Opinion polling on the Nayib Bukele presidency explained

Opinion polling has been conducted in El Salvador since September 2019, three months after Nayib Bukele took office as President of El Salvador on 1 June 2019, to gauge public opinion of Bukele and his government. Despite negative reception from outside of El Salvador,[1] [2] [3] domestically, Bukele is considered to be one of the most popular presidents in Salvadoran history[4] as his approval ratings generally hover around 90 percent.[5] [6]

Presidential approval rating

Polling aggregates
Nayib Bukele's presidential approval rating
Approves
Disapproves
Unsure/No Opinion
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		ApprovesDisapprovesUnsureLead
Cid-GallupNov 20241,20091.06.03.0[7]
Cid-GallupSept 2024–89.04.07.0[8]
Cid-GallupMay 2024–92.06.02.0
Cid-GallupJan 2024–92.05.03.0
Cid-Gallup6–13 Nov 20231,20092.06.02.0[9]
Cid-GallupSept 2023–90.05.05.0
TResearchJun 20231,00092.95.31.8[10]
Cid-GallupMay 2023–90.07.03.0
TResearchMay 20231,00091.57.21.3
TResearchApr 20231,00090.77.02.3
TResearchMar 20231,00089.29.21.6
TResearchFeb 20231,00087.610.12.3
La Prensa GráficaFeb 20231,50091.06.92.1[11]
Cid-Gallup16–27 Jan 20231,20090.04.06.0[12]
TResearchJan 20231,00084.811.53.7
TResearchDec 20221,00080.114.85.1
La Prensa Gráfica16–21 Nov 2022–87.89.52.5[13]
TResearchNov 20221,00081.613.94.5
TResearchOct 20221,00083.712.04.3
TResearchSept 20221,00082.013.24.8
TResearchAug 20221,00083.88.18.1
TResearchJul 20221,00082.78.98.4
TResearchJun 20221,00080.710.98.4
Funda UngoJun 2022–89.06.74.3[14]
CIESCA30 May 20221,33891.63.25.2[15]
Cid-Gallup26 Jan 20221,20084.012.04.0[16]
Funda UngoNov–Dec 2021–84.510.15.4
La Prensa Gráfica24–29 Nov 20211,52085.111.73.2[17]
La Prensa Gráfica18–24 Aug 20211,50684.712.32.9[18]
Cid-Gallup18 Aug 20211,20087.011.02.0[19]
CIESCA24 May 2021–94.06.00.0[20]
La Prensa Gráfica13–22 May 20211,10386.59.14.3[21]
Cid-Gallup2–10 Mar 20211,20096.03.01.0[22]
Cid-Gallup25 Nov–10 Dec 20201,20089.010.02.0[23]
Funda UngoNov–Dec 2020–91.16.22.7
Cid-Gallup7–16 Nov 20201,20096.0––[24]
La Prensa Gráfica11–22 May 20201,40692.55.42.1[25]
La Prensa Gráfica28 Feb 2020–85.910.43.7[26]
La Prensa Gráfica10 Sept 2019–90.40.49.2[27]

Polling on the gang crackdown

See also: Salvadoran gang crackdown.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		SupportOpposeUnsureLead
Cid-GallupSept 2024–83.012.05.0[28]
Cid-GallupJan 2024–88.08.04.0
Cid-GallupSept 2023–84.012.04.0
TResearchJun 20231,00092.45.12.5
TResearchMay 20231,00091.26.52.3
TResearchMay 20231,00090.96.62.5
CIESCAMay 2023–92.215.302.49[29]
TResearchApr 20231,00089.48.22.4
TResearchMar 20231,00088.910.60.5
Funda Ungo1–6 Mar 202350085.6––[30]
TResearchFeb 20231,00085.212.22.6
Cid-GallupFeb 2023–92.0––[31]
TResearchJan 20231,00082.113.94.0
TResearchDec 20221,00078.316.75.0
TResearchNov 20221,00079.115.95.0
TResearchOct 20221,00080.814.15.1
TResearchSept 20221,00079.715.25.1
UCASept 2022–75.9––[32]
Cid-Gallup5 Sept 20221,20091.06.01.0[33]
TResearchAug 20221,00083.513.92.6
TResearchJul 20221,00082.614.72.7
TResearchJun 20221,00074.616.39.1
CIESCA30 May 20221,33890.17.12.8[34]

