=center	20%	—	5%	–	align=center	48%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	error	Jeff Atwater	Pam Bondi	Carlos	Adam Putnam	Allen West	Other/ Undecided
[92]		425	± 4.8%	12%	25%	8%	—	align=center	38%	18%
align=center	41%	—	15%	—	—	align=center	43%
Gravis Marketing[93]		513	± 4%	9%	align=center	36%	—	12%	—	align=center	43%
Public Policy Polling[94]	September 4–7, 2014	818	± 3.4%	17%	align=center	38%	—	16%	—	29%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Rocky De La Fuente, businessman, candidate for president in 2016, and American Delta Party and Reform Party nominee for president in 2016^[95]
• Alan Grayson, U.S. Representative^[96]
• Pam Keith, attorney, former Judge Advocate in the U.S. Navy, and daughter of former Ambassador Kenton Keith^{[97] [98]}
• Reginald Luster, attorney^[99]
• Patrick Murphy, U.S. Representative^[100]

Withdrawn

• Lateresa Jones, life coach and independent candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014 (running as an Independent)^{[101] [102]}

Declined

• Bob Buckhorn, Mayor of Tampa^[103]
• Kathy Castor, U.S. Representative^[104]
• Charlie Crist, former Republican Governor of Florida, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and Democratic nominee for governor in 2014 (running for the U.S. House of Representatives)^[105]
• Ted Deutch, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)^[106]
• Buddy Dyer, Mayor of Orlando
• Dan Gelber, former Minority Leader of the Florida House of Representatives, former state senator and nominee for Florida attorney general in 2010^{[107] [108]}
• Andrew Gillum, Mayor of Tallahassee^{[109] [110]}
• Philip Levine, Mayor of Miami Beach^[111]
• Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. Representative and former Chair of the Democratic National Committee (running for re-election)^[112]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Alan Grayson	Pam Keith	Lateresa Jones	Patrick Murphy	Other/ Undecided
Mason-Dixon[113]	August 22–24, 2016	400	± 5%	22%	4%	—	align=center	55%	19%
Florida Atlantic University	August 19–22, 2016	364		8%	7%	—	align=center	54%	22%
Florida Chamber of Commerce	August 17–22, 2016	258	± 4.0%	11%	—	—	align=center	40%	align=center	38%
St. Leo University	August 14–18, 2016	532	± 4.5%	17%	8%	—	align=center	48%	27%
Suffolk University[114]	August 1–3, 2016	194	± 4.4%	17%	2%	–	align=center	36%	align=center	45%
St. Pete Polls[115]	August 2, 2016	1,807	± 2.3%	20%	7%	–	align=center	45%	28%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSA	June 25–27, 2016	618	± 4.0%	21%	10%	–	align=center	30%	align=center	35%
Vox Populi Polling (R)[116]	June 19–20, 2016	530	± 4.3%	15%	5%	–	align=center	19%	align=center	62%
Targeted Persuasion[117]	June 14–16, 2016	862	± 3.34%	align=center	30%	5%	–	27%	align=center	38%
St. Leo University	June 10–16, 2016	500	± 7%	14%	3%	4%	align=center	16%	align=center	61%
Mason-Dixon[118]	May 31–June 2, 2016	400	± 5%	23%	3%	–	align=center	31%	align=center	43%
Public Policy Polling[119]	March 22–23, 2016	829	?	align=center	33%	–	–	32%	align=center	35%
St. Leo University[120]	March 13–17, 2016	540	± 5%	17%	–	–	align=center	20%	align=center	63%
Mason-Dixon[121]	March 7–9, 2016	500	± 4.5%	19%	–	–	align=center	33%	align=center	48%
SurveyUSA[122]	March 4–6, 2016	592	± 4.1%	16%	11%	–	align=center	27%	align=center	46%
Bendixon & Amandi/The Tarrance Group[123]	March 2–5, 2016	449	± 6%	19%	–	–	align=center	27%	align=center	54%
Univision[124]	March 2–5, 2016	449	± 6%	29%	–	–	align=center	36%	align=center	35%
Public Policy Polling	February 24–25, 2016	388	± 5%	align=center	33%	–	–	22%	align=center	45%
20/20 Insight LLC [125]	~February 16–18, 2016	646	± 3.9%	align=center	41%	–	–	32%	27%
Florida Atlantic University College of Business	January 15–18, 2016	371	± 5%	align=center	27%	–	–	20%	align=center	53%
St. Leo University	November 29–December 3, 2015	160	± 7.5%	7%	4%	6%	align=center	17%	align=center	55%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–13, 2015	368	± 5.1%	align=center	33%	–	–	27%	align=center	39%
Mason-Dixon	July 20–24, 2015	500	± 4.5%	24%	–	–	align=center	26%	align=center	50%
	align=center	33%	–	–	32%	align=center	35%
St. Pete Polls[126]	July 15, 2015	1,018	± 3.1%	align=center	30%	8%	–	23%	align=center	39%
Gravis Marketing	June 16–20, 2015	881	± 3.3%	align=center	63%	–	–	19%	18%
Vox Populi Polling (R)[127]	June 15–17, 2015	717	± 3.7%	24%	–	–	align=center	34%	align=center	42%
St. Leo University	May 25–31, 2015	535	± 4.5%	24%	—	–	align=center	27%	align=center	49%
Mason-Dixon[128]	April 14–16, 2015	400	± 5%	14%	–	–	align=center	23%	align=center	63%
Public Policy Polling[129]	March 19–22, 2015	371	± 5.1%	align=center	22%	–	–	21%	align=center	56%

* Internal poll for Alan Grayson

Results

Libertarian primary

On October 1, 2015, Adrian Wyllie and Lynn House, chair and vice chair, respectively, of the Libertarian Party of Florida, resigned their seats in protest after the executive committee refused to oust candidate Augustus Invictus from the party. According to Wyllie, Invictus had defended eugenics, called for a new Civil War, and brutally slaughtered a goat, and is not representative of the Libertarian Party. Invictus has refuted these claims, calling Wyllie's accusations, "deliberate misrepresentation[s]."^[130]

Candidates

Declared

• Augustus S. Invictus, attorney^[131]
• Paul Stanton, IT technician and U.S. Army veteran^[132]

Declined

• Roger Stone, political consultant, lobbyist and strategist^[133]

Results

Independent

Candidates

Declared

• Basil Dalack, attorney and former Tequesta Village Councilman^{[134] [135]}
• Lateresa Jones, life coach and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014
• Anton "Tony" Khoury, businessman^[136]
• Steven Machat, music producer^[137]
• Bruce Nathan, physical therapist^[138]

No party affiliation

Candidates

Declared

• Bruce Nathan, physical therapist ^{[139] [140]}

General election

Debates

Dates	Location	Rubio	Murphy	Stanton	Link
October 17, 2016	Orlando, Florida	Participant	Participant	Not Invited	align=left	[141]
October 26, 2016	Davie, Florida	Participant	Participant	Not Invited	align=left	[142]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report[143]		November 2, 2016
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball[144]		November 7, 2016
align=left	Rothenberg Political Report[145]		November 3, 2016
align=left	Daily Kos[146]		November 8, 2016
align=left	Real Clear Politics[147]		November 7, 2016

