[|[[Dan Jones & Associates]][165] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: ?| Published August 9, 2015| |Donald Trump 19%| Jeb Bush 10%| all others <10%| Don't know 24%|-|Idaho Politics Weekly[166] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: ?| June 17, 2015 – July 1, 2015| |Jeb Bush 15%| |Donald Trump 12%| Rand Paul 10%| Ben Carson 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Someone else 13%, Don't know 23%|}Illinois
See main article: United States presidential election in Illinois, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: March 15, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[167] | March 15, 2016 | Donald Trump 38.80% | Ted Cruz 30.23% | John Kasich 19.74% | Marco Rubio 8.74%, Ben Carson 0.79%, Jeb Bush 0.77%, Rand Paul 0.33%, Chris Christie 0.24%, Mike Huckabee 0.19%, Carly Fiorina 0.11%, Rick Santorum 0.08% | CBS News/YouGovMargin of error: ± 4.4%Sample size: 770 | March 9–11, 2016 | | Donald Trump 38% | | Ted Cruz 34% | John Kasich 16% | Marco Rubio 11%, No Preference 1% | NBC News/WSJ/MaristMargin of error: ± 4.8%Sample size: 421 | March 4–10, 2016 | | Donald Trump 34% | Ted Cruz 25% | John Kasich 21% | Marco Rubio 16% | WeAskAmerica[168] Margin of error: ± 3.09% Sample size: 1009 | March 7–8, 2016 | | Donald Trump 32.64% | Ted Cruz 19.9% | John Kasich 18.41% | Marco Rubio 11.34%, Other 1.49%, Undecided 16.22% | Chicago Tribune[169] Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 600 | March 2–6, 2016 | | Donald Trump 32% | Ted Cruz 22% | Marco Rubio 21% | John Kasich 18%, Undecided 7% | WeAskAmerica[170] Margin of error: ± 3% Sample size: 1311 | February 24, 2016 | | Donald Trump 38.44% | Marco Rubio 21.21% | Ted Cruz 15.87% | John Kasich 9.31%, Other 4.73%, Undecided 10.45% | Paul Simon Public Policy Institute[171] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 306 | February 15–20, 2016 | | Donald Trump 28% | Ted Cruz 15% | Marco Rubio 14% | John Kasich 13%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson 6%, Other 1%, Undecided 15% | Compass Consulting[172] Margin of error: ± 2.5% Sample size: 2,104 | December 16, 2015 | | Donald Trump 30% | Ted Cruz 15% | Marco Rubio 13% | Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Chris Christie 6%, John Kasich 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Other 2%, Undecided 11% | Victory Research[173] Margin of error: ± 3.46% Sample size: 801 | August 16–18, 2015 | | Donald Trump 23.3% | Jeb Bush 16.5% | Scott Walker 11% | Ben Carson 5.5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Carly Fiorina 4.6%, Other 16.2%, Undecided 17.9% | Public Policy Polling[174] Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 369 | July 20–21, 2015 | | Scott Walker 23% | | Donald Trump 18% | Jeb Bush 11% | Chris Christie 8%, Ben Carson 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Perry 1%, John Kasich 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Undecided 3% | Public Policy Polling[175] Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 375 | November 22–25, 2013 | | Chris Christie 18% | | Ted Cruz 13% | Jeb Bush 12% | Rand Paul 10%, Paul Ryan 9%, Scott Walker 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Other/Undecided 16% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Indiana, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: May 3, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[176] | May 3, 2016 | Donald Trump 53.25% | Ted Cruz 36.64% | John Kasich 7.57% | Ben Carson 0.80%, Jeb Bush 0.59%, Marco Rubio 0.47%, Rand Paul 0.39%, Chris Christie 0.16%, Carly Fiorina 0.13% | Gravis Marketing[177] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 379 | April 28–29, 2016 | | Donald Trump 44% | Ted Cruz 27% | John Kasich 9% | Undecided 19% | ARG[178] Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 400 | April 27–28, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | Ted Cruz 32% | John Kasich 21% | Undecided 6% | NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[179] Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample size: 645 | April 26–28, 2016 | | Donald Trump 49% | Ted Cruz 34% | John Kasich 13% | Undecided 4% | IPFW[180] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400 | April 13–27, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 45% | Donald Trump 29% | John Kasich 13% | Undecided 13% | Clout Research[181] Margin of error: ±4.75% Sample size: 423 | April 27, 2016 | | Donald Trump 37.1% | | Ted Cruz 35.2% | John Kasich 16.3% | Undecided 11.4% | CBS News/YouGov[182] Margin of error: ± 6.6% Sample size: 548 | April 20–22, 2016 | | Donald Trump 40% | | Ted Cruz 35% | John Kasich 20% | Undecided 5% | Fox News[183] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 602 | April 18–21, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | Ted Cruz 33% | John Kasich 16% | Undecided 7%, None 2% | POS/Howey Politics Indiana/WTHR Channel[184] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 507 | April 18–21, 2016 | | Donald Trump 37% | Ted Cruz 31% | John Kasich 22% | Undecided 7%, Other 2% | Bellwether[185] Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 670 | December 2–9, 2015 | | Donald Trump 26% | Ted Cruz 17% | Marco Rubio 17% | Ben Carson 16%, Jeb Bush 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, John Kasich 1% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Iowa, 2016. Winner: Ted Cruz Caucus date: February 1, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Caucus results[186] | February 1, 2016 | Ted Cruz 27.64% | Donald Trump 24.30% | Marco Rubio 23.12% | Ben Carson 9.30%, Rand Paul 4.54%, Jeb Bush 2.80%, Carly Fiorina 1.86%, John Kasich 1.86%, Mike Huckabee 1.79%, Chris Christie 1.76%, Rick Santorum 0.95%, Jim Gilmore 0.01%, Other 0.06% | Emerson College[187] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 298 | January 29–31, 2016 | | Donald Trump 27.3% | | Ted Cruz 25.6% | Marco Rubio 21.6% | Mike Huckabee 4.7%, Jeb Bush 3.8%, John Kasich 3.8%, Rand Paul 3.4%, Ben Carson 3.4%, Chris Christie 3.2%, Carly Fiorina 1.7%, Rick Santorum 0.5%, Undecided 1% | Quinnipiac University[188] Margin of error: ± 3.3%Sample size: 890 | January 25–31, 2016 | | Donald Trump 31% | Ted Cruz 24% | Marco Rubio 17% | Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Not decided 3% | Opinion Savvy[189] Margin of error: ± 3.2% Sample size: 887 | January 29–30, 2016 | | Donald Trump 20.1% | | Ted Cruz 19.4% | | Marco Rubio 18.6% | Ben Carson 9.0%, Rand Paul 8.6%, Jeb Bush 4.9%, Mike Huckabee 4.4%, John Kasich 4.0%, Carly Fiorina 3.8%, Chris Christie 3.0%, Rick Santorum 2.1%, Undecided 2.2% | Des Moines Register/ Bloomberg/Selzer[190] Margin of error: ± 3.5%Sample size: 602 | January 26–29, 2016 | | Donald Trump 28% | Ted Cruz 23% | Marco Rubio 15% | Ben Carson 10%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Jeb Bush 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Jim Gimore 0%, Undecided 2%, Uncommitted 3% | Public Policy Polling[191] Margin of error: ± 3.5%Sample size: 780 | January 26–27, 2016 | | Donald Trump 31% | Ted Cruz 23% | Marco Rubio 14% | Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gimore 1%, Undecided 2% | NBC/WSJ/Marist[192] Margin of error: ± 4.8%Sample size: 415 | January 24–26, 2016 | | Donald Trump 32% | Ted Cruz 25% | Marco Rubio 18% | Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Other 0%, Undecided 3% | Monmouth University[193] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500 | January 23–26, 2016 | | Donald Trump 30% | Ted Cruz 23% | Marco Rubio 16% | Ben Carson 10%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 3%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 3% | ARG[194] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 400 | January 21–24, 2016 | | Donald Trump 33% | Ted Cruz 26% | Marco Rubio 11% | Ben Carson 7%, Chris Christie 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Jeb Bush 3%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 1%, Undecided 5% | Quinnipiac University[195] Margin of error: ± 3.8%Sample size: 651 | January 18–24, 2016 | | Donald Trump 31% | | Ted Cruz 29% | Marco Rubio 13% | Ben Carson 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Not decided 2% | ISU/WHO-HD[196] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 283 | January 5–22, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 25.8% | Donald Trump 18.9% | Ben Carson 13.4% | Marco Rubio 12.3%, Rand Paul 6.9%, Jeb Bush 3.8%, Mike Huckabee 3.7%, Carly Fiorina 1.1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Chris Christie <1%, John Kasich <1% | Fox News[197] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 378 | January 18–21, 2016 | | Donald Trump 34% | Ted Cruz 23% | Marco Rubio 12% | Ben Carson 7%, Rand Paul 6%, Chris Christie 4%, Jeb Bush 4%, John Kasich 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Other 1%, Don't Know 2% | CBS/YouGov[198] Margin of error: ± 5.9% Sample size: 492 | January 18–21, 2016 | | Donald Trump 39% | | Ted Cruz 34% | Marco Rubio 13% | Ben Carson 5%, Rand Paul 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Jeb Bush 1%, John Kasich 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No Preference 0% | Emerson College[199] Margin of error: ± 5.9% Sample size: 271 | January 18–20, 2016 | | Donald Trump 33.1% | Ted Cruz 22.8% | Marco Rubio 14.2% | Ben Carson 9.1%, Chris Christie 5.4%, Jeb Bush 5.1%, John Kasich 2.9%, Rand Paul 2.7%, Carly Fiorina 2.1%, Mike Huckabee 1.7%, Undecided 1% | CNN/ORC[200] Margin of error: ± 6.0% Sample size: 266 | January 15–20, 2016 | | Donald Trump 37% | Ted Cruz 26% | Marco Rubio 14% | Ben Carson 6%, Jeb Bush 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Chris Christie 1%, John Kasich 1% | Monmouth College/KBUR/Douglas Fulmer & Associates[201] Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 687 | January 18–19, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 27% | | Donald Trump 25% | Ben Carson 11% | Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 7%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rand Paul 3%, John Kasich 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Undecided 4% | Loras College[202] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500 | January 13–18, 2016 | | Donald Trump 26% | | Ted Cruz 25% | Marco Rubio 13% | Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, John Kasich 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecide 7% | Public Policy Polling[203] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 530 | January 8–10, 2016 | | Donald Trump 28% | | Ted Cruz 26% | Marco Rubio 13% | Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 2% | DM Register/Bloomberg[204] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500 | January 7–10, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 25% | | Donald Trump 22% | Marco Rubio 12% | Ben Carson 11%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 1% | ARG[205] Margin of error: ± 4.0%Sample size: 600 | January 6–10, 2016 | | Donald Trump 29% | | Ted Cruz 25% | Marco Rubio 10% | Ben Carson 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 4%, Jeb Bush 3%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Other 1%, Undecided 5% | Quinnipiac University[206] Margin of error: ± 4.0%Sample size: 602 | January 5–10, 2016 | | Donald Trump 31% | | Ted Cruz 29% | Marco Rubio 15% | Ben Carson 7%, Chris Christie 4%, Jeb Bush 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 2%, John Kasich 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Not decided 5% | Fox News[207] Margin of error: ± 4.0%Sample size: 504 | January 4–7, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 27% | | Donald Trump 23% | Marco Rubio 15% | Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Other 1%, Undecided 2% | NBC/WSJ/Marist[208] Margin of error: ± 4.6%Sample size: 456 | January 2–7, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 28% | | Donald Trump 24% | Marco Rubio 13% | Ben Carson 11%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Other 1%, Undecided 3% | |
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Gravis Marketing[209] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 440 | December 18–21, 2015 | | Donald Trump 31% | | Ted Cruz 31% | Marco Rubio 9% | Ben Carson 7%, Jeb Bush 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Chris Christie 2%, John Kasich 2%, George Pataki 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Unsure 5% | CBS News/YouGov[210] Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 1252 | December 14–17, 2015 | | Ted Cruz 40% | Donald Trump 31% | Marco Rubio 12% | Ben Carson 6%, Jeb Bush 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, No preference 0% | Public Policy Polling[211] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 522 | December 10–13, 2015 | | Donald Trump 28% | | Ted Cruz 25% | Marco Rubio 14% | Ben Carson 10%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, Undecided 1% | Quinnipiac University[212] Margin of error: ± 3.3% Sample size: 874 | December 4–13, 2015 | | Donald Trump 28% | | Ted Cruz 27% | Marco Rubio 14% | Ben Carson 10%, Jeb Bush 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, DK 3% | Loras College[213] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 499 | December 7–10, 2015 | | Ted Cruz 29.7% | Donald Trump 23.4% | Ben Carson 10.8% | Marco Rubio 10.6%, Jeb Bush 6.2%, Carly Fiorina 3.4%, Rand Paul 2.4%, Mike Huckabee 1.8%, John Kasich 1.0%, Rick Santorum 1.0%, Chris Christie 0.4%, Lindsey Graham 0.0%, Undecided 9.0% | Fox News[214] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 450 | December 7–10, 2015 | | Ted Cruz 28% | | Donald Trump 26% | Marco Rubio 13% | Ben Carson 10%, Jeb Bush 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Uncommitted 1%, Other 1%, DK 3% | DMR/Bloomberg[215] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400 | December 7–10, 2015 | | Ted Cruz 31% | Donald Trump 21% | Ben Carson 13% | Marco Rubio 10%, Jeb Bush 6%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 3%, John Kasich 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Uncommitted 3%, Undecided 4% | Monmouth University[216] Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 425 | December 3–6, 2015 | | Ted Cruz 24% | Donald Trump 19% | Marco Rubio 17% | Ben Carson 13%, Jeb Bush 6%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham <1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Uncommitted 1%, Undecided 4% | CNN/ORC[217] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 552 | November 28- December 6, 2015 | | Donald Trump 33% | Ted Cruz 20% | Ben Carson 16% | Marco Rubio 11%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No one 1%, Someone else 1%, No opinion 1% | Quinnipiac University[218] Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600 | November 16–22, 2015 | | Donald Trump 25% | | Ted Cruz 23% | Ben Carson 18% | Marco Rubio 13%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 1%, George Pataki 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, DK/NA 2% | CBS News/YouGov[219] Margin of error: ± 6.2% Sample size: ? | November 15–19, 2015 | | Donald Trump 30% | Ted Cruz 21% | Ben Carson 19% | Marco Rubio 11%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Chris Christie 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kasich 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, George Pataki 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore 0% | Iowa State University/WHO-HD[220] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 518 | November 2–15, 2015 | | Ben Carson 27% | Marco Rubio 17% | Donald Trump 15% | Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 5%, Rand Paul 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, John Kasich 1%, Chris Christie 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Lindsey Graham 0% | CNN/ORC[221] Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 548 | October 29 – November 4, 2015 | | Donald Trump 25% | | Ben Carson 23% | Marco Rubio 13% | Ted Cruz 11%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Lindsey Graham 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No opinion 3% | Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[222] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 356 | October 30 – November 2, 2015 | | Donald Trump 29.4% | Ben Carson 22.4% | Marco Rubio 18.0% | Ted Cruz 8.5%, Jeb Bush 6.0%, Carly Fiorina 5.2%, John Kasich 3.1%, Chris Christie 2.4%, Rand Paul 1.8%, Bobby Jindal 1.5%, Mike Huckabee 1.1%, Rick Santorum 0.4%, Lindsey Graham 0.3% | Public Policy Polling[223] Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample size: 638 | October 30 – November 1, 2015 | | Donald Trump 22% | | Ben Carson 21% | Ted Cruz 14% | Marco Rubio 10%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 1% | KBUR/Monmouth University[224] Margin of error: ± 3.37% Sample size: 874 | October 29–31, 2015 | | Ben Carson 27.5% | | Donald Trump 20.4% | Ted Cruz 15.1% | Marco Rubio 10.1%, Jeb Bush 9.0%, Carly Fiorina 4.1%, Lindsey Graham 0.2%, Mike Huckabee 1.7%, John Kasich 1.9%, Rand Paul 1.6%, Chris Christie 2.3%, Bobby Jindal 1.3%, Rick Santorum 0.7%, Jim Gilmore 0.3%, George Pataki 0%, Undecided 3.8% | Monmouth University[225] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400 | October 22–25, 2015 | | Ben Carson 32% | Donald Trump 18% | Ted Cruz 10% | Marco Rubio 10%, Jeb Bush 8%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Chris Christie 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0%, Uncommitted 1%, Undecided 5% | Loras College[226] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500 | October 19–22, 2015 | | Ben Carson 30.6% | Donald Trump 18.6% | Marco Rubio 10.0% | Jeb Bush 6.8%, Ted Cruz 6.2%, Bobby Jindal 4.6%, Carly Fiorina 2.4%, Chris Christie 1.8%, Rand Paul 1.8%, John Kasich 1.4%, Mike Huckabee 1.2%, Rick Santorum 0.8%, Lindsey Graham 0.4%, George Pataki 0%, Undecided 12.8% | CBS News/YouGov[227] Margin of error: ± 6.5% Sample size: ? | October 15–22, 2015 | | Donald Trump 27% | | Ben Carson 27% | Ted Cruz 12% | Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No preference 3% | DMR/Bloomberg[228] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 401 | October 16–21, 2015 | | Ben Carson 28% | Donald Trump 19% | Ted Cruz 10% | Marco Rubio 9%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Not sure 7%, Uncommitted 3% | Quinnipiac University[229] Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 574 | October 14–20, 2015 | | Ben Carson 28% | Donald Trump 20% | Marco Rubio 13% | Ted Cruz 10%, Rand Paul 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, John Kasich 3%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 3% | NBC/WSJ[230] Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 431 | October 2015 | | Donald Trump 24% | Ben Carson 19% | Carly Fiorina 8% | Jeb Bush 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie 4%, John Kasich 3%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, George Pataki <1%, Jim Gilmore <1%, Undecided 7% | Gravis Marketing[231] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 454 | October 2, 2015 | | Donald Trump 18.8% | Ben Carson 14.1% | Ted Cruz 10.6% | Carly Fiorina 9.7%, Marco Rubio 8.9%, Jeb Bush 6.9%, John Kasich 2.6%, Rand Paul 2.4%, Mike Huckabee 1.8%, Lindsey Graham 1.8%, Bobby Jindal 1.7%, Chris Christie 1.4%, Rick Santorum 1.3%, George Pataki 0.3%, Unsure 17.9% | Public Policy Polling[232] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 488 | September 18–20, 2015 | | Donald Trump 24% | Ben Carson 17% | Carly Fiorina 13% | Ted Cruz 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Jeb Bush 6%, Scott Walker 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Bobby