2014 Iowa gubernatorial election explained

See also: 2014 United States gubernatorial elections.

The 2014 Iowa gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Republican incumbent Terry Branstad ran for reelection to a sixth overall and second consecutive four-year term.^[1] Branstad went on to win a historic sixth term as governor by defeating Democratic challenger and State Senator Jack Hatch, and on December 14, 2015, he became the longest-serving governor in American history. He won 59.1% of the popular vote to Hatch's 37.3%, and carried every county in the state except Johnson, home to Iowa City and the University of Iowa.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Terry Branstad, incumbent Governor^[1]
• Tom Hoefling, political activist and America's Party and American Independent Party nominee for president in 2012^[2]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Terry Branstad	Tom Hoefling	Undecided
Public Policy Polling[3]	May 15–19, 2014	303	± 3.3%	align=center	66%	12%	22%
Loras College[4]	April 7–8, 2014	600	± 4.0%	align=center	80%	4%	14%
Suffolk University[5]	April 3–8, 2014	224	± 6.6%	align=center	70%	9%	21%
Public Policy Polling[6]	February 20–23, 2014	283	± 5.8%	align=center	70%	11%	18%

Results

Democratic primary

Narcisse was disqualified from appearing on the ballot in the Democratic primary following a ruling by the Iowa Supreme Court^[7] that upheld a lower court decision that held that Narcisse had not submitted enough valid signatures to be placed on the ballot for the primary election. Narcisse continued his campaign and declared his intention to run for the nomination as a write-in candidate.^[8] When he was unsuccessful, he announced that he would be running in the general election as the nominee of the Iowa Party.^{[9] [10]}

Candidates

Declared

• Jack Hatch, state senator^[11]
• Jonathan Narcisse, former member of the Des Moines School Board and Iowa Party nominee for governor in 2010^[12]

Withdrew

• Paul Dahl, bus driver, retail sales associate, former librarian and candidate for Iowa's 5th congressional district in 1994^[13]
• Tyler Olson, state representative and former chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party^[14]

Declined

• Frank Cownie, Mayor of Des Moines^[15]
• Chet Culver, former governor^[16]
• Jeff Danielson, state senator^[17]
• Michael Fitzgerald, state treasurer^[18]
• Michael Gronstal, majority leader of the Iowa Senate and chairman of the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee^[19]
• Fred Hubbell, insurance executive^{[15] [20]}
• Pam Jochum, president of the Iowa Senate^[19]
• Bob Krause, former state representative, nominee for state treasurer in 1978, candidate for Mayor of Waterloo in 1982 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010^[21]
• Janet Petersen, state senator^[22]
• Tom Vilsack, United States Secretary of Agriculture and former governor^[23]

Endorsements

Results

General election

Candidates

• Terry Branstad (Republican), incumbent governor

• Running mate: Kim Reynolds, incumbent lieutenant governor
• Jack Hatch (Democratic), state senator

• Running mate: Monica Vernon, Cedar Rapids City Councilwoman^[24]
• Jim Hennager (New Independent Party), administrator, former city councillor and Reform Party nominee for governor in 1998^[25]

• Running mate: Mary Krieg
• Lee Hieb (Libertarian), orthopedic surgeon^[26]

• Running mate: Ryan Ketelsen, businessman^[26]
• Jonathan Narcisse (Iowa Party), former member of the Des Moines School Board and nominee for governor in 2010^{[9] [10] [12]}

• Running mate: Michael Richards, semi-retired businessman^[27]