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Marco Rubio (R)	Patrick Murphy (D)	Paul Stanton (L)	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey[148]	November 1–7, 2016	4,092	± 4.6%	48%	align=center	49%	—	—	3%
Quinnipiac University[149]	November 3–6, 2016	884	± 3.3%	align=center	50%	43%	—	2%	5%
Alliance/ESA Poll[150]	November 2–6, 2016	875	± 4.2%	align=center	51%	40%	—	—	9%
SurveyMonkey[151]	October 31–November 6, 2016	3,574	± 4.6%	48%	align=center	49%	—	—	3%
CBS News/YouGov[152]	November 2–4, 2016	1,188	± 3.6%	align=center	47%	44%	—	3%	6%
SurveyMonkey[153]	October 28–November 3, 2016	3,356	± 4.6%	49%	49%	—	—	2%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[154]	November 1–2, 2016	1,220	± 2.8%	align=center	47%	46%	—	—	7%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy[155]	November 1–2, 2016	603	± 4.0%	align=center	50%	46%	—	—	4%
SurveyMonkey[156]	October 27–November 2, 2016	2,901	± 4.6%	align=center	49%	48%	—	—	3%
CNN/ORC[157]	align=center rowspan=2	October 27–November 1, 2016	773 LV	align=center rowspan=2	± 3.5%	align=center	49%	48%	—	—	2%
	884 RV	align=center	50%	47%	—	—	3%
Quinnipiac University[158]	October 27–November 1, 2016	626	± 3.9%	align=center	50%	44%	—	1%	4%
SurveyMonkey[159]	October 26–November 1, 2016	2,715	± 4.6%	align=center	49%	47%	—	—	4%
SurveyMonkey[160]	October 25–31, 2016	2,809	± 4.6%	align=center	49%	47%	—	—	4%
TargetSmart/William & Mary[161]	October 25–28, 2016	718	± 3.4%	align=center	49%	43%	—	7%	1%
Emerson College[162]	October 26–27, 2016	500	± 4.3%	align=center	49%	47%	—	3%	1%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[163]	October 25–27, 2016	814	± 3.4%	align=center	51%	42%	—	—	5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[164]	October 25–26, 2016	1,301	± 2.7%	46%	46%	—	—	8%
Public Policy Polling[165]	October 25–26, 2016	742	± 3.6%	46%	46%	—	—	8%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[166]	align=center rowspan=2	October 25–26, 2016	779 LV	± 3.5%	align=center	51%	43%	—	4%	2%
	990 RV	± 3.1%	align=center	50%	42%	—	4%	3%
St. Leo University[167]	October 22–26, 2016	1,028	± 3.0%	align=center	44%	39%	—	—	17%
University of North Florida[168]	October 20–25, 2016	836	± 3.6%	align=center	49%	43%	—	—	8%
Bloomberg/Selzer[169]	October 21–24, 2016	953	± 3.2%	align=center	51%	41%	—	—	8%
Florida Atlantic University[170]	October 21–23, 2016	500	± 4.3%	align=center	46%	42%	—	—	12%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSA[171]	October 20–24, 2016	1,251	± 2.8%	align=center	45%	41%	—	6%	8%
CBS News/YouGov[172]	October 20–21, 2016	1,042	± 3.6%	align=center	44%	42%	—	6%	8%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy[173]	October 20, 2016	538	± 4.2%	46%	46%	—	—	8%
Google Consumer Surveys[174]	October 18–20, 2016	500	± 4.2%	align=center	57%	38%	—	—	5%
Associated Industries of Florida[175]	October 19, 2016	1,000	± 3.1%	align=center	43%	38%	—	8%	11%
Florida Chamber of Commerce[176]	October 16–19, 2016	507	± 4.4%	align=center	51%	37%	—	1%	11%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid[177]	October 17–18, 2016	892	± 3.0%	align=center	45%	44%	—	—	11%
Quinnipiac University[178]	October 10–16, 2016	660	± 3.8%	align=center	49%	47%	—	—	4%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey[179]	October 8–16, 2016	1,702	± 0.5%	align=center	51%	45%	—	—	4%
Public Policy Polling[180]	October 12–13, 2016	985	± 3.1%	align=center	44%	38%	6%	—	12%
	align=center	48%	43%	—	—	9%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[181]	October 11–13, 2016	1,799	± 2.3%	align=center	44%	36%	—	—	20%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy[182]	October 10–11, 2016	533	± 4.2%	align=center	48%	44%	—	—	8%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[183]	October 3–5, 2016	700	± 3.7%	align=center	48%	46%	—	2%	4%
Associated Industries of Florida[184]	October 2–5, 2016	600	± 4.0%	align=center	49%	41%	—	1%	9%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[185]	October 4, 2016	821	± 3.4%	align=center	44%	40%	—	—	16%
Emerson College[186]	October 2–4, 2016	600	± 3.6%	align=center	47%	39%	—	6%	8%
University of North Florida[187]	September 27–October 4, 2016	667	± 3.8%	align=center	48%	41%	—	1%	10%
Quinnipiac University[188]	September 27–October 2, 2016	545	± 4.2%	align=center	48%	44%	—	—	8%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy[189]	September 28–29, 2016	619	± 4.0%	align=center	47%	43%	—	—	10%
Mason-Dixon[190]	September 27–29, 2016	820	± 3.5%	align=center	47%	40%	5%	2%	6%
Public Policy Polling[191]	September 27–28, 2016	826	± 3.4%	align=center	42%	35%	9%	—	15%
	align=center	47%	44%	—	—	9%
Suffolk University[192]	September 19–21, 2016	500	± 4.4%	align=center	43%	34%	2%	4%	17%
Florida Chamber of Commerce[193]	September 15–20, 2016	617	± 4.0%	align=center	46%	42%	—	—	11%
Monmouth University[194]	September 16–19, 2016	400	± 4.9%	align=center	47%	45%	—	3%	5%
Saint Leo University[195]	September 10–16, 2016	502	± 4.5%	align=center	44%	35%	—	—	21%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[196]	September 10–14, 2016	867	± 3.3%	align=center	48%	42%	—	—	8%
CNN/ORC[197]	align=center rowspan=2	September 7–12, 2016	788 LV	align=center rowspan=2	± 3.0%	align=center	54%	43%	—	1%	2%
	886 RV	align=center	51%	45%	—	1%	4%
Global Strategy Group[198]	September 6–11, 2016	800	± 3.5%	align=center	47%	45%	—	—	8%
JMC Analytics (R)[199]	September 7–8, 2016	781	± 3.5%	align=center	43%	38%	—	4%	15%
Quinnipiac University[200]	August 31–September 7, 2016	601	± 4.0%	align=center	50%	43%	—	1%	6%
Public Policy Polling[201]	September 4–6, 2016	744	± 3.6%	align=center	40%	37%	10%	—	13%
Mason-Dixon[202]	August 22–24, 2016	625	± 4.0%	align=center	46%	43%	—	—	11%
iCitizen[203]	August 18–24, 2016	600	± 4.0%	align=center	43%	42%	—	—	16%
Florida Atlantic University[204]	August 19–22, 2016	1,200	± 2.7%	align=center	44%	39%	—	—	17%
St. Leo University	August 14–18, 2016	1,380	± 3.0%	align=center	46%	38%	—	—	16%
Monmouth University[205]	August 12–15, 2016	402	± 4.9%	align=center	48%	43%	—	3%	5%
FOX 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy[206]	August 10, 2016	622	± 4.0%	align=center	45%	43%	—	—	12%
Civis Analytics[207]	August 9–15, 2016	1,436	± 2.8%	44%	align=center	45%	—	—	9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[208]	August 4–10, 2016	862	± 3.3%	align=center	49%	43%	—	3%	5%
Public Policy Polling[209]	August 5–7, 2016	938	± 3.2%	align=center	42%	40%	—	—	18%
Quinnipiac University[210]	July 30–August 7, 2016	1,056	± 3.0%	align=center	48%	45%	—	—	7%
Suffolk University[211]	August 1–3, 2016	500	± 4.4%	align=center	46%	33%	—	—	21%
JMC Analytics (R)[212]	July 9–10, 2016	700	± 3.7%	align=center	40%	33%	—	5%	21%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[213]	July 5–11, 2016	871	± 3.3%	align=center	47%	44%	—	2%	7%
Quinnipiac University[214]	June 30–July 11, 2016	1,015	± 3.1%	align=center	50%	37%	—	1%	8%
Bay News 9/SurveyUSA	June 25–27, 2016	1,678	± 2.4%	43%	43%	—	7%	8%
Quinnipiac University[215]	June 8–19, 2016	975	± 3.1%	align=center	47%	40%	—	—	13%
Public Policy Polling[216]	June 15–16, 2016	508	± 4.4%	41%	align=center	42%	—	—	17%
Public Policy Polling[217]	June 2–5, 2016	737	± 3.6%	43%	align=center	44%	—	—	13%
Associated Industries of Florida[218]	April 25–27, 2016	604	± 5.0%	align=center	49%	41%	—	—	10%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–13, 2015	814	± 3.4%	align=center	46%	40%	—	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	March 19–22, 2015	923	± 3.2%	align=center	48%	41%	—	—	11%
Mason-Dixon[219]	March 3–5, 2015	800	± 3.5%	align=center	50%	38%	—	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	September 4–7, 2014	818	± 3.4%	align=center	46%	41%	—	—	12%

