January–August 2016 statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election explained

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

Note some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2016.

Alabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 60%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–38%

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Ivan Moore Research[2] June 16–20, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump45% align=center4670?
Alaska Dispatch News/Ivan Moore Research[3] January 2016Hillary Clinton44.1%Donald Trump49.3% align=center5.2651?
Hillary Clinton37.5%Ted Cruz56.9% align=center19.4
Hillary Clinton37.9%Marco Rubio56.7% align=center18.8

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green Party%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Moore Information[4] August 27–29, 2016Hillary Clinton29%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein4% align="center" 10500± 4%
Ivan Moore Research June 16–20, 2016Hillary Clinton30%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson16%Jill Stein6% align="center" 9670?

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[5] August 26–28, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump46% align=center3837± 3.4%
CNN/ORC[6] August 18–23, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump49% align=center5809± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[7] June 22–23, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump44% align=center4691± 3.7%
OH Predictive Insights[8] June 20, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump42% align=center51,060± 3.01%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[9] June 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump45% align=center6300± 5.66%
Public Policy Polling[10] May 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump45% align=center4896± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders align=center45%Donald Trump44% align=center1
Behavior Research Center[11] April 4–11, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump35% align=center7564± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton38%Ted Cruz43% align=center5
Hillary Clinton32%John Kasich44% align=center12
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump33% align=center21
Bernie Sanders48%Ted Cruz34% align=center14
Bernie Sanders47%John Kasich33% align=center14
Merrill Poll/WestGroup[12] March 7–11, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump38%Tied701± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton35%Ted Cruz41% align=center6
Bernie Sanders39%Donald Trump36% align=center3

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News[13] August 17–31, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2% align=center1704± 3.3%
OH Predictive Insights[14] August 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein1% align=center1728±3.63%
CNN/ORCAugust 18–23, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein4% align=center7809± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[15] August 2–5, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump align=center44%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2% align=center21,095± 4.8%
OH Predictive Insights[16] [17] August 1, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1% align=center2996±3.0%
Integrated Web Strategy[18] July 29, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump align=center49%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein1% align=center8679± 3.76%
Public Policy PollingMay 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump align=center40%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2% align=center2896± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders align=center42%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2% align=center3

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%

Three-way race

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Field Research[20] June 8 – July 2, 2016Hillary Clinton58%Donald Trump28% align="center" 30956± 3.2%
SurveyMonkey/USC/Los Angeles Times[21] June 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton59%Donald Trump32% align="center" 271,553± 3%
CBS News/YouGov[22] May 31 – June 3, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump33% align="center" 151,187± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders55%Donald Trump32% align="center" 23
USC/Los Angeles Times[23] May 19–31, 2016Hillary Clinton56%Donald Trump30% align="center" 261,500± 2.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[24] May 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton55%Donald Trump31% align="center" 241,833± 2.3%
Bernie Sanders62%Donald Trump28% align="center" 34
Field Research[25] May 26–31, 2016Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump34% align="center" 191,002± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders60%Donald Trump31% align="center" 29
SurveyUSA/KABC/SCNG[26] May 19–22, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump38% align="center" 141,383± 2.7%
Public Policy Institute of California[27] May 13–22, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump39% align="center" 101,704± 4.3%
Bernie Sanders53%Donald Trump36% align="center" 17
SurveyUSA/KABC/SCNG[28] April 27–30, 2016Hillary Clinton56%Donald Trump34% align="center" 221,683± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton57%Ted Cruz29% align="center" 28
Hillary Clinton53%John Kasich34% align="center" 19
SurveyUSA[29] March 30 – April 3, 2016Hillary Clinton60%Donald Trump26% align="center" 341,507± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton57%Ted Cruz32% align="center" 25
Hillary Clinton56%John Kasich33% align="center" 23
Bernie Sanders63%Donald Trump24% align="center" 39
Bernie Sanders61%Ted Cruz26% align="center" 35
Bernie Sanders57%John Kasich28% align="center" 29
Field Research[30] March 24 – April 4, 2016Hillary Clinton59%Donald Trump31% align="center" 281,400± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton55%Ted Cruz32% align="center" 23
USC Dornsife College/LA Times[31] March 16–23, 2016Hillary Clinton59%Donald Trump28% align="center" 311,503± %
Hillary Clinton59%Ted Cruz31% align="center" 28
Hillary Clinton54%John Kasich35% align="center" 19

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/Third-party candidate%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Field ResearchJune 8 – July 2, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump26%Gary Johnson10% align="center" 24495± 4.4%
Hoover Institution/YouGov[32] May 4–16, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson4% align="center" 121,196± 3.97%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Institute of California[33] July 10–19, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump30%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein6% align="center" 161,703± 3.5%
SurveyMonkey/USC/Los Angeles TimesJune 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump27%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein6% align="center" 241,553± 3%

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University[34] August 9–16, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump39% align="center" 10830± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[35] August 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump32% align="center" 14899± 3.3%
Fox News[36] July 9–12, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump34% align="center" 10600± 4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[37] July 5–11, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump35% align="center" 8794± 3.5%
Harper[38] July 7–9, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump38% align="center" 7500± 4.38%
Gravis Marketing[39] July 7–8, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump41% align=center21,313± 2.7%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Magellan Strategies[40] August 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center41%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson13%Jill Stein3% align=center5500± 4.38%
Quinnipiac UniversityAugust 9–16, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center41%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson16%Jill Stein7% align=center8830± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristAugust 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center41%Donald Trump29%Gary Johnson15%Jill Stein6% align=center12899± 3.3%
Fox NewsJuly 9–12, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center37%Donald Trump28%Gary Johnson13%Jill Stein6% align=center9600± 4%
Monmouth University[41] July 7–12, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center48%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3% align=center13404± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristJuly 5–11, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center39%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson13%Jill Stein4% align=center6794± 3.5%
Gravis MarketingJuly 7–8, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center39%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein4% align=center11,313± 2.7%
CBS News/YouGov[42] June 21–24, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center40%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1% align=center1996± 4.3%

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University[43] June 1–5, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump38% align="center" 71,330± 2.7%
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump35% align="center" 19
Emerson College[44] April 10–11, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump40% align="center" 81,043± 3%
Hillary Clinton52%Ted Cruz31% align="center" 21
Hillary Clinton38%John Kasich49% align=center11
Bernie Sanders49%Donald Trump40% align="center" 9
Bernie Sanders55%Ted Cruz30% align="center" 25
Bernie Sanders40%John Kasich48% align=center8

Four-way race

Delaware

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 59%–40%

Three-way race

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%
(Democratic in 2012) 91%–7%

No polling was conducted in 2016

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[46] August 1–4, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center44%Donald Trump40% align=center4847± 4.0%
Public Policy Polling[47] May 27–30, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump49% align=center9724± 3.6%
Bernie Sanders40%Donald Trump48% align=center8
Fox 5/Opinion Savvy[48] May 15, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump44% align=center3587± 4.0%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[49] May 9–12, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump45% align=center4822± 4.26%
Bernie Sanders47%Donald Trump42% align="center" 5
Landmark/RosettaStone[50] May 5, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump42% align=center1570± 4.1%
Lake Research Partners[51] March 31 – April 3, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump37% align="center" 13400± 4.9%
Hillary Clinton47%Ted Cruz40% align="center" 7
SurveyUSA[52] February 22–23, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump50% align=center91,261± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton43%Marco Rubio50% align=center7
Hillary Clinton42%Ted Cruz49% align=center7
Bernie Sanders41%Donald Trump49% align=center8
Bernie Sanders41%Marco Rubio49% align=center8
Bernie Sanders42%Ted Cruz48% align=center6

