Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election explained

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

Polling aggregation

The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden, won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris, who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the Democratic Party.

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

  • Source of poll
    aggregation    		Dates
    administered    		Dates
    updated    		Kamala
    Harris
    		Donald
    Trump
    		Others/
    Undecided
    		Margin
    270toWin[1] through November 4, 2024November 5, 202448.4%47.2%4.4%Harris +1.2%
    538[2] through November 4, 2024November 5, 202448.0%46.8%5.2%Harris +1.2%
    Cook Political Report[3] through November 4, 2024November 5, 202448.7%47.8%3.5%
    Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[4] through November 5, 2024November 5, 202448.4%48.4%3.2%Tie
    Silver Bulletin[5] through November 4, 2024November 5, 202448.6%47.6%3.8%Harris +1.0%
    Real Clear Politics[6] through November 5, 2024November 5, 202448.7%48.6%2.7%Harris +0.1%
    Average48.5%47.7%3.8%Harris +0.8%

    Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver vs. Cornel West

    Source of poll
    aggregation    		Dates
    administered    		Dates
    updated    		Kamala
    Harris
    		Donald
    Trump
    		Robert F.
    Kennedy Jr.
    		Jill
    Stein
    		Chase
    Oliver
    		Cornel
    West
    		Others/
    Undecided
    		Margin
    Race to the WH[7] through November 3, 2024November 4, 202447.8%47.1%1.3%0.8%0.9%0.6%1.5%Harris +0.7%
    270toWinthrough November 4, 2024November 4, 202447.5%46.9%1.2%1.2%0.7%0.4%2.1%Harris +0.6%
    Average47.7%47.0%1.3%1.0%0.8%0.5%1.7%

    National poll results

    National poll results among declared candidates.

    Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

    2024

    Poll sourceDateSample
    size    		Margin
    of error    		Kamala
    Harris
    		We class="unsortable" Donald
    Trump
    		Others/
    Undecided    		Lead
    Zogby[8] November 2–3, 20241,005 (LV)± 3.2%49%46%5%3%
    Research Co.[9] November 2–3, 20241,003 (LV)± 3.1%48%46%6%2%
    Reuters/Ipsos[10] November 1–3, 2024973 (LV)± 3.0%50%48%2%2%
    TIPP[11] November 1–3, 20241,411 (LV)± 2.7%48%48%4%
    Patriot Polling[12] November 1–3, 20241115 (RV)–49%48%3%1%
    AtlasIntel[13] November 1–2, 20242,463 (LV)± 2.0%48%50%2%2%
    Marist Poll[14] October 31 – November 2, 20241,297 (LV)± 3.5%51%47%2%4%
    HarrisX/Forbes[15] October 31 – November 2, 20243,759 (LV)–51%49%–2%
    NBC News[16] October 30 – November 2, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.1%49%49%2%
    Emerson College[17] October 30 – November 2, 2024 1,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%49%2%

    Notes and References

    1. Web site: National 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin. 270toWin.com.
    2. Web site: National : President: general election : 2024 Polls. Ryan. Best. Aaron. Bycoffe. Ritchie. King. Dhrumil. Mehta. Anna. Wiederkehr. June 28, 2018. FiveThirtyEight.
    3. Web site: Relaunched: CPR Harris vs. Trump 2024 National Polling Average | Cook Political Report.
    4. Web site: Harris vs. Trump polls - The Hill and DDHQ. The Hill.
    5. Web site: FINAL Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast. Nate. Silver. www.natesilver.net.
    6. Web site: 2024 National: Trump vs. Harris | RealClearPolling. www.realclearpolling.com.
    7. Web site: 2024 Presidential Election Polls - Includes Electoral College. Race to the WH.
    8. Web site: Harris Leads Trump by a Thin Margin in Zogby Strategies Concluding National Poll of Voters . John Zogby Strategies . 5 November 2024.
    9. Web site: Canseco . Mario . Americans Staunchly Divided in Close Presidential Race . Research Co. . 5 November 2024 . 4 November 2024.
    10. Web site: Harris and Trump are locked in tight race with 1 day before election . Ipsos . 5 November 2024.
    11. Web site: TIPP Tracking Day 22 – Trump And Harris In A Dead Heat Just Before Election Day.
    12. Web site: Final 2024 Presidential Poll . Patriot Polling . 5 November 2024.
    13. Web site: US Presidential Election 2024 . AtlasIntel . 3 November 2024 . 2 November 2024.
    14. Web site: The U.S. Presidential Contest, October 16, 2024. November 4, 2024. U.S. Presidential Contest, November 2024.
    15. Web site: New Forbes/HarrisX Survey: Harris and Trump in Near-Dead Heat 1 Day Before Election . .
    16. Web site: Harris-Trump race is neck and neck, with significant gender gap. NBC News. November 3, 2024.
    17. Web site: November 2024 National Poll: Trump and Harris Remain Locked in Tight Race . . 3 November 2024.

    This article is licensed under the GNU Free Documentation License. It uses material from the Wikipedia article "Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election".

    Except where otherwise indicated, Everything.Explained.Today is © Copyright 2009-2025, A B Cryer, All Rights Reserved. Cookie policy.