Opinion polling for the 2021 Chilean presidential election explained

After the previous 2017 Chilean general election in November and December, different polling companies published surveys that tracked voting intention for the 2021 Chilean general election, especially the presidential election. Outgoing president Sebastián Piñera was not eligible for reelection.

Official primaries were held on 18 July where two coalitions, left-wing Apruebo Dignidad and right-wing Chile Vamos, chose their respective presidential candidates Gabriel Boric and Sebastián Sichel.[1] Centre-left coalition New Social Pact held their own primary on 21 August 2021 where they selected Yasna Provoste as their official candidate.[2] [3] Other candidates were José Antonio Kast of the Christian Social Front coalition, Franco Parisi of the Party of the People, Marco Enríquez-Ominami of the Progressive Party, and Eduardo Artés of the Patriotic Union.[4]

The first round of the election took place on 21 November 2021. Since no candidate alone received more than 50% of the votes, a runoff took place on 19 December 2021 between Gabriel Boric and José Antonio Kast.[5] [6] Boric won the runoff with 55.87% of the vote and will assume office on 11 March 2022.[7] [8]

First round

After official registration of candidates

Results considering only official candidates (excluding "Other", "Don't know", "Do not vote", etc.) and general voters, excluding polls showing likely voters or non-national samples.

Fieldwork datesPolling firmType of pollOthers/
None
bgcolor= bgcolor= bgcolor= bgcolor= bgcolor= bgcolor= bgcolor=
Artés
UPa		Boric
AD		M. E-O
PRO		Provoste
NPS		Parisi
PDG		Sichel
ChP+		Kast
FSC
20 Nov 2021CademBase 100. Online panel.227511131429—
16–19 Nov 2021CademBase 100127911121327—
5–6 Nov 2021AtlasIntel2.821.96.29.211.411.727.29.7
2–5 Nov 2021Activa1.917.73.910.97.38.221.728.4
Likely voter (51.6%)1.923.74.513.59.911.327.37.9
2–4 Nov 2021Cadem219591082522
2–3 Nov 2021UDD2225101092517
1–2 Nov 2021AtlasIntel2.521.44.212.210.19.231.09.4
29 Oct–2 Nov 2021Criteria22469882319
Likely voter (51%)23441288284
Likely voter (41%)235411106293
29 Oct–2 Nov 2021FeedbackLikely voter (48%)13029411367
26–31 Oct 2021Studio Público1.927.64.711.45.910.537.9—
29 Oct 2021Tú Influyes23241389275
27–29 Oct 2021Cadem119411782426
25–29 Oct 2021ActivaLikely voter (50.8%)2.6255.112.110.69.126.59
1.617.44.89.57.36.922.230.3
20–26 Oct 2021La Cosa Nostra23641451130—
20–22 Oct 2021Cadem120512672326
18–22 Oct 2021CriteriaLikely voter2.030.8 3.510.97.78.127.79.3
12–15 Oct 2021ActivaLikely voter (50.9%)2.431.3 3.716.56.98.920.210.1
1.621.33.413.15.07.516.331.8
13–14 Oct 2021Cadem320412672127
6–8 Oct 2021Cadem1214136101827
5–7 Oct 2021UDD2244106141921
1–5 Oct 2021CriteriaOpen-ended1263115151720
1–4 Oct 2021Tú Influyes3.125.73.711.54.912.116.122.9
29 Sept–1 Oct 2021Cadem1225125121528
27 Sept–1 Oct 2021ActivaLikely voter (48.4%)1.829.7 3.111.27.615.3 17.214.1
1.419.82.78.65.712.514.035.3
23–24 Sept 2021Cadem2234105171326
20–21 Sept 2021Black & White129—14724169
15–16 Sept 2021FeedbackLikely voter (56%)23417427169
227297231911
14–16 Sept 2021Cadem125596171027
6–14 Sept 2021La Cosa Nostra33631552712—
7–13 Sept 2021ActivaLikely voter (54.3%)2.528.0—11.910.917.514.015.2
1.719.9—9.97.011.88.741.0
8–10 Sept 2021Cadem022310819929
3–6 Sept 2021Tú Influyes1.526.52.611.35.517.810.924.0
1–3 Sept 2021Cadem0232127191225
27–31 Aug 2021CriteriaOpen-ended125112619828
26–27 Aug 2021Cadem1203137201026
24–27 Aug 2021ActivaLikely voter (51.9%)1.223.43.612.38.814.08.927.9
0.716.43.611.36.111.56.344.1
24–25 Aug 2021Black & White1223128261513
24–25 Aug 2021UDD1.421.84.112.97.720.010.721.4

Regional polls

Fieldwork datesPolling firmRegionOthers/
None
bgcolor= bgcolor= bgcolor= bgcolor= bgcolor= bgcolor= bgcolor=
Artés
UPa		Boric
AD		M. E-O
PRO		Provoste
NPS		Parisi
PDG		Sichel
ChP+		Kast
FSC
1 Oct-4 Nov 2021IPP UCNAntofagasta011512101952
24-28 Oct 2021Go PeopleSantiago1.719.18.88.63.67.217.333.8
23-24 Sept 2021UDDSantiago326494161226

Before official registration of candidates

Graph includes results considering main candidates in polls of general voters (excluding regional polls or with only likely voters). "Other", "Don't know", "Do not vote" or similar options are not included. Average of polls every 14 days.