with Ron DeSantis

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis (R)	Alan Grayson (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	June 8–19, 2016	975	± 3.1%	33%	align=center	41%	1%	24%
Quinnipiac University[220]	April 27–May 8, 2016	1,051	± 3.0%	align=center	38%	36%	—	26%
Public Policy Polling	February 24–25, 2016	1,012	± 3.1%	34%	align=center	40%	—	26%
Quinnipiac University[221]	September 25-October 5, 2015	1,173	± 2.9%	31%	align=center	37%	1%	26%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–13, 2015	814	± 3.4%	align=center	37%	36%	—	28%
Quinnipiac University[222]	June 4–15, 2015	1,147	± 2.9%	32%	align=center	38%	1%	29%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis (R)	Patrick Murphy (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	June 8–19, 2016	975	± 3.1%	32%	align=center	42%	1%	25%
Quinnipiac University[223]	April 27–May 8, 2016	1,051	± 3.0%	35%	align=center	36%	—	29%
Associated Industries of Florida	April 25–27, 2016	604	± 5%	28%	align=center	40%	—	32%
Public Policy Polling	February 24–25, 2016	1,012	± 3.1%	31%	align=center	43%	—	26%
Quinnipiac University[224]	September 25-October 5, 2015	1,173	± 2.9%	30%	align=center	37%	1%	29%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–13, 2015	814	± 3.4%	35%	align=center	40%	—	25%
Quinnipiac University	June 4–15, 2015	1,147	± 2.9%	31%	align=center	39%	1%	29%
St. Leo University	May 25–31, 2015	535	± 4.5%	14%	align=center	33%	—	align=center	53%

with David Jolly

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	David Jolly (R)	Alan Grayson (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	June 8–19, 2016	975	± 3.1%	34%	align=center	41%	1%	24%
Public Policy Polling	June 2–5, 2016	737	± 3.6%	33%	align=center	40%	—	27%
Quinnipiac University[225]	April 27–May 8, 2016	1,051	± 3.0%	align=center	37%	35%	—	28%
Public Policy Polling	February 24–25, 2016	1,012	± 3.1%	align=center	38%	35%	—	26%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–13, 2015	814	± 3.4%	align=center	39%	36%	—	26%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	David Jolly (R)	Patrick Murphy (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	June 8–19, 2016	975	± 3.1%	34%	align=center	41%	1%	25%
Public Policy Polling	June 2–5, 2016	737	± 3.6%	29%	align=center	44%	—	27%
Quinnipiac University[226]	April 27–May 8, 2016	1,051	± 3.0%	34%	align=center	37%	—	29%
Associated Industries of Florida	April 25–27, 2016	604	± 5%	33%	align=center	40%	—	27%
Public Policy Polling	February 24–25, 2016	1,012	± 3.1%	34%	align=center	38%	—	27%
Democracy Corps[227]	October 24–28, 2015	400	± 4.9%	align=center	44%	43%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–13, 2015	814	± 3.4%	35%	align=center	40%	—	25%
St. Leo University	May 25–31, 2015	535	± 4.5%	14%	align=center	35%	—	align=center	52%

with Carlos Lopez-Cantera

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Carlos López-Cantera (R)	Alan Grayson (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	June 8–19, 2016	975	± 3.1%	35%	align=center	40%	1%	24%
Quinnipiac University[228]	April 27–May 8, 2016	1,051	± 3.0%	37%	37%	—	26%
Public Policy Polling	February 24–25, 2016	1,012	± 3.1%	35%	align=center	38%	—	26%
Quinnipiac University[229]	September 25-October 5, 2015	1,173	± 2.9%	32%	align=center	35%	1%	27%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–13, 2015	814	± 3.4%	34%	align=center	41%	—	24%
Quinnipiac University	June 4–15, 2015	1,147	± 2.9%	31%	align=center	37%	1%	31%
Quinnipiac University[230]	March 17–28, 2015	1,087	± 3%	align=center	33%	32%	1%	align=center	34%
Public Policy Polling	March 19–22, 2015	923	± 3.2%	36%	align=center	40%	—	24%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Carlos López-Cantera (R)	Patrick Murphy (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	June 8–19, 2016	975	± 3.1%	32%	align=center	41%	1%	26%
Quinnipiac University[231]	April 27–May 8, 2016	1,051	± 3.0%	34%	align=center	38%	—	28%
Associated Industries of Florida	April 25–27, 2016	604	± 5%	31%	align=center	42%	—	27%
Public Policy Polling	February 24–25, 2016	1,012	± 3.1%	31%	align=center	40%	—	29%
Quinnipiac University[232]	September 25-October 5, 2015	1,173	± 2.9%	29%	align=center	37%	1%	30%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–13, 2015	814	± 3.4%	35%	align=center	41%	—	24%
Quinnipiac University	June 4–15, 2015	1,147	± 2.9%	28%	align=center	40%	1%	32%
St. Leo University	May 25–31, 2015	535	± 4.5%	15%	align=center	30%	—	align=center	56%
Quinnipiac University	March 17–28, 2015	1,087	± 3%	31%	align=center	35%	1%	33%
Public Policy Polling	March 19–22, 2015	923	± 3.2%	34%	align=center	41%	—	25%