Three-way race

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
CBS News/YouGov[54] August 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump align=center45%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1% align=center4988± 4.3%
JMC Analytics[55] August 6–7, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center44%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein1% align=center7615± 4.0%
Atlanta Journal-ConstitutionAugust 1–4, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center41%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein2% align=center3847± 4.0%
Landmark/RosettaStone[56] August 1, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein1%Tied787± 3.5%
SurveyUSA[57] July 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump align=center46%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2% align=center4628± 4%
Landmark/RosettaStone[58] July 24, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump align=center46%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3% align=center2500± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[59] May 27–30, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump align=center45%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2% align=center7724± 3.6%
Bernie Sanders36%Donald Trump align=center46%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1% align=center10

Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Dan Jones & Associates[60] May 18 – June 4, 2016Hillary Clinton32%Donald Trump49% align=center17603± 3.99%
Bernie Sanders43%Donald Trump46% align=center3

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green Party%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Dan Jones & Associates[61] August 18–31, 2016Hillary Clinton23%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson13%Jill Stein2% align="center" 21602± 4.0%
Dan Jones & Associates[62] July 5–16, 2016Hillary Clinton23%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3% align="center" 21601± 4.0%

Illinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Normington, Petts and Associates[63] August 1–4, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump32% align="center" 19800± 3.5%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[64] March 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton57%Donald Trump32% align="center" 251,968± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton51%Ted Cruz40% align="center" 11
Bernie Sanders60%Donald Trump30% align="center" 30
Bernie Sanders55%Ted Cruz35% align="center" 20

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/Third-party candidate%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
The Illinois Observer[65] June 7, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump30%Gary Johnson6% align="center" 18732?
Capitol Fax/We Ask America[66] June 5–6, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson7%121,231 RV± 3%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green Party%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Victory Research[67] July 14–16, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein7% align="center" 171,200± 2.83%
Basswood Research[68] July 11–12, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3% align="center" 13800± 3.5%

Indiana

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Tarrance Group[69] July 20–21, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump50% align=center14503± 4.4%
Bellwether[70] May 11–15, 2016Hillary Clinton31%Donald Trump40% align=center9600± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[71] April 26–28, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump48% align=center72,149± 2.1%
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz50% align=center7
Hillary Clinton37%John Kasich56% align=center19
Bernie Sanders46%Donald Trump47% align=center1
Bernie Sanders48%Ted Cruz45% align="center" 3
Bernie Sanders46%John Kasich47% align=center1
POS /Howey Politics Indiana/WTHR Channel 13 [72] April 18–21, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump47% align=center8500± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton36%Ted Cruz53% align=center17
Three-way race

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[74] August 30–31, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump43% align="center" 2827± 3.4%
Quinnipiac UniversityAugust 9–16, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump44% align="center" 3846± 3.4%
Suffolk University[75] August 8–10, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump41% align="center" 1500± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] August 3–7, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump37% align="center" 4899± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[77] July 5–10, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump39% align="center" 3822± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing[78] July 7–8, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump40% align="center" 21,318± 2.7%
Loras College[79] June 24–28, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump34% align="center" 14600± 4%
Public Policy PollingJune 22–23, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump39% align="center" 2897± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling[80] June 9–10, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump41% align="center" 3630± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling[81] January 8–10, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Jeb Bush43% align=center31,901± 2.3%
Hillary Clinton42%Ben Carson46% align="center" 4
Hillary Clinton42%Ted Cruz45% align="center" 3
Hillary Clinton41%Marco Rubio46% align="center" 5
Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump42%Tied
Bernie Sanders47%Jeb Bush39% align="center" 8
Bernie Sanders44%Ben Carson40% align="center" 4
Bernie Sanders45%Ted Cruz42% align="center" 3
Bernie Sanders43%Marco Rubio42% align="center" 1
Bernie Sanders47%Donald Trump42% align="center" 5
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[82] January 2–7, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump40% align="center" 81,470± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz47% align="center" 4
Hillary Clinton42%Marco Rubio47% align="center" 5
Bernie Sanders51%Donald Trump38% align="center" 13
Bernie Sanders47%Ted Cruz42% align="center" 5
Bernie Sanders44%Marco Rubio44%Tied

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson College[83] August 31 – September 1, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein1% align=center5600± 3.9%
CBS News/YouGov[84] August 17–19, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%Tied987± 4%
Quinnipiac UniversityAugust 9–16, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein3% align=center2846± 3.4%
Suffolk UniversityAugust 8–10, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein3% align=center1500± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristAugust 3–7, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein6%Tied899± 3.1%
CBS News/YouGov[85] July 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump align=center40%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein2% align=center1998± 4.8%
Monmouth University[86] July 8–11, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump align=center44%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein1% align=center2401± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristJuly 5–10, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein4%Tied822± 3.4%
Gravis MarketingJuly 7–8, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2% align="center" 21,318± 2.7%
Loras CollegeJune 24–28, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center44%Donald Trump31%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2% align=center13600± 4.0%

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
John Zogby Strategies[87] June 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump36% align=center7433± 4.7%
Fort Hays State University[88] February 19–26, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump46% align=center10440± 5.0%
Hillary Clinton35%Ted Cruz49% align=center14
Hillary Clinton32%Marco Rubio51% align=center19
Bernie Sanders43%Donald Trump42% align=center1
Bernie Sanders38%Ted Cruz44% align=center6
Bernie Sanders36%Marco Rubio46% align=center10

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
SurveyUSA/KSN News[89] August 9, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson8% align="center" 5566±4.2%
Fort Hays State University[90] July 11–21, 2016Hillary Clinton27%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson7% align="center" 17542±4.4%
SurveyUSA/KSN News[91] July 8–11, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson8% align="center" 11559± 4.2%

Four-way race

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Bellwether[93] August 2–4, 2016Hillary Clinton25%Donald Trump41% align=center16508± 4.0%
Bellwether[94] July 5–7, 2016Hillary Clinton28%Donald Trump34% align=center6776± 3%

Four-way race

Louisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
JMC Analytics and Polling[96] May 5–6, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump52% align=center16624± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders32%Donald Trump55% align=center23

Maine

See main article: article and United States presidential election in Maine, 2016. 4 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st and 2nd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Univ. of N.H./PPH/Maine Sunday Telegram[97] [98] June 15–21, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump35%7475± 4.5%
Bangor Daily News[99] March 3–4, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump34% align=center9610 RV± 3%
Bernie Sanders57%Donald Trump31%26

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[100] April 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton61%Donald Trump28% align=center33879± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton58%Ted Cruz24% align="center" 34
Hillary Clinton54%John Kasich33% align="center" 21
Bernie Sanders60%Donald Trump29% align="center" 31
Bernie Sanders62%Ted Cruz24% align="center" 38
Bernie Sanders52%John Kasich32% align="center" 20
NBC4/Marist[101] April 5–9, 2016Hillary Clinton63%Donald Trump27% align=center362,563± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton60%Ted Cruz31% align="center" 29
Hillary Clinton55%John Kasich38% align="center" 17
Bernie Sanders65%Donald Trump26% align="center" 39
Bernie Sanders63%Ted Cruz28% align="center" 35
Bernie Sanders55%John Kasich36% align="center" 19
Washington Post/University of Maryland[102] March 30 – April 4, 2016Hillary Clinton63%Donald Trump28% align="center" 351,503± N/A%

Four-way race

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Boston Globe/Suffolk University[104] May 2–5, 2016Hillary Clinton55%Donald Trump31% align="center" 24500± 4.4%
Western New England University[105] April 1–10, 2016Hillary Clinton62%Donald Trump26% align=center36497± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton63%Ted Cruz30% align="center" 33
Bernie Sanders70%Donald Trump23% align="center" 47
Bernie Sanders71%Ted Cruz24% align="center" 47

