2018 Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia leadership election explained

Election Name:	Progressive Conservative leadership election
Country:	Nova Scotia
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia leadership elections
Previous Year:	2010
Votes For Election:	5,100
Needed Votes:	2,550-->
Turnout:	77.12%
Election Date:	October 27, 2018
1Blank:	Home riding
2Blank:	First ballot
3Blank:	Second ballot
Image5:	JC
Colour5:	009385
Candidate5:	Julie Chaisson
1Data5:	None
2Data5:	140.13 2.75%
3Data5:	Dropped
Colour2:	367D22
Candidate2:	Cecil Clarke
1Data2:	None
2Data2:	1,385.71 27.17%
3Data2:	Withdrew
Colour1:	800080
Candidate1:	Tim Houston
1Data1:	Pictou East
2Data1:	2,496.75 48.95%
3Data1:	Winner
Colour3:	246AC9
Candidate3:	John Lohr
1Data3:	Kings North
2Data3:	692.45 13.58%
3Data3:	Withdrew
Image4:	ESM
Colour4:	FFDB00
Candidate4:	Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin
1Data4:	Cumberland North
2Data4:	384.96 7.55%
3Data4:	Withdrew

Party:	Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia
Year:	2018
Date:	October 27, 2018
Location:	Halifax Exhibition Centre
Winner:	Tim Houston
Replaces:	Jamie Baillie
Numcands:	5
Ballots:	1
Entryfee:	$25,000^[1]

The 2018 Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia leadership election took place on October 27, 2018, due to Jamie Baillie's announcement that he was stepping down as leader of the Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia on November 1, 2017.^[2] Baillie was to remain in the position until a new leader was elected,^[2] however on January 24, 2018, he announced his resignation with immediate effect due to "allegations of inappropriate behaviour".^[3]

Unlike the system of delegated conventions previously used, this election was conducted on a One Member One Vote basis, weighted so that each electoral district being allocated 100 points, which were distributed proportionally according to each candidate's level of support.^[4]

Timeline

November 1, 2017 - Jamie Baillie announces his resignation, effective upon the election of a new leader.
November 19, 2017 - Tim Houston becomes the first candidate to officially enter the race.
January 8, 2018 - John Lohr announced his bid for the leadership.
January 24, 2018 - Baillie moves up his resignation, having it take effect immediately; Karla MacFarlane becomes interim leader.
February 3, 2018 - Cecil Clarke announced his bid for the leadership.
February 6, 2018 - Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin announced her bid for the leadership.
February 8, 2018 - Julie Chaisson announced her bid for the leadership.
August 13, 2018 - Deadline for candidates to submit nomination.
October 27, 2018 - Leadership convention is held in Halifax.

Candidates

Julie Chaisson

BackgroundCandidate of Record in Chester-St. Margaret's (2017)

Date campaign launched: February 8, 2018^[5] ^[6]

Campaign website:

MLAs:
Former MLAs:
Federal politicians:
Municipal politicians:
Other prominent individuals:

Cecil Clarke

BackgroundMayor of the Cape Breton Regional Municipality (2012-2020), Attorney General of Nova Scotia (2007-2009), Minister of Justice (2007-2009), Speaker of the House of Assembly (2006-2007), Minister of Energy (2003-2006), Minister of Economic Development (2003), MLA for Cape Breton North (2001-2011)

Date campaign launched: February 3, 2018^[7]

Campaign website:

Supporters

MLAs: (3) Alfie MacLeod (Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg 2006–Present, 1995–1998), Eddie Orrell (Northside-Westmount 2011–Present), Keith Bain (Victoria-The Lakes 2017–Present, 2006–2013)
Former MLAs: (9) Rollie Thornhill (Dartmouth South 1974–1993, Mayor of Dartmouth 1967–1973), Jon Carey (Kings West 1999–2003), Judy Streatch (Chester-St. Margaret's 2005–2009), Brooke Taylor (Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley 1993–2009), Bill Langille (Colchester North 1999–2006), Benoit Robichaud (Yarmouth 1967–1970), Billy Joe MacLean (Inverness South 1981–1988, Mayor of Port Hawkesbury 1994–2016), Ken Streatch (Bedford-Musquodoboit Valley 1978–1993), Peter Christie (Bedford 1999–2006, Mayor of Bedford 1988–1991).
Federal politicians: (3) MP Lisa Raitt (Milton 2008–Present, Deputy Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada 2017–Present), MP Gerald Keddy (South Shore—St. Margarets 1997–2015), Donald Oliver (Senator for South Shore 1990–2013).
Municipal politicians: (2) Almon Chisholm (Former Mayor of Port Hawkesbury), Gloria McCluskey (Former Mayor of Dartmouth 1992–1996)
Other prominent individuals: (5) MPP Lisa MacLeod (Nepean 2006–Present), Irvine Carvery (Candidate in Preston-Dartmouth, 2017), Laurie MacIntosh (Candidate in Sydney-Whitney Pier, 2017), Valerie White (Candidate in Bedford, 2017), Louie Piovesan (Candidate in Cape Breton Centre, 2017).

