2010 Ohio gubernatorial election explained

See also: 2010 United States gubernatorial elections.

Election Name:2010 Ohio gubernatorial election
Country:Ohio
Type:presidential
Ongoing:Yes
Previous Election:2006 Ohio gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2006
Next Election:2014 Ohio gubernatorial election
Next Year:2014
Election Date:November 2, 2010
Image1:File:Governor John Kasich.jpg
Nominee1:John Kasich
Running Mate1:Mary Taylor
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:1,889,186
Percentage1:49.04%
Nominee2:Ted Strickland
Running Mate2:Yvette Brown
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:1,812,059
Percentage2:47.04%
Governor
Before Election:Ted Strickland
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:John Kasich
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2010 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor Ted Strickland ran for re-election to a second term as governor and was opposed by former U.S. Representative John Kasich; both Strickland and Kasich won their respective primaries uncontested. The race between the two major candidates was prolonged and brutal, with both candidates employing various campaign surrogates to bolster their campaigns. Ultimately, Kasich defeated Strickland.

Strickland's defeat was widely attributed to the decline of Ohio's economy, as well as the loss of 400,000 jobs since the beginning of his term. The policies of the then-president Barack Obama proved to be a hot topic among voters, with Strickland voicing his support for the healthcare overhauls initiated by Obama's administration, contrary to Kasich, who opposed the policies.[1] As of 2023, this is the last time an incumbent governor of Ohio lost re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Results

Green primary

Candidates

Results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[2] October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[3] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[4] November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[6] October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredTed
Strickland (D)		John
Kasich (R)
Public Policy Polling[7] October 28–30, 201048% align=center49%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[8] October 27–29, 201046% align=center49%
Survey USA[9] October 22–26, 201044% align=center49%
Quinnipiac University[10] October 18–24, 201043% align=center49%
Fox News/POR[11] October 23, 201043% align=center47%
CNN/Time Magazine[12] October 15–19, 2010 align=center48%46%
University of Cincinnati[13] October 14–18, 201047% align=center49%
Quinnipiac University[14] October 12–17, 201041% align=center51%
University of Cincinnati[15] October 8–13, 201043% align=center51%
Rasmussen Reports[16] October 11, 201045% align=center48%
Fox News/POR[17] October 9, 201042% align=center47%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[18] October 5–8, 201046% align=center48%
Quinnipiac University[19] September 29 – October 3, 201041% align=center50%
Fox News/POR[20] October 2, 201043% align=center49%
Rasmussen Reports[21] September 27, 201042% align=center 50%
CBS/NY Times[22] September 23–27, 201042% align=center 43%
Reuters/Ipsos[23] September 23–25, 201046% align=center 47%
Ohio Newspapers Poll/UC[24] September 24, 201045% align=center 49%
SurveyUSA[25] September 14, 201040% align=center 52%
CNN/Time Magazine[26] September 10–14, 201044% align=center51%
Quinnipiac[27] September 9–14, 201037% align=center 54%
Rasmussen Reports[28] September 13, 201043% align=center 50%
Fox News/Pulse Research[29] September 11, 201043%align=center 48%
The Columbus Dispatch[30] August 25 – September 3, 201037%align=center 49%
Rasmussen Reports[31] August 30, 201039% align=center 47%
Public Policy Polling[32] August 27–29, 201040% align=center 50%
Rasmussen Reports[33] August 16, 201040% align=center 48%
Reuters/Ipsos[34] August 6–8, 201039% align=center 48%
Rasmussen Reports[35] August 2, 201042%align=center 45%
Rasmussen Reports[36] July 19, 201043%align=center 48%
Rasmussen Reports[37] June 29, 201040%align=center 47%
Public Policy Polling[38] June 26–27, 201041%align=center 43%
Quinnipiac[39] June 22–27, 2010align=center 43%38%
Rasmussen Reports[40] June 3, 201042%align=center 47%
UC/The Ohio Poll[41] May 11–20, 2010align=center 49%44%
Rasmussen Reports[42] May 5, 201045%align=center 46%
Quinnipiac[43] April 21–26, 2010align=center 44%38%
Research 2000[44] April 5–7, 2010align=center 45%40%
Rasmussen Reports[45] March 30, 201045%align=center 46%
Quinnipiac[46] March 23–29, 2010align=center 43%38%
Public Policy Polling[47] March 20–21, 201037%align=center 42%
Rasmussen Reports[48] March 4, 201038%align=center 49%
Quinnipiac[49] February 16–21, 2010align=center 44%39%
Rasmussen Reports[50] February 5–6, 201041%align=center 47%
The Ohio Newspaper[51] January 13–19, 201045%align=center 51%
Ohio Right to Life[52] January 8–12, 201033%align=center 43%
Rasmussen Reports[53] January 12, 201040% align=center47%
Rasmussen Reports[54] December 7, 200939% align=center48%
Quinnipiac[55] November 5–9, 200940%40%
The Ohio Newspaper[56] October 14–20, 2009 align=center48%47%
Rasmussen Reports[57] September 23, 200945% align=center46%
Quinnipiac[58] September 10–13, 2009 align=center46%36%
Research 2000[59] July 8, 2009 align=center44%39%
Quinnipiac[60] June 26 – July 1, 2009 align=center43%38%
Public Policy Polling[61] June 17–19, 2009 align=center44%42%
Quinnipiac[62] April 28 – May 4, 2009 align=center51%32%
Quinnipiac[63] March 10–15, 2009 align=center51%31%
Quinnipiac[64] January 29 – February 2, 2009 align=center56%26%
Public Policy Polling[65] January 17–18, 2009 align=center45%39%