with Jeff Atwater

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeff Atwater (R)	Alan Grayson (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	March 17–28, 2015	1,087	± 3%	align=center	42%	32%	1%	25%
Public Policy Polling	March 19–22, 2015	923	± 3.2%	align=center	41%	40%	—	19%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeff Atwater (R)	Patrick Murphy (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	March 17–28, 2015	1,087	± 3%	align=center	38%	34%	1%	27%
Public Policy Polling	March 19–22, 2015	923	± 3.2%	align=center	41%	39%	—	20%
Mason-Dixon	March 3–5, 2015	800	± 3.5%	align=center	46%	32%	—	22%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeff Atwater (R)	Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon	March 3–5, 2015	800	± 3.5%	align=center	45%	35%	20%

with Pam Bondi

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Pam Bondi (R)	Alan Grayson (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 19–22, 2015	923	± 3.2%	align=center	45%	42%	13%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Pam Bondi (R)	Patrick Murphy (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 19–22, 2015	923	± 3.2%	align=center	45%	41%	14%

with Don Gaetz

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Don Gaetz (R)	Patrick Murphy (D)	Undecided
St. Leo University	May 25–31, 2015	535	± 4.5%	9%	align=center	36%	align=center	55%

with Jeff Miller

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Jeff Miller (R)	Patrick Murphy (D)	Undecided
St. Leo University	May 25–31, 2015	535	± 4.5%	15%	align=center	34%	align=center	52%

with Marco Rubio

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Marco Rubio (R)	Alex Sink (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling[233]	September 27–29, 2013	579	± 4.1%	align=center	45%	42%	13%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Marco Rubio (R)	Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)	Undecided
Mason-Dixon	March 3–5, 2015	800	± 3.5%	align=center	53%	36%	11%
Public Policy Polling	September 4–7, 2014	818	± 3.4%	align=center	47%	43%	9%
Public Policy Polling[234]	June 6–9, 2014	672	± 3.8%	align=center	48%	40%	12%
Public Policy Polling	September 27–29, 2013	579	± 4.1%	align=center	46%	43%	11%

with Allen West

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Allen West (R)	Alan Grayson (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 19–22, 2015	923	± 3.2%	39%	align=center	42%	19%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Allen West (R)	Patrick Murphy (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 19–22, 2015	923	± 3.2%	39%	align=center	41%	20%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Allen West (R)	Alex Sink (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	September 27–29, 2013	579	± 4.1%	38%	align=center	44%	18%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Allen West (R)	Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	June 6–9, 2014	672	± 3.8%	align=center	41%	40%	19%
Public Policy Polling	September 27–29, 2013	579	± 4.1%	40%	align=center	44%	16%

with Todd Wilcox

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Todd Wilcox (R)	Alan Grayson (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	June 8–19, 2016	975	± 3.1%	34%	align=center	39%	2%	24%
Quinnipiac University[235]	April 27–May 8, 2016	1,051	± 3.0%	align=center	37%	35%	—	28%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Todd Wilcox (R)	Patrick Murphy (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	June 8–19, 2016	975	± 3.1%	31%	align=center	41%	1%	26%
Quinnipiac University[236]	April 27–May 8, 2016	1,051	± 3.0%	33%	align=center	38%	—	27%

with Carlos Beruff

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Carlos Beruff (R)	Alan Grayson (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University[237]	July 30–August 7, 2016	1,056	± 3.0%	39%	align=center	43%	1%	17%
Quinnipiac University[238]	June 30–July 11, 2016	1,015	± 3.1%	38%	38%	1%	19%
Quinnipiac University	June 8–19, 2016	975	± 3.1%	33%	align=center	40%	1%	25%
Public Policy Polling	June 2–5, 2016	737	± 3.6%	32%	align=center	41%	—	28%
Quinnipiac University[239]	April 27–May 8, 2016	1,051	± 3.0%	35%	align=center	36%	—	29%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Carlos Beruff (R)	Patrick Murphy (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University[240]	July 30–August 7, 2016	1,056	± 3.0%	34%	align=center	48%	1%	17%
Quinnipiac University[241]	June 30–July 11, 2016	1,015	± 3.1%	34%	align=center	40%	1%	19%
Quinnipiac University	June 8–19, 2016	975	± 3.1%	31%	align=center	43%	1%	26%
Public Policy Polling	June 2–5, 2016	737	± 3.6%	31%	align=center	43%	—	27%
Quinnipiac University[242]	April 27–May 8, 2016	1,051	± 3.0%	32%	align=center	38%	—	29%
Associated Industries of Florida	April 25–27, 2016	604	± 5.0%	31%	align=center	39%	—	30%

with Alan Grayson

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	Margin of error	Marco Rubio (R)	Alan Grayson (D)	Other	Undecided
iCitizen	August 18–24, 2016	600	± 4.0%	align=center	44%	39%	—	16%
St. Leo University	August 14–18, 2016	1,380	± 3.0%	align=center	47%	34%	—	19%
Monmouth University	August 12–15, 2016	402	± 4.9%	align=center	50%	39%	5%	6%
Quinnipiac University[243]	July 30–August 7, 2016	1,056	± 3.0%	align=center	49%	43%	1%	8%
Suffolk University[244]	August 1–3, 2016	500	± 4.4%	align=center	45%	31%	—	24%
JMC Analytics (R)	July 9–10, 2016	700	± 3.7%	align=center	41%	33%	4%	22%
Quinnipiac University[245]	June 30–July 11, 2016	1,015	± 3.1%	align=center	50%	38%	1%	8%
Quinnipiac University	June 8–19, 2016	975	± 3.1%	align=center	50%	38%	1%	11%
Public Policy Polling	June 15–16, 2016	508	± 4.4%	align=center	42%	40%	—	17%
Public Policy Polling	June 2–5, 2016	737	± 3.6%	align=center	43%	38%	—	19%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–13, 2015	814	± 3.4%	align=center	48%	38%	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	March 19–22, 2015	923	± 3.2%	align=center	49%	40%	—	11%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Miami-Dade (largest municipality: Miami)
• Osceola (largest municipality: Kissimmee)
• St. Lucie (largest municipality: Port St. Lucie)
• Alachua (Largest city: Gainesville)
• Orange (Largest city: Orlando)

Counties that flipped from Independent to Democratic

• Broward (Largest city: Fort Lauderdale)
• Leon (Largest city: Tallahassee)
• Palm Beach (largest city: West Palm Beach)

Counties that from Independent to Republican

• Pinellas (largest municipality: St. Petersburg)

By congressional district

Rubio won 16 of 27 congressional districts, with the remaining 11 going to Murphy. Each candidate won a congressional district that elected a representative of the other party.^[246]

