| Election Name: | Next Aragonese regional election |
| Country: | Aragon |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Previous Election: | 2023 Aragonese regional election |
| Previous Year: | 2023 |
| Seats For Election: | All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon |
| Majority Seats: | 34 |
| Opinion Polls: |
|
| Election Date: | No later than 27 June 2027 |
| Leader1: | Jorge Azcón |
| Party1: | People's Party of Aragon |
| Leader Since1: | 19 December 2021 |
| Leaders Seat1: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election1: | 28 seats, 35.5% |
| Seats Before1: | 28 |
| Seats Needed1: | 6 |
| Leader2: | Mayte Pérez |
| Party2: | Socialists' Party of Aragon |
| Leader Since2: | 23 June 2023 |
| Leaders Seat2: | Teruel |
| Last Election2: | 23 seats, 29.6% |
| Seats Before2: | 23 |
| Seats Needed2: | 11 |
| Leader3: | Alejandro Nolasco |
| Party3: | Vox (political party) |
| Leader Since3: | 23 December 2022 |
| Leaders Seat3: | Teruel |
| Last Election3: | 7 seats, 11.2% |
| Seats Before3: | 7 |
| Seats Needed3: | 27 |
| Leader4: | José Luis Soro |
| Party4: | Chunta Aragonesista |
| Leader Since4: | 10 February 2012 |
| Leaders Seat4: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election4: | 3 seats, 5.1% |
| Seats Before4: | 3 |
| Seats Needed4: | 31 |
| Leader5: | Tomás Guitarte |
| Party5: | Existe |
| Leader Since5: | 28 January 2023 |
| Leaders Seat5: | Teruel |
| Last Election5: | 3 seats, 5.0% |
| Seats Before5: | 3 |
| Seats Needed5: | 31 |
| Leader6: | Andoni Corrales |
| Party6: | Podemos–AV |
| Leader Since6: | 23 June 2023 |
| Leaders Seat6: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election6: | 1 seat, 4.0% |
| Seats Before6: | 1 |
| Seats Needed6: | 33 |
| Leader7: | Álvaro Sanz |
| Party7: | United Left of Aragon |
| Leader Since7: | 27 May 2017 |
| Leaders Seat7: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election7: | 1 seat, 3.1% |
| Seats Before7: | 1 |
| Seats Needed7: | 33 |
| Leader8: | Alberto Izquierdo |
| Party8: | Aragonese Party |
| Leader Since8: | 10 March 2023 |
| Leaders Seat8: | Teruel |
| Last Election8: | 1 seat, 2.1% |
| Seats Before8: | 1 |
| Seats Needed8: | 33 |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Jorge Azcón |
| Before Party: | People's Party of Aragon |
The next Aragonese regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 27 June 2027, to elect the 12th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes will be up for election. If customary practice is maintained, the election will be held on Sunday, 23 May 2027, simultaneously with regional elections in at least seven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The Cortes of Aragon are the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Aragon, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Aragonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Cortes is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights.
The 67 members of the Cortes of Aragon are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 13 seats and the remaining 28 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in the most populated province does not exceed 2.75 times that of the least populated one).[1] [2]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency is entitled the following seats:
| Seats | Constituencies | |
|---|---|---|
| 35 | Zaragoza | |
| 18 | Huesca | |
| 14 | Teruel |
In smaller constituencies, the use of the electoral method results in an effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.[3]
The term of the Cortes of Aragon expires four years after the date of their previous election, unless they are dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Aragon (BOA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 28 May 2023, which meant that the legislature's term will expire on 28 May 2027. The election decree shall be published in the BOA no later than 4 May 2027, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 27 June 2027.[1] [2] [4]
The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur before one year has elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Cortes at the present time.[5]
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| People's Parliamentary Group in the Cortes of Aragon | PP | 28 | 28 | ||
| Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSOE | 23 | 23 | ||
| Vox Parliamentary Group in Aragon | Vox | 7 | 7 | ||
| Aragonese Union Parliamentary Group | CHA | 3 | 3 | ||
| Aragon–Teruel Exists Parliamentary Group | TE | 3 | 3 | ||
| Mixed Parliamentary Group | Podemos | 1 | 3 | ||
| IU | 1 | ||||
| PAR | 1 | ||||
The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2] [4]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||||||
| PP | Jorge Azcón | Conservatism Christian democracy | 35.51% | |||||||
| PSOE | Mayte Pérez | Social democracy | 29.55% | [6] [7] | ||||||
| Vox | Alejandro Nolasco | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism | 11.25% | |||||||
| CHA | José Luis Soro | Aragonese nationalism Eco-socialism | 5.10% | |||||||
| Existe | Tomás Guitarte | Localism Ruralism | 4.96% | |||||||
| Podemos–AV | Andoni Corrales | Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism | 4.02% | [8] [9] | ||||||
| IU | Álvaro Sanz | Socialism Communism | 3.13% | |||||||
| PAR | Alberto Izquierdo | Regionalism Centrism | 2.09% | |||||||
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 34 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Existe | SALF | Lead | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SocioMétrica/El Español[10] | 1–6 Oct 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 39.9 | 29.7 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.7 | – | 10.2 | |
| NC Report/La Razón[11] | 15–18 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 68.9 | 40.8 | 30.4 | 8.9 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 1.4 | – | – | 10.4 | |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[12] | 12–15 Jul 2024 | 1,600 | 68.1 | 40.6 | 35.1 | 9.8 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2.4 | – | – | 5.5 | |
| Data10/OKDiario[13] | 12–13 Jul 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 37.4 | 31.6 | 10.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | – | – | – | – | – | 5.4 | |
| 2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | 51.1 | 37.1 | 30.3 | 11.5 | 2.9 | 3.1 | – | 5.1 | 5.1 | 6.8 | ||||
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[14] | 10–16 Apr 2024 | 2,400 | 68.6 | 40.2 | 30.7 | 12.0 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 | – | – | 9.5 | |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | 70.7 | 36.3 | 31.1 | 14.6 | 2.9 | – | 12.3 | – | 5.2 | |||||
| 2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | 66.5 | 35.5 | 29.6 | 11.2 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 | – | – | 5.9 | ||