For this table, the candidates shown are those that have at least one poll with more than 5% of the votes or have been chosen as representative of an official party as their presidential candidate for primaries or the first round.

DatePolling firmType of pollN/AAp. DignidadConstituent UnityChile VamosNon-affiliatedrowspan=3!
Yasna Provoste wins the Constituent Unity unofficial primaries, defeating Paula Narváez and Carlos Maldonado
13 Aug 2021Cadem——24.0————2.0——1.09.0—22.0——————9.0———33.0
13 Aug 2021ActivaLikely voter——16.1————2.0——0.69.0—25.6——————11.37.1——28.3
——14.7————1.8——0.37.1—20.4——————10.24.6——40.9
6 Aug 2021Cadem——21.0————2.0——1.010.0—24.0——————10.0———32.0
3 Aug 2021Criteria—3.025.0————————11.0—25.0————2.0—7.03.0——24.0
2 Aug 2021Data Influye——29.5——3.7—4.6——2.413.7—19.9——————8.9———17.3
31 Jul 2021ActivaLikely voter——28.3—0.9——1.1——1.315.8—19.6——————6.86.9——19.3
——22.9—1.0——0.8——0.712.1—18.0——————6.85.1——32.6
30 Jul 2021Feedback——23.0—1.0——1.0———5.0—22.0——————10.0———38.0
30 Jul 2021Cadem——24.0————3.0——1.013.0—24.0——————7.0———28.0
23 Jul 2021Cadem——30.0————3.0——1.012.0—25.0——————8.0———21.0
Constituent Unity announces they will hold unofficial primaries
Yasna Provoste announces her candidacy representing the Christian Democrat Party
Gabriel Boric and Sebastián Sichel win the primaries for Apruebo Dignidad and Chile Vamos respectively.
15 Jul 2021Cadem8.011.012.0————2.0——1.09.0—15.0—3.04.0—11.0—6.05.0——13.0
9 Jul 2021Cadem7.015.07.0————2.0——1.010.0—10.0—4.04.0—9.0—7.04.0——20.0
1 Jul 2021Cadem9.013.05.0————1.0——1.012.0—7.0—3.04.0—10.0—6.07.0——22.0
29 Jun 2021Criteria3.018.06.0————2.0———9.0—10.0—2.02.0—13.02.06.04.0——23.0
29 Jun 2021ActivaLikely voter2.918.56.8———0.1————10.9—11.9—1.71.4—15.01.22.84.3——22.5
5.912.64.5———1.6————7.6—8.4—0.91.5—16.51.62.15.2——31.6
28 Jun 2021Data Influye2.419.810.3————1.8———10.8—10.3—1.83.3—13.9—4.51.7—1.018.4
24 Jun 2021Cadem6.014.06.0————1.0——1.09.02.09.0—2.02.0—13.0—6.04.0——25.0
17 Jun 2021Cadem8.013.06.0————3.0——1.013.02.05.0—1.02.0—13.0—5.05.0——23.0
11 Jun 2021Cadem7.013.03.0————2.0——1.014.02.06.0—2.02.0—14.0—7.06.0——21.0
11 Jun 2021ActivaLikely voter4.321.52.3—2.3—0.7————8.2—5.7——2.6—11.15.03.65.6——27.1
5.016.01.4—1.5—1.9————6.2—4.3——1.8—16.03.62.74.0——35.6
3 Jun 2021Cadem8.014.05.0————2.0———13.02.08.0—2.02.0—14.0—7.06.0——17.0
1 Jun 2021Criteria4.016.04.0————2.0———9.0—8.0—1.02.0—14.05.06.02.0——27.0
31 May 2021Data Influye5.219.75.6————2.51.2——8.6—9.6——2.2—12.62.54.92.4—1.022.0
29 May 2021Cosa Nostra4.023.014.0————5.04.0—1.0—4.09.0—5.04.0—11.09.07.0———0.0
28 May 2021Cadem10.017.05.0————2.0———11.02.08.0—1.02.0—17.0—8.0———17.0
28 May 2021ActivaLikely voter6.917.41.8———0.72.5———7.3—6.0——2.7—13.12.95.25.0——28.5
6.213.91.5—1.1—1.71.5———6.6—4.5——2.3—12.93.63.83.8——36.6
20 May 2021Cadem7.020.05.0————2.02.0——13.01.011.0—3.04.0—16.0—5.0———11.0
Primaries for Apruebo Dignidad and Chile Vamos are registered. Constituent Unity decides not to hold official primaries.
18 May 2021ActivaLikely voter8.719.22.22.31.0——1.30.3——3.62.33.3——0.6—13.57.75.0—0.2—28.8
10.213.31.71.80.8—1.20.7———2.11.33.4——0.4—14.85.63.31.31.7—36.4
Matthei, Muñoz and Rincón desist of running for the Presidency