District	Rubio	Murphy	Representative
	70%	25%		Jeff Miller
			Matt Gaetz
	66%	30%		Gwen Graham
			Neal Dunn
		59%	37%		Ted Yoho
	68%	28%		Ander Crenshaw
			John Rutherford
	41%	55%		Corrine Brown
			Al Lawson
		57%	39%		Ron DeSantis
	48%	46%		John Mica
			Stephanie Murphy
		59%	36%		Bill Posey
	46%	50%		Alan Grayson
			Darren Soto
	40%	56%		Daniel Webster
			Val Demings
	62%	33%		Rich Nugent
			Daniel Webster
		56%	38%		Gus Bilirakis
	47%	48%		David Jolly
			Charlie Crist
		44%	52%		Kathy Castor
		54%	41%		Dennis Ross
		55%	40%		Vern Buchanan
		62%	33%		Tom Rooney
	52%	45%		Patrick Murphy
			Brian Mast
	65%	31%		Curt Clawson
			Francis Rooney
		21%	77%		Alcee Hastings
		42%	55%		Lois Frankel
		43%	55%		Ted Deutch
		40%	58%		Debbie Wasserman Schultz
		20%	77%		Frederica Wilson
		60%	37%		Mario Díaz-Balart
		49%	48%		Carlos Curbelo
		48.6%	49.2%		Ileana Ros-Lehtinen

See also

• United States Senate elections, 2016

External links

Official campaign websites

• Marco Rubio (R) for Senate
• Patrick Murphy (D) for Senate
• Paul Stanton (L) for Senate
• Tony Khoury (I) for Senate
• Bruce Nathan (Unaffiliated) for Senate