Results

When the polls closed on election night, the race was very close, with Strickland and Kasich neck and neck. As the night wore on, Kasich's lead began to pick up strength, however once Cuyahoga County came in, Kasich's lead began to erode. In the end Kasich still won, but it was one of the closest gubernatorial elections in Ohio history. Strickland conceded at around 2 A.M. EST.

By county

County[66] John Kasich
Republican 		Ted Strickland
Democratic		Other votes Total
votes
%%%
Adams 57.96% 4,83738.23% 3,191 3.81% 318
Allen 57.57% 8,401 38.69% 1,936 3.74% 1,233
Ashland 60.89% 10,586 33.92% 5,897 5.19% 902
Ashtabula 42.30% 12,582 50.85% 15,128 6.86% 2,038
Athens 26.42% 4,525 70.48% 12,073 3.10% 531
Auglaize 65.79% 10,873 28.97% 4,788 1.61% 265
Belmont 43.96% 10,411 52.64% 12,467 3.40% 805
Brown 58.60% 7,803 36.76% 4,894 4.64% 618
Butler 62.69% 74,942 33.59% 40,153 3.72% 4,444

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

External links

Debates

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Ohio - Election Results 2010 - The New York Times. www.nytimes.com. 2020-05-21.
  2. Web site: 2010 Governors Race Ratings . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028141343/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php . dead . October 28, 2010 . . October 28, 2010.
  3. Web site: Governor Ratings . . October 28, 2010.
  4. Web site: 2010 Governor Races . . October 28, 2010.
  5. Web site: THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS . . October 28, 2010.
  6. Web site: Race Ratings Chart: Governor . . October 28, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101005231611/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor . October 5, 2010 .
  7. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OH_1030513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  8. https://web.archive.org/web/20101207020806/http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/2010.10.31_Ohio_USA.pdf Angus Reid Public Opinion
  9. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=1f22648b-c2e7-4289-adc9-a634146d92c4 Survey USA
  10. https://web.archive.org/web/20101027032915/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1525 Quinnipiac University
  11. https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-polls-dems-make-gains-as-republicans-hang-tough-in-battleground-states Fox News/POR
  12. http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/10/20/topstate7.pdf CNN/Time Magazine
  13. http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2010/10/ohio_governors_race_tight_ohio.html University of Cincinnati
  14. https://web.archive.org/web/20101023183151/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1520 Quinnipiac University
  15. http://www.ipr.uc.edu/documents/op101510.pdf University of Cincinnati
  16. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/toplines/toplines_2010_ohio_governor_july_19_2010 Rasmussen Reports
  17. https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-polls-gop-sees-senate-chances-improve/ Fox News/POR
  18. https://web.archive.org/web/20110617031940/http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/2010.10.10_Ohio_USA.pdf Angus Reid Public Opinion
  19. https://web.archive.org/web/20101007233313/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1511 Quinnipiac University
  20. https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-polls-gop-poised-to-gain-or-hold-senate-seats-in-key-states Fox News/POR
  21. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/election_2010_ohio_governor Rasmussen Reports
  22. https://archive.today/20130119015023/http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20017954-503544.html?tag=contentMain;contentBody CBS/NY Times
  23. https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE68D3VQ20100928 Reuters/Ipsos
  24. https://web.archive.org/web/20101001214144/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1501 Ohio Newspapers Poll/UC
  25. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=63f7766d-2465-4015-ab25-e62ddc7e6722 SurveyUSA
  26. http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/09/15/nv-oh-wa-poll2.pdf CNN/Time Magazine
  27. https://web.archive.org/web/20100920035709/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1500 Quinnipiac
  28. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/toplines/toplines_ohio_governor_september_13_2010 Rasmussen Reports
  29. http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/091410_OHpoll1.pdf Fox News/Pulse Research
  30. https://web.archive.org/web/20100909132250/http://www.dispatchpolitics.com/live/content/local_news/stories/2010/09/05/copy/gop-resurgent.html?adsec=politics&sid=101 The Columbus Dispatch