Jindal 4%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Undecided 3% | CBS News/YouGov[233] Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 705 | September 3–10, 2015 | | Donald Trump 29% | | Ben Carson 25% | Ted Cruz 10% | Marco Rubio 6%, Scott Walker 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rick Santorum 3%, Jeb Bush 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Rick Perry 0%, No preference 4% | Quinnipiac University[234] Margin of error: ± 3.0% Sample size: 1038 | August 27 – September 8, 2015 | | Donald Trump 27% | Ben Carson 21% | Ted Cruz 9% | Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, John Kasich 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Scott Walker 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 4% | NBC News/Marist[235] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 390 | August 26 – September 2, 2015 | | Donald Trump 29% | Ben Carson 22% | Jeb Bush 6% | Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Chris Christie 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Rick Perry 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 8% | Gravis Marketing/One America[236] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 507 | August 29–31, 2015 | | Donald Trump 31.7% | Ben Carson 15.8% | Ted Cruz 6.9% | Marco Rubio 5.8%, Scott Walker 5.6%, Bobby Jindal 5.2%, Carly Fiorina 4.6%, Jeb Bush 4.1%, Mike Huckabee 2.6%, Chris Christie 2.0%, John Kasich 1.4%, Rand Paul 1.3%, Rick Perry 0.9%, Rick Santorum 0.6%, Lindsey Graham 0.4%, George Pataki 0.1%, Undecided 10.9% | Monmouth University[237] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 405 | August 27–30, 2015 | | Donald Trump 23% | | Ben Carson 23% | Carly Fiorina 10% | Ted Cruz 9%, Scott Walker 7%, Jeb Bush 5%, John Kasich 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Perry 1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 0%, Undecided 5% | Des Moines Register/Bloomberg/Selzer[238] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400 | August 23–26, 2015 | | Donald Trump 23% | Ben Carson 18% | Ted Cruz 8% | Scott Walker 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 0%, Undecided 10% | CNN/ORC[239] Margin of error: ± 2% Sample size: 2,014 | August 7–11, 2015 | | Donald Trump 22% | Ben Carson 14% | Scott Walker 9% | Ted Cruz 8%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Jeb Bush 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Someone else 0%, No one 2%, No opinion 4% | NBC/Marist[240] Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 342 | July 14–21, 2015 | | Scott Walker 19% | | Donald Trump 17% | Jeb Bush 12% | Ben Carson 8%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Perry 3%, Chris Christie 2%, John Kasich 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 14% | Quinnipiac University[241] Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 666 | June 20–29, 2015 | | Scott Walker 18% | Ben Carson 10% | Donald Trump 10% | Ted Cruz 9%, Rand Paul 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Rick Perry 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Bobby Jindal 3%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, George Pataki 0%, DK/NA 5% | Morning Consult[242] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 265 | May 31 – June 8, 2015 | | Scott Walker 18% | Jeb Bush 10% | Mike Huckabee 10% | Rand Paul 10%, Marco Rubio 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 5%, Donald Trump 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Don't know/No opinion/Refused 21%, Someone else 3% | Gravis Marketing[243] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 364 | May 28–29, 2015 | | Scott Walker 17% | | Marco Rubio 13% | | Ben Carson 12% | Jeb Bush 10%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Ted Cruz 6%, Rick Santorum 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Unsure 15% | Des Moines Register[244] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 402 | May 25–29, 2015 | | Scott Walker 17% | Ben Carson 10% | Rand Paul 10% | Jeb Bush 9%, Mike Huckabee 9%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rick Santorum 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Donald Trump 4%, Rick Perry 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Uncommitted 4%, Not sure 7% | Quinnipiac University[245] Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 667 | April 25 – May 4, 2015 | | Scott Walker 21% | Rand Paul 13% | Marco Rubio 13% | Ted Cruz 12%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Ben Carson 7%, Jeb Bush 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Don't know/No answer 6% | Public Policy Polling[246] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 462 | April 23–26, 2015 | | Scott Walker 23% | Marco Rubio 13% | Jeb Bush 12% | Mike Huckabee 10%, Rand Paul 10%, Ted Cruz 8%, Ben Carson 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Rick Perry 4%, Undecided 8% | Loras College[247] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 509 | April 21–23, 2015 | | Scott Walker 12.6% | | Marco Rubio 10% | | Jeb Bush 9.6% | Mike Huckabee 8.6%, Ted Cruz 6.5%, Ben Carson 6.3%, Rand Paul 6.3%, Chris Christie 5.1%, Rick Santorum 3.5%, Donald Trump 3.1%, Rick Perry 2.6%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Undecided 22.8% | Gravis Marketing[248] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 388 | April 13, 2015 | | Jeb Bush 16% | | Scott Walker 13% | | Marco Rubio 12% | Ben Carson 9%, Rand Paul 9%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Undecided 17% | Opinion Savvy[249] Margin of error: ± 4.16% Sample size: 552 | March 20, 2015 | | Scott Walker 29% | Ben Carson 14% | Jeb Bush 12% | Mike Huckabee 11%, Ted Cruz 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Donald Trump 3%, Other/Undecided 10% | Quinnipiac University[250] Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample size: 623 | February 16–23, 2015 | | Scott Walker 25% | Rand Paul 13% | Ben Carson 11% | Mike Huckabee 11%, Jeb Bush 10%, Ted Cruz 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Rick Perry 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kasich 0%, Unsure 9% | Gravis Marketing[251] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 343 | February 12–13, 2015 | | Scott Walker 24% | Jeb Bush 10% | Rand Paul 10% | Chris Christie 9%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Marco Rubio 7%, Rick Santorum 6%, Ben Carson 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Unsure 15% | NBC News/Marist[252] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 320 | February 3–10, 2015 | | Mike Huckabee 17% | | Jeb Bush 16% | | Scott Walker 15% | Chris Christie 9%, Rand Paul 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rick Santorum 5%, Rick Perry 4%, Ted Cruz 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Undecided 14% | Selzer & Co.[253] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 402 | January 26–29, 2015 | | Scott Walker 15% | | Rand Paul 14% | | Mitt Romney 13% | Mike Huckabee 10%, Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ted Cruz 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Marco Rubio 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Donald Trump 1%, Mike Pence 0%, Uncommitted 2%, Not sure 5% | | Scott Walker 16% | | Rand Paul 15% | | Mike Huckabee 13% | Ben Carson 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Rick Santorum 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Perry 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Donald Trump 1%, Mike Pence 0%, Uncommitted 3%, Not sure 5% | Loras College[254] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 316 | January 21–26, 2015 | | Mitt Romney 13.7% | | Mike Huckabee 12.5% | | Ben Carson 10.5% | Jeb Bush 9.9%, Scott Walker 8.3%, Rand Paul 6.7%, Ted Cruz 5.1%, Marco Rubio 4.2%, Chris Christie 3.8%, Rick Santorum 3.8%, Rick Perry 2.9%, Bobby Jindal 1.6%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Lindsey Graham 0.3% Undecided 14.7% | | Mike Huckabee 14.4% | | Jeb Bush 13.1% | | Ben Carson 12.8% | Scott Walker 9.9%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 5.4%, Ted Cruz 5.4%, Marco Rubio 4.2%, Rick Santorum 3.8%, Rick Perry 3.2%, Bobby Jindal 1.6%, Carly Fiorina 1.3%, John Kasich 1.3%, Lindsey Graham 0.6% Undecided 16% | Gravis Marketing[255] Margin of error: ± 3% Sample size: 404 | January 5–7, 2015 | | Mitt Romney 21% | Jeb Bush 14% | Scott Walker 10% | Mike Huckabee 9%, Rand Paul 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Paul Ryan 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Undecided 18% | |
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Fox News[256] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 329 | October 28–30, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 13% | | Ben Carson 12% | | Paul Ryan 9% | Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Ted Cruz 7%, Rick Santorum 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Rick Perry 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rob Portman 0%, Other 1%, None of the above 4%, Don't know 10% | Reuters/Ipsos[257] Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 602 | October 23–29, 2014 | | Mitt Romney 17% | | Paul Ryan 13% | Chris Christie 12% | Jeb Bush 10%, Scott Walker 10%, Rand Paul 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rick Santorum 6%, Rick Perry 5%, Wouldn't vote 7% | Selzer & Co.[258] Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 425 | October 1–7, 2014 | | Mitt Romney 17% | Ben Carson 11% | Rand Paul 10% | Mike Huckabee 9%, Paul Ryan 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Rick Perry 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Jeb Bush 4%, Scott Walker 4%, Rick Santorum 3%, Marco Rubio 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, Mike Pence 0%, Rob Portman 0%, Uncommitted 1%, Not sure 9% | CNN/ORC[259] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 310 | September 8–10, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 21% | Paul Ryan 12% | Rand Paul 7% | Jeb Bush 6%, Chris Christie 6%, Rick Perry 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 3% | Suffolk University[260] Margin of error: ± 6.83% Sample size: 206 | August 23–26, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 13.11% | | Chris Christie 10.68% | | Rick Perry 8.74% | Jeb Bush 7.28%, Rand Paul 6.8%, Paul Ryan 6.31%, Rick Santorum 5.83%, Marco Rubio 5.34%, Ted Cruz 4.85%, Scott Walker 4.37%, Bobby Jindal 2.91%, Jon Huntsman Jr. 0.97%, John Kasich 0.97%, Other 4.37%, Undecided 16.99%, Refused 0.49% | | Mitt Romney 35.29% | Mike Huckabee 8.82% | Chris Christie 6.47% | Rick Santorum 5.88%, Ted Cruz 5.29%, Rand Paul 5.29%, Jeb Bush 4.71, Rick Perry 4.71%, Paul Ryan 4.12%, Scott Walker 3.53%, Marco Rubio 2.35%, Bobby Jindal 1.76%, Jon Huntsman Jr. 1.18%, John Kasich 0.59%, Undecided 10% | NBC News/Marist[261] Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 558 | July 7–13, 2014 | | Jeb Bush 12% | | Rand Paul 12% | | Paul Ryan 11% | Rick Santorum 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Rick Perry 7%, Marco Rubio 7%, Scott Walker 5%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Undecided 20% | Vox Populi Polling[262] Margin of error: ± 6.6% Sample size: 222 | June 4–5, 2014 | | Jeb Bush 18% | | Mike Huckabee 15% | | Paul Ryan 13% | Rand Paul 12%, Marco Rubio 11%, Rick Santorum 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Scott Walker 6% | Public Policy Polling[263] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 303 | May 15–19, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 20% | | Ted Cruz 15% | Jeb Bush 12% | Rand Paul 10%, Chris Christie 9%, Paul Ryan 8%, Scott Walker 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Santorum 3%, Someone else/Not sure 13% | The Daily Caller/Vox Populi Polling[264] Margin of error: ± 8.4% Sample size: 168 | April 22–24, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 20% | | Paul Ryan 19% | | Jeb Bush 18% | Ted Cruz 9%, Marco Rubio 9%, Rand Paul 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Scott Walker 6%, Joe Scarborough 4% | Magellan Strategies[265] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 330 | April 14–15, 2014 | | Jeb Bush 17% | | Mike Huckabee 17% | | Chris Christie 14% | Rand Paul 11%, Ted Cruz 10%, Scott Walker 8%, John Kasich 5%, Marco Rubio 2%, Undecided 16% | Loras College[266] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 600 | April 7–8, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 14.7% | | Jeb Bush 10.7% | Rand Paul 8.5% | Paul Ryan 8.3%, Chris Christie 8%, Ted Cruz 6.2%, Marco Rubio 4.7%, Rick Santorum 4.7%, Scott Walker 4.7%, Rick Perry 3%, John Kasich 0.7%, Other 0.7%, Undecided 23.8% | Suffolk University[267] Margin of error: ± 8.7% Sample size: 127 | April 3–8, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 11.02% | | Jeb Bush 10.24% | | Rand Paul 10.24% | Ted Cruz 9.45%, Ben Carson 8.66%, Chris Christie 7.09%, Paul Ryan 6.3%, Sarah Palin 5.51%, Condoleezza Rice 5.51%, Marco Rubio 5.51%, Rick Santorum 5.51%, Scott Walker 5.51%, Bobby Jindal 3.15%, Rick Perry 3.15%, Undecided 3.15% | WPA Research[268] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 402 | March 30, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 14% | | Rand Paul 10% | Scott Walker 8% | Jeb Bush 7%, Ted Cruz 7%, Paul Ryan 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Rick Santorum 5%, Rick Perry 3%, Marco Rubio 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Other 2%, Undecided 26% | Public Policy Polling[269] Margin of error: ± 5.8% Sample size: 283 | February 20–23, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 17% | | Rand Paul 14% | | Jeb Bush 13% | Chris Christie 10%, Ted Cruz 10%, Paul Ryan 9%, Bobby Jindal 7%, Scott Walker 7%, Marco Rubio 3%, Other/Undecided 11% | |
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Cygnal[270] Margin of error: ± 2.37% Sample size: 1,705 | July 10–12, 2013 | | Marco Rubio 11.4% | | Rand Paul 10.5% | | Paul Ryan 9.3% | Jeb Bush 8.7%, Chris Christie 7.7%, Rick Santorum 6.7%, Ted Cruz 6.1%, Scott Walker 2.1%, Bobby Jindal 1.3%, Undecided 36.3% | Public Policy Polling[271] Margin of error: ± 6.2% Sample size: 250 | July 5–7, 2013 | | Rand Paul 18% | | Chris Christie 16% | | Paul Ryan 15% | Jeb Bush 14%, Marco Rubio 11%, Ted Cruz 10%, Rick Santorum 6%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Susana Martinez 1%, Other/Undecided 7% | Public Policy Polling[272] Margin of error: ± 5.4% Sample size: 326 | Feb. 1–3, 2013 | | Mike Huckabee 16% | | Marco Rubio 16% | | Rand Paul 15% | Jeb Bush 14%, Chris Christie 12%, Paul Ryan 10%, Susana Martinez 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 7% | Public Policy Polling[273] Margin of error: 5.1% Sample size: 363 | July 12–15, 2012 | | Rick Santorum 17% | | Mike Huckabee 17% | Chris Christie 16% | Rand Paul 11%, Marco Rubio 10%, Jeb Bush 8%, Paul Ryan 6%, Sarah Palin 4%, Scott Walker 4%, Someone else/Not sure 8% | Public Policy Polling[274] Margin of error: 5.3% Sample size: 346 | May 3–5, 2012 | | Rick Santorum 16% | | Mike Huckabee 16% | Chris Christie 15% | Jeb Bush 10%, Sarah Palin 10%, Rand Paul 9%, Marco Rubio 7%, Paul Ryan 5% Someone else/Not sure 10% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Kansas, 2016. Winner: Ted Cruz Caucus date: March 5, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Caucus results[275] | March 5, 2016 | Ted Cruz 47.50% | Donald Trump 23.35% | Marco Rubio 16.83% | John Kasich 11.07%, Ben Carson 0.74%, Jeb Bush 0.11%, Carly Fiorina 0.05% | Trafalgar Group[276] Margin of error: ± 2.96% Sample size: 1,060 | March 2–3, 2016 | | Donald Trump 35.18% | Ted Cruz 29.31% | Marco Rubio 16.56% | John Kasich 12.66%, Undecided 6.29% | Fort Hays State University[277] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 440 | February 26, 2016 | | Donald Trump 26% | Ted Cruz 14% | Marco Rubio 13% | John Kasich 3%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 2%, Undecided 39% | Suffolk University[278] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 118 | September 27–30, 2014 | | Jeb Bush 15.36% | | Mike Huckabee 14.23% | Chris Christie 8.99% | Ted Cruz 7.87%, Rick Perry 6.74%, Paul Ryan 5.99%, Rand Paul 5.62%, Marco Rubio 5.62%, Scott Walker 3.75%, Rick Santorum 1.5%, Bobby Jindal 1.12%, John Kasich 0.75%, Carly Fiorina 0.37%, Other 4.12%, Undecided/Refused 17.97% | | Mitt Romney 33.33% | Jeb Bush 10.5% | Mike Huckabee 10.5% | Ted Cruz 6.85%, Chris Christie 6.39%, Rick Perry 5.02%, Rand Paul 4.57%, Marco Rubio 4.11%, Paul Ryan 2.74%, Scott Walker 2.28%, Rick Santorum 1.83%, Bobby Jindal 1.37%, Carly Fiorina 0.46%, John Kasich 0.46%, Undecided/Refused 9.59% | Public Policy Polling[279] Margin of error: ±5.1% Sample size: 375 | February 18–20, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 20% | Jeb Bush 13% | Chris Christie 13% | Ted Cruz 12%, Rand Paul 11%, Paul Ryan 7%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott Walker 4%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 13% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Kentucky, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Caucus date: March 5, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Caucus results[280] | March 5, 2016 | Donald Trump 35.92% | Ted Cruz 31.57% | Marco Rubio 16.36% | John Kasich 14.42%, Ben Carson 0.85%, Rand Paul 0.38%, Jeb Bush 0.13%, Mike Huckabee 0.08%, Carly Fiorina 0.03%, Chris Christie 0.03%, Rick Santorum 0.01% | Western Kentucky University[281] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 532 | February 22–26, 2016 | | Donald Trump 35% | Marco Rubio 22% | Ted Cruz 15% | Ben Carson 7%, John Kasich 6% | Public Policy Polling[282] Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 413 | June 18–21, 2015 | | Rand Paul 19% | Jeb Bush 13% | Donald Trump 12% | Scott Walker 11%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Marco Rubio 10%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Someone else/Not sure 9% | Courier-Journal/SurveyUSA[283] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 517 | May 5–10, 2015 | | Rand Paul 26% | Mike Huckabee 15% | Jeb Bush 12% | Scott Walker 10%, Ben Carson 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Perry, 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Other 2%, Undecided 8% | Public Policy Polling[284] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 383 | August 7–10, 2014 | | Rand Paul 25% | Mike Huckabee 18% | Jeb Bush 15% | Chris Christie 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Scott Walker 5%, Paul Ryan 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Someone else/Not sure 6% | Public Policy Polling[285] Margin of error: ± 4.2% Sample size: 540 | December 12–15, 2013 | | Rand Paul 34% | Jeb Bush 20% | Chris Christie 12% | Ted Cruz 7%, Marco Rubio 5%, Paul Ryan 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Scott Walker 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 10% | Public Policy Polling[286] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 320 | April 5–7, 2013 | | Rand Paul 31% | Marco Rubio 17% | Jeb Bush 13% | Chris Christie 10%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Paul Ryan 3%, Rick Perry 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Susana Martinez 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 16% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Louisiana, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: March 5, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[287] | March 5, 2016 | Donald Trump 41.45% | Ted Cruz 37.83% | Marco Rubio 11.22% | John Kasich 6.43%, Ben Carson 1.51%, Jeb Bush 0.71%, Rand