Notes and References

1. Web site: 2016 Election Day Dates . November 26, 2015 . November 27, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151127004826/http://dos.myflorida.com/elections/for-voters/election-dates/ . live .
2. News: Rubin. Jennifer. August 5, 2013. Prepping for 2016: Marco Rubio. The Washington Post. August 5, 2013. August 7, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20130807072449/http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2013/08/05/prepping-for-2016-marco-rubio/. live.
3. News: Feldmann. Linda. September 4, 2013. 2016 contenders: Why Syria is tough for GOP's Marco Rubio. The Christian Science Monitor. September 7, 2013. Washington. September 6, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20130906042749/http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/2013/0904/2016-contenders-Why-Syria-is-tough-for-GOP-s-Marco-Rubio-video. live.
4. News: Sink. Justin. September 6, 2013. Rubio to tackle future of US, GOP. The Hill. September 7, 2013. November 9, 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20221109000237/https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/161062-sen-rubio-to-release-book-after-midterms/. live.
5. News: Berman. Matt. Marco Rubio Won't Run for Senate in 2016 if He Runs for President. April 2, 2014. National Journal. April 2, 2014. March 29, 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150329044140/http://www.nationaljournal.com/politics/marco-rubio-won-t-run-for-senate-in-2016-if-he-runs-for-president-20140402. live.
6. News: Parker . Ashley . Marco Rubio Announces 2016 Presidential Bid . The New York Times . April 13, 2015 . March 3, 2017 . June 27, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170627125940/https://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/14/us/politics/marco-rubio-2016-presidential-campaign.html?_r=0 . live .
7. News: Marco Rubio tells donors he's running for president in 2016 . CBS News . April 13, 2015 . April 13, 2015 . April 15, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150415181713/http://www.cbsnews.com/news/marco-rubio-tells-donors-hes-running-for-president-in-2016/ . live .
8. News: Marco Rubio rolls the dice . MSNBC . Steve Benen . Steve Benen . April 13, 2015 . April 13, 2015 . April 15, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150415185113/http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/marco-rubio-rolls-the-dice . live .
9. News: Marco Rubio jumps in, will leave Senate . The Washington Examiner . David M. Drucker . April 13, 2015 . April 13, 2015 . July 6, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150706070937/http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/marco-rubio-jumps-in-will-leave-senate/article/2562951 . live .
10. Web site: United States Senate election in Florida, 2016 . . November 26, 2015 . November 4, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151104104519/http://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_Florida,_2016 . live .
11. marcorubio . Marco Rubio . 732401466066014209 . May 17, 2016 . I have only said like 10000 times I will be a private citizen in January..
12. Web site: LoBianco . Tom . Citing Orlando shootings, Rubio opens door to Senate run . . June 13, 2016 . June 13, 2016 . June 13, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160613204808/http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/13/politics/marco-rubio-senate-orlando-shootings/index.html . live .
13. News: Marco Rubio will seek Senate reelection, reversing pledge not to run . . DeBonis . Mike . O'Keefe . Ed . Sullivan . Sean . June 22, 2016 . June 22, 2016 . October 10, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20161010165858/https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2016/06/22/marco-rubio-will-seek-senate-re-election-reversing-pledge-not-to-run/ . live .
14. News: How Rubio outdid Trump in Florida and revived his career . Politico PRO . August 26, 2017 . August 26, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170826114256/http://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/11/the-rubio-effect-how-he-outdid-trump-in-florida-and-revived-his-career-107352 . live .
15. Web site: Beruff considering U.S. Senate run . . Anderson . Zac . January 20, 2016 . January 25, 2016 . July 30, 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240730050434/http://politics.heraldtribune.com/2016/01/20/wealth-connections-would-buoy-beruff-if-he-jumps-into-u-s-senate-race/ . live .
16. Web site: Team in place if Beruff runs . . Anderson . Zac . January 24, 2016 . January 25, 2016 . January 25, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160125090415/http://politics.heraldtribune.com/2016/01/24/team-in-place-if-beruff-runs/ . live .
17. Web site: Cuban-American developer Carlos Beruff launching campaign for U.S. Senate in Miami . Miami Herald . February 24, 2016 . February 26, 2016 . Jeremy . Wallace . February 26, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160226094858/http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/state-politics/article62332362.html . live .
18. Web site: Republican Senate candidates talk tuition, Trump and bear hunts at UCF debate . Nicholson Student Media . Varone . Ciara . April 19, 2016 . May 16, 2016 . January 3, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20200103163952/http://www.nicholsonstudentmedia.com/news/republican-senate-candidates-talk-tuition-trump-and-bear-hunts-at/article_89cbc81c-0669-11e6-985d-8b45f54837f4.html . live .
19. News: Kamisar . Ben . March 9, 2015 . DeSantis opens door to Senate bid . March 9, 2015 . The Hill . March 12, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150312042620/http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/235126-desantis-opens-door-to-senate-bid . live .
20. Web site: Farrington . Brendan . May 5, 2015 . Republican Congressman DeSantis to run for Rubio Senate seat . May 5, 2015 . . July 30, 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240730050435/https://www.sun-sentinel.com/2015/05/05/republican-congressman-desantis-to-run-for-rubio-senate-seat/ . live .
21. Web site: Gancarski . A.G. . June 22, 2016 . Reports: Ron DeSantis to run for re-election in CD 6 . June 22, 2016 . Florida Politics.
22. Web site: Godwin . Elisabeth . February 10, 2016 . Most of you know I am running a campaign for US Senate in Florida . https://web.archive.org/web/20160405134023/https://www.facebook.com/PastorElisabethGodwin/posts/1512570942377938 . April 5, 2016 . April 5, 2016 . Facebook . Most of you know I am running a campaign for US Senate in Florida. I am a God-fearing lady and wish to follow Gods plan for my life. While I will NEVER quite sharing the gospel, I am moving in the direction God is paving. Please consider a donation through the purchase of a shirt (or donate on my website www.ElisabethGodwin.com)..
23. Web site: Candidate Tracking System – Mary Elisabeth Godwin . April 5, 2016 . Florida Division of Elections . July 30, 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240730050435/https://dos.elections.myflorida.com/candidates/CanDetail.asp?account=64989 . live .
24. Web site: Smith . Adam C. . July 20, 2015 . U.S. Rep. David Jolly enters race for U.S. Senate . July 20, 2015 . . July 21, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150721102156/http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/stateroundup/us-rep-david-jolly-enters-race-for-us-senate/2237980 . live .
25. Web site: Kopan . Tal . June 17, 2016 . David Jolly drops out of Florida Senate race, possibly clearing way for Marco Rubio . . June 17, 2016 . June 17, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160617191047/http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/17/politics/david-jolly-marco-rubio-senate-race/ . live .
26. News: Mazzei . Patricia . July 15, 2015 . Carlos Lopez-Cantera says he's running for Marco Rubio's U.S. Senate seat in Florida . https://web.archive.org/web/20150716015905/http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/elections-2016/article27290605.html . 2015-07-16 . July 15, 2015 . The Miami Herald.
27. News: June 22, 2016 . Lopez-Cantera Ends Senate Bid, Endorses Rubio . June 22, 2016 . Sunshine State News . June 23, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160623140958/http://sunshinestatenews.com/story/carlos-lopez-cantera-ends-senate-bid-endorses-marco-rubio . live .
28. Web site: Perry . Mitch . June 22, 2016 . Carlos Lopez-Cantera officially drops out of Florida's U.S. Senate race . June 22, 2016 . Florida Politics . June 30, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160630025045/http://floridapolitics.com/archives/214285-carlos-lopez-cantera-officially-drops-florida-senate-race . live .
29. Web site: Smith . Adam C. . July 8, 2015 . A wildcard GOP candidate enters Fla's U.S. Sen race . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20150709064428/http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/a-wildcard-gop-candidate-enters-gop-sen-race/2236550 . July 9, 2015 . July 8, 2015 . . mdy-all.
30. Web site: Smith . Adam C. . April 22, 2016 . Meet sniper, CIA officer, Green Beret millionaire Todd Wilcox, a candidate for Florida's open Senate seat . June 22, 2016 . . June 27, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160627103810/http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/stateroundup/meet-sniper-cia-officer-green-beret-millionaire-todd-wilcox-a-candidate/2274337 . live .
31. Web site: Auslen . Michael . June 24, 2016 . Todd Wilcox to drop from Senate race . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20160625131333/http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/todd-wilcox-to-drop-from-senate-race/2282983 . June 25, 2016 . June 22, 2016 . . mdy-all.
32. News: Bennett, George . CFO Jeff Atwater says no — again — to 2016 Senate bid . The Palm Beach Post . November 5, 2015 . November 10, 2015 . November 7, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151107213401/http://postonpolitics.blog.palmbeachpost.com/2015/11/05/cfo-jeff-atwater-says-no-again-to-2016-senate-bid/ . dead .
