Opinion polling for the 2022 French legislative election explained

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2022 French legislative election, which were held in two rounds on 12 and 19 June 2022. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

First round

Graphical summary

Local regression of polls conducted

Party alliances standings

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		LO
NPA
NUPESDVG
ECOPAENSDVCUDCDVDDLF
RNREC
REGDIV
Ministry of the Interior
12 Jun 2022–1.17%
25.66%
3.70%
2.67%
25.75%
1.25%
11.29%
2.33%
1.13%
18.68%
4.24%
1.28%
0.85%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria12 Jun 2022Projections1.3%25.6%3.7%2.7%25.2%1.3%13.6%1.1%19.1%4.1%2.3%
Elabe BFMTV12 Jun 20221.2%26.2%3.3%––25.8%–11.1%1.9%1.2%19.1%4.3%5.9%
Ifop-Fiducial12 Jun 20221.4%26.1%3%––25.6%–11.3%3.2%1.1%19.2%4.1%5%
Harris-Interactive12 Jun 20221.5%25%5.5%–25%1%11.5%2.5%1.2%19%4.5%3.3%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria10 Jun 20228,1591%27%3%2.5%–28%0.5%11%1%19%5.5%1.5%
Harris-Interactive8–10 Jun 20222,0781%26%4%–2%26%1%10%1%2%20%6%1%
Ifop-Fiducial8–9 Jun 20221,8311%26.5%3.5%––26%10%2%1.5%19%5.5%–5%
Elabe8–9 Jun 20222,0001.5%26.5%3%––27%11%1%1.5%19.5%4.5%4.5%
Cluster177–9 Jun 20222,6080.5%29.5%2.5%–1.5%26%1%10.5%1%1.5%17.5%5.5%1%2%
OpinionWay-Kéa5–8 Jun 20223,0011%25%3%1%2%28%11%1%1%18%6%–3%
YouGov 1–8 Jun 20223,3062%25%––1%26%-9%-1%21%8%7%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria6–7 Jun 20222,0001.5%28%2.5%2.5%–27%0.5%11%1%19.5%6%1%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria3–6 Jun 202210,8261%27.5%2%2.5%–28%0.5%11%1%20%5.5%1%
Ifop-Fiducial3–6 Jun 20221,8401%26%3.5%––25%11%2%2%21%5%–4.5%
Harris-Interactive3–6 Jun 20222,3552%24%5%–2%26%1%10%1%2%20%6%1%
Cluster1730 May–1 Jun 20222,4591%31%––1.5%27%10%2%19%5%1.5%3%
Elabe30 May–1 Jun 20222,0001.5%25%2.5%––24.5%12.5%1.5%1.5%22%4.5%4.5%
OpinionWay-Kéa28–31 May 20223,0081%26%2%2%1%27%11%1%1%20%6%–2%
Harris-Interactive27–30 May 20222,3712%24%4%–2%27%1%9%1%1%21%7%1%
Ifop-Fiducial25–28 May 20221,7961%25%4%––27%10%1%2%21%6%3%
Cluster1724–26 May 20222,3730.5%30%–2%26%10.5%1.5%19%6%0.5%4%
OpinionWay-Kéa19–24 May 20222,8452%25%3%2%2%26%11%3%21%5%––
Harris-Interactive20–23 May 20222,3313%28%–––26%9%2%21%7%4%
Cluster1717–19 May 20222,9500.5%31%–1%26%9%2%20%5.5%1.5%3.5%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria16–19 May 202211,2471%27%3%––28%9%1%1%21%6%3%
Elabe16–18 May 20221,7932%27.5%–––27%10%1%21.5%5%6%
OpinionWay-Kéa14–18 May 20223,0222%24%3%2%2%27%11%2%22%5%––
Ifop-Fiducial13–16 May 20221,8841.5%27%–––26%11%2.5%23%6%–3%
Harris-Interactive13–16 May 20222,3933%29%–––26%10%1%23%5%3%
Cluster1710–12 May 20222,9671%31%––27%9.5%2%19%5.5%1%4%
Ifop-Fiducial6–9 May 20221,6911.5%28%–––27%11%2%22%6.5%–2%
1%2%18%6.5%5.5%–––26%11%2%21%6%–2%
Harris-Interactive6–9 May 20222,4063%28%–––26%9%1%24%6%3%
OpinionWay-Kéa5–9 May 20223,0772%23%3%2%2%26%12%2%23%5%––
Cluster173–5 May 20223,4981%34%––24.5%8.5%1.5%19.5%5%2%4%
Harris-Interactive29 Apr–2 May 20222%2%19%7%7%––24%8%1%23%6%1%
2%33%–––33%30%2%
Cluster1727–28 Apr 20221%2%20%7.5%5.5%––24%7.5%2%21%6%1%2.5%
1.5%27%7%––23%9%2%21%6.5%1%2%
1%34%––24%9.5%3%24%1.5%3%
Harris-Interactive24–25 Apr 20221%3%19%8%5%––24%8%1%23%7%1%
2%33%–––33%31%1%
2017 election resultsdata-sort-value="2017-06-11"11 Jun 2017–0.8%2.7%11%9.5%1.6%4.3%0.3%32.3%18.8%2.7%1.2%13.2%0.3%0.9%1.9%