Paul 0.22%, Mike Huckabee 0.21%, Chris Christie 0.13%, Carly Fiorina 0.08%, Rick Santorum 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.05% | Gravis Marketing/ One America News[288] Margin of error: ± 3% Sample size: 1356 | March 3, 2016 | | Donald Trump 48% | Ted Cruz 31% | Marco Rubio 15% | John Kasich 6% | University of New Orleans[289] Margin of error: ± 2.26% Sample size: 1874 | March 2, 2016 | | Donald Trump 38% | Ted Cruz 26% | Marco Rubio 11% | John Kasich 5%, Don't Care 20% | Trafalgar Group[290] Margin of error: ± 2.73% Sample size: 1509 | March 1–2, 2016 | | Donald Trump 44.15% | Ted Cruz 25.92% | Marco Rubio 14.84% | Ben Carson 5.72%, John Kasich 5.17%, Undecided 4.2% | Magellan Strategies[291] Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample size: 609 | March 1, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | Ted Cruz 21% | Marco Rubio 15% | John Kasich 9%, Ben Carson 5% | WWL-TV/Advocate[292] Margin of error: ± 3.46% Sample size: 800 | September 20–23, 2015 | | Ben Carson 23% | Donald Trump 19% | Jeb Bush 10% | Marco Rubio 9%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, John Kasich 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Others 1%, Undecided 13% | Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage[293] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 490 | August 2, 2015 | | Donald Trump 28.9% | Jeb Bush 16.6% | Mike Huckabee 9.8% | Ted Cruz 9.4%, Ben Carson 8.4%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Scott Walker 4.3%, Marco Rubio 3.8% John Kasich 2.6%, Chris Christie 2.4%, Rick Perry 2.1%, Carly Fiorina 1.5%, Rand Paul 1%, Lindsey Graham 0.3%, Rick Santourm 0.1%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else 0.8%, Undecided 2.1% | Public Policy Polling[294] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 308 | June 26–29, 2014 | | Ted Cruz 19% | | Jeb Bush 17% | | Mike Huckabee 17% | Bobby Jindal 12%, Rand Paul 10%, Chris Christie 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, Paul Ryan 4%, Scott Walker 3%, Other/Undecided 8% | Magellan Strategies[295] Margin of error: ± 6% Sample size: 270 | February 6–9, 2014 | | Jeb Bush 25% | Mike Huckabee 17% | Ted Cruz 13% | Rand Paul 9%, Marco Rubio 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Scott Walker 4%, John Kasich 2% Undecided 13% | Public Policy Polling[296] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 309 | February 6–9, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 20% | Bobby Jindal 13% | Ted Cruz 12% | Rand Paul 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Scott Walker 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 12% | Public Policy Polling[297] Margin of error: ± 5.9% Sample size: 274 | Aug. 16–19, 2013 | | Rand Paul 18% | | Jeb Bush 17% | Paul Ryan 11% | Chris Christie 10%, Bobby Jindal 10%, Ted Cruz 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Rick Santorum 5%, Susana Martinez 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 13% | Public Policy Polling[298] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 603 | Feb. 8–12, 2013 | | Marco Rubio 21% | | Mike Huckabee 18% | Bobby Jindal 14% | Chris Christie 11%, Jeb Bush 9%, Rand Paul 8%, Paul Ryan 7%, Rick Perry 3%, Susana Martinez 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 7% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Maine, 2016. Winner: Ted Cruz Caucus date: March 5, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Caucus results[299] | March 5, 2016 | Ted Cruz 45.90% | Donald Trump 32.59% | John Kasich 12.19% | Marco Rubio 8.01%, Ben Carson 0.71%, Rand Paul 0.30%, Jeb Bush 0.17%, Carly Fiorina 0.09%, Mike Huckabee 0.05% | Public Policy Polling[300] Margin of error: ±5.4% Sample size: 331 | November 8–11, 2013 | | Chris Christie 27% | Ted Cruz 14% | Jeb Bush 12% | Rand Paul 10%, Paul Ryan 9%, Marco Rubio 4%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Scott Walker 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 20% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Maryland, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: April 26, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[301] | April 26, 2016 | Donald Trump 54.45% | John Kasich 23.03% | Ted Cruz 18.88% | Ben Carson 1.30%, Marco Rubio 0.68%, Jeb Bush 0.56%, Rand Paul 0.34%, Chris Christie 0.27%, Carly Fiorina 0.22%, Mike Huckabee 0.18%, Rick Santorum 0.10% | ARG[302] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 400 | April 21–24, 2016 | | Donald Trump 55% | John Kasich 21% | Ted Cruz 19% | Undecided 5% | Public Policy Polling[303] Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 310 | April 15–17, 2016 | | Donald Trump 43% | John Kasich 29% | Ted Cruz 24% | Undecided 5% | Monmouth University[304] Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 301 | April 10–11, 2016 | | Donald Trump 47% | John Kasich 27% | Ted Cruz 19% | Other 1%, Undecided 7% | NBC4/Marist[305] Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 368 | April 5–9, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | Ted Cruz 29% | John Kasich 24% | Other 1%, Undecided 6% | Washington Post/University of Maryland[306] Margin of error: ± 7.5% Sample size: 283 | March 30–April 3, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | John Kasich 31% | Ted Cruz 22% | Other 6% | Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore[307] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400 | March 4–8, 2016 | | Donald Trump 34% | Ted Cruz 25% | John Kasich 18% | Marco Rubio 14%, Other 1%, Undecided 9% | Gonzales Research[308] Margin of error: ± 5.8% Sample size: 301 | January 11–16, 2016 | | Donald Trump 31.9% | Ted Cruz 15.0% | Marco Rubio 13.6% | Ben Carson 9.3%, Chris Christie 8.0%, Jeb Bush 4.0%, Someone else 5.6%, Undecided 12.6% | Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore[309] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 307 | November 13–17, 2015 | | Ben Carson 27% | | Donald Trump 23% | Marco Rubio 16% | Ted Cruz 10%, John Kasich 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Jeb Bush 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Other/Unsure 9% | Baltimore Sun[310] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 499 | February 8–12, 2014 | | Ben Carson 24% | Jeb Bush 15% | Chris Christie 14% | Rand Paul 14%, Marco Rubio 12%, Undecided/Other 21% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Massachusetts, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: March 1, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[311] | March 1, 2016 | Donald Trump 48.99% | John Kasich 17.94% | Marco Rubio 17.75% | Ted Cruz 9.50%, Ben Carson 2.57%, Jeb Bush 1.03%, Chris Christie 0.30%, Rand Paul 0.29%, Carly Fiorina 0.18%, Jim Gilmore 0.12%, Mike Huckabee 0.11%, Mike Huckabee 0.08%, George Pataki 0.08%, Rick Santorum 0.05% | Emerson College[312] Margin of error: ± 4.8%Sample size: 408 | February 26–28, 2016 | | Donald Trump 51% | Marco Rubio 20% | John Kasich 14% | Ted Cruz 10%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 1% | UMass Amherst/WBZ[313] Margin of error: ± 6.3%Sample size: 292 | February 24–26, 2016 | | Donald Trump 47% | Marco Rubio 15% | Ted Cruz 15% | John Kasich 11%, Ben Carson 2%, Other 7%, Don't Know 3% | Suffolk University[314] Margin of error: ± 4.4%Sample size: 500 | February 24–26, 2016 | | Donald Trump 42.6% | Marco Rubio 19.8% | John Kasich 17% | Ted Cruz 8.8%, Ben Carson 3.8%, Other 1%, Don't Know 7% | MassINC/WBUR[315] Margin of error: ± 4.9%Sample size: 386 | February 21–23, 2016 | | Donald Trump 39% | Marco Rubio 18% | John Kasich 17% | Ted Cruz 9%, Ben Carson 5%, Don't Know 12% | Emerson College[316] Margin of error: ± 5.7%Sample size: 289 | February 19–21, 2016 | | Donald Trump 50% | Marco Rubio 16% | John Kasich 13% | Ted Cruz 10%, Ben Carson 2% | Suffolk University[317] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 134 | November 19–22, 2015 | | Donald Trump 32% | Marco Rubio 18% | Ted Cruz 10% | Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Chris Christie 4%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 14% | Emerson College[318] Margin of error: ± 5.9% Sample size: 271 | October 16–18, 2015 | | Donald Trump 47.8% | Ben Carson 13.9% | Marco Rubio 11.8% | Jeb Bush 7.1%, Carly Fiorina 6.5%, Ted Cruz 5.1%, John Kasich 2.8%, Chris Christie 2.3%, Lindsey Graham 0.9%, Mike Huckabee 0.4%, Rand Paul 0.1%, Undecided 1.4% | Emerson College[319] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 216 | March 14–19, 2015 | | Jeb Bush 19% | | Scott Walker 19% | Ben Carson 13% | Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Other/Undecided 28% | Suffolk University[320] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400 | August 21–24, 2014 | | Chris Christie 11% | | Paul Ryan 11% | | Jeb Bush 10.75% | Rand Paul 10.5%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Scott Walker 6.75%, Marco Rubio 5.75%, Rick Perry 4.75%, Ted Cruz 4.25%, Bobby Jindal 3.5%, Rick Santorum 2.75%, Jon Huntsman Jr. 1.75%, John Kasich 1%, Undecided 18.25%, Other 0.5%, Refused 0.5% | | Mitt Romney 48.62% | Chris Christie 7.69% | Paul Ryan 5.54% | Jeb Bush 5.23%, Ted Cruz 3.69%, Jon Huntsman Jr. 3.38%, Bobby Jindal 3.38%, Rand Paul 3.38%, Scott Walker 3.38%, Mike Huckabee 3.08%, Marco Rubio 2.77%, Rick Perry 1.54%, John Kasich 1.23%, Rick Santorum 1.23%, Undecided 4.92%, Refused 0.92% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Michigan, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: March 8, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[321] | March 8, 2016 | Donald Trump 36.55% | Ted Cruz 24.68% | John Kasich 24.26% | Marco Rubio 9.34%, Ben Carson 1.61%, Jeb Bush 0.81%, Rand Paul 0.29%, Chris Christie 0.24%, Mike Huckabee 0.20%, Rick Santorum 0.13%, Carly Fiorina 0.11%, George Pataki 0.04%, Lindsey Graham 0.03% | FOX 2 Detroit/ Mitchell Research[322] Margin of error: ± 4.5%Sample size: 472 | March 7, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | John Kasich 23% | Ted Cruz 18% | Marco Rubio 8%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 1%, Undecided 6% | FOX 2 Detroit/ Mitchell Research[323] Margin of error: ± 3.8%Sample size: 663 | March 6, 2016 | | Donald Trump 42% | John Kasich 19.6% | Ted Cruz 19.3% | Marco Rubio 9%, Ben Carson 4%, Other 1%, Undecided 5% | Trafalgar Group[324] Margin of error: ± 2.42%Sample size: 1610 | March 5–6, 2016 | | Donald Trump 40.89% | Ted Cruz 23.26% | John Kasich 23.04% | Marco Rubio 8.34%, Undecided 4.47% | Monmouth University[325] Margin of error: ± 4.9%Sample size: 402 | March 3–6, 2016 | | Donald Trump 36% | Ted Cruz 23% | John Kasich 21% | Marco Rubio 13%, Other 1%, Undecided 5% | ARG[326] Margin of error: ± 5%Sample size: 400 | March 4–5, 2016 | | John Kasich 33% | | Donald Trump 31% | Ted Cruz 15% | Marco Rubio 11%, Ben Carson 6%, Other 1%, Undecided 4% | CBS News/YouGov[327] Margin of error: ± 5.9%Sample size: 638 | March 2–4, 2016 | | Donald Trump 39% | Ted Cruz 24% | Marco Rubio 16% | John Kasich 15%, Ben Carson 5% | NBC News/WSJ/Marist[328] Margin of error: ± 3.3%Sample size: 877 | March 1–3, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | Ted Cruz 22% | Marco Rubio 17% | John Kasich 13%, Uncommitted 2%, Other 2%, Undecided 5% | Trafalgar Group[329] Margin of error: ± 2.42%Sample size: 1643 | March 2–3, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41.87% | Ted Cruz 20.45% | John Kasich 18.14% | Marco Rubio 13.79%, Undecided 5.75% | Michigan State University[330] Margin of error: ± 5.8%Sample size: 262 | January 25 – March 3, 2016 | | Donald Trump 36.1% | Ted Cruz 19.5% | Marco Rubio 18.1% | John Kasich 8.9%, Other 7% | FOX 2 Detroit/ Mitchell Research[331] Margin of error: ± 3.86%Sample size: 643 | March 2, 2016 | | Donald Trump 42% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 15% | John Kasich 14%, Ben Carson 5%, Other 1%, Undecided 5% | FOX 2 Detroit/ Mitchell Research[332] Margin of error: ± 3.76%Sample size: 679 | March 1, 2016 | | Donald Trump 39% | Marco Rubio 19% | Ted Cruz 14% | John Kasich 12%, Ben Carson 9%, Other 2%, Undecided 7% | EPIC/MRA[333] Margin of error: ± 4.9%Sample size: 400 | February 27–29, 2016 | | Donald Trump 29% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 18% | John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 18% | MRG[334] Margin of error: ± ?%Sample size: 217 | February 22–27, 2016 | | Donald Trump 33% | Marco Rubio 18% | Ted Cruz 18% | John Kasich 10%, Ben Carson 9%, Other/Undecided 12% | Target Insyght[335] Margin of error: ± 5%Sample size: 400 | February 22–24, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | Marco Rubio 17% | Ted Cruz 14% | John Kasich 12%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 6% | FOX 2 Detroit/ Mitchell Research[336] Margin of error: ± 4.57%Sample size: 459 | February 23, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | Marco Rubio 19% | Ted Cruz 16% | John Kasich 11%, Ben Carson 7%, Other 1%, Undecided 5% | ARG[337] Margin of error: ± 5%Sample size: 400 | February 19–20, 2016 | | Donald Trump 35% | John Kasich 17% | Ted Cruz/ Marco Rubio 12% | Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 4%, Other 1%, Undecided 10% | Detroit News/WDIV-TV[338] Margin of error: ± 4%Sample size: 600 | February 14–16, 2016 | | Donald Trump 25.2% | Ted Cruz 15% | Marco Rubio 11.8% | John Kasich 10.5%, Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 5.3%, Refused 1.9%, Undecided 21.3% | FOX 2 Detroit/ Mitchell Research[339] Margin of error: ± 4.94%Sample size: 394 | February 15, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | Ted Cruz 11% | John Kasich 11% | Marco Rubio 10%, Ben Carson 7%, Jeb Bush 5%, Undecided 14% | FOX 2 Detroit/ Mitchell Research[340] Margin of error: ± 5.39%Sample size: 330 | February 4, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | Marco Rubio 20% | Ted Cruz 16% | Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 6%, Jeb Bush 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Someone Else 2%, Not Sure 7% | Target-Insyght/ MIRS/IMP[341] Margin of error: ± 5%Sample size: 400 | February 2–4, 2016 | | Donald Trump 35% | Marco Rubio 21% | Ted Cruz 21% | John Kasich 6%, Ben Carson 5%, Jeb Bush 3%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Undecided 4% | Mitchell Research[342] Margin of error: ± 4.41%Sample size: 493 | January 25, 2016 | | Donald Trump 51% | Ted Cruz 15% | Marco Rubio 12% | Ben Carson 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, Chris Christie 5%, Someone else 3%, undecided 5% | MRG[343] Margin of error: ± 4%Sample size: 600 | September 9–14, 2015 | | Ben Carson 24% | | Donald Trump 22% | Jeb Bush 8% | Mike Huckabee 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, Ted Cruz 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 2%, Scott Walker 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Undecided 21% | Mitchell Poll[344] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 432 | August 10, 2015 | | Donald Trump 20% | | Carly Fiorina 15% | Ben Carson 12% | Jeb Bush 12%, Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 8%, John Kasich 8%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Scott Walker 4%, Rand Paul 2% | Public Policy Polling[345] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 465 | June 25–28, 2015 | | Scott Walker 15% | | Jeb Bush 14% | | Ben Carson 14% | Donald Trump 14%, Marco Rubio 9%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Ted Cruz 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, George Pataki 0%, Some else/Not sure 2% | MIRS[346] Margin of error: ± 6.5% Sample size: 366 | February 18–20, 2015 | | Scott Walker 43% | Jeb Bush 19% | Rand Paul 12% | Ben Carson 10%, Chris Christie 3%, Marco Rubio 3%, Rick Santorum 3%, Mike Huckabee 3% | Suffolk University[347] Margin of error: ± 7% Sample size: 188 | September 6–10, 2014 | | Jeb Bush 11.17% | | Mike Huckabee 11.17% | | Marco Rubio 9.57% | Rand Paul 6.91%, Chris Christie 6.38%, Scott Walker 6.38%, Rick Perry 6.38%, Paul Ryan 5.85%, Ted Cruz 5.32%, Rick Santorum 5.32%, Bobby Jindal 2.66%, Jon Huntsman Jr. 2.13%, John Kasich 0.53%, Undecided 17.02%, Refused 2.13%, Other 1.06% | | Mitt Romney 39.47% | Jeb Bush 9.87% | Ted Cruz 6.58% | Mike Huckabee 5.26%, Marco Rubio 5.26%, Scott Walker 4.61%, Chris Christie 2.63%, Bobby Jindal 2.63%, Paul Ryan 2.63%, Rick Perry 1.97%, Jon Huntsman Jr. 1.32%, Rick Santorum 1.32%, Rand Paul 1.32%, John Kasich 0%, Undecided 13.82%, Refused 1.32% | Magellan Strategies[348] Margin of error: ± 6% Sample size: 270 | April 14–15, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 24% | Jeb Bush 16% | Rand Paul 15% | Chris Christie 14%, Ted Cruz 7%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott Walker 4%, John Kasich 3%, Undecided 12% | Public Policy Polling[349] Margin of error: ± 5.4% Sample size: 334 | April 3–6, 2014 | | Rand Paul 16% | | Chris Christie 15% | | Mike Huckabee 15% | Ted Cruz 11%, Jeb Bush 9%, Paul Ryan 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 17% | Public Policy Polling[350] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 450 | December 5–8, 2013 | | Rand Paul 18% | | Chris Christie 16% | | Ted Cruz 15% | Jeb Bush 10%, Marco Rubio 8%, Paul Ryan 7%, Scott Walker 5%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 14% | Public Policy Polling[351] Margin of error: ± 5.4% Sample size: 334 | May 30 – June 2, 2013 | | Rand Paul 18% | | Jeb Bush 16% | | Chris Christie 15% | Paul Ryan 12%, Marco Rubio 11%, Ted Cruz 7%, Rick Santorum 6%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Susana Martinez 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 10% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Minnesota, 2016. Winner: Marco Rubio Primary date: March 1, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[352] | March 1, 2016 | Marco Rubio 36.24% | Ted Cruz 29.04% | Donald Trump 21.42% | Ben Carson 7.37%, John Kasich 5.75% | Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon[353] Margin of error: ± 6.5% Sample size: ? | January 18–20, 2016 | | Marco Rubio 23% | | Ted Cruz 21% | | Donald Trump 18% | Ben Carson 11%, Jeb Bush 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Other 6%, Undecided 9% | KSTP[354] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 516 | October 29 – November 2, 2015 | | Donald Trump 26% | Ben Carson 19% | Marco Rubio 16% | Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, others 4%, undecided 13% | Public Policy Polling[355] Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 353 | July 30 – August 2, 2015 | | Scott Walker 19% | | Donald Trump 18% | | Jeb Bush 15% | Ben Carson 11%, Ted Cruz 7%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 1% | Suffolk University[356] Margin of error: ± 10% Sample size: 87 | April 24–28, 2014 | | Jeb Bush 14.94% | | Rick Perry 14.94% | | Chris Christie 9.20% | Ted Cruz 9.20%, Marco Rubio 8.05%, Rand Paul 5.75%, Ben Carson 4.60%, Rick Santorum 4.60%, Condoleezza Rice 3.45%, Scott Walker 3.45%, Bobby Jindal 2.30%, Sarah Palin 2.30%, Paul Ryan 2.30%, Mike Huckabee 1.15%, Undecided 13.79% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Mississippi, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: March 8, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[357] | March 8, 2016 | Donald Trump 47.24% | Ted Cruz 36.12% | John Kasich 8.84% | Marco Rubio 5.26%, Ben Carson 1.35%, Jeb Bush 0.41%, Mike Huckabee 0.26%, Rand Paul 0.15%, Rick Santorum 0.12%, Chris Christie 0.12%, Carly Fiorina 0.05%, Lindsey Graham 0.04%, George Pataki 0.03% | Magellan Strategies[358] Margin of error: ± 3.1% Sample size: 995 | February 29, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | Ted Cruz 17% | Marco Rubio 16% | John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 5%, Undecided 13% | Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage[359] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 444 | August 2, 2015 | | Donald Trump 26.9% | Jeb Bush 20.4% | Ben Carson 9.6% | Ted Cruz 8.7%, Mike Huckabee 8.7%, Scott Walker 7%, Bobby Jindal 3.5%, Marco Rubio 3%, Chris Christie 2.9%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 1.8%, Rick Perry 1.3%, John Kasich 1.3%, Rick Santorum 0.4%, George Pataki 0.3%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1.1%, Undecided 1.1% | Public Policy Polling[360] Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 434 | July 10–13, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 25% | Jeb Bush 16% | Ted Cruz 11% | Chris Christie 8%, Rand Paul 6%, Paul Ryan 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Rick Santorum 3%, Scott Walker 2%, Other/Undecided 16% | Harper Polling[361] Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 570 | April 3–5, 2014 | | Jeb Bush 29% | Chris Christie 12% | Ted Cruz 12% | Rand Paul 11%, Bobby Jindal 8%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Rick Santorum 2%, Undecided 17% | Harper Polling[362] Margin of error: ± 3.68% Sample size: 710 | December 17–18, 2013 | | Chris Christie 15.72% | | Ted Cruz 15.58% | | Rand Paul 14.45% | Paul Ryan 11.61%, Marco Rubio 10.34%, Bobby Jindal 9.49%, Rick Santorum 3.97%, Scott Walker 1.7%, Not sure 17.14% | Public Policy Polling[363] Margin of error: ±4.8% Sample size: 422 | November 15–17, 2013 | | Ted Cruz 19% | | Chris Christie 17% | | Jeb Bush 16% | Rand Paul 12%, Bobby Jindal 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Rick Santorum 5%, Paul Ryan 4%, Scott Walker 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 10% | |