2021 municipal, gubernatorial and Constitutional Convention elections
3 May 2021Criteria15.013.02.0————2.02.0——3.0—5.0——3.0—11.07.06.01.02.0—28.0
30 Apr 2021ActivaLikely voter21.017.10.7—2.3—0.31.05.3——0.70.53.5——2.2—6.93.06.0———29.5
21.710.30.60.62.1—1.70.62.8——0.6—4.2——1.4—7.83.04.81.4——36.4
30 Apr 2021Cadem18.011.03.0————2.03.0——4.03.05.0—3.04.0—10.07.06.0———21.0
26 Apr 2021Data Influye15.516.83.8—1.4——3.43.4———1.74.0——2.4—9.84.84.51.9——26.6
16 Apr 2021ActivaLikely voter17.518.61.9—2.8—0.52.30.8——0.14.42.8—0.31.8—8.74.74.12.9——25.8
18.411.51.20.51.7—2.31.4———0.12.42.5——1.8—10.84.83.41.9——35.3
7 Apr 2021Cadem1st mention20.011.03.0————3.04.0—0.0—4.06.0——4.0—14.07.05.0———19.0
All mentions30.018.08.0————6.08.0—1.0—7.010.0——8.0—24.019.09.0———21.0
30 Mar 2021Criteria9.011.01.02.0———1.02.0———2.06.0——3.0—12.06.06.01.01.02.035.0
29 Mar 2021ActivaLikely voter12.611.22.11.92.5—1.00.41.23.3——1.05.6—0.72.1—14.06.83.91.32.7—25.7
13.07.51.91.31.6—1.80.2—1.7—0.00.55.0——1.5—13.95.33.71.73.1—36.3
17 Mar 2021CELAGLikely voter18.821.1—————5.7—————7.2——4.3—12.06.25.3———19.4
17.716.1—————4.0—————7.1——3.4—13.47.95.3———25.1
12 Mar 2021ActivaLikely voter7.415.40.22.51.7—0.21.32.00.7——0.86.1—0.23.7—10.87.53.24.3——32.0
10.710.10.11.42.0—1.41.01.10.5——0.75.1——2.6—9.75.33.34.31.1—39.6
5 Mar 2021Cadem2.06.0————2.01.01.0————3.0——1.0—5.04.03.01.0——71.0
2 Mar 2021Criteria6.014.01.03.02.0—2.02.01.0———2.05.0—0.02.0—12.08.07.02.01.0—30.0
28 Feb 2021Data Influye6.117.9—0.90.5—0.84.41.90.6——1.35.4—0.01.9—8.45.74.42.10.7—37.0
26 Feb 2021ActivaLikely voter11.614.80.12.10.4—1.81.90.61.5——5.110.3—0.42.1—11.67.26.81.6——20.1
9.97.90.01.20.6—1.81.0—0.8——2.67.1—1.51.2—14.44.24.93.30.4—37.2
12 Feb 2021ActivaLikely voter8.420.4—2.31.9—1.42.11.20.3——1.06.4—0.61.0—13.75.35.32.9——25.8
7.212.00.02.51.1—1.71.1—0.3——0.74.4——1.0—16.16.53.62.20.3—39.3
12 Feb 2021Cadem2.06.0————1.02.01.01.0——1.01.0—0.01.0—4.04.03.01.0——72.0
5 Feb 2021Cadem3.06.0————2.02.01.01.0——1.04.0—0.01.0—4.05.02.02.0——66.0
3 Feb 2021Data Influye7.516.7—1.01.2—1.24.62.01.5——1.47.4—0.02.3—10.25.33.91.41.4—31.0
1 Feb 2021Criteria5.012.0—2.0———3.02.02.0———8.0—0.03.0—12.07.05.02.01.0—36.0
Heraldo Muñoz wins the internal primary of the PPD, defeating Francisco Vidal and Jorge Tarud.
29 Jan 2021ActivaLikely voter10.817.0—3.41.2—2.11.22.10.9——4.64.5—1.01.9—11.72.76.42.10.1—26.3
11.810.7—2.60.8—2.60.71.51.0——3.04.0——1.2—10.32.25.32.02.6—37.7
29 Jan 2021Cadem2.08.0————3.02.01.01.0———4.0—0.01.0—6.04.03.01.0——64.0
Paula Narváez is proclaimed as the presidential candidate of the Socialist Party.
Ximena Rincón wins the internal primary of the PDC, defeating Alberto Undurraga.
22 Jan 2021Cadem2.08.0————2.02.01.01.0———4.0—0.01.0—6.04.03.01.0——65.0
15 Jan 2021Cadem2.07.0————1.0—1.01.0———4.0—0.01.0—7.04.03.0———69.0
15 Jan 2021ActivaLikely voter5.414.6—4.32.2—2.10.80.31.1——0.111.0——1.9—16.66.73.74.70.4—24.1
8.58.9—2.31.8—4.80.4—0.7——0.16.6——1.2—13.56.83.32.91.6—36.6
5 Jan 2021Criteria7.012.0—2.02.0—2.01.01.02.0———7.0—0.03.0—11.09.06.02.02.0—31.0
4 Jan 2021Data Influye8.417.5—1.70.7—0.92.22.61.3——0.55.9—0.02.8—8.06.85.02.11.2—32.4
31 Dec 2020Cadem2.07.0————1.0—1.0————5.01.0—1.0—5.05.02.01.0—1.068.0
Daniel Jadue is proclaimed as the presidential candidate of the Communist Party.