2024 re-election polling

See also: Opinion polling for the 2024 Salvadoran general election.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Would supportWould not supportUndecidedLead
Iudop-UCA11–29 Nov 20231,51269.924.35.8[35]
TResearchJun 20231,00090.98.80.3
CEC-UFG27 May–1 Jun 20231,33475.612.511.9[36]
CIESCAMay 2023–91.855.362.79[37]
TResearchMay 20231,00090.49.30.3
TResearchApr 20231,00091.27.51.3
TResearchMar 20231,00092.66.21.2
La Prensa Gráfica15–24 Feb 20231,50068.013.019.0[38]
TResearch14–16 Feb 20231,00093.95.70.4
CEC-UFG4–8 Feb 20231,26362.219.018.8[39]
TResearchJan 20231,00092.75.91.4
TResearchDec 20221,00093.74.81.5
La Prensa Gráfica16–21 Nov 20221,52064.617.917.5[40]
TResearchNov 20221,00094.14.51.4
CEC-UFG27–31 Oct 20221,22774.712.812.5[41]
CEC-UFG27–31 Oct 20221,22777.211.011.8
TResearchOct 20221,00094.83.91.3
TResearch17–19 Sept 20221,00094.34.41.4[42]
CIESCA18 Sept 202225,62388.311.7–[43]
CEC-UFG10–14 Sept 20221,23158.923.115.0[44]
CEC-UFG26 May 2022–72.2––[45]