See main article: Missouri Republican primary, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: March 15, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[364] | March 15, 2016 | Donald Trump 40.84% | Ted Cruz 40.63% | John Kasich 10.10% | Marco Rubio 6.09%, Ben Carson 0.88%, Jeb Bush 0.36%, Mike Huckabee 0.23%, Rand Paul 0.19%, Chris Christie 0.18%, Rick Santorum 0.08%, Carly Fiorina 0.07% | Fort Hayes State University[365] Margin of error: ± 7% Sample size: 208 | March 3–10, 2016 | | Donald Trump 36% | | Ted Cruz 29% | Marco Rubio 9% | John Kasich 8%, Other 1%, Undecided 17% | Remington Research Group[366] Margin of error: ± 2.6% Sample size: 1,528 | December 18–19, 2015 | | Donald Trump 33% | Ted Cruz 23% | Marco Rubio 12% | Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 3%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rand Paul 1%, John Kasich 1%, Undecided 14% | Public Policy Polling[367] Margin of error: 4.7% Sample size: 440 | August 7–8, 2015 | | Donald Trump 23% | Ben Carson 11% | Jeb Bush 11% | Mike Huckabee 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Scott Walker 8%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, John Kasich 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Someone else/Undecided 2% | |
Montana
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[368] | June 7, 2016 | Donald Trump 73.72% | Ted Cruz 9.36% | John Kasich 6.85% | Marco Rubio 3.30%, Jeb Bush 2.08% | Gravis Marketing[369] Margin of error: ± 3% Sample size: ? | February 24–25, 2015 | | Jeb Bush 19.8% | | Mike Huckabee 18.8% | | Scott Walker 18.8% | Marco Rubio 8.9%, Chris Christie 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Rick Perry 3%, Ben Carson 2%, Unsure 15.8% | Public Policy Polling[370] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 469 | November 15–17, 2013 | | Ted Cruz 20% | Chris Christie 14% | Rand Paul 14% | Jeb Bush 11%, Paul Ryan 10%, Marco Rubio 8%, Rick Santorum 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Scott Walker 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 14% | Public Policy Polling[371] Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 340 | June 21–23, 2013 | | Rand Paul 21% | Jeb Bush 13% | Chris Christie 12% | Ted Cruz 12%, Marco Rubio 10%, Paul Ryan 9%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Susana Martinez 3%, Rick Santorum 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 13% | |
Nebraska
See main article: United States presidential election in Nebraska, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: May 10, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[372] | May 10, 2016 | Donald Trump 61.43% | Ted Cruz 18.45% | John Kasich 11.41% | Ben Carson 5.08%, Marco Rubio 3.63% | Harper Polling[373] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 565 | February 3–4, 2014 | | Rand Paul 13.41% | | Paul Ryan 12.85% | | Chris Christie 12.66% | Ted Cruz 12.66%, Marco Rubio 8.38%, Scott Walker 8.38%, Bobby Jindal 5.03%, Rick Santorum 4.66%, Undecided 21.97% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Nevada, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Caucus date: February 23, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[374] | February 23, 2016 | Donald Trump 45.75% | Marco Rubio 23.77% | Ted Cruz 21.30% | Ben Carson 4.79%, John Kasich 3.59% | CNN/ORC[375] Margin of error: ± 6.5% Sample size: 245 | February 10–15, 2016 | | Donald Trump 45% | Marco Rubio 19% | Ted Cruz 17% | Ben Carson 7%, John Kasich 5%, Jeb Bush 1%, Someone else 2%, No opinion 4% | Gravis Marketing[376] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 406 | December 23–27, 2015 | | Donald Trump 33% | Ted Cruz 20% | Marco Rubio 11% | Ben Carson 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, Chris Christie 5%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, John Kasich 0%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Unsure 12% | Morning Consult[377] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 249 | November 10–16, 2015 | | Donald Trump 38% | Ben Carson 18% | Marco Rubio 12% | Ted Cruz 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Chris Christie 1%, John Kasich 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Someone else 1%, Don't know/No opinion 8% | CNN/ORC[378] Margin of error: ± 6% Sample size: 285 | October 3–10, 2015 | | Donald Trump 38% | Ben Carson 22% | Carly Fiorina 8% | Marco Rubio 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ted Cruz 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rand Paul 2%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Chris Christie 1%, George Pataki 1%, John Kasich 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, None 3%, No opinion 3% | Gravis Marketing[379] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 623 | July 12–13, 2015 | | Donald Trump 28% | Scott Walker 15% | Ben Carson 8% | Jeb Bush 7%, Marco Rubio 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Ted Cruz 4%, Rick Perry 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 2%, George Pataki 1%, Carly Fiorina 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 20% | Gravis Marketing[380] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 443 | March 27, 2015 | | Ted Cruz 18% | | Scott Walker 18% | | Jeb Bush 16% | Marco Rubio 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Undecided 20% | Gravis Marketing[381] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 438 | February 21–22, 2015 | | Scott Walker 27% | Jeb Bush 19% | Chris Christie 8% | Ted Cruz 6%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Rick Perry 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Undecided 16% | |
See main article: Opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primary in New Hampshire and United States presidential election in New Hampshire, 2016.
New Jersey
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[382] | June 7, 2016 | Donald Trump 80.39% | John Kasich 13.40% | Ted Cruz 6.21% | | Monmouth University[383] Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 301 | May 1–3, 2016 | | Donald Trump 70% | John Kasich 15% | Ted Cruz 11% | Undecided 5% | Rutgers-Eagleton[384] Margin of error: ± 6.9% Sample size: 244 | April 1–8, 2016 | | Donald Trump 52% | John Kasich 24% | Ted Cruz 18% | Someone Else 4%, Don't Know 2% | Rutgers-Eagleton[385] Margin of error: ± 7.0% Sample size: 227 | February 6–15, 2016 | | Donald Trump 38% | Marco Rubio 11% | Ted Cruz 10% | John Kasich 8%, Jeb Bush 7%, Chris Christie 7%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Someone Else 2%, Don't Know 11% | Rutgers-Eagleton[386] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 230 | November 30 – December 6, 2015 | | Donald Trump 30% | Chris Christie 14% | Marco Rubio 13% | Ted Cruz 10%, Ben Carson 4%, Jeb Bush 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 1%, Don't know 19% | Fairleigh Dickinson University[387] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 307 | November 9–15, 2015 | | Donald Trump 31% | Marco Rubio 18% | Ben Carson 11% | Chris Christie 9%, Ted Cruz 6%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, George Pataki 0%, other 1%, Wouldn't vote 1%, Don't know/Refused 5% | Quinnipiac University[388] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 481 | November 4–8, 2015 | | Donald Trump 31% | Ben Carson 16% | Marco Rubio 15% | Chris Christie 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Jeb Bush 4%, John Kasich 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Other 1%, Someone else 1%, Would not vote 2%, DK 6% | Rutgers-Eagleton[389] Margin of error: ± 6.8% Sample size: 266 | October 3–10, 2015 | | Donald Trump 32% | Ben Carson 13% | Marco Rubio 13% | Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, John Kasich 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, George Pataki 1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Bobby Jindal <1%, Rand Paul <1%, Other 1%, Don't know 16% | Rutgers-Eagleton[390] Margin of error: ± 6.8% Sample size: 263 | July 25 – August 1, 2015 | | Donald Trump 21% | Chris Christie 12% | Jeb Bush 10% | Scott Walker 10%, Ben Carson 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Rand Paul 2%, John Kasich 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Newt Gingrich 1%, Paul Ryan 1%, Carly Fiorina <1%, Lindsey Graham <1%, No one 3%, Other 2%, Don't know 19% | Fairleigh Dickinson University[391] Margin of error: ± 6.3% Sample size: 267 | June 15–21, 2015 | | Jeb Bush 18% | | Chris Christie 18% | Donald Trump 11% | Scott Walker 9%, Ben Carson 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Ted Cruz 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, George Pataki 2%, Rick Perry 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, John Kasich 0%, other 2%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Don't know/Refused 10% | Fairleigh Dickinson University[392] Margin of error: ± 6% Sample size: 268 | April 13–19, 2015 | | Chris Christie 20% | | Scott Walker 14% | Jeb Bush 13% | Ted Cruz 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Other 15%, Don't know 22% | Quinnipiac University[393] Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 444 | April 9–14, 2015 | | Chris Christie 22% | Scott Walker 14% | Jeb Bush 11% | Rand Paul 9%, Marco Rubio 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Ben Carson 2%, Carly Fiorina 1% John Kasich 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Rick Perry 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 3%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Don't know 13% | | Chris Christie 23% | Scott Walker 15% | Rand Paul 11% | Marco Rubio 9%, Ted Cruz 6%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Ben Carson 2%, Carly Fiorina 1% John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Rick Perry 0%, Other 3%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Don't know 16% | | Chris Christie 23% | Jeb Bush 12% | Marco Rubio 11% | Rand Paul 10%, Ted Cruz 8%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Ben Carson 3%, John Kasich 2%, Carly Fiorina 1% Rick Perry 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 3%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Don't know 14% | Quinnipiac University[394] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: ? | January 15–19, 2015 | | Chris Christie 24% | Mitt Romney 18% | Jeb Bush 13% | Ben Carson 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Scott Walker 4%, Marco Rubio 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Perry 1%, John Kasich 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 1%, Don't know 14% | Rutgers-Eagleton[395] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 224 | December 3–10, 2014 | | Chris Christie 32% | Mitt Romney 10% | Jeb Bush 6% | Rand Paul 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Ted Cruz 3%, Ben Carson 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rudy Giuliani 1%, Ron Paul 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Scott Walker 1%, Other 3%, Don't know 31% | Rutgers-Eagleton[396] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 255 | July 28 – August 5, 2014 | | Chris Christie 41% | Mitt Romney 6% | Jeb Bush 5% | Ted Cruz 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Scott Walker 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Ron Paul 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Marco Rubio 1%, Paul Ryan 1%, Newt Gingrich <1%, Rudy Giuliani <1%, Bobby Jindal <1%, Sarah Palin <1%, Other 3%, Don't know 30% | Fairleigh Dickinson University[397] Margin of error: ± 6.5% Sample size: 228 | August 21–27, 2013 | | Chris Christie 51% | Rand Paul 10% | Marco Rubio 9% | Jeb Bush 6%, Other 10%, Undecided 13% | Kean University[398] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 309 | April 25–29, 2013 | | Chris Christie 41% | Marco Rubio 18% | Rand Paul 13% | Paul Ryan 12%, Other 5%, Undecided 11% | |
New Mexico
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results | June 7, 2016 | Donald Trump 70.69% | Ted Cruz 13.29% | John Kasich 7.57% | Ben Carson 3.65%, Jeb Bush 3.36%, Carly Fiorina 1.44% | Albuquerque Journal[399] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 403 | February 16–18, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 25% | | Donald Trump 24% | Marco Rubio 19% | Ben Carson 6%, Jeb Bush 5%, John Kasich 4%, Undecided 17% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in New York, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: April 19, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[400] | April 19, 2016 | Donald Trump 59.21% | John Kasich 24.68% | Ted Cruz 14.53% | | Emerson College[401] Margin of error: ± 5.11% Sample size: 361 | April 15 – 17, 2016 | | Donald Trump 55% | John Kasich 21% | Ted Cruz 18% | Undecided 5% | CBS News/YouGov[402] Margin of error: ± 5.9% Sample size: 705 | April 13 – 15, 2016 | | Donald Trump 54% | Ted Cruz 21% | John Kasich 19% | Undecided 6% | Optimus[403] Margin of error: ± 0.822% Sample size: 14201 | April 11 – 14, 2016 | | Donald Trump 49% | John Kasich 23% | Ted Cruz 14% | Undecided 14% | NBC News/WSJ/Marist[404] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 313 | April 10 – 13, 2016 | | Donald Trump 54% | John Kasich 25% | Ted Cruz 16% | Undecided 5% | Siena College[405] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 469 | April 6 – 11, 2016 | | Donald Trump 50% | John Kasich 27% | Ted Cruz 17% | Other 6% | Quinnipiac University[406] Margin of error: ± 4.2% Sample size: 550 | April 6 – 11, 2016 | | Donald Trump 55% | John Kasich 20% | Ted Cruz 19% | Undecided 6% | Public Policy Polling[407] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 483 | April 7 – 10, 2016 | | Donald Trump 51% | John Kasich 25% | Ted Cruz 20% | Undecided 4% | NBC News/WSJ/Marist[408] Margin of error: ± 6.1% Sample size: 259 | April 6 – 10, 2016 | | Donald Trump 54% | John Kasich 21% | Ted Cruz 18% | Undecided 5%, Other 1% | Baruch College/New York 1[409] Margin of error: ± 5.8% Sample size: 324 | April 5 – 10, 2016 | | Donald Trump 60% | John Kasich 17% | Ted Cruz 14% | Undecided 7%, Refused 2% | Liberty Research[410] Margin of error: ± 3.0% Sample size: 6041 | April 6 – 7, 2016 | | Donald Trump 52% | John Kasich 23% | Ted Cruz 19% | Undecided 6% | Emerson College[411] Margin of error: ± 5.4% Sample size: 321 | April 6 – 7, 2016 | | Donald Trump 56% | Ted Cruz 22% | John Kasich 17% | Undecided 4%, Other 1% | Fox News[412] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 602 | April 4 – 7, 2016 | | Donald Trump 54% | John Kasich 22% | Ted Cruz 15% | Undecided 6%, Other 1% | Monmouth University[413] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 302 | April 3 – 5, 2016 | | Donald Trump 52% | John Kasich 25% | Ted Cruz 17% | Undecided 6% | CBS News/YouGov[414] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 657 | March 29-April 1, 2016 | | Donald Trump 52% | Ted Cruz 21% | John Kasich 20% | Other/Undecided 7% | Quinnipiac University[415] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 457 | March 22 – 29, 2016 | | Donald Trump 56% | Ted Cruz 20% | John Kasich 19% | Undecided 4% | Liberty Research[416] Margin of error: ± 3% Sample size: 1795 | March 24 – 26, 2016 | | Donald Trump 55% | John Kasich 22% | Ted Cruz 19% | Undecided 4% | Optimus[417] Margin of error: ± 0.8% Sample size: 14232 | March 22 – 24, 2016 | | Donald Trump 47% | John Kasich 22% | Ted Cruz 15% | Undecided 16% | Emerson College[418] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 298 | March 14 – 16, 2016 | | Donald Trump 64% | Ted Cruz 12% | John Kasich 1% | Other 19%, Undecided 1% | Siena College[419] Margin of error: ± 6.7% Sample size: 229 | February 28 – March 3, 2016 | | Donald Trump 45% | Marco Rubio 18% | John Kasich 18% | Ted Cruz 11%, Other 1%, Undecided 7% | Siena College[420] Margin of error: ± 7.0% Sample size: 235 | January 31 – February 3, 2016 | | Donald Trump 34% | Ted Cruz 16% | Marco Rubio 16% | Chris Christie 11%, Jeb Bush 7%, John Kasich 4%, Someone else 2%, Don't know/No opinion 10% | Siena College[421] Margin of error: ± 6.7% Sample size: 214 | September 14–17, 2015 | | Donald Trump 34% | Ben Carson 14% | Jeb Bush 11% | Chris Christie 9%, Carly Fiorina 8%, Marco Rubio 5%, John Kasich 4%, Ted Cruz 3%, George Pataki 3%, Scott Walker 0%, Other 1%, None of them 5%, Undecided 5% | Quinnipiac University[422] Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 356 | May 28 – June 1, 2015 | | George Pataki 11% | | Marco Rubio 11% | | Jeb Bush 10% | Scott Walker 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 6%, Donald Trump 6%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Ted Cruz 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, DK/NA 14%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Someone else 1% | Siena College[423] Margin of error: ± 6.6% Sample size: 223 | April 19–23, 2015 | | Chris Christie 25% | | Jeb Bush 20% | Marco Rubio 9% | Rand Paul 8%, Ted Cruz 6%, Other 8%, Undecided 24% | Quinnipiac University[424] Margin of error: ± 5.4% Sample size: 327 | March 11–16, 2015 | | Jeb Bush 13% | | Scott Walker 13% | | Chris Christie 12% | Marco Rubio 10%, Rand Paul 8%, Ben Carson 6%, George Pataki 6%, Ted Cruz 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Undecided 18% | Marist College[425] Margin of error: ± 7.6% Sample size: 167 | November 18–20, 2013 | | Chris Christie 40% | Rand Paul 10% | Marco Rubio 10% | Jeb Bush 8%, Paul Ryan 5%, Ted Cruz 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Scott Walker 3%, Susana Martinez 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Undecided 15% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in North Carolina, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: March 15, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[426] | March 15, 2016 | Donald Trump 40.23% | Ted Cruz 36.76% | John Kasich 12.67% | Marco Rubio 7.73%, Ben Carson 