28 Dec 2020ActivaLikely voter13.213.7—3.01.3—1.2—1.21.3——0.25.7——1.9—11.58.94.43.3——29.2
11.99.1—2.60.7—2.3—0.80.8——0.16.2——1.3—12.77.23.42.41.1—37.4
14 Dec 2020ActivaLikely voter15.812.6—1.81.8—1.9—2.31.9——0.31.6——1.0—9.63.83.53.94.4—33.8
13.87.8—1.92.5—3.9—1.41.3——0.21.6——1.1—11.95.22.92.93.5—38.1
10 Dec 2020Cadem4.07.0—1.0——3.0—1.01.0———1.02.0———6.06.02.02.0——64.0
9 Dec 2020Criteria9.015.0—3.01.0—1.0—2.03.0———3.0——1.0—10.09.06.04.01.0—32.0
30 Nov 2020Data Influye11.317.9—1.50.90.80.6—2.31.5——0.51.8——1.5—11.46.75.22.81.03.329.0
28 Nov 2020ActivaLikely voter13.414.5—3.51.6—1.3—2.60.8——0.50.7——0.5—11.47.02.21.81.2—37.0
12.79.9—2.51.3—2.7—4.40.1——0.30.9—0.00.3—12.35.72.71.51.5—41.2
16 Nov 2020ActivaLikely voter9.512.2—1.81.9—3.0—2.11.3——0.20.9——1.0—14.56.04.36.62.7—32.0
9.68.7—1.21.2—2.5—1.71.1—0.20.10.6——0.7—13.37.03.35.32.2—41.3
13 Nov 2020Cadem4.07.0—4.0——2.0—2.03.0———1.01.0———10.05.02.02.0—1.056.0
7 Nov 2020Cadem1.06.0—1.0——2.0—1.01.0———1.0————6.04.04.02.0—1.070.0
4 Nov 2020Data Influye7.117.8—3.00.90.60.9—2.71.7——0.72.6——1.9—12.16.65.22.91.42.329.6
3 Nov 2020Criteria7.014.0—5.01.0—2.0—2.02.0———1.0——2.0—14.08.07.03.02.0—30.0
2 Nov 2020ActivaLikely voter5.715.6—3.82.22.21.9—1.32.8——1.01.4——0.7—12.57.85.52.7——32.9
5.210.8—3.32.71.52.5—3.82.4——0.61.0—0.00.5—11.66.35.03.20.9—38.7
30 Oct 2020Cadem2.06.0—2.0——2.0—1.02.0————1.0———6.04.03.02.0——69.0
2020 Chilean constitutional referendum.
17 Oct 2020Activa6.712.3—3.70.80.21.8—2.20.4——0.20.6————10.96.53.94.94.1—40.8
8 Oct 2020Cadem1.07.0—1.0——1.0—1.0—————1.0———7.05.03.01.0——72.0
5 Oct 2020Data Influye6.416.1—2.61.51.21.6—1.60.9———1.90.6—0.6—12.69.25.12.91.41.832.0
2 Oct 2020Cadem1.08.0—1.0——1.0——————1.01.0———8.07.03.02.0——67.0
30 Sept 2020Criteria3.017.0—6.01.0—2.0—1.01.0———1.0——1.0—18.08.06.03.01.0—31.0
28 Sept 2020Activa4.811.8—3.02.20.71.8—2.61.5——0.11.0—0.0——17.37.83.23.72.0—36.5
25 Sept 2020Cadem1.05.0—2.0——2.0——————1.0————7.06.02.02.0——72.0
17 Sept 2020Mori-Fiel—16.0—8.03.0—————————————14.011.07.0———41.0
17 Sept 2020Cadem—7.0—2.0——1.0——————1.01.0———7.07.04.02.0——68.0
12 Sept 2020Activa3.011.0—3.51.21.62.0—2.40.3——0.11.1—0.1——15.07.33.45.13.4—39.5
10 Sept 2020Cadem—8.0—2.0——2.0——————1.0————7.05.03.02.0—1.069.0
31 Aug 2020Criteria3.016.0—5.02.0—2.0—1.01.0———2.0——1.0—15.08.07.04.01.0—32.0
29 Aug 2020Activa1.99.1—2.62.01.51.9—2.80.1——0.21.1—0.0——23.13.93.83.23.4—39.4
24 Aug 2020Data Influye3.315.7—3.11.91.91.5—1.7————2.6——1.3—13.31.85.33.41.62.738.9
15 Aug 2020Activa1.910.4—2.31.42.02.6—2.40.2——0.51.5—0.0——15.11.95.23.43.5—45.7
13 Aug 2020Cadem—7.0—2.0——2.0—2.01.0———1.01.0———8.0—3.01.0—1.071.0
1 Aug 2020Activa1.611.3—2.31.91.63.3—0.70.6——1.41.2————17.50.52.85.71.8—45.8
31 Jul 2020Criteria2.012.0—6.02.03.02.0—1.0————2.0——2.0—13.02.06.05.02.0—40.0
26 Jul 2020Data Influye3.015.0—3.01.02.03.0—1.01.0———2.01.0———14.02.05.05.02.03.037.0
26 Jul 2020Black&White—19.0———————————13.0————18.0—8.06.0—12.024.0
24 Jul 2020Feedback—9.2—0.6————1.7————1.84.71.11.2—7.02.25.23.4—2.459.5
11 Jul 2020Activa3.06.7—3.32.11.04.3—0.41.0——0.12.3—0.1——13.30.72.75.06.72.844.5
10 Jul 2020Cadem—6.0—1.0——2.0——1.0———1.01.0———7.0—2.02.0—1.076.0
30 Jun 2020Criteria2.012.0—7.02.02.01.0—1.01.0———3.0——2.0—12.02.08.05.03.04.033.0