Second round

Seat projections

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		NUPESDVGENSDVCUDCDVDDLF
RNRECEXDREGDIV
Ministry of the Interior
19 Jun 2022–131
22
245
4
64
10
1
89
0
0
10
1
Ifop-Fiducial16–17 Jun 20221,399160–1905–10270–300–50–706–8–25–45––5–9
Cluster1716–17 Jun 2022n/a170–2207–10230–2903–565–753–5–40–60––4–7
Ipsos-Sopra Steria15–16 Jun 2022140–18012–24265–3052–460–80––20–50––5–10
Elabe15–16 Jun 2022150–2008–12255–2953–555–752–4–30–50–1–25–9
OpinionWay-Kéa14–16 Jun 20221,028165–210–275–305–60–75––20–40––7–13
Odoxa14–15 Jun 20221,881179–2253–7252–292–42–622–8–25–49––2–6
Ifop-Fiducial14–15 Jun 20221,508180–2103–7265–300–40–652–6–20–40––3–7
Harris-Interactive12 Jun 20226,49214–2197–11725–4125–402–8257–2970–145–653–80–123–45––5–10
161–219
Ipsos-Sopra Steria12 Jun 2022Exit poll10–1696–11520–3024–2915–25255–295–50–80–20–45––10–17
150–190
Elabe12 Jun 2022160–2107–13260–295–50–652–5–25–35–0–29–14
Ipsos-Sopra Steria10 Jun 20228,159155–19018–30275–315–35–55–20–45––5–10
Harris-Interactive8–10 Jun 20222,07811–1890–11022–3722–384–12265–3050–238–583–80–125–480–30–15–10
145–203
Ifop-Fiducial8–9 Jun 20221,831180–2108–12270–305–40–55––15–350–2–8–14
Elabe8–9 Jun 20222,000165–190–280–320–40–60––25–50––10–15
OpinionWay-Kéa5–8 Jun 20223,001160–190–290–330–50–70––13–330–2–6–11
Ipsos-Sopra Steria6–7 Jun 20222,000175–21510–18260–300–35–55–20–50––5-10
Ipsos-Sopra Steria3–6 Jun 202210,826160–2008–18275–315–30–55–20–55––8–18
Ifop-Fiducial3–6 Jun 20222,000195–2304–8250–290–40–55––20–450–2–6–12
Harris-Interactive3–6 Jun 20222,3559–1671–9720–3520–36–285–3350–238–583–80–130–500–30–13–7
120–184
Elabe30 May–1 Jun 20222,000155–180–275–315–40–65––35–65––10–15
OpinionWay-Kéa28–31 May 20223,008160–190–290–330–50–70––13–330–2–6–11
Harris-Interactive27–30 May 20222,3718–1554–8018–3316–320–6300–3500–135–553–80–135–550–30–13–7
96–160
Ifop-Fiducial25–28 May 20221,796170–2055–10275–310–35–55––20–501–4–8–15
OpinionWay-Kéa19–24 May 20222,845155–185–295–335–50–70––14–34––6–11
Harris-Interactive20–23 May 20222,3319–1660–8620–3518–34–295–345–32–52–0–142–680–3–3–7
107–171
Ipsos-Sopra Steria16–19 May 202211,247165–195–290–330–35–65––20–45––5–10
Elabe16–18 May 20221,793160–185–290–330–25–50––35–65––5–15
OpinionWay-Kéa14–18 May 20223,022140–170–310–350–50–70––15–35––5–10
Harris-Interactive13–16 May 20222,3938–1562–8820–3518–34–300–350–35–55–0–148–750–2–3–7
108–172
Harris-Interactive6–9 May 20222,4068–1560–8520–3517–33–300–350–30–48–0–152–800–2–3–7
105–168
OpinionWay-Kéa5–9 May 20223,077135–165–310–350–50–70––20–40––5–10
Harris-Interactive29 Apr–2 May 20225–1025–451–520–40–338–378–35–65––65–95––3–7
70–90–336–376110–140–3–7
Harris-Interactive24–25 Apr 20225–1025–451–520–40–328–368–35–65––75–105––3–7
73–93–326–366117–147–3–7
2017 electiondata-sort-value="2017-06-18" 18 Jun 2017–101713011350–130618–153

See also

External links

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