0.96%, Jeb Bush 0.34%, Mike Huckabee 0.27%, Rand Paul 0.24%, Chris Christie 0.11%, Carly Fiorina 0.08%, Rick Santorum 0.06%, Jim Gilmore 0.02% | Public Policy Polling[427] Margin of error: ± 3.6%Sample size: 749 | March 11–13, 2016 | | Donald Trump 44% | Ted Cruz 33% | John Kasich 11% | Marco Rubio 7%, Undecided 5% | High Point University/SurveyUSA[428] Margin of error: ± 3.3%Sample size: 734 | March 9–10, 2016 | | Donald Trump 48% | Ted Cruz 28% | John Kasich 12% | Marco Rubio 8%, Other 1%, No Preference 1%, Undecided 2% | Civitas[429] Margin of error: ± 4.38%Sample size: 500 | March 5–7, 2016 | | Donald Trump 32% | Ted Cruz 26% | Marco Rubio 11% | John Kasich 11%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Jeb Bush 2%, Rand Paul 1%, Other 1%, No Preference 6% | WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA[430] Margin of error: ± 3.8%Sample size: 688 | March 4–7, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | Ted Cruz 27% | Marco Rubio 14% | John Kasich 11%, Other 4%, Undecided 2% | Elon University[431] Margin of error: ± 3.62%Sample size: 733 | February 15–19, 2016 | | Donald Trump 27.8% | Ted Cruz 19.1% | Marco Rubio 15.9% | Ben Carson 10%, John Kasich 6.8%, Jeb Bush 4%, Other 1.1%, Undecided 14.6% | SurveyUSA/ Time Warner Cable News[432] Margin of error: ± 4.8%Sample size: 437 | February 14–16, 2016 | | Donald Trump 36% | Ted Cruz 18% | Marco Rubio 18% | Ben Carson 10%, John Kasich 7%, Jeb Bush 5%, Other 1%, No Preference 1%, Undecided 4% | Public Policy Polling[433] Margin of error: ± 4%Sample size: 597 | February 14–16, 2016 | | Donald Trump 29% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 16% | John Kasich 11%, Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 7%, Undecided 9% | High Point University[434] Margin of error: ± 4.5%Sample size: 477 | January 30– February 4, 2016 | | Donald Trump 26% | | Ted Cruz 22% | Marco Rubio 20% | Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 3%, Chris Christie 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 4%, Don't Know 15% | Civitas Institute[435] Margin of error: ± 4.38%Sample size: 500 | January 18–19, 2016 | | Donald Trump 27% | | Ted Cruz 23% | Marco Rubio 10% | Ben Carson 7%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, No Preference 11%, Other 2%, Refused 4% | Public Policy Polling[436] Margin of error: ± 4.7%Sample size: 433 | January 18–19, 2016 | | Donald Trump 38% | Ted Cruz 16% | Marco Rubio 11% | Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul 3%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 4% | Public Policy Polling[437] Margin of error: ± 4.2% Sample size: 537 | December 5–7, 2015 | | Donald Trump 33% | Ted Cruz 16% | Marco Rubio/Ben Carson 14% | Jeb Bush 5%, Chris Christie 4%, John Kasich 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Lindsey Graham 1% | Elon University[438] Margin of error: ± 3.0% Sample size: 466 | October 29 – November 2, 2015 | | Ben Carson 31% | Donald Trump 19% | Marco Rubio/Ted Cruz 9.7% | Jeb Bush 4.65%, Carly Fiorina 3.4%, Mike Huckabee 2.7%, Rand Paul 1.9%, Chris Christie 1.8%, John Kasich 1.3%, Lindsey Graham 1.1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, George Pataki 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 12.2%, Refused 0.9%, Don't Know 0.7% | Public Policy Polling[439] Margin of error ± 4.8% Sample size: 425 | October 23–25, 2015 | | Donald Trump 31% | Ben Carson 23% | Marco Rubio 11% | Jeb Bush 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Mike Huckabee 5%, John Kasich 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, George Pataki 0%, Undecided 1% | Public Policy Polling[440] Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 576 | September 24–27, 2015 | | Donald Trump 26% | Ben Carson 21% | Carly Fiorina 12% | Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Jeb Bush 5%, John Kasich 4%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Rand Paul 0%, Undecided 2% | Elon University[441] Margin of error: ± 4.31% Sample size: 516 | September 17–21, 2015 | | Donald Trump 21.5% | | Ben Carson 20.9% | Carly Fiorina 9.9% | Marco Rubio 7.4%, Jeb Bush 7%, Ted Cruz 6.2%, Mike Huckabee 4.1%, Rand Paul 2.3%, John Kasich 2.1%, Scott Walker 1.6%, Chris Christie 1.6%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham, 0.2%, Bobby Jindal 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0.6%, Undecided 13.2%, Refused 0.6% | Public Policy Polling[442] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 406 | August 12–16, 2015 | | Donald Trump 24% | Ben Carson 14% | Jeb Bush 13% | Ted Cruz 10%, Marco Rubio 9%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Scott Walker 6%, Rand Paul 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Rick Perry 1%, John Kasich 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 3% | Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage[443] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 486 | August 2–3, 2015 | | Donald Trump 30.4% | Jeb Bush 18.8% | Ben Carson 11.9% | Ted Cruz 6.1%, Marco Rubio 5.3%, Scott Walker 5.3%, Mike Huckabee 5.1%, Carly Fiorina 2.6%, John Kasich 2.2%, Rand Paul 2%, Chris Christie 1.8%, Bobby Jindal 1.4%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, Rick Perry 0.4%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else 1.1%, Undecided 3.9% | Public Policy Polling[444] Margin of error: ± 5.8% Sample size: 288 | July 2–6, 2015 | | Donald Trump 16% | | Jeb Bush 12% | | Scott Walker 12% | Mike Huckabee 11%, Ben Carson 9%, Marco Rubio 9%, Rand Paul 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Florina 4%, Rick Perry 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, John Kasich 0%, George Pataki 0%, Undecided 4% | Public Policy Polling[445] Margin of error: ± 5.9% Sample size: 277 | May 28–31, 2015 | | Jeb Bush 19% | Rand Paul 12% | Marco Rubio 12% | Scott Walker 12%, Ted Cruz 11%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Ben Carson 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Not Sure 5% | SurveyUSA[446] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 333 | April 22–27, 2015 | | Marco Rubio 16% | | Jeb Bush 15% | | Rand Paul 14% | Scott Walker 12%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Ted Cruz 10%, Chris Christie 8%, Rick Perry 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Other/Undecided 10% | Public Policy Polling[447] Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 351 | April 2–5, 2015 | | Jeb Bush 19% | | Scott Walker 16% | Ted Cruz 11% | Mike Huckabee 11%, Marco Rubio 11%, Ben Carson 9%, Chris Christie 7%, Rand Paul 6%, Rick Perry 2%, Undecided 7% | Civitas Institute[448] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 400 | March 20–23, 2015 | | Scott Walker 29% | Jeb Bush 16% | Mike Huckabee 14% | Ben Carson 13%, Rand Paul 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Rick Santorum 3%, Other/Undecided 10% | Public Policy Polling[449] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 389 | February 24–26, 2015 | | Scott Walker 24% | Jeb Bush 17% | Mike Huckabee 15% | Ben Carson 12%, Marco Rubio 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Ted Cruz 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Undecided 8% | Public Policy Polling[450] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400 | January 29–31, 2015 | | Mitt Romney 16% | | Jeb Bush 14% | | Ben Carson 14% | Scott Walker 14%, Mike Huckabee 13%, Ted Cruz 6%, Rand Paul 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Rick Perry 3%, Undecided 9% | Meeting Street Research[451] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 262 | January 21–22, 2015 | | Mitt Romney 18% | | Jeb Bush 17% | Chris Christie 11% | Ben Carson 10%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Rand Paul 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Scott Walker 4%, Rick Perry 3%, Mike Pence 0%, Undecided 15%, Refused 1% | Public Policy Polling[452] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 390 | December 4–7, 2014 | | Ben Carson 19% | | Jeb Bush 15% | | Chris Christie 14% | Mike Huckabee 14%, Paul Ryan 11%, Rick Perry 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Someone else/Not sure 7% | Suffolk University[453] Margin of error: ± 8% Sample size: 129 | August 16–19, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 17.5% | | Jeb Bush 11% | Chris Christie 7% | Rick Perry 5.5%, Paul Ryan 5.5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rand Paul 3.5%, Scott Walker 3.5%, Ted Cruz 3%, Bobby Jindal 1.5%, John Kasich 0.5%, Jon Huntsman Jr. 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 32%, Refused 3.5%, Other 2% | | Mitt Romney 38.76% | Mike Huckabee 13.95% | Jeb Bush 10.08% | Chris Christie 6.2%, Scott Walker 3.88%, Rand Paul 3.1%, Rick Perry 2.33%, Marco Rubio 2.33%, Paul Ryan 2.33%, Ted Cruz 1.55%, Jon Huntsman Jr. 0.78%, Bobby Jindal 0%, John Kasich 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 11.63%, Refused 3.1% | Civitas Institute[454] Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 336 | July 28–29, 2014 | | Jeb Bush 16% | Chris Christie 9% | Rand Paul 9% | Marco Rubio 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Rick Perry 7%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 3%, Scott Walker 3%, Undecided 22%, Won't vote in Republican primary 11%, Other 1%, Refused 1% | Public Policy Polling[455] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 394 | May 9–11, 2014 | | Jeb Bush 17% | | Mike Huckabee 17% | Chris Christie 12% | Ted Cruz 12%, Rand Paul 12%, Paul Ryan 8%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Someone else/Not sure 11% | Public Policy Polling[456] Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 694 | April 26–28, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 19% | | Ted Cruz 17% | Jeb Bush 15% | Rand Paul 15%, Chris Christie 9%, Paul Ryan 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Cliven Bundy 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 6% | Magellan Strategies[457] Margin of error: ± 6% Sample size: 300 | April 14–15, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 21% | | Jeb Bush 19% | | Rand Paul 15% | Chris Christie 12%, Ted Cruz 11%, Marco Rubio 6%, John Kasich 3%, Scott Walker 2%, Undecided 11% | Public Policy Polling[458] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 314 | April 3–6, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 22% | | Jeb Bush 18% | Chris Christie 12% | Ted Cruz 12%, Rand Paul 9%, Paul Ryan 9%, Scott Walker 7%, Marco Rubio 5%, Bobby Jindal 2% Someone Else/Undecided 6% | Public Policy Polling[459] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 392 | March 6–9, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 19% | | Chris Christie 15% | | Ted Cruz 14% | Jeb Bush 12%, Rand Paul 12%, Scott Walker 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Paul Ryan 4%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 12% | Public Policy Polling[460] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 305 | February 6–9, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 20% | | Jeb Bush 15% | Rand Paul 14% | Chris Christie 11%, Ted Cruz 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Scott Walker 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 9% | Public Policy Polling[461] Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 575 | January 9–12, 2014 | | Chris Christie 17% | | Jeb Bush 14% | | Rand Paul 14% | Ted Cruz 11%, Paul Ryan 11%, Marco Rubio 9%, Bobby Jindal 5%, Rick Santorum 4%, Scott Walker 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 13% | Public Policy Polling[462] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 529 | December 5–8, 2013 | | Chris Christie 19% | | Jeb Bush 15% | Rand Paul 13% | Ted Cruz 12%, Marco Rubio 10%, Paul Ryan 7%, Rick Santorum 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 11% | Public Policy Polling[463] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 498 | November 8–11, 2013 | | Chris Christie 20% | | Jeb Bush 16% | Ted Cruz 12% | Rand Paul 12%, Marco Rubio 10%, Paul Ryan 7%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Rick Santorum 2%, Scott Walker 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 13% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Ohio, 2016. Winner: John Kasich Primary date: March 15, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[464] | March 15, 2016 | John Kasich 46.95% | Donald Trump 35.87% | Ted Cruz 13.31% | Marco Rubio 2.34%, Ben Carson 0.72%, Jeb Bush 0.27%, Mike Huckabee 0.25%, Chris Christie 0.12%, Carly Fiorina 0.11%, Rick Santorum 0.07% | ARG[465] Margin of error: ± 5%Sample size: 400 | March 12–13, 2016 | | John Kasich 44% | Donald Trump 38% | Ted Cruz 12% | Marco Rubio 2%, Undecided 4% | Monmouth University[466] Margin of error: ± 4.4%Sample size: 503 | March 11–13, 2016 | | John Kasich 40% | Donald Trump 35% | Ted Cruz 15% | Marco Rubio 5%, Other 1%, Undecided 4% | Quinnipiac UniversityMargin of error: ± 3.7%Sample size: 721 | March 8–13, 2016 | | Donald Trump 38% | | John Kasich 38% | Ted Cruz 16% | Marco Rubio 3%, Undecided 4% | CBS News/YouGov[467] Margin of error: ± 4.4%Sample size: 798 | March 9–11, 2016 | | John Kasich 33% | | Donald Trump 33% | Ted Cruz 27% | Marco Rubio 5%, No Preference 2% | NBC News/WSJ/Marist[468] Margin of error: ± 4.1%Sample size: 564 | March 4–10, 2016 | | John Kasich 39% | Donald Trump 33% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 6% | Fox News[469] Margin of error: ± 3.5%Sample size: 806 | March 5–8, 2016 | | John Kasich 34% | Donald Trump 29% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 7%, Undecided 5%, Other 3%, None of the above 2% | Quinnipiac UniversityMargin of error: ± 3.7%Sample size: 685 | March 2–7, 2016 | | Donald Trump 38% | John Kasich 32% | Ted Cruz 16% | Marco Rubio 9%, Undecided 5% | Public Policy Polling[470] Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample size: 638 | March 4–6, 2016 | | Donald Trump 38% | | John Kasich 35% | Ted Cruz 15% | Marco Rubio 5%, Undecided 5% | CNN/ORCMargin of error: ± 5%Sample size: 359 | March 2–6, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | John Kasich 35% | Ted Cruz 15% | Marco Rubio 7% | Quinnipiac University[471] Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 759 | February 16–20, 2016 | | Donald Trump 31% | John Kasich 26% | Ted Cruz 21% | Marco Rubio 13%, Ben Carson 5%, Someone else 0%, DK/NA 5% | Baldwin Wallace University[472] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 440 | February 11–20, 2016 | | Donald Trump 31% | | John Kasich 29% | Ted Cruz 11% | Marco Rubio 10%, Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 3%, Don't Know 8% | Quinnipiac University[473] Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 433 | September 25 – October 5, 2015 | | Donald Trump 23% | Ben Carson 18% | John Kasich 13% | Ted Cruz 11%, Carly Fiorina 10%, Marco Rubio 7%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 0%, Would not vote 2%, DK/NA 6% | Quinnipiac University[474] Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 371 | August 7–18, 2015 | | John Kasich 27% | Donald Trump 21% | Ted Cruz 7% | Marco Rubio 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Scott Walker 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Perry 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Don't know 11% | Quinnipiac University[475] Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 413 | June 4–15, 2015 | | John Kasich 19% | Jeb Bush 9% | Scott Walker 8% | Marco Rubio 7%, Rand Paul 7%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 3%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Rick Perry 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Donald Trump 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1%, Don't know 17% | Public Policy Polling[476] Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 411 | June 4–7, 2015 | | John Kasich 19% | Ben Carson 13% | Scott Walker 13% | Jeb Bush 12%, Marco Rubio 12%, Rand Paul 9%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Someone Else/Not Sure 8% | Quinnipiac UniversityMargin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 404 | March 17–28, 2015 | | John Kasich 20% | Ted Cruz 9% | Mike Huckbee 9% | Scott Walker 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1% Undecided 15% | | John Kasich 22% | Scott Walker 10% | Ted Cruz 9% | Mike Huckabee 9%, Ben Carson 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rick Perry 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1% Undecided 17% | | John Kasich 22% | Ted Cruz 11% | Jeb Bush 9% | Ben Carson 9%, Mike Huckabee 9%, Rand Paul 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1% Undecided 15% | Quinnipiac UniversityMargin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 337 | January 22 – February 1, 2015 | | Mitt Romney 15% | | John Kasich 11% | | Scott Walker 10% | Jeb Bush 9%, Rand Paul 8%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Marco Rubio 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Undecided 18% | | John Kasich 14% | | Scott Walker 11% | | Jeb Bush 10% | Rand Paul 10%, Ben Carson 8%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Undecided 20% | Magellan Strategies[477] Margin of error: ± 6% Sample size: 300 | April 14–15, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 17% | | Rand Paul 15% | | Jeb Bush 13% | Chris Christie 13%, Ted Cruz 12%, John Kasich 10%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott Walker 4%, Undecided 11% | Public Policy Polling[478] Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 357 | Aug. 16–19, 2013 | | Chris Christie 17% | | Rand Paul 17% | Jeb Bush 10% | Marco Rubio 9%, John Kasich 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Ted Cruz 6%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Someone Else/Undecided 17% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Oklahoma, 2016. Winner: Ted Cruz Primary date: March 1, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[479] | March 1, 2016 | Ted Cruz 34.37% | Donald Trump 28.32% | Marco Rubio 26.01% | Ben Carson 6.22%, John Kasich 3.59%, Jeb Bush 0.45%, Rand Paul 0.36%, Mike Huckabee 0.28%, Carly Fiorina 0.13%, Chris Christie 0.12%, Rick Santorum 0.08%, Lindsey Graham 0.05% | SurveyMonkeyMargin of error: ± ?