Tim Houston

BackgroundMLA for Pictou East (2013–Present)

Date campaign launched: November 19, 2017^[8] ^[9]

Campaign website:

Supporters

MLAs: (7) Pat Dunn (Pictou Centre 2013–Present, 2006–2009), Tim Halman (Dartmouth East 2017–Present), Brad Johns (Sackville-Beaver Bank 2017–Present), Barbara Adams (Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage 2017–Present), Kim Masland (Queens-Shelburne 2017–Present), Larry Harrison (Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley 2013–Present), Allan MacMaster (Inverness, 2009–Present)
Former MLAs: (5) Neil LeBlanc (Argyle 1998–2003, 1984–1993), John Leefe (Queens 1978–1999, Mayor of Queens Municipality 2000–2012), David Nantes (Cole Harbour 1978–1993), Bruce Holland (Timberlea-Prospect 1993–1998), Guy LeBlanc (Clare 1984–1993)
Federal politicians: (3) MP Peter MacKay (Central Nova 1997–2015, Deputy Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada 2004–2015), MP Peter McCreath (South Shore 1988–1993), Tom McInnis (Senator for Nova Scotia 2012–Present).
Municipal politicians: (1) Roger MacKay (Mayor of Westville 2008–Present)
Other prominent individuals: (16) Patricia Auchnie (Candidate in Eastern Shore, 2017) Norm Cormier (Candidate in Clare-Digby, 2017), John Giannakos (Candidate in Sackville-Cobequid, 2017), Sylvia Gillard (Candidate in Halifax Armdale, 2017), Keltie Jones (Candidate in Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River, 2017) Paul Kimball (Candidate in Clayton Park West, 2017), Tim Kohoot (Candidate in Timberlea-Prospect, 2017), John A. MacDonald (Candidate in Hants East, 2017), Ray Mattie (Candidate in Antigonish, 2017), Dan McNaughton (Candidate in Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank, 2017), Chris Mont (Candidate in Cole Harbour-Portland Valley, 2017), Chris Palmer (Candidate in Kings West, 2017), John White (Candidate in Glace Bay, 2017), Rob Wolf (Candidate in Guysborough-Eastern Shore-Tracadie, 2017), Matthew Donahoe (Candidate in Halifax Needham, 2017), Travis Price (Candidate in Fairview-Clayton Park, 2013)

John Lohr

BackgroundMLA for Kings North (2013–Present)

Date campaign launched: January 8, 2018^[10] ^[11]

Campaign website:

Supporters

MLAs:
Former MLAs: (2) George Archibald (Kings North 1984–1999), David Morse (Kings South 1999–2009),
Federal politicians: (2) MP Greg Kerr (West Nova 2008–2015, MLA for Annapolis West 1978–1993), Kelvin Ogilvie (Senator for Annapolis Valley-Hants 2009–2017)
Municipal politicians:
Other prominent individuals: (5) Brian Pickings (Candidate in Lunenburg, 2013, 2017), Greg Frampton (Candidate in Dartmouth-Cole Harbour, 1999, Cole Harbour-Portland Valley, 2013), Janice Munroe-Dodge (Candidate in Hants West, 2017), Martha MacQuarrie (Candidate in Kings-Hants, 2019), Wanda Webber (Candidate in Dartmouth-Cole Harbour, 2008)

Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin

BackgroundMLA for Cumberland North (2017–Present)

Date campaign launched: February 6, 2018^[12]

Campaign website:

Supporters

MLAs:
Former MLAs: (6) Roger Bacon (Premier 1990–1991, Cumberland East 1970–1993), Mary Ann McGrath (Halifax Clayton Park 1999–2003), Murray Scott (Cumberland South 1998–2010), Joel Matheson (Halifax Bedford Basin 1978–1993), Art Donahoe (Halifax Citadel 1978–1993)
Federal politicians: (2) MP Scott Armstrong (Cumberland—Colchester 2009–2015), MP George Cooper (Halifax 1979–1980)
Municipal politicians:
Other prominent individuals: (2) Rob Batherson (Candidate in Halifax Citadel-Sable Island, 2017), Lloyd Jackson (Candidate in Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage, 2009, 2013)