28 Jun 2020Activa0.49.2—5.21.33.34.1—0.40.3——1.22.0—0.1——12.61.43.85.65.51.941.7
21 Jun 2020Data Influye1.09.0—3.0—1.03.0—1.01.0———2.01.0———12.03.04.04.02.08.045.0
13 Jun 2020Activa0.35.4—3.71.21.75.0—0.60.6——0.02.2—0.1——16.31.64.13.81.42.849.2
12 Jun 2020Cadem—3.0—2.0——2.0—1.01.0————1.0———6.0—2.01.0—1.080.0
31 May 2020Criteria1.08.01.06.0——2.0—1.02.0————3.0—1.0—16.04.07.05.01.03.039.0
30 May 2020Activa0.83.3—4.21.92.15.3—0.11.2————2.10.8——17.32.23.45.51.90.647.3
24 May 2020CELAG—12.9—10.4——————————————18.8—4.110.3——43.5
Total lockdown imposed in Santiago Metropolitan Area and other large cities due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
14 May 2020Cadem—3.0—3.0——2.0——1.0————1.0———7.0—2.02.0——79.0
12 May 2020Activa0.44.5—3.52.21.75.0—1.00.4———0.40.50.0——15.80.44.510.82.20.746.0
4 May 2020Criteria1.07.0—6.0——2.0—2.02.0————2.0—1.0—18.02.08.06.02.0—41.0
3 May 2020Feedback—6.9—2.7——1.0—1.2—————2.41.91.2—9.81.66.02.3—2.660.4
28 Apr 2020Activa1.35.9—3.71.11.23.0—0.30.3——0.10.01.50.4——19.81.72.45.43.10.148.7
9 Apr 2020Cadem—3.0—2.0——3.0—1.01.0————1.0———10.0—3.02.0——74.0
9 Apr 2020Activa0.75.6—2.82.11.14.2—0.70.2———0.10.50.0——18.90.53.36.22.60.150.4
30 Mar 2020Criteria2.09.0—8.0—3.02.0—1.01.0————3.0———18.01.08.06.02.0—36.0
27 Mar 2020Activa1.34.5—4.41.11.73.7—0.70.5——0.2—1.10.2——11.50.45.78.22.10.252.5
26 Mar 2020Feedback—5.3————1.0—1.2—————1.51.81.1—10.9—6.63.1—2.165.4
16 Mar 2020Data Influye7.013.02.08.02.05.0——3.05.0————2.0—4.0—16.02.04.05.09.0—13.0
13 Mar 2020Cadem—4.0—2.0——2.0—1.01.0————1.0—1.0—7.0—3.03.0——75.0
12 Mar 2020Activa0.63.1—6.30.61.63.8—0.50.5——0.0—0.60.0——13.80.94.77.97.4—47.7
First cases of COVID-19 are detected in the country.
29 Feb 2020Criteria2.06.0—6.0—3.05.0—2.02.0————3.0—1.0—15.01.010.07.02.0—35.0
28 Feb 2020Activa0.33.9—5.70.91.64.0—0.51.0————1.30.1——13.60.92.38.22.9—52.8
14 Feb 2020Data Influye7.014.02.06.02.06.0——4.08.0————2.0—4.0—15.02.03.05.07.0—13.0
14 Feb 2020Cadem—3.0—2.0——2.0—1.01.0————2.0———4.0—4.04.0——77.0
13 Feb 2020Activa0.52.3—4.61.61.85.8—0.50.3————0.60.0——16.10.44.56.43.1—51.5
30 Jan 2020Activa0.85.4—5.91.60.92.8—0.40.3————1.70.3——15.30.26.19.95.6—42.8
28 Jan 2020Criteria1.06.02.07.02.02.02.0—2.01.0————3.0—1.0—14.01.08.08.02.0—38.0
17 Jan 2020Cadem—3.0—3.0——2.0——1.0————2.0—0.0—4.0—3.03.0——79.0
16 Jan 2020Activa1.14.8—5.2—5.14.2—1.10.2————1.40.1——8.90.63.911.62.1—44.9
30 Dec 2019Criteria0.06.0—8.0—2.04.0—1.02.0——0.0—3.0—0.0—14.01.09.09.02.0—0.0
26 Dec 2019Activa0.66.3—5.22.10.32.7—2.80.3——0.0—0.5—0.0—12.10.56.77.52.6—39.0
20 Dec 2019Cadem0.03.0—3.0——1.0——1.0——0.0—2.0—1.0—5.0—5.05.01.0—49.8
29 Nov 2019Cadem0.02.0—4.0——2.0—1.01.0——0.0—2.0—0.0—6.0—2.05.01.0—73.0
26 Nov 2019Activa0.43.3—8.60.42.83.7—1.30.6——0.0—0.4—0.0—7.80.47.09.93.1—74.0
26 Nov 2019Criteria0.07.0—8.0—2.02.0—2.01.0——0.0—4.0—0.0—8.0—8.08.02.0—50.3
Agreement signed between different parties to held a referendum in 2020 to write a new Constitution.
30 Oct 2019Cadem0.03.0—5.0——2.0—1.0———1.0—3.0—0.0—6.0—2.01.0——48.0
30 Oct 2019Activa0.23.3—12.42.01.96.6—2.40.6——0.0—1.8—0.01.910.00.75.80.73.9—76.0
29 Oct 2019Criteria0.05.0—10.0—2.0——2.02.0——0.0—3.0—0.0—14.02.09.0—2.0—45.8
El Estallido Social