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[106] August 9–10, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump39% align="center" 101,314± 2.7%
EPIC-MRA[107] July 30 – August 4, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump36% align="center" 10600± 4%
Mitchell Research[108] July 5–11, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump34% align=center6600± 4.0%
Gravis Marketing[109] July 7–8, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump41% align=center71,562± 2.4%
Greenberg Quinlan RosnerJune 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump39% align=center11300± 5.66%
Detroit News/WDIV-TV[110] May 24–26, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump39% align=center4600± 4%
Bernie Sanders52%Donald Trump33% align="center" 19
SurveyUSA[111] March 23–24, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump38% align=center11904± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton49%Ted Cruz39% align="center" 10
Hillary Clinton41%John Kasich46% align=center5
Bernie Sanders55%Donald Trump36% align="center" 19
Bernie Sanders56%Ted Cruz35% align="center" 21
Bernie Sanders47%John Kasich42% align="center" 5
Hillary Clinton48%Mitt Romney35% align="center" 13
Hillary Clinton48%Paul Ryan38% align="center" 10
EPIC-MRA[112] March 19–22, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump37% align="center" 10600± 4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[113] March 1–3, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump36% align=center162,229± 2.1%
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz41% align="center" 7
Bernie Sanders56%Donald Trump34% align="center" 22
Bernie Sanders54%Ted Cruz36% align="center" 18
Marketing Resource Group[114] February 22–27, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump39% align=center5600± 4%
Hillary Clinton44%Ted Cruz39% align="center" 5
Hillary Clinton41%Marco Rubio43% align=center2%
EPIC-MRA[115] January 23–26, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump41% align="center" 2600± 4%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/Third-party candidate%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Greenberg Quinlan RosnerJune 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson12% align=center15300± 5.66%
Detroit News/WDIV-TVMay 24–26, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson12% align="center" 4600± 4%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson College[116] August 25–28, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3% align="center" 5800± 3.4%
Suffolk University[117] August 22–24, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3% align="center" 7500± 4.4%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell PollAugust 9–10, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein5% align="center" 111,314± 2.7%
EPIC-MRAJuly 30 – August 4, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3% align="center" 11600± 4%
The Detroit News/WDIV-TV[118] July 30 – August 1, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center41%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3% align=center9600± 4.0%
CBS News/YouGov[119] July 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center42%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2% align=center31,201± 4.1%
Marketing Resource Group[120] July 11–15, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center34%Donald Trump29%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein2% align=center5800± 3.46%
Gravis MarketingJuly 7–8, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center37%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson2%Jill Stein1% align=center31,562± 2.4%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Star Tribune[121] April 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump35% align="center" 13800± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton49%Ted Cruz40% align="center" 9
Bernie Sanders53%Donald Trump38% align="center" 15
Bernie Sanders50%Ted Cruz36% align="center" 14
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon[122] January 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump38% align="center" 5800± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz45% align=center2
Hillary Clinton40%Marco Rubio49% align=center9
Bernie Sanders53%Donald Trump37% align="center" 16

Missouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[123] August 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump47% align=center61,055± 3.0%
Public Policy Polling[124] August 8–9, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump45% align=center3947± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[125] July 11–12, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump50% align=center10959± 3.2%
Missouri Scout[126] May 20–21, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump46% align="center" 61301± 2.8%
DFM Research[127] March 17–24, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump40% align="center" 2674± 3.8%
Fort Hayes State University[128] March 3–10, 2016Bernie Sanders37%Marco Rubio43% align=center6475± 4.6%
Hillary Clinton31%Marco Rubio49% align=center18
Bernie Sanders36%Ted Cruz45% align=center9
Hillary Clinton34%Ted Cruz51% align=center17
Bernie Sanders align=center43%Donald Trump40% align=center3
Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump43% align=center5

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Monmouth University[129] August 19–22, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump align=center44%Gary Johnson8% align=center1401± 4.9%
SurveyUSA/KSDK[130] July 20–24, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump align=center47%Gary Johnson8% align=center101,943± 2.3%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Remington Research Group[131] August 5–6, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump align=center44%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2% align=center21,280± 3%
St. Louis/Post-Dispatch[132] July 23–24, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein1% align=center1625± 4%
Public Policy PollingJuly 11–12, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump align=center46%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein1% align=center10959± 3.2%

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Two-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Greenberg Quinlan RosnerJune 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump47% align="center" 2300± 5.66%
TargetPoint/Just Win Strategies[133] June 14–18, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump45% align="center" 1200?
Gravis Marketing[134] May 24–25, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump47% align="center" 51 637± 2%

Three-way

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Suffolk [135] [136] [137] August 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson5% align="center" 2500± 4.4%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports[138] July 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson10% align="center" 1750± 4%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports[139] July 22–24, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson8% align="center" 5750 ± 4%
Monmouth University[140] July 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson5% align="center" 4408± 4.9%
Greenberg Quinlan RosnerJune 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson9%Tied300± 5.66%
Gravis MarketingMay 24–25, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump44%Gary Johnson8% align="center" 31 637± 2%