Debates

• Complete video of debate, September 20, 2014 - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report[28]		November 3, 2014
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball[29]		November 3, 2014
align=left	Rothenberg Political Report[30]		November 3, 2014
align=left	Real Clear Politics[31]		November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Jack Hatch (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling[32]	align=center rowspan=2	November 1–3, 2014	align=center rowspan=2	1,265	align=center rowspan=2	± 2.8%	align=center	51%	40%	5%[33]	5%
	align=center	54%	43%	—	4%
Quinnipiac University[34]	October 28–November 2, 2014	778	± 3.5%	align=center	52%	41%	2%	6%
Iowa Poll[35]	October 28–31, 2014	701	± 3.7%	align=center	59%	35%	2%	4%
YouGov[36]	October 25–31, 2014	1,112	± 4.4%	align=center	49%	35%	4%	13%
Fox News[37]	October 28–30, 2014	911	± 3%	align=center	53%	36%	5%	6%
Reuters/Ipsos[38]	October 23–29, 2014	1,129	± 3.3%	align=center	57%	34%	4%	5%
Quinnipiac[39]	October 22–27, 2014	817	± 3.4%	align=center	56%	37%	2%	5%
Loras College[40]	October 21–24, 2014	1,121	± 2.93%	align=center	55%	34%	2%	9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[41]	October 16–23, 2014	2,322	± 3%	align=center	50%	37%	0%	13%
NBC News/Marist[42]	align=center rowspan=2	October 18–22, 2014	772 LV	± 3.5%	align=center	59%	36%	2%	4%
	1,052 RV	± 3%	align=center	58%	34%	2%	6%
Gravis Marketing[43]	October 20–21, 2014	964	± 3%	align=center	53%	43%	—	4%
Monmouth University[44]	October 18–21, 2014	423	± 4.8%	align=center	58%	37%	3%	2%
Quinnipiac University[45]	October 15–21, 2014	964	± 3.2%	align=center	55%	37%	2%	5%
Suffolk University[46]	October 11–14, 2014	500	± 4.4%	align=center	54%	37%	3%[47]	7%
Quinnipiac University[48]	October 8–13, 2014	967	± 3.2%	align=center	54%	39%	1%	6%
The Iowa Poll[49]	October 3–8, 2014	1,000	± 3.1%	align=center	54%	39%	—	4%
Magellan[50]	October 3, 2014	1,299	± 2.8%	align=center	55%	39%	—	7%
NBC News/Marist[51]	align=center rowspan=2	September 27–October 1, 2014	778 LV	± 3.5%	align=center	58%	36%	1%	5%
	1,093 RV	± 3%	align=center	58%	35%	1%	6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[52]	September 20–October 1, 2014	2,359	± 2%	align=center	52%	39%	0%	9%
Gravis Marketing[53]	September 29–30, 2014	522	± 4%	align=center	51%	43%	—	6%
Public Policy Polling[54]	align=center rowspan=2	September 25–28, 2014	align=center rowspan=2	1,192	align=center rowspan=2	± 2.8%	align=center	50%	36%	4%[55]	9%
	align=center	52%	38%	—	10%
Iowa Poll[56]	September 21–24, 2014	546	± 4.2%	align=center	48%	34%	6%[57]	12%
Rasmussen Reports[58]	September 17–18, 2014	750	± 4%	align=center	46%	40%	3%	10%
FOX News[59]	September 14–16, 2014	600	± 4%	align=center	50%	37%	4%	8%
Quinnipiac[60]	September 10–15, 2014	1,167	± 2.9%	align=center	60%	37%	1%	3%
Loras College[61]	September 2–5, 2014	1,200	± 2.82%	align=center	56%	34%	—	11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[62]	August 18–September 2, 2014	1,764	± 3%	align=center	51%	38%	1%	10%
Suffolk[63]	August 23–26, 2014	500	± 4%	align=center	47%	35%	2%[64]	16%
Public Policy Polling[65]	align=center rowspan=2	August 22–24, 2014	align=center rowspan=2	915	align=center rowspan=2	± 3.2%	align=center	48%	35%	5%	12%
	align=center	50%	37%	—	13%
Rasmussen Reports	August 11–12, 2014	750	± 4%	align=center	52%	35%	6%	7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[66]	July 5–24, 2014	2,044	± 2.7%	align=center	51%	40%	1%	8%
Gravis Marketing[67]	July 17–18, 2014	1,179	± 3%	align=center	50%	42%	—	9%
NBC News/Marist[68]	July 7–13, 2014	1,599	± 2.5%	align=center	53%	38%	1%	9%
Quinnipiac[69]	June 12–16, 2014	1,277	± 2.7%	align=center	47%	38%	1%	14%
Vox Populi Polling[70]	June 4–5, 2014	665	± 3.8%	align=center	51%	40%	—	9%
Loras College[71]	June 4–5, 2014	600	± 4%	align=center	52%	38%	—	11%
Rasmussen Reports	June 4–5, 2014	750	± 4%	align=center	49%	40%	2%	8%
Global Strategy Group[72]	May 13–15, 2014	602	± 4%	align=center	47%	40%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	May 15–19, 2014	914	± 3.3%	align=center	48%	40%	—	12%
Victory Enterprises[73]	April 30–May 1, 2014	400	± 4.9%	align=center	48%	33%	—	20%
Hickman Analytics[74]	April 24–30	500	± 4.4%	align=center	50%	40%	—	10%
Vox Populi Polling[75]	April 22–24, 2014	600	± 4%	align=center	45%	43%	—	12%
Public Policy Polling[76]	April 19–20, 2014	677	± 3.8%	align=center	43%	38%	—	19%
Suffolk University[77]	April 3–8, 2014	800	± 3.5%	align=center	42%	32%	2%[78]	24%
Quinnipiac[79]	March 5–10, 2014	1,411	± 2.6%	align=center	46%	35%	1%	17%
Selzer & Co.[80]	February 23–26, 2014	703	± 3.7%	align=center	44%	29%	—	27%
Public Policy Polling	February 20–23, 2014	869	± 3.3%	align=center	48%	36%	—	15%
Quinnipiac[81]	December 10–15, 2013	1,617	± 2.4%	align=center	49%	33%	1%	17%
Selzer & Co.[82]	December 8–11, 2013	325	± ?%	align=center	52%	29%	8%	11%
Public Policy Polling[83]	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	align=center	47%	35%	—	18%
Selzer & Co.[84]	June 2–5, 2013	591	± 4%	align=center	55%	27%	9%	9%
Public Policy Polling[85]	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	align=center	48%	33%	—	19%