Declined

Barbara Adams – MLA for Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage (2017–Present)
Keith Bain – MLA for Victoria-The Lakes (2017–present, 2006–2013)
Rob Batherson – Candidate in Halifax Citadel-Sable Island (2017)^[13]
Chris d'Entremont – Minister of Finance (2009), Minister of Community Services (2009), Minister of Health (2006-2009), Minister of Acadian Affairs (2003-2009), Minister of Agriculture and Fisheries (2003-2006), MLA for Argyle-Barrington (2003–present)
Pat Dunn – MLA for Pictou Centre (2006-2009), (2013–Present)
- Peter MacKay - Minister of Justice (2013-2015), Minister of National Defence (2007-2013), Minister of Foreign Affairs (2006-2007), Minister of the Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency (2006-2010), MP for Central Nova (2004-2015), Deputy Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada Allan MacMaster – MLA for Inverness (2009–present)
Tim Halman – MLA for Dartmouth East (2017–Present)
Brad Johns – MLA for Sackville-Beaver Bank (2017–Present)
Paul Kimball - Filmmaker, Candidate in Clayton Park West (2017)
Karla MacFarlane – Leader of the Opposition (2018–present), Interim Leader of the Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia (2018–present), MLA for Pictou West (2013–Present)
Eddie Orrell – MLA for Northside-Westmount (2011–Present)
Alana Paon – MLA for Cape Breton-Richmond (2017–present)^[14]

Debates

Debates among candidates for the 2018 Progressive Conservative Party of Nova Scotia leadership election
Participant Non-invitee Absent invitee Out of race (exploring or withdrawn)				Tim Houston
No.	Date	Time	Place	Participants
Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia leadership election debates
1	May 24, 2018	7 p.m. AST	NSCC Middleton Campus, Middleton
2	June 21, 2018	7 p.m. AST	Alderney Landing Theatre, Dartmouth
3	July 12, 2018	7 p.m. AST	Centre Communautaire de Par-en-bas, Tusket
4	August 9, 2018	7 p.m. AST	Joan Harriss Cruise Pavilion, Sydney
5	September 11, 2018	7 p.m. AST	Best Western Plus, Bridgwater
6	October 10, 2018	7 p.m. AST	Best Western Glengarry, Truro

Results

	Tim Houston		Cecil Clarke		John Lohr		Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin		Julie Chaisson		Total
align=center	Constituency	Votes	Points	Votes	Points	Votes	Points	Votes	Points	Votes	Points	Votes
	48	42.86	13	11.61	43	38.39	6	5.36	2	1.79	112
	178	70.36	59	23.32	13	5.14	2	0.79	1	0.40	253
	55	57.89	26	27.37	9	9.47	1	1.05	4	4.21	95
	86	42.36	68	33.50	25	12.32	19	9.36	5	2.46	203
	43	27.74	103	66.45	5	3.23	3	1.94	1	0.65	155
	21	16.03	105	80.15	4	3.05	0	0	1	0.76	131
	77	44.51	56	32.37	8	4.62	5	2.89	27	15.61	173
	60	57.69	10	9.62	28	26.92	6	5.77	0	0	104
	73	53.68	22	16.18	10	7.35	31	22.79	0	0	136
	94	58.75	33	20.63	19	11.88	10	6.25	4	2.50	160
	45	29.61	73	48.03	9	5.92	22	14.47	3	1.97	152
	114	69.94	22	13.50	11	6.75	15	9.20	1	0.61	163
	67	59.82	23	20.54	14	12.50	7	6.25	1	0.89	112
	18	8.49	11	5.19	3	1.42	179	84.43	1	0.47	212
	131	54.36	23	9.54	11	4.56	75	31.12	1	0.41	241
	100	68.03	24	16.33	11	7.48	10	6.80	2	1.36	147
	47	59.49	10	12.66	12	15.19	5	6.33	5	6.33	79
	66	64.08	14	13.59	11	10.68	9	8.74	3	2.91	103
	61	66.30	18	19.57	8	8.70	4	4.35	1	1.09	92
	62	62.63	10	10.10	14	14.14	11	11.11	2	2.02	99
	139	53.67	119	45.95	1	0.39	0	0	0	0	259
	73	58.40	40	32.00	10	8.00	2	1.60	0	0	125
	48	53.33	16	17.78	9	10.00	15	16.67	2	2.22	90
	37	47.44	18	23.08	10	12.82	4	5.13	9	11.54	78
	58	37.91	61	39.87	7	4.58	20	13.07	7	4.58	153
	66	45.21	40	27.40	8	5.48	26	17.81	6	4.11	146
	58	50.00	36	31.03	10	8.62	11	9.48	1	0.86	116
	47	46.08	22	21.57	20	19.61	5	4.90	8	7.84	102
	30	46.88	11	17.19	17	26.56	3	4.69	3	4.69	64
	45	51.72	13	14.94	24	27.59	3	3.45	2	2.30	87
	53	48.18	47	42.73	9	8.18	1	0.91	0	0	110
	16	6.04	8	3.02	237	89.43	4	1.51	0	0	265
	40	21.51	14	7.53	126	67.74	4	2.15	2	1.08	186
	79	47.31	23	13.77	60	35.93	5	2.99	0	0	167
	37	34.58	45	42.06	17	15.89	4	3.74	4	3.74	107
	31	31.00	53	53.00	11	11.00	5	5.00	0	0	100
	62	15.20	339	83.09	4	0.98	2	0.49	1	0.25	408
	390	73.72	85	16.07	51	9.64	3	0.57	0	0	529
	801	87.93	60	6.59	47	5.16	3	0.33	0	0	911
	231	73.57	41	13.06	39	12.42	2	0.64	1	0.32	314
	27	71.05	3	7.89	6	15.79	1	2.63	1	2.63	38
	118	71.95	25	15.24	5	3.05	12	7.32	4	2.44	164
	83	62.88	13	9.85	22	16.67	5	3.79	9	6.82	132
	65	53.28	8	6.56	13	10.66	4	3.28	32	26.23	122
	31	18.90	124	75.61	8	4.88	0	0	1	0.61	164
	49	16.07	245	80.33	7	2.30	3	0.98	1	0.33	305
	67	65.69	12	11.76	11	10.78	12	11.76	0	0	102
	170	70.25	35	14.46	16	6.61	21	8.68	0	0	242
	34	18.28	146	78.49	5	2.69	1	0.54	0	0	186
	101	57.39	31	17.61	15	8.52	14	7.95	15	8.52	176
	36	46.75	20	25.97	16	20.78	3	3.90	2	2.60	77
Total	4,568	2,496.75	2,476	1,385.71	1,109	692.45	618	384.96	176	140.13	8,947