mass protests and riots all over the country.

11 Oct 2019Cadem0.03.0—6.0——5.0—1.01.0——0.0—2.0—0.0—11.0—5.0———49.0
30 Sept 2019Criteria0.04.0—14.03.02.06.0—————0.0—4.0—0.05.017.02.012.0———66.0
25 Sept 2019Activa0.14.9—13.51.31.97.2—0.20.0——0.0—1.6—0.02.411.70.66.80.02.2—31.0
30 Aug 2019Criteria0.05.0—8.03.02.02.0—————0.0—5.0—0.03.016.0—12.0———45.6
29 Aug 2019Activa—4.5—9.01.62.67.2—0.30.2——0.0—4.9—0.02.816.91.37.00.73.2—44.0
29 Jul 2019Criteria0.06.0—11.02.02.05.0—————0.0—4.0—0.05.016.02.010.0———37.8
25 Jul 2019Activa—3.0—10.32.42.17.0—0.3———0.0—3.4—0.02.717.81.35.11.01.8—37.0
12 Jul 2019Cadem0.03.0—8.0——5.0—1.0———1.0—2.0—0.0—9.01.05.0———41.8
1 Jul 2019Criteria0.06.0—10.02.02.05.0—————0.0—4.0—0.03.017.02.011.0———65.0
1 Jul 2019Activa0.05.0—14.33.02.07.9—0.8———0.0—3.7—0.02.511.41.17.60.90.8—38.0
3 Jun 2019Criteria0.06.0—13.02.03.05.0—————0.0—5.0—0.04.011.02.09.0———39.0
31 May 2019Activa0.02.6—10.82.03.28.2—0.50.5——0.0—2.7—0.05.410.63.28.10.43.0—40.0
2 May 2019Activa0.32.2—11.14.03.08.5—1.20.5——0.0—3.9—0.03.97.50.711.20.53.1—38.8
28 Apr 2019Criteria0.05.0—12.03.03.05.0—————0.0—5.0—0.05.010.02.010.0———38.4
31 Mar 2019Criteria0.03.0—12.0——6.0—————0.0—5.0—0.08.09.02.010.0———40.0
31 Mar 2019Activa0.12.1—13.02.92.47.9—0.60.2——0.0—3.3—0.04.48.31.35.80.21.7—45.0
1 Mar 2019Activa0.02.6—14.65.61.86.9—0.70.1——0.0—2.6—0.03.66.82.39.10.43.0—45.8
28 Feb 2019Criteria0.03.0—12.02.04.04.0—————0.0—6.0—0.05.09.03.011.0———39.9
31 Jan 2019Criteria0.03.0—12.03.02.03.0—————0.0—4.0—0.05.08.02.010.0———41.0
31 Jan 2019Activa0.51.0—12.12.22.49.9—0.60.3——0.0—1.8—0.05.77.91.36.40.92.5—48.0
11 Jan 2019Cadem0.03.0—11.01.01.06.0—1.0———0.0—3.0—0.0—6.01.07.0———44.5
28 Dec 2018Criteria—4.0—10.02.02.03.0———————5.0——4.06.03.012.0———0.0
30 Nov 2018Criteria—4.0—12.03.05.03.0———————4.0——3.05.02.08.0———45.0
3 Nov 2018Criteria—2.0—11.02.03.04.0—2.0—————5.0——2.03.04.08.0———49.0
2 Oct 2018Criteria—3.0—10.03.03.01.0———————6.0——5.04.02.09.0———51.0
31 Aug 2018Criteria———14.03.04.03.0———————5.0——4.05.03.07.0———51.0
30 Jul 2018Criteria———20.04.06.07.0———————5.0——5.06.05.07.0———50.0
28 Jun 2018Criteria———16.06.06.04.0———————8.0——7.02.02.010.0———31.0
23 May 2018Criteria———16.03.05.0————————5.0——5.02.0—14.0———35.0
12 Apr 2018Criteria———22.04.04.0————————6.0——5.03.0—10.0———48.0