%Sample size: 636 | February 22–29, 2016 | | Donald Trump 34% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 19% | Ben Carson 14%, John Kasich 7%, Undecided 8% | Monmouth UniversityMargin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 403 | February 25–28, 2016 | | Donald Trump 35% | Ted Cruz 23% | Marco Rubio 22% | John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 7%, Other 1%, Undecided 4% | SoonerPoll[480] Margin of error: ± 4.21% Sample size: 540 | February 23–25, 2016 | | Donald Trump 34% | Marco Rubio 21% | Ted Cruz 18% | Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 6%, Undecided 13% | The Oklahoman[481] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400 | February 22–23, 2016 | | Donald Trump 29% | Marco Rubio 21% | Ted Cruz 20% | Ben Carson 6%, John Kasich 5%, Other 2%, Undecided 18% | SoonerPoll[482] Margin of error: ± 4.81% Sample size: 414 | February 6–9, 2016 | | Donald Trump 30.4% | Ted Cruz 25.4% | Marco Rubio 21.0% | Ben Carson 5.6%, Jeb Bush 4.6%, John Kasich 2.9%, Carly Fiorina 1.5%, Chris Christie 1.4%, Jim Gilmore 0.0%, Undecided 7.7% | SoonerPoll[483] Margin of error: ± 4.21%Sample size: 541 | January 17–19, 2016 | | Donald Trump 35.1% | Ted Cruz 25% | Marco Rubio 9.6% | Ben Carson 7.8%, Jeb Bush 4.4%, Mike Huckabee 4.4%, Chris Christie 3.1%, Rand Paul 2.2%, Carly Fiorina 1.3%, Other 2.2%, Undecided 4.8% | SoonerPoll[484] Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 389 | November 12–15, 2015 | | Donald Trump 27.1% | Ted Cruz 18.3% | Ben Carson 17.5% | Marco Rubio 16.3%, Mike Huckabee 4.3%, Carly Fiorina 2.3%, Jeb Bush 2.2%, Rand Paul 2.2%, John Kasich 0.5%, Other 2.5%, Undecided 6.7% | The Oklahoman[485] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 500 | October 19–22, 2015 | | Ben Carson 25% | Donald Trump 19% | Marco Rubio 9% | Ted Cruz 7%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Jeb Bush 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Undecided 27% | Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage[486] Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 402 | August 2, 2015 | | Donald Trump 35.8% | Jeb Bush 13.6% | Ben Carson 10.1% | Ted Cruz 7.3%, Mike Huckabee 6.8%, Scott Walker 5.8%, Rand Paul 3.4%, Chris Christie 3.3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Marco Rubio 2.6%, John Kasich 2.3%, Rick Perry 1.6%, Bobby Jindal 1.2%, Rick Santorum 1.1%, Lindsey Graham 0.4%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else 0.7%, Undecided 1.1% | Harper Polling[487] Margin of error: ± 3.91% Sample size: 627 | Jan. 30 – Feb 1, 2014 | | Ted Cruz 19% | Rand Paul 15% | Chris Christie 11% | Paul Ryan 11%, Marco Rubio 9%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Rick Santorum 5%, Scott Walker 4%, Undecided 19% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Oregon, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: May 17, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[488] | May 17, 2016 | Donald Trump 64.51% | Ted Cruz 16.50% | John Kasich 15.83% | | DHM Research/Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12[489] Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 324 | May 6–9, 2016 | | Donald Trump 45% | Ted Cruz 14% | John Kasich 14% | Undecided 19%, Wouldn't Vote 7% | Hoffman Research[490] Margin of error: ± 4.16% Sample size: 555 | April 26–27, 2016 | | Donald Trump 43% | Ted Cruz 26% | John Kasich 17% | Undecided 13% | DHM Research[491] Margin of error: ± 7.7% Sample size: 169 | July 22–27, 2015 | | Donald Trump 18% | | Scott Walker 12% | | Jeb Bush 11% | Ted Cruz 10%, Ben Carson 9%, Rand Paul 6%, Mike Huckabee 6%, John Kasich 4%, Marco Rubio 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, Other 2%, DK 12% | Public Policy Polling[492] Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 375 | May 22–27, 2014 | | Mike Huckabee 21% | | Ted Cruz 16% | Jeb Bush 15% | Rand Paul 15%, Chris Christie 12%, Marco Rubio 4%, Paul Ryan 3%, Scott Walker 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone else/Not sure 10% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: April 26, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[493] | April 26, 2016 | Donald Trump 56.71% | Ted Cruz 21.66% | John Kasich 19.36% | Ben Carson 0.93%, Marco Rubio 0.75%, Jeb Bush 0.60% | Fox 29/Opinion Savvy[494] Margin of error: ± 3% Sample size: 1050 | April 22–24, 2016 | | Donald Trump 48% | Ted Cruz 28% | John Kasich 19% | Undecided 5% | Public Policy PollingMargin of error: ± 3.4% Sample size: 826 | April 22–24, 2016 | | Donald Trump 51% | Ted Cruz 25% | John Kasich 22% | Undecided 3% | ARG[495] Margin of error: ± 5 Sample size: 400 | April 21–24, 2016 | | Donald Trump 50% | Ted Cruz 23% | John Kasich 21% | Undecided 6% | CBS News/YouGov[496] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 934 | April 20–22, 2016 | | Donald Trump 49% | Ted Cruz 26% | John Kasich 22% | Undecided 3% | NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[497] Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 571 | April 18–20, 2016 | | Donald Trump 45% | Ted Cruz 27% | John Kasich 24% | Other 3%, Undecided 3% | Franklin & Marshall College[498] Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 549 | April 11–18, 2016 | | Donald Trump 40% | Ted Cruz 26% | John Kasich 24% | Undecided 10% | CBS News/YouGov[499] Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 837 | April 13–15, 2016 | | Donald Trump 46% | Ted Cruz 26% | John Kasich 23% | Undecided 4% | Monmouth University[500] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 303 | April 10–12, 2016 | | Donald Trump 44% | Ted Cruz 28% | John Kasich 23% | Undecided 6% | Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[501] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 422 | April 7–12, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | John Kasich 26% | Ted Cruz 23% | Other 3%, Undecided 8% | Fox News[502] Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 802 | April 4–7, 2016 | | Donald Trump 48% | John Kasich 22% | Ted Cruz 20% | Other 1%, Not Sure 8% | Muhlenberg College[503] Margin of error: ± 6% Sample size: 360 | April 1–6, 2016 | | Donald Trump 35% | Ted Cruz 28% | John Kasich 27% | Other/Neither 5%, Not Sure 5% | Quinnipiac University[504] Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 578 | March 30-April 4, 2016 | | Donald Trump 39% | Ted Cruz 30% | John Kasich 24% | Undecided 7% | CBS News/YouGovMargin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 729 | March 29-April 1, 2016 | | Donald Trump 47% | Ted Cruz 29% | John Kasich 22% | Other/Undecided 2% | Franklin & Marshall College[505] Margin of error: ± 5.4% Sample size: 312 | March 14–20, 2016 | | Donald Trump 33% | | John Kasich 30% | Ted Cruz 20% | Undecided 17% | Harper Polling[506] Margin of error: ± 5.22% Sample size: 353 | March 1–2, 2016 | | Donald Trump 36% | Marco Rubio 19% | Ted Cruz 17% | Ben Carson 11%, John Kasich 10%, Undecided 8% | Franklin & Marshall College[507] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 371 | February 13–21, 2016 | | Donald Trump 22% | Marco Rubio 16% | John Kasich 15% | Ted Cruz 12%, Ben Carson 6%, Jeb Bush 4%, Don't know 25% | Robert Morris University[508] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 177 | February 11–16, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | Marco Rubio 15% | Ted Cruz 15% | John Kasich 9%, Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 4%, Undecided 9% | Franklin & Marshall College[509] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 276 | January 18–23, 2016 | | Donald Trump 24% | Ted Cruz 14% | Marco Rubio 11% | Ben Carson 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, Chris Christie 5%, John Kasich 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Don't know 26% | Franklin & Marshall College[510] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 231 | October 19–25, 2015 | | Donald Trump 23% | | Ben Carson 22% | Marco Rubio 13% | John Kasich 6%, Ted Cruz 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Jeb Bush 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham <0%, George Pataki <0%, Don't know 20% | Public Policy Polling[511] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 479 | October 8–11, 2015 | | Donald Trump 24% | | Ben Carson 23% | Ted Cruz 9% | Carly Fiorina 9%, Chris Christie 7%, Jeb Bush 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Mike Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Rand Paul 1%, George Pataki 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Undecided 4% | Quinnipiac University[512] Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 427 | September 25 – October 5, 2015 | | Donald Trump 23% | Ben Carson 17% | Marco Rubio 12% | Carly Fiorina 8%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, John Kasich 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Rand Paul 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, George Pataki 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Would not vote 1%, Someone else 0%, DK/NA 12% | Mercyhurst[513] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 483 | September 21 – October 1, 2015 | | Donald Trump 18% | | Ben Carson 18% | Jeb Bush 9% | Carly Fiorina 8%, Ted Cruz 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 3%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Others 2%, Undecided 17%, Refused 1% | Quinnipiac UniversityMargin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 443 | August 7–18, 2015 | | Donald Trump 24% | Ben Carson 13% | Marco Rubio 10% | Carly Fiorina 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Rick Santorum 4%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Don't know 9% | Quinnipiac UniversityMargin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 413 | June 4–15, 2015 | | Marco Rubio 12% | | Rand Paul 11% | | Jeb Bush 10% | Ben Carson 10%, Scott Walker 9%, Rick Santorum 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Donald Trump 4%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Someone else 2%, Wouldn't vote 1%, Don't know 13% | Public Policy Polling[514] Margin of error: ± 5.4% Sample size: 334 | May 21–24, 2015 | | Scott Walker 17% | | Ben Carson 12% | | Chris Christie 12% | Rick Santorum 12%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Jeb Bush 9%, Marco Rubio 9%, Ted Cruz 6%, Rand Paul 6%, Someone else/Not sure 6% | Quinnipiac UniversityMargin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 442 | March 17–28, 2015 | | Scott Walker 14% | Jeb Bush 9% | Ben Carson 9% | Rick Santorum 9%, Ted Cruz 7%, Marco Rubio 7%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Rand Paul 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Rick Perry 3%, John Kasich 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Lindsey Graham 0% Someone else 0%, Wouldn't vote 4% Undecided 18% | | Scott Walker 14% | Ben Carson 9% | Rick Santorum 9% | Ted Cruz 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Rick Perry 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kasich 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Someone else 0%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Undecided 20% | | Ben Carson 11% | Jeb Bush 10% | Ted Cruz 10% | Marco Rubio 9%, Scott Walker 9%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Rick Perry 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kasich 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Someone else 2%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Undecided 19% | Quinnipiac UniversityMargin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 342 | January 22 – February 1, 2015 | | Mitt Romney 12% | | Jeb Bush 10% | | Chris Christie 10% | Mike Huckabee 9%, Ben Carson 8%, Rick Santorum 6%, Scott Walker 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Marco Rubio 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Undecided 21% | | Jeb Bush 12% | | Chris Christie 11% | | Mike Huckabee 10% | Ben Carson 8%, Rick Santorum 8%, Ted Cruz 6%, Scott Walker 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, John Kasich 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Undecided 22% | Public Policy Polling[515] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 592 | January 15–18, 2015 | | Ben Carson 18% | | Jeb Bush 14% | | Mitt Romney 14% | Chris Christie 9%, Ted Cruz 9%, Mike Huckabee 9%, Scott Walker 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Rick Santorum 6%, Someone else/Not sure 6% | | Ben Carson 19% | | Jeb Bush 18% | Chris Christie 12% | Ted Cruz 10%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Scott Walker 9%, Rand Paul 8%, Rick Santorum 8%, Someone else/Not sure 7% | Public Policy Polling[516] Margin of error: ± 5.4% Sample size: 333 | May 30 – June 1, 2014 | | Chris Christie 23% | Mike Huckabee 14% | Rand Paul 12% | Jeb Bush 10%, Ted Cruz 10%, Rick Santorum 8%, Marco Rubio 6%, Paul Ryan 4%, Scott Walker 3%, Someone else/Not sure 9% | Public Policy Polling[517] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 491 | November 22–25, 2013 | | Chris Christie 26% | Ted Cruz 16% | Rand Paul 14% | Jeb Bush 10%, Rick Santorum 8%, Marco Rubio 6%, Paul Ryan 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Scott Walker 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 9% | Public Policy Polling[518] Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 373 | March 8–10, 2013 | | Chris Christie 20% | | Rand Paul 17% | | Marco Rubio 17% | Jeb Bush 10%, Rick Santorum 10%, Mike Huckabee 9%, Paul Ryan 6%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Perry 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 6% | |
Rhode Island
See main article: United States presidential election in Rhode Island, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: April 26, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[519] | April 26, 2016 | Donald Trump 62.92% | John Kasich 24.01% | Ted Cruz 10.29% | Marco Rubio 0.61% | Gravis MarketingMargin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 566 | April 23–24, 2016 | | Donald Trump 58% | John Kasich 21% | Ted Cruz 10% | Undecided 11% | Public Policy PollingMargin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 511 | April 22–24, 2016 | | Donald Trump 61% | John Kasich 23% | Ted Cruz 13% | Undecided 2% | Brown University[520] Margin of error: ± 7.0% Sample size: 164 | April 19–21, 2016 | | Donald Trump 38% | John Kasich 25% | Ted Cruz 14% | Undecided 17%, Other 6% | Brown University[521] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 206 | February 22–23, 2016 | | Donald Trump 43% | Marco Rubio 25% | John Kasich 14% | Ted Cruz 10%, Ben Carson 3%, Undecided 5% | Brown University[522] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 204 | February 17–20, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | Marco Rubio 14% | John Kasich 12% | Ted Cruz 8%, Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 4%, Other 1%, Undecided 13% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in South Carolina, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: February 20, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[523] | February 20, 2016 | Donald Trump 32.51% | Marco Rubio 22.48% | Ted Cruz 22.33% | Jeb Bush 7.84%, John Kasich 7.61%, Ben Carson 7.23% | Opinion Savvy/ Augusta Chronicle[524] Margin of error: ± 3.5%Sample size: 780 | February 18–19, 2016 | | Donald Trump 26.9% | | Marco Rubio 24.1% | Ted Cruz 18.8% | Jeb Bush 10.6%, Ben Carson 8.2%, John Kasich 7.5%, Undecided 3.9% | South Carolina House GOP[525] Margin of error: ± 2.0%Sample size: 3500 | February 18, 2016 | | Donald Trump 33.51% | Ted Cruz 18.96% | Marco Rubio 18.07% | Jeb Bush 11.56%, John Kasich 8.49%, Ben Carson 5.22%, Undecided 4.19% | National Research[526] Margin of error: ± ?%Sample size: 500 | February 17–18, 2016 | | Donald Trump 32% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 18% | Jeb Bush 8%, John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Refused 2%, Undecided 7% | ARG[527] Margin of error: ± 5.0%Sample size: 401 | February 17–18, 2016 | | Donald Trump 34% | Marco Rubio 22% | John Kasich 14% | Ted Cruz 13%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 4%, Other 1%, Undecided 3% | Emerson College[528] Margin of error: ± 4.7%Sample size: 418 | February 16–18, 2016 | | Donald Trump 36% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 18% | John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 10%, Ben Carson 6% | Clemson University[529] Margin of error: ± 3.0%Sample size: 650 | February 14–18, 2016 | | Donald Trump 28% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 15% | Jeb Bush 10%, John Kasich 9%, Ben Carson 6%, Undecided 13% | ARG[530] Margin of error: ± 5.0%Sample size: 400 | February 16–17, 2016 | | Donald Trump 33% | Marco Rubio 20% | John Kasich 15% | Ted Cruz 13%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 1%, Undecided 7% | Harper Polling[531] Margin of error: ± 4%Sample size: 599 | February 16–17, 2016 | | Donald Trump 29% | Ted Cruz 17% | Marco Rubio 15% | Jeb Bush 14%, John Kasich 13%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 5% | NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[532] Margin of error: ± 3.6%Sample size: 722 | February 15–17, 2016 | | Donald Trump 28% | Ted Cruz 23% | Marco Rubio 15% | Jeb Bush 13%, Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 9%, Undecided 5% | Fox News[533] Margin of error: ± 3.5%Sample size: 759 | February 15–17, 2016 | | Donald Trump 32% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 15% | Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 6%, Other 1%, Undecided 8% | Emerson College[534] Margin of error: ± 5.0%Sample size: 315 | February 15–16, 2016 | | Donald Trump 33% | Ted Cruz 20% | Marco Rubio 19% | John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 5%, Other 1%, Undecided 4% | ARG[535] Margin of error: ± 5.0%Sample size: 400 | February 14–16, 2016 | | Donald Trump 33% | Marco Rubio 16% | Ted Cruz 14% | John Kasich 14%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 2%, Undecided 8% | Monmouth University[536] Margin of error: ± 4.9%Sample size: 400 | February 14–16, 2016 | | Donald Trump 35% | Ted Cruz 19% | Marco Rubio 17% | John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson 7%, Undecided 5% | Bloomberg/Selzer[537] Margin of error: ± 4.4%Sample size: 502 | February 13–16, 2016 | | Donald Trump 36% | Ted Cruz 17% | Marco Rubio 15% | Jeb Bush 13%, Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 7%, Undecided 3% | Public Policy Polling[538] Margin of error: ± 3.3%Sample size: 897 | February 14–15, 2016 | | Donald Trump 35% | Ted Cruz 18% | Marco Rubio 18% | John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 7%, Undecided 6% | South Carolina House GOP[539] Margin of error: ± 2.4%Sample size: 1700 | February 15, 2016 | | Donald Trump 33.57% | Ted Cruz 15.54% | Marco Rubio 14.83% | Jeb Bush 14.54%, John Kasich 7.98%, Ben Carson 6.55%, Undecided 7.03% | CNN/ORC[540] Margin of error: ± 5%Sample size: 404 | February 10–15, 2016 | | Donald Trump 38% | Ted Cruz 22% | Marco Rubio 14% | Jeb Bush 10%, Ben Carson 6%, John Kasich 4%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Someone Else 1%, Undecided 1%, No Opinion 3% | ARG[541] Margin of error: ± 5.0%Sample size: 400 | February 12–13, 2016 | | Donald Trump 35% | John Kasich 15% | Marco Rubio 14% | Ted Cruz 12%, Jeb Bush 10%, Ben Carson 2%, Other 2%, Undecided 10% | South Carolina House GOP[542] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 1200 | February 11–12, 2016 | | Donald Trump 34.5% | Ted Cruz 15.5% | Jeb Bush 13% | Marco Rubio 12.5%, John Kasich 8.5%, Ben Carson 5%, Undecided 11% | CBS News/YouGov[543] Margin of error: ± 5.2%Sample size: 744 | February 10–12, 2016 | | Donald Trump 42% | Ted Cruz 20% | Marco Rubio 15% | John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ben Carson 6%, Chris Christie 1%, Carly Fiorina 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No preference 1% | Opinion Savvy/ Augusta Chronicle[544] Margin of error: ± 3.5%Sample size: 779 | February 10–11, 2016 | | Donald Trump 36.3% | Ted Cruz 19.6% | Marco Rubio 14.6% | Jeb Bush 10.9%, John Kasich 8.7%, Ben Carson 4.7%, Undecided 5.2% | NBC/WSJ/MaristMargin of error: ± 3.7%Sample size: 718 | January 17–23, 2016 | | Donald Trump 36% | Ted Cruz 20% | Marco Rubio 14% | Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 8%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Rand Paul 1%, John Kasich 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Other 0%, Undecided 6% | CBS/YouGov[545] Margin of error: ± 5.3%Sample size: 804 | January 18–21, 2016 | | Donald Trump 40% | Ted Cruz 21% | Marco Rubio 13% | Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No Preference 0% | Morris News/Opinion Savvy[546] Margin of error: ± 3.7%Sample size: 683 | January 15, 2016 | | Donald Trump 32% | Ted Cruz 18% | Jeb Bush 13% | Marco Rubio 11%, Ben Carson 9%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 3% | Associated Industries of Florida[547] Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample size: 600 | December 16–17, 2015 | | Donald Trump 