33. Web site: Another name to put in the hat for U.S. Senate — Rick Baker? . . March . William . May 14, 2015 . May 21, 2015 . May 18, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150518040439/http://www.tampabay.com/news/another-name-to-put-in-the-hat-for-us-senate----rick-baker/2229704 . live .
34. Web site: Rick Baker won't run for Congress in Pinellas County . . Smith . Adam C. . April 12, 2016 . April 13, 2016 . April 13, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160413095352/http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/local/rick-baker-wont-run-for-congress-in-pinellas-county/2272958 . live .
35. MarcACaputo . Marc Caputo . 585548610726662146 . April 7, 2015 . I've said a few times Pam Bondi is not likely to run for US Senate in 16. Now she confirms: "I am not running for the U.S. Senate seat.....
36. News: Dan Bongino set to enter Florida U.S. Senate race in February . A Miner Detail . Miner . Ryan . January 21, 2016 . January 26, 2016 . January 24, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160124024443/http://aminerdetail.com/dan-bongino-set-to-enter-florida-u-s-senate-race-in-february/ . dead .
37. Web site: Conservative Dan Bongino Ponders Entering Senate Race . Sunshine State News . Derby, Kevin . November 6, 2015 . November 10, 2014 . November 16, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20201116231508/http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/conservative-dan-bongino-ponders-entering-senate-race . dead .
38. News: Derby . Kevin . Dan Bongino Stays Out of Senate Race, Backs Ron DeSantis . February 29, 2016 . Sunshine State News . February 26, 2016.
39. News: Alex Leary . Vern Buchanan and Will Weatherford in no rush to decide on U.S. Senate . Tampa Bay Times . March 19, 2015 . March 19, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150322003220/http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/vern-buchanan-and-will-weatherford-in-no-rush-to-decide-on-us-senate/2222016 . March 22, 2015 . dead . mdy-all .
40. News: Jeremy Wallace . Exclusive: Buchanan out of U.S. Senate race . Sarasota Herald-Tribune . April 30, 2015 . April 30, 2015 . April 3, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170403023005/http://politics.heraldtribune.com/2015/04/30/buchanan-out-of-u-s-senate-race/ . live .
41. Web site: GOP operatives to pitch Ben Carson on Florida Senate run . CNN . Bash . Dana . March 2, 2016 . March 2, 2016 . March 2, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160302081619/http://edition.cnn.com/2016/03/01/politics/ben-carson-answered-prayers/index.html . live .
42. Web site: Ben Carson endorses Ron DeSantis for Senate . . Bennett . George . April 14, 2016 . April 14, 2016 . April 14, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160414202242/http://postonpolitics.blog.palmbeachpost.com/2016/04/14/ben-carson-endorses-ron-desantis-for-senate/ . dead .
43. Web site: Florida Politicians on Standby Until Marco Rubio Makes Up his Mind for 2016 . Sunshine State News . Henderson . Jeff . February 26, 2015 . February 27, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150227175627/http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/florida-politicians-stand-until-marco-rubio-makes-his-mind-2016 . February 27, 2015 . dead . mdy-all .
44. Web site: Senate hopeful says he'll work to address terrorism threat . . Gill . Kristine . December 4, 2015 . April 14, 2016.
45. Web site: Republican Randy Fine not running for U.S. Senate . . Dixon . Matt . July 1, 2015 . July 1, 2015 . July 2, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150702223250/http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/republican-randy-fine-not-running-for-us-senate-119658.html . live .
46. Web site: How Jeb Bush Affects the Florida Senate Race . Roll Call . Alexis Levinson . December 22, 2014 . December 26, 2014 . December 26, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20141226023340/http://atr.rollcall.com/how-jeb-bush-affects-the-florida-senate-race/ . dead .
47. Web site: Jeremy Wallace . Don Gaetz will not run for U.S. Senate, but considers House seat . SaintPetersBlog . May 31, 2015 . May 31, 2015 . July 31, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150731142200/http://www.saintpetersblog.com/archives/232088 . live .
48. Web site: Is Mike Haridopolos eyeing return to Florida Senate? . SaintPetersBlog . Schorsch . Peter . February 29, 2016 . March 11, 2016 . March 12, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160312003634/http://saintpetersblog.com/mike-haridopolos-eyeing-return-florida-senate/ . live .
49. Web site: Dean, Ed . George LeMieux Will Not Try to Return to the Senate in 2016 . Sunshine State News . June 2, 2015 . June 2, 2015 . June 7, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150607043606/http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/george-lemieux-will-not-try-return-senate-2016 . live .
50. Web site: Hungary taps ex-congressman as US spokesman . . Wilson . Megan R. . September 16, 2015 . November 11, 2015 . October 22, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151022082418/http://thehill.com/business-a-lobbying/253909-hungary-taps-ex-congressman-as-us-spokesman . live .
51. Web site: Bill McCollum says he's looking at running for U.S. Sen . . Smith . Adam C. . April 30, 2015 . July 28, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150723190240/http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/bill-mccollum-says-hes-looking-at-running-for-us-sen/2227800 . July 23, 2015 . live . mdy-all .
52. Web site: What Bill McCollum's thinking on Senate campaign . . Smith . Adam C. . July 20, 2015 . July 28, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150724171236/http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/what-bill-mccollums-thinking-on-senate-campaign/2238096 . July 24, 2015 . live . mdy-all .
53. Web site: Mica officially files for reelection in 7th Congressional District . The Orlando Political Observer . Torres . Frank . July 1, 2015 . July 7, 2015 . March 27, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170327044523/http://orlando-politics.com/2015/07/01/mica-officially-files-for-reelection-in-7th-congressional-district/ . live .
54. Web site: Rep. Miller won't seek Florida Senate seat . The Hill . July 30, 2015 . July 30, 2015 . July 31, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150731222131/http://thehill.com/homenews/house/249811-rep-miller-wont-seek-florida-senate-seat . live .
55. Web site: Adam Putnam fundraising numbers add to 2018 governor race speculation . . Wallace . Jeremy . July 15, 2015 . February 28, 2016 . March 25, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160325171244/http://miamiherald.typepad.com/nakedpolitics/2015/07/adam-putnam-fundraising-numbers-add-to-2018-governor-race-speculation.html . live .
56. Web site: Will Florida Commissioner of Agriculture Adam Putnam run for governor in 2018? . . Rousos . Rick . February 26, 2016 . February 28, 2016 . May 5, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160505110151/http://www.theledger.com/article/20160226/politics01/160229487?tc=ar . dead .
57. Web site: Is Francis Rooney the Unicorn in Florida's U.S. Senate Race? . Florida Politics . Schorsch . Peter . January 25, 2016 . January 25, 2016 . January 26, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160126090015/http://floridapolitics.com/archives/199585-is-francis-rooney-the-unicorn-in-floridas-u-s-senate-race . live .
58. Web site: Sources: Ex-ambassador and major Bush donor mulling U.S. Senate run in Florida . Politico Florida . Caputo . Marc . March 10, 2016 . March 11, 2016 . March 12, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160312024645/http://www.capitalnewyork.com/article/florida/2016/03/8593373/sources-ex-ambassador-and-major-bush-donor-mulling-us-senate-run-flo . live .
59. Web site: Francis Rooney Says He Won't Run for U.S. Senate . Florida Politics . Buzzacco-Foerster . Jenna . April 5, 2016 . April 5, 2016 . April 19, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160419074045/http://floridapolitics.com/archives/206194-francis-rooney-wont-run-u-s-senate . live .
60. Web site: Jeremy Wallace . Buchanan could make Senate bid . February 6, 2015 . February 6, 2015 . July 30, 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240730050436/http://politics.heraldtribune.com/2015/02/06/buchanan-make-senate-bid/ . live .
61. Web site: Could Florida's U.S. Senate race come down to Tcoast face-off? . . Bennett . George . April 6, 2015 . April 6, 2015 . April 9, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150409234525/http://www.mypalmbeachpost.com/news/news/state-regional-govt-politics/could-floridas-us-senate-race-come-down-to-tcoast-/nknwL/ . live .
62. gbennettpost . George Bennett . 590198355910795264 . April 20, 2015 . Florida Republican Rep. @TomRooney decides against 2016 U.S. Senate run..
63. Web site: Marco Rubio's Presidential Bid Creates Open-Seat Scrum (Updated) . . Cahn . Emily . Levinson . Alexis . April 13, 2015 . April 13, 2015 . April 14, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150414020818/http://atr.rollcall.com/marco-rubio-president-open-seat-florida/ . dead .
64. Web site: Commuting thoughts of a run . April 4, 2015 . April 4, 2015 . Joe . Scarborough . Politico . January 17, 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20180117131317/https://www.politico.com/blogs/joe-scarborough/2015/04/commuting-thoughts-of-a-run-205005 . live .
65. News: Will Weatherford won't run for U.S. Senate . . Leary . Alex . April 15, 2015 . April 15, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150416131054/http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/will-weatherford-wont-run-for-us-senate/2225615 . April 16, 2015 . dead . mdy-all .
66. fineout . Gary Fineout . 582977823771639808 . March 31, 2015 . BREAKING @RepWebster is not running for US Senate in 16. Oh, wait. He never said he was interested. Never mind..