Four-way race

Five-way race

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[141] August 30–31, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump41% align="center" 5585± 4.1%
Public Policy Polling[142] August 26–28, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump40% align=center6977± 3.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[143] August 20–28, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump36% align="center" 9433± 4.7%
Public Policy Polling[144] August 5–7, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump37% align=center13802± 3.5%
MassINC/WBUR[145] July 29 – August 1, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump34% align="center" 17609± 4%
NH JournalJuly 19–21, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump48% align="center" 91,166± 5.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[146] July 9–18, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump37% align="center" 2469± 4.5%
American Research Group[147] June 24–28, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump42% align="center" 5533± 4.2%
Public Policy PollingJune 22–23, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump39% align="center" 4578± 4.1%
Greenberg Quinlan RosnerJune 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump47% align=center4300± 5.66%
TargetPoint/Just Win StrategiesJune 14–18, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump40% align="center" 4200?
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University[148] May 25–28, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Tied405± 4.9%
MassINC/WBUR[149] May 12–15, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42% align="center" 2501± 4.4%
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump38% align="center" 16
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[150] April 7–17, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump31% align="center" 19553± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz34% align="center" 14
Hillary Clinton36%John Kasich50% align="center" 14
Bernie Sanders58%Donald Trump31% align="center" 27
Bernie Sanders61%Ted Cruz30% align="center" 31
Bernie Sanders50%John Kasich44% align="center" 6
Dartmouth College[151] April 11–15, 2016Hillary Clinton34%Donald Trump29% align="center" 5362± 5.15%
Hillary Clinton34%Ted Cruz33% align="center" 1
Hillary Clinton26%John Kasich53% align="center" 27
Bernie Sanders49%Donald Trump28% align="center" 21
Bernie Sanders48%Ted Cruz26% align="center" 22
Bernie Sanders39%John Kasich44% align="center" 5
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[152] February 20–28, 2016Bernie Sanders55%Donald Trump34% align="center" 21628± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders60%Ted Cruz28% align="center" 32
Bernie Sanders54%Marco Rubio35% align="center" 19
Bernie Sanders48%John Kasich40% align="center" 8
Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump39% align="center" 8
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz35% align="center" 11
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio43% align="center" 2
Hillary Clinton37%John Kasich47% align="center" 10
UMass Lowell/7News[153] February 5–7, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump40% align="center" 51,411± 2.99%
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz40% align="center" 5
Hillary Clinton40%Marco Rubio44% align="center" 4
Bernie Sanders55%Donald Trump34% align="center" 21
Bernie Sanders56%Ted Cruz31% align="center" 25
Bernie Sanders54%Marco Rubio34% align="center" 20
UMass Lowell/7News[154] February 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39% align="center" 61,413± 2.97%
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz39% align="center" 6
Hillary Clinton40%Marco Rubio45% align="center" 5
Bernie Sanders55%Donald Trump33% align="center" 22
Bernie Sanders57%Ted Cruz30% align="center" 27
Bernie Sanders55%Marco Rubio35% align="center" 20
UMass Lowell/7News[155] February 3–5, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump39% align="center" 71,421± 2.90%
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz39% align="center" 7
Hillary Clinton42%Marco Rubio43% align="center" 1
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump34% align="center" 20
Bernie Sanders57%Ted Cruz30% align="center" 27
Bernie Sanders54%Marco Rubio35% align="center" 19
UMass Lowell/7News[156] February 2–4, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump40% align="center" 41,417± 2.89%
Hillary Clinton44%Ted Cruz41% align="center" 3
Hillary Clinton41%Marco Rubio44% align="center" 3
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump34% align="center" 20
Bernie Sanders54%Ted Cruz33% align="center" 21
Bernie Sanders51%Marco Rubio37% align="center" 14
CNN/WMUR[157] January 13–18, 2016Bernie Sanders57%Donald Trump34% align="center" 23903± 3.4%
Bernie Sanders56%Ted Cruz33% align="center" 23
Bernie Sanders55%Marco Rubio37% align="center" 18
Bernie Sanders57%Chris Christie34% align="center" 23
Bernie Sanders54%John Kasich33% align="center" 21
Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump39% align="center" 9
Hillary Clinton47%Ted Cruz41% align="center" 6
Hillary Clinton44%Marco Rubio45% align="center" 1
Hillary Clinton45%Chris Christie42% align="center" 3
Hillary Clinton43%John Kasich43%Tied
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[158] January 2–7, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump44% align="center" 1957± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton44%Ted Cruz48% align="center" 4
Hillary Clinton40%Marco Rubio52% align="center" 12
Bernie Sanders56%Donald Trump37% align="center" 19
Bernie Sanders55%Ted Cruz36% align="center" 19
Bernie Sanders50%Marco Rubio41% align="center" 9
Public Policy Polling[159] January 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Jeb Bush40% align=center61,036± 3%
Hillary Clinton50%Ben Carson39% align=center11
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz40% align=center8
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio42% align=center3
Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump36% align=center14
Bernie Sanders50%Jeb Bush38% align=center12
Bernie Sanders53%Ben Carson34% align=center19
Bernie Sanders55%Ted Cruz35% align=center20
Bernie Sanders51%Marco Rubio37% align=center14
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump34% align=center20

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/Third-party candidate%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Greenberg Quinlan RosnerJune 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson10%Tied300± 5.66%
MassInc/WBURMay 12–15, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump33%Mitt Romney21% align="center" 4501± 4.4%
WMUR/University of New HampshireApril 7–17, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Ted Cruz22%Donald Trump19% align="center" 22553± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling[160] January 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Ted Cruz28%Donald Trump18% align="center" 191,036± 3%
Hillary Clinton43%Marco Rubio29%Donald Trump20% align="center" 14

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
WMUR/University of New HampshireAugust 20–28, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein4% align=center11433± 4.7%
CBS News/YouGovAugust 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3% align=center9990± 4.3%
Vox Populi[161] August 7–8, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump31%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein3% align="center" 10820± 3.4%
MassInc/WBURJuly 29 – August 1, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3% align="center" 15609± 4%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[162] July 9–18, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein5%Tied469± 4.2%

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University[163] June 22–26, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump31% align="center" 21712± 3.8%
CBS News/YouGov[164] May 31 – June 3, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump34% align="center" 151,194± 3.8%
Bernie Sanders52%Donald Trump34% align="center" 18
Monmouth University[165] May 23–27, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump34% align="center" 4806± 3.7%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[166] May 18–22, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump37% align="center" 11702± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders57%Donald Trump33% align="center" 24
Quinnipiac University[167] May 10–16, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump38% align=center71,989± 2.2%
Bernie Sanders49%Donald Trump37% align=center12
Rutgers[168] April 1–8, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump36% align=center14738± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton50%Ted Cruz35% align=center15
Hillary Clinton43%John Kasich43%Tied
Bernie Sanders55%Donald Trump34% align=center21
Fairleigh Dickinson University[169] February 24–28, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump36% align=center16694± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders51%Donald Trump36% align=center15

Three-way race

Four-way race

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%

Three-way race

Four-way race

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Siena College[173] August 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton57%Donald Trump27% align=center30717± 4.3%
Gravis Marketing[174] August 4–8, 2016Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump36% align="center" 171,717±2.4%
Quinnipiac University[175] July 13–17, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump35% align="center" 121,104± 3%
Siena College[176] June 22–28, 2016Hillary Clinton54%Donald Trump31% align=center23803± 4.0%
Siena College[177] May 22–26, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump31% align=center21825± 3.9%
Siena College[178] April 24–27, 2016Hillary Clinton56%Donald Trump30% align=center26802± 4.1%
Emerson College[179] April 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton55%Donald Trump36% align=center191,047± 2.95%
Hillary Clinton59%Ted Cruz28% align=center31
Hillary Clinton49%John Kasich39% align=center10
Bernie Sanders51%Donald Trump37% align=center14
Bernie Sanders58%Ted Cruz27% align=center31
Public Policy Polling[180] April 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton55%Donald Trump35% align=center201,403± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton56%Ted Cruz30% align=center26
Hillary Clinton50%John Kasich36% align=center14
Bernie Sanders58%Donald Trump33% align=center25
Bernie Sanders59%Ted Cruz27% align=center32
Bernie Sanders54%John Kasich35% align=center19
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[181] April 6–10, 2016Hillary Clinton61%Donald Trump32% align=center291,987± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton61%Ted Cruz31% align=center30
Hillary Clinton53%John Kasich38% align=center15
Bernie Sanders64%Donald Trump31% align=center33
Bernie Sanders65%Ted Cruz28% align=center37
Bernie Sanders57%John Kasich35% align=center22
NY1/Baruch College[182] April 5–10, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump35% align=center161,306± 2.9%
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump32% align=center22
Emerson College[183] April 6–7, 2016Hillary Clinton54%Donald Trump36% align=center18864± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton58%Ted Cruz30% align=center28
Hillary Clinton48%John Kasich41% align=center7
Bernie Sanders51%Donald Trump38% align=center13
Bernie Sanders56%Ted Cruz29% align=center27
Fox News[184] April 4–7, 2016Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump37% align=center161,403± 2.5%
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump35% align=center19
Quinnipiac University[185] March 22–29, 2016Hillary Clinton53%Donald Trump33% align=center201,667± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton53%Ted Cruz32% align=center21
Hillary Clinton46%John Kasich41% align=center5
Bernie Sanders56%Donald Trump32% align=center24
Bernie Sanders56%Ted Cruz28% align=center28
Bernie Sanders47%John Kasich37% align=center10
Emerson College[186] March 14–16, 2016Hillary Clinton55%Donald Trump36% align=center19768± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton61%Ted Cruz30% align=center31
Bernie Sanders53%Donald Trump36% align=center17
Siena College[187] February 28 – March 3, 2016Hillary Clinton56%Marco Rubio35% align=center21800± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton58%Ted Cruz33% align=center25
Hillary Clinton57%Donald Trump34% align=center23
Hillary Clinton49%John Kasich42% align=center7
Bernie Sanders58%Marco Rubio32% align=center26
Bernie Sanders63%Ted Cruz26% align=center37
Bernie Sanders57%Donald Trump33% align=center24
Bernie Sanders54%John Kasich35% align=center19
Siena College[188] January 31 – February 3, 2016Hillary Clinton54%Marco Rubio37% align=center17930± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton57%Ted Cruz34% align=center23
Hillary Clinton57%Donald Trump32% align=center25
Hillary Clinton57%Jeb Bush33% align=center24
Hillary Clinton57%John Kasich31% align=center26
Hillary Clinton55%Chris Christie36% align=center19
Bernie Sanders56%Marco Rubio34% align=center22
Bernie Sanders60%Ted Cruz30% align=center30
Bernie Sanders63%Donald Trump30% align=center33
Bernie Sanders61%Jeb Bush30% align=center31
Bernie Sanders59%John Kasich29% align=center30
Bernie Sanders58%Chris Christie35% align=center23