Opinion polls

Polling firm/Link	Last date of polling	class=small	Sample size	error	Julie Chaisson	Cecil Clarke	Tim Houston	John Lohr	Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin	None of the above	Don't know/no answer
Corporate Research Associates	September 1, 2018	400	± 4.9%	10%	align=center	19%	9%	4%	6%	18%	32%
Corporate Research Associates	May 23, 2018	400	± 4.9%	13%	align=center	23%	11%	4%	4%	10%	34%
Corporate Research Associates	February 1, 2018	400	± 4.9%		align=center	26%	10%	5%	11%	8%	40%

Notes and References

News: Jean. Laroche. PC leadership race costly for some candidates who faced campaign debts. January 19, 2022. CBC Nova Scotia. June 11, 2019.
News: Jamie Baillie quitting role as leader of Progressive Conservatives. November 1, 2017. CBC News. November 1, 2017.
Web site: PC Leader Jamie Baillie forced out after allegations of 'inappropriate behaviour'. CBC News. January 24, 2018. 2018-01-24.
Web site: N.S. Progressive Conservatives to choose new party leader Saturday. 25 October 2018.
Web site: Farmers market head joins race to lead Progressive Conservatives. CBC News. February 9, 2018. February 9, 2018.
Web site: Julie Chaisson joins Nova Scotia Tory leadership race. February 8, 2018. February 9, 2018.
Web site: Cecil Clarke announces bid for PC leadership. CBC News. February 3, 2018. February 3, 2018.
Web site: 'Time to win': Tim Houston running for PC Party leader. CBC News. November 19, 2017. November 22, 2017.
Web site: Tim Houston announces bid for PC leadership. The Chronicle Herald. November 20, 2017. November 22, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20171201044811/http://thechronicleherald.ca/novascotia/1522177-tim-houston-announces-bid-for-pc-leadership. December 1, 2017. dead.
Web site: John Lohr announces bid for PC Party leadership. January 8, 2018. CBC News. January 8, 2018.
Web site: Kings North MLA John Lohr announces he will run for Nova Scotia PC party leadership. January 8, 2018. Digby County Courier. May 24, 2024. https://web.archive.org/web/20180108175902/http://www.digbycourier.ca/news/kings-north-mla-john-lohr-announces-he-will-run-for-nova-scotia-pc-party-leadership-175355/. January 8, 2018.
Web site: Rookie MLA announces run for PC Party leadership. February 6, 2018. CBC News. January 8, 2018.
Web site: Houston welcomes Lohr to PC leadership race. The News. January 15, 2018. January 24, 2018.
Web site: VIBERT: Baillie's leaving behind a big political prize. November 2, 2017. The Coast Guard. May 24, 2024. https://web.archive.org/web/20171102163537/http://www.thecoastguard.ca/opinion/vibert-baillies-leaving-behind-a-big-political-prize-158696/. November 2, 2017.