Notes and References

  1. Web site: O'Boyle. Brendan. 29 April 2020. Behind Nayib Bukele's "Shocking" Turn. 30 May 2022. Americas Quarterly. en-US.
  2. News: Kitroeff. Natalie. 5 May 2020. Young Leader Vowed Change in El Salvador but Wields Same Heavy Hand. en-US. The New York Times. 30 May 2022. 0362-4331.
  3. Web site: Crane . Emily . El Salvador's president declares himself world's "coolest dictator". New York Post. 22 September 2021. 30 May 2022.
  4. Web site: Nayib Bukele Approval Rating. Majority of Salvadorans approve of Bukele. 9 March 2022. 30 May 2022. en. Eddie. Galdámez. elsalvadorinfo.net. El Salvador Info.
  5. Web site: El Salvador's Millennial President is a Man with One Vision: Power. Los Angeles Times. 16 May 2021. 30 May 2022. Linthicum. Kate.
  6. Web site: Despite Claims of Authoritarianism, President Bukele's Popularity Continues to be Strong in El Salvador. Global Voices. 22 February 2021. Galdámez. Eddie. 30 May 2022.
  7. Web site: Nueve de cada 10 Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión del Presidente Nayib Bukele, Según CID Gallup. 9 Out of Every 10 Salvadorans Approves the Government of President Nayib Bukele, According to CID Gallup. es. 27 November 2024. 28 November 2024. La Noticia SV. Silvia. Hernández. El Salvador.
  8. Web site: 9 de Cada 10 Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión del Presidente Nayib Bukele. 9 Out of Every 10 Salvadorans Approve the Government of President Nayib Bukele. es. 3 October 2024. 3 October 2024. La Noticia SV. Silvia. Hernández. El Salvador.
  9. Web site: 92% Aprueba la Labor Presidencial de Bukele: «Un Valor Alto a Nivel Internacional», Afirma el Gerente Cid Gallup. 92% Approve Bukele's President of Work: "High Value at the International Level", Affirms Poll from Cid Gallup. es. 17 November 2023. 17 November 2023. La Noticia SV. Verónica. Martínez.
  10. Web site: Penna C.. Carlos. November 2022. Jun/23 El Salvador: 4 Años de Gobierno 93% lo Aprueba. Jun/23 El Salvador: 4 Years of Government 93% Approve. 26 November 2022. TResearch. es.
  11. Web site: LPG Datos Bukele Arranca 2023 con 91% de Aprobación. La Prensa Gráfica. 15 March 2023. 15 March 2023. es. LPG Statistics Bukele Starts 2023 with 91% Approval.
  12. Web site: Cid Gallup: 90 % Aprueba a Bukele y 56 % No Tiene Partido Político de Preferencia. El Mundo. 2 February 2023. 2 February 2023. es. Cid-Gallup: 90% Approves Bukele and 56% Do Not Have a Preferred Political Party.
  13. Web site: Bukele Cierra su Tercer Año y Medio de Festión con 88 % de Aprobación. La Prensa Gráfica. 12 December 2022. 12 December 2022. es. Bukele Closes His Third Year and a Half with 88% Approval. Edwin. Segura.
  14. Web site: Evaluación de al Gestión Gubernamental y Temas de Actualidad del 2022. Evaluation of Gubernatorial Management and Actual Topics of 2022. es. Funda Ungo. September 2022. 16 October 2022. 7.
  15. CIESCA Central America. CIESCA_OFICIAL. 1531310583227752450. 30 May 2022. Los Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión Presidencial. 91.63%. 91.63% of Salvadoran Approve of the Presidential Management. es. 30 May 2022.
  16. Web site: CID Gallup Dice que el 84% de los Salvadoreños Aprueba la Gestión del Presidente Nayib Bukele. GID Gallup Says that 84% of Salvadorans Approve of President Nayib Bukele's Management. 26 January 2022. 30 May 2022. es. ElSalvadorgram.com.
  17. Web site: Bukele Halfway Through His Term with High Approval. La Prensa Gráfica. 15 November 2021. 30 May 2022. es. Bukele Llega a la Mitad de su Gestión con Alta Aprobación. Edwin. Segura.
  18. Web site: Bukele Approval, Almost Unscathed. La Prensa Gráfica. 3 September 2021. 30 May 2022. es. Aprobación de Bukele, Casi Indemne. Edwin. Segura.
  19. Web site: Cid-Gallup: Bukele con un 87% de Aprobación. Cid-Gallup: Bukele with 87% Approval. 18 August 2021. 30 May 2022. es. El Mundo.sv.
  20. Web site: Presidente Bukele Recibe Aprobación del 94% de Salvadoreños en sus 2 Años de Gobierno, Según Encuesta. El Salvador gram. es. 24 May 2021. 30 May 2022. President Bukele Receives Approval from 94% of Salvadorans in His 2 Years of Government, According to Survey. Centro de Investigaciones, Estudios Sociales de Centroamérica.
  21. Web site: Bukele con 86.5% de Aprobación. La Prensa Gráfica. 1 June 2021. 30 May 2022. es. Bukele with 86.5% Approval. Edwin. Segura.
  22. Web site: 98 por Ciento de los Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión de Bukele Ante la Pandemia. 98 Percent of Salvadorans Approve Bukele's Management Due to the Pandemic. 11 March 2021. 30 May 2022. es. Cid-Gallup.
  23. Web site: Encuesta de Cid-Gallup Ubica a Nayib Bukele con el 90% de Aprobación Aún Año de Gestión. 16 December 2020. 30 May 2022. es. Cid-Gallup Poll Locates Nayib Bukele with 90% Approval Still Year in Management. 102Nueve. Cid-Gallup.
  24. Web site: Aprobación del Presidente Nayib Bukele Sube al 96% en el País, Según Última Encuesta de Cid-Gallup. 18 November 2020. Approval of President Nayib Bukele Rises to 96% in the Country, According to the Latest Cid-Gallup Poll. es. La Pagina. 30 May 2022. Cid-Gallup.