27% | | Ted Cruz 27% | Marco Rubio 12% | Ben Carson 11%, Jeb Bush 7%, Others 5%, Undecided 11% | CBS News/YouGov[548] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 1469 | December 14–17, 2015 | | Donald Trump 38% | Ted Cruz 23% | Marco Rubio 12% | Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 7%, Rand Paul 4%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No preference 1% | Opinion Savvy/Augusta Chronicle[549] Margin of error: ± 4.2% Sample size: 536 | December 16, 2015 | | Donald Trump 28.3% | Ted Cruz 21.1% | Marco Rubio 11.6% | Jeb Bush 9.6%, Ben Carson 9.5%, Chris Christie 5.5%, Carly Fiorina 4.6%, Rand Paul 2.6%, Mike Huckabee 2.1%, Lindsey Graham 1.9%, John Kasich 1.4%, Rick Santorum 0.5%, George Pataki 0.2%, Undecided 1.3% | Winthrop University[550] Margin of error: ± 3.4% Sample size: 828 | November 30 – December 7, 2015 | | Donald Trump 24% | Ted Cruz 16% | Ben Carson 14% | Marco Rubio 11%, Jeb Bush 9%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Chris Christie 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, George Pataki 0% | Fox News[551] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 437 | December 5–8, 2015 | | Donald Trump 35% | Ben Carson 15% | Marco Rubio/Ted Cruz 14% | Jeb Bush 5%, Rand Paul 2%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, None of the Above 1%, Don't Know 5% | CBS News/YouGovMargin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: ? | November 15–19, 2015 | | Donald Trump 35% | Ben Carson 19% | Marco Rubio 16% | Ted Cruz 13%, Jeb Bush 5%, Lindsey Graham 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Jim Gilmore 0% | Public Policy Polling[552] Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 787 | November 7–8, 2015 | | Donald Trump 25% | Ben Carson 21% | Ted Cruz 15% | Marco Rubio 13%, Jeb Bush 8%, Carly Fiorina 5%, John Kasich 3%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rand Paul 1%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, Undecided 3% | CBS News/YouGov[553] Margin of error: ± 3.4% Sample size: 843 | October 15–23, 2015 | | Donald Trump 40% | Ben Carson 23% | Ted Cruz 8% | Marco Rubio 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 1%, Chris Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, No Preference 5% | Clemson-Palmetto[554] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 600 | October 13–23, 2015 | | Donald Trump 23% | | Ben Carson 19% | Ted Cruz 8% | Carly Fiorina 6%, Jeb Bush 7%, Marco Rubio 5%, Lindsey Graham 3%, Rand Paul 1%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, John Kasich 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, undecided/DK 15% | CNN/ORC[555] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 521 | October 3–10, 2015 | | Donald Trump 36% | Ben Carson 18% | Marco Rubio 9% | Carly Fiorina 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Lindsey Graham 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Chris Christie 2%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore *%, George Pataki *% Bobby Jindal *%, None 1%, No opinion 4% | Gravis Marketing[556] Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 762 | October 1, 2015 | | Donald Trump 29.1% | Ben Carson 16.4% | Carly Fiorina 11.1% | Ted Cruz 8.1%, Marco Rubio 8%, Jeb Bush 5.9%, John Kasich 3.5%, Mike Huckabee 3.1%, Lindsey Graham 1.5%, Chris Christie 1.4%, Rand Paul 0.9%, Rick Santorum 0.5%, George Pataki 0.3% Bobby Jindal 0.3%, Unsure 9.9% | CBS News/YouGov[557] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 1002 | September 3–10, 2015 | | Donald Trump 36% | Ben Carson 21% | Ted Cruz 6% | Lindsey Graham 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, John Kasich 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Marco Rubio 3%, Scott Walker 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Perry 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No preference 5% | Public Policy Polling[558] Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 764 | September 3–6, 2015 | | Donald Trump 37% | Ben Carson 21% | Ted Cruz 6% | Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 4%, John Kasich 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Lindsey Graham 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Scott Walker 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Chris Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0% | Monmouth University[559] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 453 | August 20–23, 2015 | | Donald Trump 30% | Ben Carson 15% | Jeb Bush 9% | Carly Fiorina 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Lindsey Graham 4%, Scott Walker 4%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Rick Perry 0%, George Pataki 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 11% | Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage[560] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 509 | August 3, 2015 | | Donald Trump 31.3% | Jeb Bush 13.9% | Ben Carson 9.9% | Mike Huckabee 8.5%, Lindsey Graham 6.5%, Scott Walker 5.8%, Ted Cruz 4.3%, Chris Christie 4.1%, John Kasich 3.1%, Marco Rubio 2.3%, Carly Fiorina 1.8%, Rand Paul 1.7%, Bobby Jindal 0.7%, Rick Perry 0.6%, Rick Santorum 0.1%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else 3.1%, Undecided 2.5% | Gravis Marketing[561] Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 609 | July 29–30, 2015 | | Donald Trump 34% | Ben Carson 10.9% | Jeb Bush 10.5% | Scott Walker 10.3%, Marco Rubio 6%, Mike Huckabee 5.5%, Lindsey Graham 4.9%, Ted Cruz 3.4%, John Kasich 3.3%, Chris Christie 2.5%, Rick Perry 2.5%, Carly Fiorina 2.4%, Rick Santorum 1.3%, Rand Paul 1%, Bobby Jindal 0.9%, George Pataki 0.7% | Morning Consult[562] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 389 | May 31 – June 8, 2015 | | Lindsey Graham 14% | | Ben Carson 12% | | Jeb Bush 11% | Scott Walker 10%, Marco Rubio 8%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Donald Trump 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Don't know/No Opinion/Refused 16%, Someone else 2% | Winthrop University[563] Margin of error: ± 3.2% Sample size: 956 | April 4–12, 2015 | | Scott Walker 13.6% | | Jeb Bush 12.7% | Ted Cruz 8.1% | Lindsey Graham 7.6%, Rand Paul 6.2%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4.9%, Mike Huckabee 4.9%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Perry 1.9%, Donald Trump 1.9%, Bobby Jindal 0.9%, Rick Santorum 0.3%, John Bolton 0.2%, Other 1.4%, Undecided 25.1% | Gravis Marketing[564] Margin of error: ± 3% Sample size: 1,371 | March 26–27, 2015 | | Scott Walker 17% | | Jeb Bush 16% | Ted Cruz 13% | Lindsey Graham 9%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Undecided 18% | Gravis Marketing[565] Margin of error: ± 3% Sample size: 792 | February 24–25, 2015 | | Jeb Bush 19% | | Scott Walker 17% | Lindsey Graham 12% | Mike Huckabee 10%, Chris Christie 8%, Rand Paul 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Ted Cruz 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Undecided 16% | Public Policy Polling[566] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 525 | February 12–15, 2015 | | Jeb Bush 19% | | Scott Walker 18% | Ben Carson 13% | Lindsey Graham 13%, Mike Huckabee 12%, Chris Christie 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Ted Cruz 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Other/Undecided 6% | NBC News/Marist[567] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 450 | February 3–10, 2015 | | Lindsey Graham 17% | | Jeb Bush 15% | Scott Walker 12% | Ben Carson 10%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Rick Perry 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Santorum 3%, Ted Cruz 1%, Undecided 11% | Gravis Marketing[568] Margin of error: ± 3% Sample size: 831 | January 21–22, 2015 | | Mitt Romney 20% | Jeb Bush 16% | Scott Walker 9% | Ted Cruz 8%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Marco Rubio 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Rick Perry 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Undecided 12% | | Jeb Bush 18% | Mike Huckabee 11% | Scott Walker 11% | Ted Cruz 9%, Marco Rubio 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Rick Perry 5%, Rick Santorum 4%, Undecided 17% | Clemson University[569] Margin of error: ± 6% Sample size: 400 | May 22–29, 2014 | | Jeb Bush 22% | Chris Christie 10% | Ted Cruz 9% | Rand Paul 9%, Marco Rubio 6%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Undecided/Don't know 48% | Gravis Marketing[570] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 735 | March 6–7, 2014 | | Jeb Bush 22% | | Mike Huckabee 19% | Chris Christie 12% | Ted Cruz 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Marco Rubio 6%, Scott Walker 5%, Rick Santorum 2%, Undecided 19% | Gravis Marketing[571] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 601 | November 30 – December 2, 2013 | | Chris Christie 16.6% | | Jeb Bush 16% | | Mike Huckabee 15.8% | Ted Cruz 11.1%, Rand Paul 9.7%, Marco Rubio 7.2%, Rick Santorum 2.8%, Scott Walker 2.3%, Undecided 18.5% | Harper Polling[572] Margin of error: ± 5.03% Sample size: 379 | October 27–28, 2013 | | Chris Christie 19% | | Ted Cruz 17% | Rand Paul 13% | Marco Rubio 12%, Paul Ryan 12%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Not sure 21% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in South Dakota, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: June 7, 2016
See main article: United States presidential election in Tennessee, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: March 1, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[574] | March 1, 2016 | Donald Trump 38.94% | Ted Cruz 24.71% | Marco Rubio 21.18% | Ben Carson 7.59%, John Kasich 5.29%, Jeb Bush 1.12%, Mike Huckabee 0.28%, Rand Paul 0.27%, Chris Christie 0.15%, Carly Fiorina 0.08%, Rick Santorum 0.08%, Jim Gilmore 0.03%, Lindsey Graham 0.03%, George Pataki 0.02% | SurveyMonkeyMargin of error: ± ?%Sample size: 772 | February 22–29, 2016 | | Donald Trump 48% | Marco Rubio 18% | Ted Cruz 15% | Ben Carson 10%, John Kasich 5%, Undecided 4% | NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[575] Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 665 | February 22–25, 2016 | | Donald Trump 40% | Ted Cruz 22% | Marco Rubio 19% | Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 6% | Vanderbilt/PSRA[576] Margin of error: 5.6% Sample size: 495 | November 11–23, 2015 | | Donald Trump 29% | | Ben Carson 25% | Ted Cruz 14% | Marco Rubio 12%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Undecided 7%, Other 4%, Wouldn't Vote 1% | Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage[577] Margin of error: 4.6% Sample size: 440 | August 2–3, 2015 | | Donald Trump 35.3% | Ben Carson 14.5% | Jeb Bush 11.7% | Mike Huckabee 6.5%, Ted Cruz 6.2%, Scott Walker 5.8%, John Kasich 3.3%, Rand Paul 3%, Marco Rubio 2.8%, Chris Christie 1.7%, Carly Fiorina 1.7%, Bobby Jindal 1.4%, Rick Santorum 0.7%, George Pataki 0.3%, Lindsey Graham 0.2%, Rick Perry 0.2%, Someone else 1.3%, Undecided 3.5% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Texas, 2016. Winner: Ted Cruz Primary date: March 1, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[578] | March 1, 2016 | Ted Cruz 43.76% | Donald Trump 26.75% | Marco Rubio 17.74% | John Kasich 4.25%, Ben Carson 4.16%, Jeb Bush 1.25%, Rand Paul 0.28%, Mike Huckabee 0.22%, Chris Christie 0.12%, Carly Fiorina 0.11%, Rick Santorum 0.07%, Lindsey Graham 0.06% | SurveyMonkeyMargin of error: ± ?%Sample size: 613 | February 22–29, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 33% | Donald Trump 31% | Marco Rubio 19% | Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 5%, Undecided 4% | Fox News/Opinion Savvy[579] Margin of error: ± 3.7%Sample size: 712 | February 28, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 36.2% | Donald Trump 25.3% | Marco Rubio 19.2% | John Kasich 8.5%, Ben Carson 7.9%, Undecided 2.8% | ARG[580] Margin of error: ± 5%Sample size: 400 | February 26–28, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 33% | | Donald Trump 32% | Marco Rubio 17% | John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Undecided 5% | Emerson College[581] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 449 | February 26–28, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 35% | | Donald Trump 32% | Marco Rubio 16% | John Kasich 9%, Ben Carson 4% | CBS/YouGovMargin of error: ± 5.6%Sample size: 796 | February 22–26, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 42% | Donald Trump 31% | Marco Rubio 19% | John Kasich 4%, Ben Carson 4% | Monmouth University[582] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 456 | February 22–24, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 38% | Donald Trump 23% | Marco Rubio 21% | Ben Carson 6%, John Kasich 5%, Other 1%, Undecided 6% | Emerson College[583] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 446 | February 21–23, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 29% | | Donald Trump 28% | | Marco Rubio 25% | John Kasich 9%, Ben Carson 4%, Other 1%, Undecided 5% | NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristMargin of error: ± 4.2% Sample size: 537 | February 18–23, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 39% | Donald Trump 26% | Marco Rubio 16% | Ben Carson 8%, John Kasich 6% | KTVT-CBS 11/ Dixie Strategies[584] Margin of error: ± 3.64% Sample size: 725 | February 22, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 33.24% | Donald Trump 24.83% | Marco Rubio 14.76% | John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 5.79%, Undecided 13.38% | TEGNA/SurveyUSA[585] Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample size: 645 | February 21–22, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 32% | | Donald Trump 32% | Marco Rubio 17% | John Kasich 6%, Ben Carson 5%, Other 2%, Undecided 5% | Austin American-Statesman[586] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 620 | February 19–22, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 38% | Donald Trump 26% | Marco Rubio 13% | John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Other 2%, Not Sure 7% | University of Houston[587] Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 415 | February 12–22, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 35% | Donald Trump 20% | Marco Rubio 8% | Ben Carson 7%, Jeb Bush 5%, John Kasich 4%, Undecided 19%, Refused 2% | University of Texas/ Texas Tribune[588] Margin of error: ± 4.21% Sample size: 526 | February 12–19, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 37% | Donald Trump 29% | Marco Rubio 15% | Jeb Bush 6%, John Kasich 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Elizabeth Gray 1% | KTVT-CBS 11/ Dixie Strategies[589] Margin of error: ± 3.1% Sample size: 1001 | January 25–26, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 30.27% | Donald Trump 25.27% | Marco Rubio 11.99% | Jeb Bush 8.19%, Ben Carson 5.29%, Chris Christie 3.3%, John Kasich 2.6%, Carly Fiorina 2.3%, Mike Huckabee 1.4%, Rand Paul 0.5%, Rick Santorum 0.3%, Jim Gilmore 0.1%, Undecided 8.49% | CBS/YouGov[590] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 984 | January 18–21, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 45% | Donald Trump 30% | Marco Rubio 8% | Ben Carson 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, John Kasich 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, No preference 1% | UT/Texas Tribune[591] Margin of error: ± 4.21% Sample size: 542 | October 30 – November 8, 2015 | | Ted Cruz 27% | | Donald Trump 27% | Ben Carson 13% | Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, John Kasich 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, George Pataki 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No opinion 5%, Other 2%, Undecided 10% | CBS-DFW[592] Margin of error: ± 3.02% Sample size: 1051 | October 23–24, 2015 | | Ben Carson 22.93% | | Donald Trump 22.17% | Ted Cruz 14.27% | Jeb Bush 12.65%, Marco Rubio 6.57%, Carly Fiorina 4.57%, Mike Huckabee 3.14%, Chris Christie 2.47%, Rand Paul 1.33%, Undecided 9.90% | Texas Lyceum[593] Margin of error: ± 6.01% Sample size: 231 | September 8–21, 2015 | | Donald Trump 21% | | Ted Cruz 16% | Ben Carson 12% | Jeb Bush 10%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Marco Rubio 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Rand Paul 1%, John Kasich 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Chris Christie 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Scott Walker 0%, No opinion 5% | Gravis Marketing[594] Margin of error: ± 3% Sample size: 976 | August 20, 2015 | | Donald Trump 24% | Ted Cruz 16% | Ben Carson 12% | Jeb Bush 9%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Rick Perry 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Scott Walker 4%, Other/Unsure 16% | Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage[595] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 504 | August 2–3, 2015 | | Ted Cruz 20% | | Donald Trump 19.4% | | Jeb Bush 16.9% | Ben Carson 10.5%, Scott Walker 6.9%, Mike Huckabee 3.9%, John Kasich 3.7%, Bobby Jindal 2.5%, Marco Rubio 2.4%, Rick Perry 2.3%, Rand Paul 2.2%, Carly Fiorina 2.1%, Chris Christie 1.5%, Lindsey Graham 0.9%, George Pataki 0.3%, Rick Santorum 0.3%, Other 2%, Undecided 2.6% | UoT/Texas Tribune[596] Margin of error: ± 4.75% Sample size: 504 | June 5–14, 2015 | | Ted Cruz 20% | Rick Perry 12% | Scott Walker 10% | Marco Rubio 8%, Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Rand Paul 6%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Donald Trump 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, George Pataki 0%, No opinion 15% | UoT/Texas Tribune[597] Margin of error: ± 4.19% Sample size: 547 | February 6–15, 2015 | | Ted Cruz 20% | | Scott Walker 19% | Jeb Bush 9% | Ben Carson 9%, Rick Perry 8%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Sarah Palin 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, John Bolton 0%, Carly Fiorina 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Undecided 13% | UoT/Texas Tribune[598] Margin of error: ± 4.14% Sample size: 560 | October 10–19, 2014 | | Ted Cruz 27% | Rick Perry 14% | Ben Carson 10% | Jeb Bush 7%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Rand Paul 7%, Paul Ryan 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Marco Rubio 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Scott Walker 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, John Kasich 0%, Undecided 11% | UoT/Texas Tribune[599] Margin of error: ± 4.37% Sample size: 504 | May 30 – June 8, 2014 | | Ted Cruz 33% | Rand Paul 9% | Mike Huckabee 8% | Jeb Bush 7%, Rick Perry 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Paul Ryan 6%, Scott Walker 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 13% | Public Policy Polling[600] Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 294 | April 10–13, 2014 | | Ted Cruz 25% | Jeb Bush 14% | Mike Huckabee 10% | Rand Paul 10%, Rick Perry 10%, Chris Christie 5%, Paul Ryan 5%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Other/Undecided 12% | UoT/Texas Tribune[601] Margin of error: ± 4.21% Sample size: 543 | February 7–17, 2014 | | Ted Cruz 28% | Rand Paul 10% | Rick Perry 10% | Jeb Bush 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Scott Walker 6%, Chris Christie 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Undecided 12% | Public Policy Polling[602] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 388 | November 1–4, 2013 | | Ted Cruz 32% | Jeb Bush 13% | Chris Christie 13% | Rand Paul 10%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Paul Ryan 5%, Rick Perry 3%, Rick Santorum 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 10% | Public Policy Polling[603] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 318 | June 28 – July 1, 2013 | | Ted Cruz 27% | Jeb Bush 15% | Chris Christie 11% | Rand Paul 11%, Paul Ryan 9%, Rick Perry 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rick Santorum 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 8% | UoT/Texas Tribune[604] Margin of error: ± 5.27% Sample size: 492 | May 31 – June 9, 2013 | | Ted Cruz 25% | Rand Paul 13% | Marco Rubio 11% | Rick Perry 10%, Chris Christie 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Rick Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Don't Know 21% | Public Policy Polling[605] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400 | Jan. 24–27, 2013 | | Marco Rubio 21% | Mike Huckabee 14% | Rand Paul 13% | Jeb Bush 11%, Paul Ryan 11%, Chris Christie 9%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Perry 4%, Susana Martinez 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 10% | |