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/Third-party candidate%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Siena CollegeFebruary 28 – March 3, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump25%Michael Bloomberg26% align="center" 16800± 4.1%
Bernie Sanders42%Donald Trump24%Michael Bloomberg28% align="center" 14

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian
Independence		%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson College[189] August 28–30, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3% align="center" 18800± 3.4%
Siena CollegeAugust 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump25%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein6% align="center" 25717± 4.3%
Gravis MarketingAugust 4–8, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein4% align="center" 141,717±2.4%
Quinnipiac UniversityJuly 13–17, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein4% align="center" 121,104± 3%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University[190] August 29 – September 7, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center47%Donald Trump43% align=center4751± 3.6%
Public Policy Polling[191] August 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center45%Donald Trump44% align=center11,177
CNN/ORC[192] August 18–23, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center48%Donald Trump47% align=center1803± 3.5%
Gravis Marketing[193] August 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center44%Donald Trump43% align=center1723± 3.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristAugust 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center48%Donald Trump39% align=center9921± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling[194] August 5–7, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center47%Donald Trump46% align=center1830± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristJuly 5–11, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center44%Donald Trump38% align=center6907± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling[195] June 20–21, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump48% align="center" 2942± 3.2%
Greenberg Quinlan RosnerJune 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump41% align=center10300± 5.66%
Public Policy Polling[196] May 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump47% align="center" 49283.2%
Bernie Sanders48%Donald Trump44% align="center" 4
Civitas[197] April 23–26, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump37% align="center" 126004.0%
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump35% align="center" 19
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz40% align="center" 6
Bernie Sanders52%Ted Cruz36% align="center" 16
Public Policy Polling[198] April 22–24, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Tied9603.2
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz40% align="center" 5
Hillary Clinton39%John Kasich46% align="center" 7
Bernie Sanders46%Donald Trump43% align="center" 3
Bernie Sanders46%Ted Cruz38% align="center" 8
Bernie Sanders41%John Kasich43% align="center" 2
Elon University[199] April 10–15, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39% align="center" 66213.96
Hillary Clinton41%Ted Cruz44% align="center" 3
Bernie Sanders51%Donald Trump38% align="center" 13
Bernie Sanders49%Ted Cruz39% align="center" 10
Public Policy Polling[200] March 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42% align="center" 28433.4
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz42% align="center" 3
Hillary Clinton41%John Kasich49% align="center" 8
Bernie Sanders48%Donald Trump41% align="center" 7
Bernie Sanders45%Ted Cruz42% align="center" 3
Bernie Sanders41%John Kasich44% align="center" 3
Elon University[201] February 15–19, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump41% align="center" 61,5302.51
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz46%Tied
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio48% align="center" 3
Bernie Sanders48%Donald Trump40% align="center" 8
Bernie Sanders47%Ted Cruz43% align="center" 4
Bernie Sanders43%Marco Rubio46% align="center" 3
SurveyUSA[202] February 14–16, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump45% align="center" 21,2502.8%
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz48% align="center" 5
Hillary Clinton42%Marco Rubio49% align="center" 7
Bernie Sanders44%Donald Trump44%Tied
Bernie Sanders46%Ted Cruz42% align="center" 4
Bernie Sanders45%Marco Rubio44% align="center" 1
Public Policy Polling[203] February 14–16, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Jeb Bush44% align="center" 21,2912.7%
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz46% align="center" 3
Hillary Clinton40%Marco Rubio49% align="center" 9
Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump44% align="center" 1
Bernie Sanders43%Jeb Bush42% align="center" 1
Bernie Sanders43%Ted Cruz43%Tied
Bernie Sanders41%Marco Rubio45% align="center" 4
Bernie Sanders44%Donald Trump42% align="center" 2
Public Policy Polling[204] January 18–19, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Jeb Bush45% align="center" 29483.2%
Hillary Clinton44%Ben Carson47% align="center" 3
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz46% align="center" 3
Hillary Clinton42%Marco Rubio47% align="center" 5
Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump45% align="center" 2
Bernie Sanders41%Jeb Bush42% align="center" 1
Bernie Sanders40%Ben Carson44% align="center" 4
Bernie Sanders38%Ted Cruz43% align="center" 5
Bernie Sanders39%Marco Rubio43% align="center" 4
Bernie Sanders43%Donald Trump44% align="center" 1

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/Third-party candidate%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac UniversityAugust 29 – September 7, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson15% align="center" 4751± 3.6%
Monmouth University[205] August 20–23, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson7% align="center" 2401± 4.9%
CNN/ORCAugust 18–23, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson9%Tied803± 3.5%
Civitas/SurveyUSA[206] July 31 – August 2, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump46%Gary Johnson6% align="center" 4400± 5.0%
Civitas[207] June 21–23, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson6% align="center" 2600± 4.0%
Greenberg Quinlan RosnerJune 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson8% align="center" 10300± 5.66%
Civitas[208] May 21–23, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson8% align="center" 3600± 4.0%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 14–16, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump39%Michael Bloomberg14% align="center" 21,291± 2.7%
Bernie Sanders34%Donald Trump40%Michael Bloomberg16% align="center" 6
Public Policy PollingJanuary 18–19, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump41%Michael Bloomberg10% align="center" 19483.2%
Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump42%Jim Webb7% align="center" 2

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
CBS News/YouGov[209] August 30 – September 2, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein2% align="center" 41,088± 4%
Emerson College[210] August 27–29, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump align=center45%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2% align=center2800± 3.4%
Gravis MarketingAugust 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump align=center39%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein2% align=center1723± 3.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristAugust 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center45%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein2% align=center9921± 3.2%
Public Policy PollingAugust 5–7, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center43%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2% align=center2830± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristJuly 5–11, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center42%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2% align=center6907± 3.3%
CBS News/YouGov[211] June 21–24, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center44%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson2%Jill Stein1% align=center2988± 4%
Public Policy PollingJune 20–21, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein2%Tied947± 3.2%
Public Policy PollingMay 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump align=center43%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein2% align=center29283.2%
Bernie Sanders align=center43%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein2% align=center3