  25. Web site: ¡90% de Aprobación para Nayib Bukele en El Salvador!. 90% Approval for Nayib Bukele in El Salvador!. 25 May 2020. 30 May 2022. es. fubtolcentroamericano. La Prensa Gráfica.
  26. Web site: Presidente Nayib Bukele Conserva Alta Aprobación. President Nayib Bukele Conserves High Approval. 28 February 2020. 30 May 2022. La Prensa Gráfica. Twitter. es.
  27. Web site: Estudio: Presidente Nayib de El Salvador Tiene Aprobación Popular del 90,4 por Ciento. Study: President Nayib Bukele of El Salvador has Popular Approval of 90.4 Percent. 10 September 2019. 30 May 2022. VOA. es. La Prensa Gráfica.
  28. Web site: El 84% de Salvadoreños a Favor de la Continuidad del Régimen de Excepción, Según Cid Gallup. 84% of Salvadorans In Favor of Continuing the State of Exception, According to Cid-Gallup. es. 3 October 2024. 3 October 2024. El Mundo. Verónica. Crespín.
  29. 1663531965839015936. CIESCA_OFICIAL. CIESCA CENTROAMERICA. 30 May 2023. 30 May 2023. Los salvadoreños aprueban con un 92.2% el #RegimenDeExcepcion medida implementada por el gobierno del presidente @nayibbukele. Salvadorans approve the #StateofException medium implemented by the government of president @nayibbukelewith 92.2%.
  30. Web site: Mayoría Aprueba Régimen de Excepción Pero no con Capturas Sin Orden de Arresto: Encuesta. Majority Approve of State of Excpetion But not with Captures Without Arrest Orders: Poll. es. 27 March 2023. 27 March 2023. El Mundo. Yolanda. Magaña.
  31. Web site: El Salvador Vows Gang Crackdown Will Go On as Citizens Cheer Safer Streets. en. 15 February 2023. 22 March 2023. Reuters. Nelson. Renteria. Sarah. Kinosian.
  32. News: El Salvador: Thousands of Troops Surround City in Gang Crackdown. en. 4 December 2022. 22 March 2023. Reuters. Matt. Murphy. BBC News .
  33. Web site: La Población Aprueba as Labores Realizadas en el Campo de la Seguridad. The Population Approves as Works Carried Out in the Field of Security. es. 5 September 2022. 5 September 2022. Cid-Gallup.
  34. CIESCA Central America. CIESCA_OFICIAL. 1531312806968139777. 30 May 2022. El 90.13%, de los salvadoreños, aprueba el régimen de excepción y la lucha en contra de las pandillas.. 90.13% of Salvadorans approve the state of emergency and the war against the gangs.. es. 5 September 2022.
  35. Web site: 70% Avala que Bukele haya Presentado Candidatura Presidencial: Encuesta UCA. 70% Support Bukele Has Presented a Presidential Candidacy: UCA Poll. es. 6 December 2023. 6 December 2023. El Mundo. Yolanda. Magaña.
  36. Web site: El 75.6% Apoya la Reelección de Bukele de 2024, Según Encuesta de la UFG. 75.6% Support the Re-Election of Bukele in 2024, According to Poll from UFG. es. 6 June 2023. 6 June 2023. La Prensa Gráfica. Gabriela. Villarroel.
  37. 1663898368047759360. CIESCA_OFICIAL. CIESCA CENTROAMERICA. 31 May 2023. 31 May 2023. Tercera entrega: Los salvadoreños aprueban la reelección del presidente @nayibbukele en un 91.85%.. Third poll: Salvadorans approve the re-election of president @nayibbukele with 91.85%..
  38. Web site: Rentiera. Nelson. 14 March 2023. Despite Constitutional Ban, Salvadoran Leader Heavily Favored for Re-Election, Poll Shows. 15 March 2023. Reuters. en. San Salvador, El Salvador.
  39. Web site: 62.2% de Salvadoreños Están de Acuerdo con la Reelección de Bukele: Encuesta UFG. 62.2% of Salvadorans Are in Agreement of Bukele's Reelection: UFG Poll. es. El Mundo. 16 February 2023. 16 February 2023. Yolanda. Magaña.
  40. Web site: LPG Datos Salvadoreños a Favor de Extender Mandato Presidencial. LPG Statistics: Salvadorans in Favor of Extending Presidential Mandate. 14 December 2022. 14 December 2022. es. La Prensa Gráfica. Edwin. Segura.
  41. Web site: Mayoría Apoya la Reelección Inmediata de Bukele Según Encuesta de UFG. Majority Support the Immediate Reelection of Bukele According to Poll by UFG. es. El Mundo. 10 November 2022. 10 November 2022. Yolanda. Magaña.
  42. America Elects. AmericaElige. 1572409556487094272. 20 September 2022. Would you vote for the re-election of President Nayib Bukele (NI, conservative) if he decides to run?. en. 16 October 2022.
  43. Web site: 88.3% de la Población, a Favor de Reelección de Bukele. 88.3% in Favor of Bukele's Re-Election. es. Contrapunto.com.sv. 19 September 2022. 16 October 2022.
  44. America Elects. AmericaElige. 1575942926185660425. 30 September 2022. Do you agree or disagree with the possible re-election of President Nayib Bukele (NI, conservative)?. en. 16 October 2022.
  45. Web site: Reelección de Bukele Piden 72.2% de la Población, según UFG. 72.2% of the Populations Asks for Bukele's Reelection. es. Contra Punto. 26 May 2022. 16 October 2022. Alessia. Genoves. https://web.archive.org/web/20221017235342/https://www.contrapunto.com.sv/reeleccion-de-bukele-piden-72-2-de-la-poblacion-segun-ufg/. 17 October 2022. dead.

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