Second round

Results considering only official candidates (excluding "Other", "Don't know", "Do not vote", etc.) and general voters, excluding polls only with likely voters. Average of polls every 3 days.

DatePolling firmType of pollwidth=100pxBoric (CS)width=100pxJ.A. Kast (PLR)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
15-16 Dec 2021CademBase 10055 45
1-4 Dec 2021AtlasIntel41.038.720.3
30 Nov-4 Dec 2021Activa[9] 42.228.313.516.0
30 Nov-2 Dec 2021Feedback4539142
30 Nov-2 Dec 2021Cadem403525
26–29 Nov 2021Studio Público45.045.39.7
25–29 Nov 2021Data Influye4734127
25–29 Nov 2021CriteriaBase 1005446—
26-27 Nov 2021Black & White[10] 4441410
24-26 Nov 2021Cadem393328
23-26 Nov 2021ActivaLikely voter (55.8%)53.931.25.19.8
40.424.512.822.5
20 Nov 2021CademOnline panel393922
16-19 Nov 2021Cadem373330
9-12 Nov 2021Activa35.935.021.97.2
5–6 Nov 2021AtlasIntel36.340.723.0
2–4 Nov 2021Cadem4044115
3 Nov 2021UDD333334
1–2 Nov 2021AtlasIntel36.742.620.7
29 Oct–2 Nov 2021FeedbackLikely voter (48%)41.248.710.1
26–31 Oct 2021Studio Publico46.853.2—
25–29 Oct 2021ActivaLikely voter42.936.84.216.1
32.932.812.512.1
20–26 Oct 2021La Cosa Nostra4654——
12–15 Oct 2021ActivaLikely voter52.630.211.26.0
39.528.122.79.7
13–14 Oct 2021Cadem4335166
5–7 Oct 2021UDD372934
27 Sep–1 Oct 2021ActivaLikely voter47.128.316.58.1
35.725.826.911.6
14–16 Sep 2021Cadem5027176
1–3 Sep 2021Cadem5327155

Discarded pairings

Some polls evaluated a potential second round between candidates that participated in the first round of elections

DatePolling firmType of pollwidth=100pxBoric (CS)width=100pxSichel (I-ChV)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
15 Oct 2021ActivaLikely voter49.428.514.77.4
37.624.626.711.1
14 Oct 2021Cadem4135186
7 Oct 2021UDD372637
1 Oct 2021ActivaLikely voter43.931.216.38.6
33.428.027.011.6
16 Sept 2021FeedbackLikely voter4344103
3743182
16 Sept 2021Cadem4436155
3 Sept 2021Cadem4439134
25 Aug 2021UDD3130309
30 Jul 2021FeedbackLikely voter4840111
4144132
23 Jul 2021Cadem464284
DatePolling firmType of pollwidth=100pxBoric (CS)width=100pxProvoste (PDC)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
15 Oct 2021ActivaLikely voter38.630.823.07.6
31.325.811.431.4
14 Oct 2021Cadem3935215
1 Oct 2021ActivaLikely voter39.626.125.78.6
30.922.733.712.7
16 Sept 2021FeedbackLikely voter4325292
3624382
16 Sept 2021Cadem4234186
3 Sept 2021Cadem4434166
25 Aug 2021UDD31.224.037.96.9
30 Jul 2021FeedbackLikely voter4724281
4124341
23 Jul 2021Cadem4634146
24 Jun 2021Cadem2540305
DatePolling firmType of pollwidth=100pxProvoste (PDC)width=100pxSichel (I-ChV)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:;
14 Oct 2021Cadem4035205
16 Sept 2021FeedbackLikely voter3044242
2943262
16 Sept 2021Cadem4036186
3 Sept 2021Cadem3842164
25 Aug 2021UDD27.132.833.17.0
30 Jul 2021FeedbackLikely voter3741211
3045241
23 Jul 2021Cadem3645136
24 Jun 2021Cadem3932245
DatePolling firmType of pollwidth=100pxProvoste (PDC)width=100pxJ.A. Kast (PLR)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:;
14 Oct 2021Cadem4436155
DatePolling firmType of pollwidth=100pxSichel (I-ChV)width=100pxJ.A. Kast (PLR)Not votingNot sure
style=background:; style=background:;
14 Oct 2021Cadem3034288

Some polls included candidates that eventually announced they would not run for office.