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac UniversityAugust 29 – September 7, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump46% align="center" 1775± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[212] August 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump42% align="center" 41,134± 2.9%
OnMessageAugust 13–17, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump45%Tied600± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristAugust 3–7, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump38% align="center" 5889± 3.1%
Quinnipiac University[213] July 30 – August 7, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump45% align=center4812± 3.4%
Public Policy Polling[214] July 22–24, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump45%Tied1,334± 2.7%
Suffolk University[215] July 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Tied500± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[216] June 30 – July 11, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump41%Tied955± 3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[217] July 5–10, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump39%Tied848± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing/One America News[218] June 27–28, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump47% align="center" 11,270± 2.8%
Public Policy PollingJune 22–23, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump40% align="center" 4708± 3.7%
Greenberg Quinlan RosnerJune 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump48% align=center1300± 5.66%
Quinnipiac University[219] June 8–19, 2016Hillary Clinton40%Donald Trump40%Tied971± 3.1%
Bernie Sanders48%Donald Trump38% align="center" 10
Zogby Analytics[220] May 18–22, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump39% align="center" 6679± 3.8%
CBS News/YouGov[221] May 16–19, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump39% align="center" 5992± 3.7%
Bernie Sanders48%Donald Trump39% align="center" 9
Quinnipiac University[222] April 27 – May 8, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump43% align=center41,042± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders44%Donald Trump42% align=center2
Public Policy Polling[223] April 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump42% align=center37993.2%
Hillary Clinton44%Ted Cruz35% align=center9
Hillary Clinton41%John Kasich43% align=center2
Bernie Sanders45%Donald Trump41% align=center4
Bernie Sanders44%Ted Cruz35% align=center9
Bernie Sanders37%John Kasich47% align=center10
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[224] March 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump42% align="center" 62,052± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz47% align=center2
Hillary Clinton36%John Kasich57% align=center21
Bernie Sanders50%Donald Trump41% align="center" 9
Bernie Sanders45%Ted Cruz44% align="center" 1
Public Policy Polling[225] March 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz40% align=center51,2482.8%
Hillary Clinton37%John Kasich52% align=center15
Hillary Clinton44%Marco Rubio41% align=center3
Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump40% align=center5
Bernie Sanders44%Ted Cruz38% align=center6
Bernie Sanders34%John Kasich54% align=center20
Bernie Sanders42%Marco Rubio38% align=center4
Bernie Sanders44%Donald Trump40% align=center4
CNN/ORC[226] March 2–6, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump43% align=center78843.5%
Hillary Clinton48%Marco Rubio46% align=center2
Hillary Clinton51%Ted Cruz42% align=center9
Quinnipiac University[227] February 16–20, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz46% align=center31,5392.5%
Hillary Clinton37%John Kasich54% align=center17
Hillary Clinton42%Marco Rubio47% align=center5
Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump44% align=center2
Bernie Sanders44%Ted Cruz42% align=center2
Bernie Sanders35%John Kasich54% align=center19
Bernie Sanders42%Marco Rubio44% align=center2
Bernie Sanders44%Donald Trump44%Tied

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/Third-party candidate%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Greenberg Quinlan RosnerJune 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump41%Gary Johnson14%Tied300± 5.66%
Public Policy PollingMarch 4–6, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump37%Michael Bloomberg15%Tied1,248± 2.8%
Bernie Sanders38%Donald Trump37%Michael Bloomberg13% align="center" 1
Quinnipiac UniversityFebruary 16–20, 2016Bernie Sanders37%Ted Cruz37%Michael Bloomberg11%Tied1,539± 2.5%
Bernie Sanders35%Donald Trump38%Michael Bloomberg13% align="center" 3

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac UniversityAugust 29 – September 7, 2016Hillary Clinton37%Donald Trump align=center41%Gary Johnson14%Jill Stein4% align=center4775± 3.5%
Emerson CollegeAugust 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein2%Tied800± 3.4%
Monmouth University[228] August 18–21, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein<1% align="center" 4402± 4.9%
CBS News/YouGovAugust 17–19, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2% align="center" 6997± 3.9%
OnMessageAugust 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2%Tied600± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristAugust 3–7, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein4% align="center" 4889± 3.1%
Quinnipiac UniversityJuly 30 – August 7, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3% align=center2812± 3.4%
Public Policy Polling July 22–24, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump align=center42%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2% align=center31,334± 2.7%
Suffolk UniversityJuly 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center43%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1% align=center4500± 4.4%
CBS News/YouGov[229] July 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center44%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3% align=center41,104± 3.5%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 30 – July 11, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump align=center37%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein6% align=center1955± 3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristJuly 5–10, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center38%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein3% align=center3848± 3.4%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 8–19, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center38%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3% align=center2971± 3.1%

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/Third-party candidate%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
SoonerPoll[230] July 20–25, 2016Hillary Clinton29%Donald Trump53%Gary Johnson7% align=center24298± 4.91%
Cole Hargrave[231] May 2–4, 2016Hillary Clinton28%Donald Trump48%Gary Johnson6% align=center20500± 4.3%

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Portland Tribune/iCitizen[232] June 23–27, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump32% align="center" 14555± 4.0%
Clout Research[233] May 10–13, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump44% align=center2657± 3.82%
DHM Research[234] May 6–9, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump32% align="center" 11901± 3.3%

Four-way race

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac UniversityAugust 29 – September 7, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump43% align="center" 5778± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[236] August 30–31, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump42% align="center" 5814± 3.4%
GBA Strategies[237] August 21–28, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump43% align="center" 51,200± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[238] August 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump43% align="center" 51,194± %
Franklin & Marshall College[239] August 25–29, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump40% align="center" 7496± 5.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristAugust 3–7, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump37% align="center" 11834± 3.1%
Quinnipiac UniversityJuly 30 – August 7, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump42% align=center10815± 3.4%
Susquehanna/ABC27 News[240] July 31 – August 4, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump37% align="center" 10772± 3.53%
Franklin & Marshall College[241] July 29 – August 2, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump38% align="center" 11389± 6.3%
Public Policy Polling[242] July 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump45% align="center" 41,505± 2.5%
Suffolk University[243] July 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump41% align="center" 9500 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 30 – July 11, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump43% align="center" 2982± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[244] July 5–10, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump36% align="center" 9829± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[245] June 27–28, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump47% align=center11,958± 2.2%
Public Policy PollingJune 22–23, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump42% align="center" 4980± 3.1%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 8–19, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump41% align="center" 1950± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders47%Donald Trump40% align="center" 7
Public Policy Polling[246] June 3–5, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Tied1,106± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders51%Donald Trump39% align="center" 12
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 27 – May 8, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump42% align="center" 11,077± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders47%Donald Trump41% align="center" 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[247] April 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton54%Donald Trump39% align="center" 152,606± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton52%Ted Cruz41% align="center" 11
Hillary Clinton45%John Kasich48% align=center3
Bernie Sanders57%Donald Trump37% align="center" 20
Bernie Sanders58%Ted Cruz36% align="center" 22
Bernie Sanders50%John Kasich44% align="center" 6
Fox News[248] April 4–7, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump44%Tied1,607± 2.5%
Quinnipiac University[249] March 30 – April 4, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump42% align="center" 31,737± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz43%Tied
Hillary Clinton35%John Kasich51% align=center16
Bernie Sanders48%Donald Trump40% align="center" 8
Bernie Sanders46%Ted Cruz38% align="center" 8
Bernie Sanders40%John Kasich46% align=center6
Franklin & Marshall College[250] March 14–20, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump33% align="center" 13828± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz35% align="center" 10
Mercyhurst University[251] March 1–11, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump35% align="center" 8421± 4.8%
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz42% align="center" 3
Hillary Clinton36%John Kasich49% align=center13
Hillary Clinton39%Marco Rubio47% align=center8
Bernie Sanders49%Donald Trump37% align="center" 12
Bernie Sanders48%Ted Cruz40% align="center" 8
Bernie Sanders42%John Kasich46% align=center4
Bernie Sanders41%Marco Rubio46% align=center5
Harper Polling[252] March 1–2, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump40% align=center5662± 3.75%
Hillary Clinton46%Marco Rubio40% align=center6
Hillary Clinton48%Ted Cruz37% align=center11