  31. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/toplines/toplines_2010_ohio_governor_august_30_2010 Rasmussen Reports
  32. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OH_901.pdf Public Policy Polling
  33. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/toplines/toplines_2010_ohio_governor_august_16_2010 Rasmussen Reports
  34. https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE67957M20100810 Reuters/Ipsos
  35. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/toplines/toplines_2010_ohio_governor_august_2_2010 Rasmussen Reports
  36. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/toplines/toplines_2010_ohio_governor_july_19_2010/ Rasmussen Reports
  37. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/toplines/toplines_2010_ohio_governor_june_29_2010/ Rasmussen Reports
  38. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OH_629.pdf Public Policy Polling
  39. https://web.archive.org/web/20100704074836/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1470&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Quinnipiac
  40. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/toplines/toplines_2010_ohio_governor_june_3_2010/ Rasmussen Reports
  41. https://web.archive.org/web/20100530093831/http://realclearpolitics.blogs.time.com/2010/05/28/oh-poll-democrats-ahead-for-senate-gov/ UC/The Ohio Poll
  42. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/election_2010_ohio_governor Rasmussen Reports
  43. https://web.archive.org/web/20100501153224/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1450 Quinnipiac
  44. http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/4/7/OH/469 Research 2000
  45. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/election_2010_ohio_governor Rasmussen Reports
  46. https://web.archive.org/web/20100405073822/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1440&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Quinnipiac
  47. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OH_323.pdf Public Policy Polling
  48. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/election_2010_ohio_governor/ Rasmussen Reports
  49. https://web.archive.org/web/20110605060014/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1426%2F Quinnipiac
  50. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/toplines/toplines_2010_ohio_governor_race_february_5_6_2010/ Rasmussen Reports
  51. http://www.daytondailynews.com/news/ohio-news/ohio-governor-trailing-gop-rival-in-latest-poll-509108.html The Ohio Newspaper
  52. http://www.ohiolife.org/assets/attachments/file/ORTL%20CROSSTABS%20-%20Political%20-%201-2010%20(2).pdf Ohio Right to Life
  53. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/toplines/toplines_2010_election_ohio_governor_election_january_12_2010/ Rasmussen Reports
  54. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/election_2010_ohio_governor Rasmussen Reports
  55. https://web.archive.org/web/20110605060022/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1394&What=&strArea=%3B&strTime=0%2F Quinnipiac
  56. http://media.cleveland.com/open_impact/other/ONP_102109_memo.pdf The Ohio Newspaper
  57. https://web.archive.org/web/20090929094518/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/toplines/toplines_2010_ohio_governor_race_september_23_2009 Rasmussen Reports
  58. https://web.archive.org/web/20110605060030/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1371&What=&strArea=%3B&strTime=0%2F Quinnipiac
  59. http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/7/8/OH/313/ Research 2000
  60. https://web.archive.org/web/20090707090409/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1346&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Quinnipiac
  61. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Ohio_62103.pdf Public Policy Polling
  62. https://web.archive.org/web/20110605003639/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1295&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Quinnipiac
  63. https://web.archive.org/web/20090322143643/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1276&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Quinnipiac
  64. https://web.archive.org/web/20090210041501/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1257&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Quinnipiac
  65. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Ohio_121.pdf Public Policy Polling
  66. Web site: 2010 . 2010 Gubernatorial General Election Results - Ohio . 2024-10-03 . uselectionatlas.org . en.

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