DatePolling firmwidth=100pxJadue (PC)width=100pxF. Kast (EVO)width=80px rowspan=2Not votingwidth=80px rowspan=2Not sure
style=background: style=background:
8 Jan 2021Cadem31242916
18 Nov 2020Cadem3524256
30 Oct 2020Cadem3226327
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxJiles (PH)width=100pxF. Kast (EVO)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
18 Nov 2020Cadem40222711
30 Oct 2020Cadem4624255
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxJadue (PC)width=100pxJ.A. Kast (PLR)width=80px rowspan=2Not votingwidth=80px rowspan=2Not sure
style=background: style=background:
8 Jan 2021Cadem31213216
18 Nov 2020Cadem3623347
30 Oct 2020Cadem33203215
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxJiles (PH)width=100pxJ.A.Kast (PLR)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
18 Nov 2020Cadem42202513
30 Oct 2020Cadem4721275
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxJadue (PC)width=100pxLavín (UDI)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
24 Jun 2021Cadem3239236
20 May 2021Cadem3537253
8 Apr 2021Cadem3046195
18 Mar 2021UDD28.932.838.3
8 Jan 2021Cadem25372612
18 Nov 2020Cadem3236266
30 Oct 2020Cadem28332613
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxJiles (PH)width=100pxLavín (UDI)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
18 Nov 2020Cadem3535228
30 Oct 2020Cadem3636235
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxMuñoz (PPD)width=100pxLavín (UDI)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
18 Nov 2020Cadem1935388
30 Oct 2020Cadem22323115
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxNarváez (PS)width=100pxLavín (UDI)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
18 Mar 2021UDD12.431.156.5
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxRincón (PDC)width=100pxLavín (UDI)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
18 Nov 2020Cadem2235367
30 Oct 2020Cadem23333113
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxSánchez (I-FA)width=100pxLavín (UDI)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
18 Nov 2020Cadem3036286
30 Oct 2020Cadem31342510
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxVidal (PPD)width=100pxLavín (UDI)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
18 Nov 2020Cadem2133397
30 Oct 2020Cadem24313114
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxJadue (PC)width=100pxMatthei (UDI)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
18 Mar 2021UDD29.129.141.8
8 Jan 2021Cadem27362512
18 Nov 2020Cadem3534256
30 Oct 2020Cadem29322613
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxJiles (PH)width=100pxMatthei (UDI)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
18 Nov 2020Cadem3833209
30 Oct 2020Cadem4432235
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxNarváez (PS)width=100pxMatthei (UDI)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
18 Mar 2021UDD12.727.559.8
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxJadue (PC)width=100pxSichel (I-ChV)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:
18 Mar 2021UDD2924.946.1
8 Jan 2021Cadem25302717
18 Nov 2020Cadem3135277
30 Oct 2020Cadem29203318
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxJiles (PH)width=100pxSichel (I-ChV)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:;
18 Nov 2020Cadem4036195
DatePolling firmwidth=100pxNarváez (PS)width=100pxSichel (I-ChV)Not votingNot sure
style=background: style=background:;
18 Mar 2021UDD15.926.357.8

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2021-07-19. Gabriel Boric wins Chile presidential primary as protest generation takes centre stage. 2021-07-27. The Guardian. en.
  2. Web site: Unidad Constituyente acuerda consulta ciudadana de manera presencial para el 21 de agosto. 2021-07-27. CNN Chile. es.
  3. News: Con escasa participación, Provoste (DC) se convierte en la abanderada de Unidad Constituyente. Equipo de Política. 21 August 2021. 23 August 2021. La Tercera. es-CL. 23 August 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210823002506/https://www.latercera.com/la-tercera-domingo/noticia/con-escasa-participacion-provoste-dc-se-convierte-en-la-abanderada-de-unidad-constituyente/I4CHJ6BPIRCLVL7BTM5WN2SYI4/. live.
  4. News: Culmina declaración de candidaturas para las Elecciones Generales de noviembre. 23 August 2021. 14 August 2021. Servicio Electoral de Chile. es-CL. 24 August 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210824045045/https://www.servel.cl/culmina-declaracion-de-candidaturas-para-las-elecciones-generales-de-noviembre/. live.
  5. Web site: Conozca todas las fechas del ciclo electoral 2020-2022 – Servicio Electoral de Chile. 2021-03-23. Electoral Service of Chile. 3 July 2020 . es.
  6. Web site: 2021-11-22. Ex-protester, far-right lawmaker to meet in Chilean runoff. 2021-12-08. AP NEWS. en. 8 December 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20211208181110/https://apnews.com/article/business-elections-presidential-elections-south-america-chile-86e72bcd0193207f79479ce9cb726092. live.
  7. News: Leftist Boric set to become new Chile president as Kast concedes defeat. Deutsche Welle. 2021-12-19. 2021-12-19. 19 December 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20211219232025/https://www.dw.com/en/leftist-boric-set-to-become-new-chile-president-as-kast-concedes-defeat/a-60187979. live.
  8. News: Leftist Gabriel Boric wins Chile presidential election . 20 December 2021 . BBC News . 20 December 2021 . 20 December 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20211220000309/https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-59715941 . live .
  9. Web site: Encuesta Pulso Ciudadano da ventaja de casi 14 puntos a Boric sobre Kast de cara a la segunda vuelta. 2021-12-04. 2021-12-05. 24 Horas.
  10. Web site: 2021-12-05. 2021-11-28. Primeras encuestas de segunda vuelta dan ventaja a Boric frente a Kast (Lea aquí los estudios completos). Ex-Ante.

This article is licensed under the GNU Free Documentation License. It uses material from the Wikipedia article "Opinion polling for the 2021 Chilean presidential election".

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