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
GBA StrategiesAugust 21–28, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson10% align="center" 61,200± 4.4%
Greenberg Quinlan RosnerJune 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson13% align="center" 9300± 5.66%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac UniversityAugust 29 – September 7, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein3% align="center" 5778± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[253] August 30 – September 2, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2% align="center" 81,091± 4.1%
Monmouth University[254] August 26–29, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein1% align="center" 8402± 4.9%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeAugust 25–29, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2% align=center3736± 4.6%
Emerson CollegeAugust 25–28, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2% align="center" 3800± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristAugust 3–7, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein3% align="center" 9834± 3.1%
Quinnipiac UniversityJuly 30 – August 7, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3% align=center9815± 3.4%
Susquehanna/ABC27 NewsJuly 31 – August 4, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3% align=center9772± 3.53%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeJuly 29 – August 2, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3% align=center13496± 6.1%
Public Policy Polling July 29–31, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump42%Gary Johnson4%Jill Stein2% align=center31,505± 2.5%
Suffolk UniversityJuly 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein3% align="center" 9500± 4.4%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 30 – July 11, 2016Hillary Clinton34%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein3% align=center6982± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristJuly 5–10, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2% align=center8829± 3.4%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 8–19, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center39%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein4% align=center3950± 3.2%
Public Policy PollingJune 3–5, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump40%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein3% align=center11,106± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders45%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1% align=center9

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Feldman[255] August 18–21, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump align=center45% align=center2600± 4%
Gravis MarketingAugust 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump align=center46% align=center4768± 3.5%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
First Tuesday Strategies[256] August 30 – September 2, 2016Hillary Clinton38% align=centerDonald Trump align=center50%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein1% align=center12775± 3.5%
FeldmanAugust 18–21, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein1%Tied600± 4%
Gravis Marketing[257] August 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton37% align=centerDonald Trump align=center41%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3% align=center4768± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[258] August 9–10, 2016Hillary Clinton39% align=centerDonald Trump align=center41%Gary Johnson5%Jill Stein2% align=center21,290± 2.7%

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 59%–39%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
iCitizen[259] July 25–27, 2016Hillary Clinton33%Donald Trump49% align=center16655± N/A%
Vanderbilt University/PSRA[260] April 25 – May 11, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump44% align=center91,001± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton34%Ted Cruz44% align=center10

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[261] August 12–14, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump50% align="center" 6944± 3.2%
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll[262] August 8–9, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump46% align="center" 111,018± 3.1%
Texas Tribune/YouGov[263] June 10–19, 2016Hillary Clinton33%Donald Trump41% align="center" 81,200± 2.83%
SurveyUSA[264] February 21–22, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump47% align=center31,289± 3%
Bernie Sanders44%Donald Trump47% align=center3
Hillary Clinton42%Ted Cruz50% align=center8
Bernie Sanders41%Ted Cruz50% align=center9
Hillary Clinton41%Marco Rubio51% align=center10
Bernie Sanders40%Marco Rubio50% align=center10

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Texas Tribune/YouGovJune 10–20, 2016Hillary Clinton32%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson 7% align="center" 71,200± 2.83%
Leland Beatty[265] June 13–14, 2016Hillary Clinton30%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson3% align="center" 7998± 3.1%

Five-way race

Utah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[266] August 19–21, 2016Hillary Clinton33%Donald Trump53% align="center" 201,018± 3.1%
Gravis Marketing[267] May 31 – June 1, 2016Hillary Clinton29%Donald Trump36% align="center" 71,519± 2.5%
Dan Jones & Associates[268] May 2–10, 2016Hillary Clinton30%Donald Trump43% align=center13588± 4.04%
Bernie Sanders37%Donald Trump43% align=center6
Dan Jones & Associates[269] March 23 – April 5, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump38%Tied600± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton26%Ted Cruz67% align=center41
Hillary Clinton23%John Kasich68% align=center45
Bernie Sanders49%Donald Trump35% align="center" 14
Bernie Sanders32%Ted Cruz63% align=center31
Bernie Sanders30%John Kasich64% align=center34
Dan Jones & Associates[270] March 8–15, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump36% align="center" 2500± 4.38%
Hillary Clinton32%Ted Cruz60% align=center28
Hillary Clinton29%John Kasich59% align=center30
Bernie Sanders48%Donald Trump37% align="center" 11
Bernie Sanders39%Ted Cruz53% align=center14
Bernie Sanders35%John Kasich54% align=center19

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
SurveyUSA/Salt Lake Tribune[271] June 2–8, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson13%Tied1,238± 2.8%
Bernie Sanders37%Donald Trump35%Gary Johnson12% align="center" 2
Gravis MarketingMay 31 – June 1, 2016Hillary Clinton26%Donald Trump29%Gary Johnson16% align="center" 31,519± 2.5%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green %Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Dan Jones & Associates[272] July 18 – August 4, 2016Hillary Clinton25%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson16%Jill Stein1% align="center" 12858± 3.34%
Dan Jones & Associates[273] June 8–17, 2016Hillary Clinton27%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein2% align="center" 9614± 3.95%

Six-way race

Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
(Democratic in 2012) 67%–31%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
VPR[274] July 11–23, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump17%Gary Johnson5% align="center" 22637±3.9%
FM3 Research[275] June 27 – July 1, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump24%Gary Johnson10% align="center" 15600± ?%

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Hampton University[276] August 24–28, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump41% align=center2801± 4.7%
Roanoke College[277] August 7–17, 2016Hillary Clinton55%Donald Trump36% align=center19803± 3.5%
Quinnipiac UniversityAugust 9–16, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump38% align=center12808± 3.5%
Washington Post[278] August 11–14, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump43% align=center8707± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristAugust 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump33% align=center13897± 3.3%
RABA Research[279] July 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump46% align=center4655± 3.8%
Fox News[280] July 9–12, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump37% align=center7601± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristJuly 5–11, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump35% align=center9876± 3.3%
Hampton University[281] July 6–10, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump39%Tied805± 4.6%
Public Policy Polling[282] June 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump45% align="center" 31,032± 3.1%
Gravis Marketing[283] May 24, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump41% align="center" 41,728± 2%
Roanoke College[284] May 9–17, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump38%Tied610± 4.0%
Christopher Newport University[285] March 23 – April 3, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump35% align="center" 91,167± 3.1%
Roanoke College[286] January 18–26, 2016Hillary Clinton52%Donald Trump35% align=center17524± 4.3%
Hillary Clinton46%Marco Rubio43% align=center3
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz41% align=center4
Bernie Sanders55%Donald Trump33% align=center22
Bernie Sanders48%Marco Rubio38% align=center10
Bernie Sanders49%Ted Cruz37% align=center12

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/Third-party candidate%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
CBS News/YouGovAugust 2–5, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center49%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson7% align=center121,181± 3.7%
Gravis MarketingMay 24, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson6% align="center" 61,728± 2%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Emerson CollegeAugust 30 – September 1, 2016Hillary Clinton44%Donald Trump43%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein3% align=center1800± 3.4%
Roanoke CollegeAugust 7–17, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump32%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein3% align=center16803± 3.5%
Quinnipiac UniversityAugust 9–16, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson11%Jill Stein5% align=center11808± 3.5%
Washington PostAugust 11–14, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein3% align=center7707± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristAugust 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump31%Gary Johnson9%Jill Stein5% align=center12897± 3.3%
Fox NewsJuly 9–12, 2016Hillary Clinton39%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein4% align=center5601± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/MaristJuly 5–11, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center41%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein2% align=center7876± 3.3%
Public Policy PollingJune 13–15, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson6%Jill Stein2% align=center31,032± 3.1%

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Four-way race

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[288] April 29 – May 1, 2016Hillary Clinton30%Donald Trump57% align=center271,201± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton31%Ted Cruz44% align=center13
Hillary Clinton27%John Kasich52% align=center25
Bernie Sanders35%Donald Trump56% align=center21
Bernie Sanders39%Ted Cruz40% align=center1
Bernie Sanders31%John Kasich48% align=center17