Utah
See main article: United States presidential election in Utah, 2016. Winner: Ted Cruz Primary date: March 22, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Caucus results[606] | March 22, 2016 | Ted Cruz 69.17% | John Kasich 16.81% | Donald Trump 14.03% | | Y2 Analytics[607] Margin of error: ± 4.38% Sample size: 500 | March 17–19, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 53% | John Kasich 29% | Donald Trump 11% | Other 2%, Undecided 5% | Dan Jones and Associates[608] Margin of error: ± 7% Sample size: 215 | March 8–15, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 42% | Donald Trump 21% | Marco Rubio 17% | John Kasich 13%, Undecided 7% | Dan Jones and Associates[609] Margin of error: ± 3.92% Sample size: 625 | February 10–15, 2016 | | Marco Rubio 24% | | Ted Cruz 22% | Donald Trump 18% | Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 4%, Other 2%, Undecided 11% | Salt Lake Tribune/SurveyUSA[610] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 989 | January 6–13, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 18% | | Donald Trump 17% | | Ben Carson 15% | Marco Rubio 15%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie 2%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Undecided 16% | Dan Jones and Associates[611] Margin of error: ± 3.93% Sample size: 622 | December 8–14, 2015 | | Ted Cruz 20% | | Ben Carson 18% | | Marco Rubio 18% | Donald Trump 12%, Other/Don't know ?% | Dan Jones and Associates[612] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 604 | September 8–17, 2015 | | Ben Carson 23% | Donald Trump 15% | Jeb Bush 12% | Other/Don't know ?% | Dan Jones and Associates[613] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: ? | July 14–21, 2015 | | Jeb Bush 22% | Scott Walker 11% | Marco Rubio 9% | Donald Trump 8%, Other/Don't know ?% | Dan Jones & Associates[614] Margin of error: ±4.86% Sample size: 406 | March 3–5, 2015 | | Jeb Bush 14% | Scott Walker 12% | Rand Paul 12% | Marco Rubio 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Other/Don't know 50% | |
Vermont
See main article: United States presidential election in Vermont, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: March 1, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[615] | March 1, 2016 | Donald Trump 32.34% | John Kasich 30.01% | Marco Rubio 19.08% | Ted Cruz 9.61%, Ben Carson 4.13%, Jeb Bush 1.79%, Rand Paul 0.68%, Chris Christie 0.58%, Carly Fiorina 0.34%, Rick Santorum 0.27% | Castleton University/Vermont Public Radio[616] Margin of error: ± 9.01%Sample size: 118 | February 3–17, 2016 | | Donald Trump 32.4% | Marco Rubio 16.9% | Ted Cruz 10.5% | John Kasich 10.0%, Jeb Bush 7.7%, Ben Carson 3.1%, Chris Christie 2.4%, Carly Fiorina 1.0%, Rick Santorum 0.6%, Someone else 3.3%, Not sure/Don't know 12.1% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Virginia, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: March 1, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[617] | March 1, 2016 | Donald Trump 34.80% | Marco Rubio 31.98% | Ted Cruz 16.69% | John Kasich 9.54%, Ben Carson 5.87%, Jeb Bush 0.36%, Rand Paul 0.28%, Mike Huckabee 0.14%, Chris Christie 0.11%, Carly Fiorina 0.09%, Jim Gilmore 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.04%, Rick Santorum 0.04% | SurveyMonkeyMargin of error: ± ?%Sample size: 848 | February 22–29, 2016 | | Donald Trump 36% | Marco Rubio 26% | Ted Cruz 13% | Ben Carson 11%, John Kasich 7%, Undecided 8% | CBS/YouGov[618] Margin of error: ± 8.6%Sample size: 481 | February 22–26, 2016 | | Donald Trump 40% | Marco Rubio 27% | Ted Cruz 22% | John Kasich 6%, Ben Carson 4%, Undecided 1% | Monmouth University[619] Margin of error: ± 4.8%Sample size: 421 | February 22–24, 2016 | | Donald Trump 41% | Marco Rubio 27% | Ted Cruz 14% | John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson 7%, Undecided 4% | Roanoke College[620] Margin of error: ± 4.5%Sample size: 466 | February 16–24, 2016 | | Donald Trump 38% | Ted Cruz 15% | Marco Rubio 13% | John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 19% | Christopher Newport University[621] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 368 | February 3–14, 2016 | | Donald Trump 28% | Marco Rubio 22% | Ted Cruz 19% | Ben Carson 7%, John Kasich 7%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Jim Gilmore <1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 6% | University of Mary Washington[622] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 333 | November 4–9, 2015 | | Ben Carson 29% | | Donald Trump 24% | Marco Rubio 11% | Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, John Kasich 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Don't know 2% | Christopher Newport University[623] Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 412 | September 29 – October 8, 2015 | | Donald Trump 23% | Ben Carson 17% | Marco Rubio 14% | Carly Fiorina 13%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal <1%, George Pataki <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Jim Gilmore <1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 5% | Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage[624] Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 504 | August 2–3, 2015 | | Donald Trump 27.9% | Jeb Bush 14.8% | Scott Walker 10.1% | Ben Carson 8%, Carly Fiorina 6.8%, Ted Cruz 6.4%, Rand Paul 5.1%, Marco Rubio 3.5%, John Kasich 3.2%, Chris Christie 3.1%, Rick Perry 2.3%, Mike Huckabee 1.5%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, George Pataki 0.7%, Rick Santorum 0%, Someone else 1.8%, Undecided 3.2% | Public Policy Polling[625] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 502 | July 13–15, 2015 | | Jeb Bush 18% | | Donald Trump 14% | | Scott Walker 14% | Ben Carson 10%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Ted Cruz 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Perry 2%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else/Not sure 3% | Christopher Newport University[626] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: ? | April 13–24, 2015 | | Jeb Bush 17% | | Marco Rubio 16% | Chris Christie 10% | Rand Paul 10%, Scott Walker 10%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 7%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Donald Trump 5%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich <1%, Rick Perry <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Someone else <1%, Undecided 7% | Christopher Newport University[627] Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 794 | January 30 – February 10, 2015 | | Jeb Bush 21% | Scott Walker 16% | Chris Christie 10% | Mike Huckabee 10%, Ben Carson 9%, Rand Paul 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Paul Ryan 5%, Ted Cruz 3%, John Kasich 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Mike Pence 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rob Portman 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 4% | Christopher Newport University[628] Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 338 | February 23–28, 2014 | | Chris Christie 19% | | Jeb Bush 18% | Mike Huckabee 13% | Paul Ryan 13%, Ted Cruz 9%, Rand Paul 7%, Marco Rubio 4%, Scott Walker 3%, Undecided 13% | University of Mary Washington[629] Margin of error: ±? Sample size: ? | September 25–29, 2013 | | Chris Christie 20% | Jeb Bush 10% | Rand Paul 10% | Paul Ryan 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, None 14%, Don't know 19% | Public Policy Polling[630] Margin of error: ±4.8% Sample size: 415 | July 11–14, 2013 | | Jeb Bush 16% | | Chris Christie 16% | | Rand Paul 15% | Marco Rubio 12%, Paul Ryan 11%, Ted Cruz 9%, Bob McDonnell 8%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 7% | Public Policy Polling[631] Margin of error: ±4.4% Sample size: 500 | May 24–26, 2013 | | Marco Rubio 17% | | Chris Christie 15% | | Jeb Bush 14% | Bob McDonnell 12%, Rand Paul 10%, Ted Cruz 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 11% | | Chris Christie 20% | | Marco Rubio 20% | | Jeb Bush 17% | Paul Ryan 10%, Rand Paul 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 10% | University of Mary Washington[632] Margin of error: ±? Sample size: ? | March 20–24, 2013 | | Chris Christie 18% | Bob McDonnell 12% | Rand Paul 11% | Paul Ryan 11%, Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Other 1%, None 10%, Don't know 17% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Washington (state), 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: May 24, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[633] | May 10, 2016 | Donald Trump 75.82% | Ted Cruz 10.48% | John Kasich 9.81% | Ben Carson 3.89% | Townhall/Gravis Insights[634] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 523 | May 18–19, 2015 | | Rand Paul 13.2% | | Scott Walker 12.4% | | Jeb Bush 11.5% | Marco Rubio 11.3%, Ben Carson 7.6%, Chris Christie 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Unsure 23% | Public Policy Polling[635] Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 372 | May 14–17, 2015 | | Scott Walker 18% | | Marco Rubio 15% | | Mike Huckabee 13% | Ted Cruz 11%, Jeb Bush 10%, Ben Carson 10%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Rick Perry 3%, Someone else/Not sure 7% | |
West Virginia
See main article: United States presidential election in West Virginia, 2016. Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: May 10, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[636] | May 10, 2016 | Donald Trump 77.01% | Ted Cruz 8.98% | John Kasich 6.74% | Ben Carson 2.17%, Marco Rubio 1.43%, Jeb Bush 1.14%, Rand Paul 0.89%, Mike Huckabee 0.87%, Chris Christie 0.36%, Carly Fiorina 0.33% | R.L. Repass & Partners/MetroNews[637] Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 228 | April 22– May 2, 2016 | | Donald Trump 57% | Ted Cruz 25% | John Kasich 14% | Undecided 4% | Public Policy Polling[638] Margin of error: ± 4.2% Sample size: 549 | April 29– May 1, 2016 | | Donald Trump 61% | Ted Cruz 22% | John Kasich 14% | Undecided 3% | Metro News[639] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 159 | February 11–16, 2016 | | Donald Trump 40% | Ted Cruz 20% | Marco Rubio 15% | Ben Carson 10%, John Kasich 6%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly Fiorina <1%, Chris Christie <1%, Not Sure 4% | Orion Strategies[640] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 406 | August 25, 2015 | | Donald Trump 29% | Marco Rubio 8% | Ben Carson 7% | Jeb Bush 7%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, Scott Walker 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Undecided 32% | Harper Polling[641] Margin of error: ± 6.3% Sample size: 242 | April 9–11, 2015 | | Jeb Bush 23% | | Mike Huckabee 20% | Scott Walker 13% | Ben Carson 8%, Ted Cruz 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 11% | |
See main article: United States presidential election in Wisconsin, 2016. Winner: Ted Cruz Primary date: April 5, 2016
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Primary results[642] | April 5, 2016 | Ted Cruz 48.20% | Donald Trump 35.02% | John Kasich 14.10% | Marco Rubio 0.96%, Ben Carson 0.51%, Jeb Bush 0.28%, Rand Paul 0.23%, Mike Huckabee 0.13%, Chris Christie 0.11%, Carly Fiorina 0.07%, Rick Santorum 0.05%, Jim Gilmore 0.02% | ARG[643] Margin of error: ± 5%Sample size: 400 | April 1–3, 2016 | | Donald Trump 42% | Ted Cruz 32% | John Kasich 23% | Undecided 3% | Emerson College[644] Margin of error: ± 4.1%Sample size: 549 | March 30 - April 3, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 40% | Donald Trump 35% | John Kasich 21% | Undecided 4% | CBS News/YouGovMargin of error: ± 5.7%Sample size: 675 | March 29-April 1, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 43% | Donald Trump 37% | John Kasich 18% | Other/Don't Know 2% | Fox Business News[645] Margin of error: ± 3.5%Sample size: 742 | March 28–30, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 42% | Donald Trump 32% | John Kasich 19% | Other 1%, Don't Know 5% | Loras College[646] Margin of error: ± 4.8%Sample size: 416 | March 28–30, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 38% | Donald Trump 31% | John Kasich 18% | Undecided 13% | Public Policy Polling[647] Margin of error: ± 3.5%Sample size: 768 | March 28–29, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 38% | | Donald Trump 37% | John Kasich 17% | Undecided 9% | Marquette University[648] Margin of error: ± 5.8%Sample size: 471 | March 24–28, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 39.6% | Donald Trump 30.4% | John Kasich 21.4% | Someone Else 0.3%, Undecided 7.7% | Optimus[649] Margin of error: ± 1.1%Sample size: 6182 | March 20–24, 2016 | | Donald Trump 29.4% | John Kasich 27.1% | Ted Cruz 25% | Undecided 18.6% | Emerson College[650] Margin of error: ± 4.6%Sample size: 439 | March 20–22, 2016 | | Ted Cruz 36% | | Donald Trump 35% | John Kasich 19% | Undecided 10% | Marquette University[651] Margin of error: ± 7.5%Sample size: 297 | February 18–21, 2016 | | Donald Trump 30% | Marco Rubio 20% | Ted Cruz 19% | Ben Carson 8%, John Kasich 8%, Jeb Bush 3%, Undecided 10% | Marquette University[652] Margin of error: ± 6.5%Sample size: 313 | January 21–24, 2016 | | Donald Trump 24% | | Marco Rubio 18% | Ted Cruz 16% | Ben Carson 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Rand Paul 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Jeb Bush 2%, John Kasich 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 17% | Marquette University[653] Margin of error: ± 6.6% Sample size: 326 | November 12–15, 2015 | | Ben Carson 22% | | Donald Trump 19% | | Marco Rubio 19% | Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Rand Paul 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, John Kasich 1%, George Pataki <0.5%, Jim Gilmore <0.5%, Someone else 0.6%, Undecided 9.8% | Marquette University[654] Margin of error: ± 6.5% Sample size: 321 | September 24–28, 2015 | | Donald Trump 20.1% | | Ben Carson 16.2% | | Marco Rubio 14.4% | Carly Fiorina 10.8%, Jeb Bush 6.6%, Ted Cruz 5.1%, Rand Paul 4.5%, Mike Huckabee 3.4%, Chris Christie 3.1%, John Kasich 2.8%, Rick Santorum 1.2%, Bobby Jindal 0.5%, George Pataki 0.4%, Jim Gilmore 0.2%, Someone else 0.6%, Undecided 9.8% | Marquette University[655] Margin of error: ± 6.6% Sample size: 334 | August 13–16, 2015 | | Scott Walker 25% | Ben Carson 13% | Donald Trump 9% | Ted Cruz 8%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Marco Rubio 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick Perry 1%, John Kasich 1%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Lindsey Graham 0% | Marquette University[656] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 319 | April 7–10, 2015 | | Scott Walker 40% | Rand Paul 10.3% | Jeb Bush 7.9% | Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 5.8%, Mike Huckabee 5.1%, Ben Carson 5%, Marco Rubio 3.8%, Bobby Jindal 2.3%, Rick Santorum 1.9%, Carly Fiorina 0.5%, Rick Perry 0.5%, Someone else 1.7%, Don't know 8.9% | Public Policy Polling[657] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 461 | March 6–8, 2015 | | Scott Walker 53% | Ben Carson 12% | Jeb Bush 8% | Rand Paul 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Ted Cruz 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Undecided 5% | Public Policy Polling[658] Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 522 | April 17–20, 2014 | | Paul Ryan 25% | | Scott Walker 21% | Chris Christie 8% | Mike Huckabee 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Someone else/Not sure 8% | Magellan Strategies[659] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: ? | April 14–15, 2014 | | Scott Walker 37% | Rand Paul 12% | Ted Cruz 9% | Mike Huckabee 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Chris Christie 4%, John Kasich 1%, Undecided 12% | Marquette University Law School[660] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 337 | October 21–27, 2013 | | Scott Walker 28.9% | | Paul Ryan 24.6% | Marco Rubio 9.3% | Chris Christie 8.6%, Rand Paul 8.4%, Ted Cruz 4.3%, Jeb Bush 2.4%, Someone else 4.2%, Don't know 8.9% | Public Policy Polling[661] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 447 | September 13–16, 2013 | | Paul Ryan 27% | Scott Walker 14% | Chris Christie 12% | Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 3%, Someone else/Not sure 5% | | Paul Ryan 33% | Chris Christie 14% | Jeb Bush 11% | Rand Paul 11%, Ted Cruz 10%, Marco Rubio 9%, Rick Santorum 6%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Someone else/Not sure 5% | | Scott Walker 37% | Chris Christie 13% | Jeb Bush 11% | Ted Cruz 10%, Rand Paul 10%, Marco Rubio 9%, Rick Santorum 4%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Someone else/Not sure 3% | | Paul Ryan 47% | Scott Walker 38% | | Not sure 15% | Marquette University Law School[662] Margin of error: ± 5.8% Sample size: 302 | May 6–9, 2013 | | Paul Ryan 27.1% | Marco Rubio 21.2% | Scott Walker 16.1% | Chris Christie 10.6%, Rand Paul 6.9%, Jeb Bush 4.6%, Bobby Jindal 0.8%, Someone Else 1.6%, Don't Know 10.5% | Public Policy PollingMargin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 679 | February 21–24, 2013 | | Paul Ryan 35% | Marco Rubio 22% | Chris Christie 10% | Rand Paul 8%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Jeb Bush 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Susana Martinez 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 8% | | Scott Walker 33% | Marco Rubio 27% | Chris Christie 10% | Mike Huckabee 7%, Rand Paul 6%, Jeb Bush 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Susana Martinez 2%, Rick Perry 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 8% | |
Wyoming
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
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Convention results[663] | March 12, 2016 | Ted Cruz 66.3% | Marco Rubio 19.5% | Donald Trump 7.2% | John Kasich 0.0%, Uncommitted 7.0%, Other 0.0% | Public Policy Polling[664] Margin of error: ±3.5% Sample size: 780 | July 19–21, 2013 | | Rand Paul 19% | Chris Christie 14% | Jeb Bush 13% | Paul Ryan 11%, Ted Cruz 9%, Marco Rubio 9%, Rick Santorum 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Susana Martinez 1%, Other/Undecided 18% | Harper Polling[665] Margin of error: ±4.77% Sample size: 422 | July 17–18, 2013 | | Paul Ryan 15% | | Rand Paul 12% | Jeb Bush 10% | Chris Christie 10%, Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 5%, Rick Santorum 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Scott Walker 1%, Undecided 33% | |
See also
General election polling
Democratic primary polling
Republican primary polling
References
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