67. News: Anthony Man . It's goodbye for Allen West, who's leaving Florida . Orlando Sentinel . November 10, 2014 . November 12, 2014 . January 26, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150126055039/http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/politics/fl-allen-west-leaves-florida-20141110-story.html . live .
68. Web site: Ted Yoho Considering Entering 2016 Race to Replace Marco Rubio in Senate . Sunshine State News . Derby . Kevin . July 28, 2015 . July 28, 2015 . July 31, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150731000947/http://sunshinestatenews.com/story/ted-yoho-considering-entering-2016-race-replace-marco-rubio-senate . live .
69. Web site: Ted Yoho Endorsed by Tea Party Express . Sunshine State News . Derby . Kevin . March 24, 2016 . April 13, 2016 . September 19, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170919233908/http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/blog/ted-yoho-endorsed-tea-party-express . live .
70. http://mason-dixon.com/News/FL816Sen.pdf Mason-Dixon
71. http://business.fau.edu/departments/economics/business-economics-polling/bepi-polls/index.aspx#.V72e7luLTIU Florida Atlantic University
72. http://www.flchamber.com/politicians-parties-and-plaintiff-trial-lawyers-are-unknown-or-unliked-in-new-florida-chamber-of-commerce-statewide-poll/ Florida Chamber of Commerce
73. http://polls.saintleo.edu/saint-leo-poll-shows-rubio-running-strong-in-senate-race-better-than-trump-is-running-on-top-of-the-gop-ticket-in-florida/ St. Leo University
74. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/8_4_2016_marginals.pdf Suffolk University
75. http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2016_State_REP_Primary_August_2_Q8U4.pdf St. Pete Polls
76. http://www.baynews9.com/content/news/baynews9/news/article.html/content/news/articles/cfn/2016/6/28/florida_decides_polls_senate_presidential.html#results Bay News 9/SurveyUSA
77. http://www.senateleadershipfund.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Florida-Republican-Senate-Primary-Survey-Topline.pdf Vox Populi Polling (R)
78. http://polls.saintleo.edu/marco-rubio-a-strong-favorite-among-florida-gop-voters-for-senate-candidacy-saint-leo-university-polling-results-affirm/ St. Leo University
79. http://mason-dixon.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/FL-6-16-PollPart2.pdf Mason-Dixon
80. http://www.baynews9.com/content/news/baynews9/news/article.html/content/news/articles/bn9/2016/3/7/exclusive_political_.html News 13/Bay News 9
81. https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/wapo-univision-florida-poll/?tid=a_inl Washington Post/Univision
82. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/03/democrats-lead-most-fl-sen-match-ups.html Public Policy Polling
83. http://business.fau.edu/departments/economics/business-economics-polling/bepi-polls/download.aspx?id=6318 Florida Atlantic University College of Business
84. http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2015_StatePRI_REP_SENATE_December_15_LU92.pdf St. Pete Polls/Saint Petersblog
85. http://polls.saintleo.edu/florida-mirrors-nation-in-persistent-affinity-for-trump-or-clinton-plus-growing-concern-for-security/ St. Leo University
86. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_FL_91615.pdf Public Policy Polling
87. http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/fl-florida-senate-poll-mccollum-graham-20150727-story.html# Mason-Dixon
88. http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2015_FloridaPolitics_StateGEN_REP_July_15_WJ3E.pdf St. Pete Polls
89. http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-democratic-and-republican-polling-in-florida/ Gravis Marketing
90. http://polls.saintleo.edu/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/Statewide-Florida-Survey-Toplines-2Q-2015-Poll-Florida-Politics-U.S.-Senate-Race.pdf St. Leo University
91. http://images.realclear.com/files/2015/04/113_MasonDixon_FLSen_0421.pdf Mason-Dixon
92. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_FL_32515.pdf Public Policy Polling
93. http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/florida-poll-jeb-walker-lead-in-gop-sunshine-state-poll/ Gravis Marketing
94. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_FL_909704.pdf Public Policy Polling
95. Web site: It's a 'Rocky' start: Florida's candidate qualifying window opens . . Bousquet . Steve . June 20, 2016 . June 20, 2016 . June 23, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160623081930/http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/from-us-senate-on-down-candidates-line-up-to-run-for-office/2282419 . live .
96. Web site: Florida Rep. Grayson to enter race for Sen. Rubio's seat. https://web.archive.org/web/20180810111921/https://apnews.com/20fa0879e15b42e8bfbbfb66c0c29ead/florida-rep-grayson-enter-race-sen-rubios-seat. dead. 2018-08-10. Associated Press. 2018-08-10. 2018-11-26.
97. Web site: LISTEN: First Democratic Candidate Has Jumped into Florida Senate Race . . February 25, 2015 . February 26, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150627070449/http://www.wjno.com/onair/local-news-wire-55666/listen-first-democratic-candidate-has-jumped-13288729 . June 27, 2015 . dead.
98. Web site: Pam Keith: the U.S. Senate candidate you haven't heard of . . Wilson . Kirby . July 21, 2015 . August 15, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150805121418/http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/pam-keith-the-us-senate-candidate-you-havent-heard-of/2238147 . August 5, 2015 . live . mdy-all.
99. Web site: Republican, Democratic fields take shape for Florida U.S. Senate race . . Clark . Kristen M. . June 20, 2016 . June 20, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160621115341/http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/republican-democratic-fields-take-shape-for-florida-us-senate-race/2282433 . June 21, 2016 . dead . mdy-all.
100. Web site: Marc Caputo . Florida's Patrick Murphy running for Marco Rubio's Senate seat . Politico . March 23, 2015 . March 23, 2015 . March 24, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150324001122/http://www.politico.com/story/2015/03/patrick-murphy-marco-rubio-florida-senate-elections-116297.html . live .
101. Web site: Interview with Lateresa Jones, candidate for U.S. Senate in Florida . . Kinane . Sean . July 7, 2015 . July 8, 2015 . July 9, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150709110023/http://www.wmnf.org/news_stories/interview-with-lateresa-jones-candidate-for-us-senate-in-florida . dead .
102. Web site: Candidate Tracking System – Lateresa A. Jones . Florida Division of Elections . April 5, 2016 . April 16, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160416180349/http://dos.elections.myflorida.com/candidates/CanDetail.asp?account=60784 . live .
103. News: Richard Danielson . Tampa Mayor Bob Buckhorn working to raise statewide profile . Tampa Bay Times . February 15, 2015 . February 15, 2015.
104. Web site: Charlie Crist considering Florida Senate bid in 2016 . . Hamby . Peter . March 11, 2015 . March 11, 2015 . March 13, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150313203905/http://www.cnn.com/2015/03/11/politics/charlie-crist-florida-senate . live .
105. Web site: Charlie Crist won't run for Senate . . Caputo . Marc . Cheney . Kyle . March 16, 2015 . March 16, 2015 . March 16, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150316231148/http://www.politico.com/story/2015/03/charlie-crist-wont-run-for-senate-116118.html . live .
106. Web site: Ted Deutch decides against U.S. Senate race . . Man . Anthony . March 19, 2015 . March 22, 2015 . May 4, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150504174549/http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/fl-ted-deutch-us-senate-20150313-story.html . dead .
107. Web site: The Bloom is Starting to Come Off Dan Gelber . Sunshine State News . Henderson . Jeff . February 11, 2015 . February 11, 2015 . February 12, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150212004035/http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/bloom-starting-come-dan-gelber . live .
108. Web site: Messy primary fight could cost Democrats Rubio's Senate seat . . Jaffe . Alexandra . May 9, 2015 . June 11, 2015 . July 30, 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240730050944/https://www.cnn.com/2015/05/09/politics/florida-senate-democratic-primary-fight . live .
109. News: All eyes on Rubio as 2016 U.S. Senate talk begins . . Powers . Scott . January 25, 2015 . January 26, 2015 . January 28, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150128035656/http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/politics/os-us-senate-race-in-florida-2016-20150125-story.html . live .
110. Web site: Gillum, Williams endorse Murphy for U.S. Senate . . Rossman . Sean . April 9, 2015 . April 10, 2015 . May 7, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210507224635/https://www.tallahassee.com/story/news/2015/04/09/gillum-williams-endorse-murphy-us-senate/25549073/ . live .
111. Web site: Marc Caputo . Debbie Wasserman Schultz considering 2016 Senate bid . Politico . February 17, 2015 . February 17, 2015.
112. Web site: Wasserman Schultz decides against running for U.S. Senate . . Man . Anthony . March 17, 2015 . March 17, 2015 . April 2, 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150402155609/http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/fl-wasserman-schultz-senate-20150317-story.html . dead .
113. http://mason-dixon.com/News/FL816Sen.pdf Mason-Dixon
114. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/8_4_2016_marginals.pdf Suffolk University
115. http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2016_State_DEM_Primary_August_2_QK57.pdf St. Pete Polls
116. http://www.senateleadershipfund.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Florida-Democratic-Senate-Primary-Survey-Topline.pdf Vox Populi Polling (R)
117. http://media.wix.com/ugd/88a96b_320c25ebd72a451b9297171828a8916f.pdf Targeted Persuasion
118. http://mason-dixon.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/FL-6-16-PollPart2.pdf Mason-Dixon
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