Four-way race

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[290] August 26–27, 2016Hillary Clinton48%Donald Trump41% align="center" 71,054
Marquette University[291] August 25–28, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump42% align="center" 3615± 5.0%
Marquette University[292] August 4–7, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump36% align="center" 10805± 4.6%
Marquette University[293] July 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump41% align="center" 4629± 4.5%
Public Policy PollingJune 22–23, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump39% align="center" 8843± 3.4%
Greenberg Quinlan RosnerJune 11–20, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump36% align="center" 11300± 5.66%
Marquette University[294] June 9–12, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump37% align="center" 9666 ± 4.9%
Bernie Sanders57%Donald Trump33% align="center" 24
Public Opinion Strategies[295] May 10–12, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump31% align="center" 12600± 4.0%
St. Norbert College/WPR/WPT[296] April 12–15, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump34% align="center" 12616 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz44% align="center" 1
Bernie Sanders52%Donald Trump33% align="center" 19
Bernie Sanders50%Ted Cruz40% align="center" 10
Emerson College[297] March 30 – April 3, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump37% align="center" 101,198± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz43% align="center" 3
Hillary Clinton38%John Kasich52% align="center" 14
Bernie Sanders51%Donald Trump37% align="center" 14
Bernie Sanders50%Ted Cruz41% align="center" 9
Fox News[298] March 28–30, 2016Hillary Clinton49%Donald Trump35% align="center" 141,602± 2.5%
Marquette University[299] March 24–28, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump37% align="center" 101,405± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton44%Ted Cruz44%Tied
Hillary Clinton39%John Kasich48% align="center" 9
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump35% align="center" 19
Bernie Sanders52%Ted Cruz39% align="center" 13
Bernie Sanders46%John Kasich44% align="center" 2
Emerson College[300] March 20–22, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump38% align="center" 9922± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton46%Ted Cruz45% align="center" 1
Bernie Sanders47%Donald Trump39% align="center" 9
Marquette University[301] February 18–21, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump37% align="center" 10802± 4.5%
Hillary Clinton43%Ted Cruz43%Tied
Hillary Clinton44%Marco Rubio43% align="center" 1
Bernie Sanders54%Donald Trump34% align="center" 20
Bernie Sanders53%Ted Cruz35% align="center" 18
Bernie Sanders53%Marco Rubio35% align="center" 18
Marquette University[302] January 21–24, 2016Hillary Clinton47%Donald Trump38% align="center" 9806± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton45%Marco Rubio44% align="center" 1
Hillary Clinton45%Ted Cruz44% align="center" 1
Bernie Sanders52%Donald Trump34% align="center" 18
Bernie Sanders49%Marco Rubio38% align="center" 11
Bernie Sanders50%Ted Cruz38% align="center" 12

Three-way race

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Monmouth University[303] August 27–30, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein3% align="center" 5404± 4.9%
Marquette UniversityAugust 25–28, 2016Hillary Clinton41%Donald Trump38%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein4% align="center" 3615± 5.0%
Marquette UniversityAugust 4–7, 2016Hillary Clinton42%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein4% align="center" 9805± 4.6%
Marquette UniversityJuly 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton43%Donald Trump37%Gary Johnson8%Jill Stein2% align="center" 6629± 4.5%
CBS News/YouGov[304] June 21–24, 2016Hillary Clinton align=center41%Donald Trump36%Gary Johnson3%Jill Stein2% align=center5993± 4.3%

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Trump Wins Alabama but Some Supporters May Not Like Him. Strategy Research. 21 July 2016. July 21, 2016.
  2. Web site: Voter dissatisfaction with Clinton and Trump has Libertarian Johnson hoping Alaskans go third-party. Ivan Moore Research. Alaska Dispatch News. August 21, 2016. August 22, 2016.
  3. Web site: ADN poll: Alaskans like Trump, Sanders for president. Alaska Dispatch News. Ivan Moore Research. January 23, 2016. July 7, 2016.
  4. Web site: Survey Results. The Midnight Sun. Moore Information. September 1, 2016. September 4, 2016.
  5. Web site: Arizona Survey Results. Public Policy Polling. September 1, 2016.
  6. Web site: CNN/ORC International Poll. SSRS of Media. CNN. ORC International. August 24, 2016. August 24, 2016.
  7. Web site: Subject: Swing State Voters Don't Trust Trump on Supreme Court, Overwhelmingly Favor Hearings For Garland. Public Policy Polling. June 28, 2016. June 28, 2016. August 3, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160803222318/http://www.americansunitedforchange.org/page/-/SupremeCourtMemo62816.pdf. dead.
  8. Web site: Arizona Electorate Indicates Clinton Beating Trump . OH Predictive Insights. June 23, 2016.
  9. Web site: Battleground 2016: new game. Democracy Corps/Women’s Vote Action Fund . Greenberg Quinlan Rosner. June 30, 2016. July 9, 2016.
  10. Web site: McCain In Deep Trouble in GOP Primary; Trump, Clinton Close in AZ . Public Policy Polling. May 18, 2016.
  11. Web site: IS ARIZONA BECOMING A "SWING STATE"? BERNIE SANDERS LEADS ALL THREE GOP CANDIDATES. HILLARY CLINTON BEATS TRUMP BUT LOSES TO CRUZ AND KASICH.. Behavior Research Center. April 11, 2016. August 20, 2016. July 2, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160702025246/http://www.brcpolls.com/16/RMP%202016-II-04.pdf. dead.
  12. Web site: Presidential and Senate races are tight in Arizona. WestGroup. Merrill Poll. March 17, 2016.
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  292. Web site: New Marquette Law School Poll finds Clinton widening lead over Trump in Wisconsin. Marquette University Law School. August 10, 2016. August 11, 2016.
  293. Web site: New Marquette Law School Poll finds Clinton, Feingold leading; parties remain divided. Marquette University. July 13, 2016. July 14, 2016.
  294. Web site: New Marquette Law School Poll finds Clinton, Feingold leading; majorities have negative views of presidential candidates. 19 March 2013 . June 16, 2016 .
  295. Web site: Wisconsin Stateside. May 26, 2016 .
  296. Web site: The Wisconsin Survey Spring 2016. St. Norbert College. July 1, 2016 .
  297. Web site: Emerson Poll: Wisconsin Feels the Bern While Cruz has Momentum Going into Primaries. June 11, 2016 .
  298. Web site: Fox Business Network Poll. Anderson Robbins Research/Shaw & Company Research. March 31, 2016. July 1, 2016 .
  299. Web site: New Marquette Law School Poll finds Cruz, Sanders ahead in Wisconsin presidential primaries; Bradley leads state Supreme Court race. Marquette Law School. March 30, 2016. July 1, 2016 .
  300. Web site: Emerson Poll: Wisconsin Primary in Play for Both Parties; Cruz Leads Trump by a Point; Clinton Up 6 Over Sanders; Cruz Fares Better than Trump in General Against Clinton. June 11, 2016 .
  301. Web site: New Marquette Law School Poll finds tight Democratic race, Trump maintaining Republican lead in Wisconsin. Marquette Law School. February 25, 2016. July 6, 2016 .
  302. Web site: New Marquette Law School Poll finds tight races in Wisconsin presidential primaries. Marquette Law School. January 28, 2016. July 6, 2016 .
  303. Web site: Small Lead for Clinton; Large Lead for Feingold. Monmouth University. August 31, 2016. August 31, 2016.
  304. Web site: CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Wisconsin. YouGov. June 26, 2016 .

This article is licensed under the GNU Free Documentation License. It uses material from the Wikipedia article "January–August 2016 statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election".

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