}With Branstad

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Bruce Braley (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	align=center	47%	41%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling[86]	May 3–6, 2012	1,181	± 2.85%	align=center	44%	40%	—	16%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Chet Culver (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	align=center	47%	42%	—	11%
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	align=center	50%	40%	—	10%
Public Policy Polling	May 3–6, 2012	1,181	± 2.85%	align=center	44%	42%	—	14%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Michael Gronstal (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	align=center	50%	36%	—	14%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Bob Krause (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac	December 10–15, 2013	1,617	± 2.4%	align=center	49%	31%	1%	19%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Dave Loebsack (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	align=center	48%	38%	—	14%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Tyler Olson (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac	December 10–15, 2013	1,617	± 2.4%	align=center	50%	32%	1%	17%
Selzer & Co.	December 8–11, 2013	325	± ?%	align=center	51%	28%	8%	13%
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	align=center	47%	33%	—	20%
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	align=center	47%	31%	—	22%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Terry Branstad (R)	Tom Vilsack (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 1–3, 2013	846	± %	align=center	47%	46%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	May 3–6, 2012	1,181	± 2.85%	43%	align=center	46%	—	11%

With Hoefling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Tom Hoefling (R)	Jack Hatch (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	May 15–19, 2014	914	± 3.3%	30%	align=center	37%	—	33%
Suffolk University[87]	April 3–8, 2014	800	± 3.5%	23%	align=center	35%	3%	align=center	39%
Public Policy Polling	February 20–23, 2014	869	± 3.3%	30%	align=center	34%	—	align=center	36%

With Reynolds

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Kim Reynolds (R)	Chet Culver (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	38%	align=center	42%	—	20%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Kim Reynolds (R)	Michael Gronstal (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	37%	37%	—	26%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Kim Reynolds (R)	Jack Hatch (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	align=center	36%	33%	—	30%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	class=small	Sample size	class=small	Margin of error	Kim Reynolds (R)	Tyler Olson (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 5–7, 2013	668	± 3.8%	align=center	36%	32%	—	32%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Black Hawk (largest city: Waterloo)
• Des Moines (largest city: Burlington)
• Dubuque (largest city: Dubuque)
• Floyd (largest city: Charles City)
• Jefferson (largest city: Fairfield)
• Lee (largest city: Fort Madison)
• Linn (Largest city: Cedar Rapids)
• Story (Largest city: Ames)

By congressional district

Branstad won all four congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.^[88]

District	Branstad	Hatch	Representative
		55.95%	40.98%		Rod Blum
		56.66%	39.85%		Dave Loebsack
		56.55%	38.79%		David Young
		67.25%	29.39%		Steve King

External links

• Iowa gubernatorial election, 2014 at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites (Archived)

• Terry Branstad for Iowa Governor
• Paul Dahl for Iowa Governor
• Jack Hatch for Iowa Governor
• Tom Hoefling for Iowa Governor

Notes and References

1. Web site: Governor Terry Branstad announces gubernatorial run, tours Iowa. KWWL. 15 January 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140116135037/http://www.kwwl.com/story/24450784/2014/01/14/governor-terry-branstad-to-tour-iowa-make-special-announcement. 16 January 2014. dead.
2. Web site: HAYWORTH: Republican Hoefling aiming to challenge Branstad in 2014. Sioux City Journal . March 4, 2014 . March 21, 2014.
3. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_Iowa%200521.pdf Public Policy Polling
4. http://www.loras.edu/About-Loras/News-Events/News/2014/Republicans-Give-Branstad-High-Marks-and-Primary-V.aspx Loras College
5. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/4_9_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk University
6. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_IA_225.pdf Public Policy Polling
7. Web site: Opinion in Narcisse v. Schultz, No. 14-0512. Iowa Supreme Court. March 31, 2014. April 3, 2014.
8. Web site: IA-Gov: Iowa Supreme Court rejects Narcisse bid for spot on primary ballot. Bleeding Heartland. Bleeding Heartland. April 1, 2014. April 3, 2014.
9. Web site: Jonathan Narcisse to run for governor as third-party candidate. The Des Moines Register. . July 30, 2014. September 10, 2014.
10. Web site: Register Soapbox: Governor candidate Jonathan Narcisse. The Des Moines Register. . August 9, 2014. September 10, 2014.
11. Web site: State Sen. Jack Hatch officially enters 2014 race for Iowa governor. September 16, 2013. September 16, 2013. The Des Moines Register. Jason. Noble. https://archive.today/20130916171844/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2013/09/16/state-sen-jack-hatch-officially-enters-2014-race-for-iowa-governor/article. September 16, 2013. dead. mdy-all.
12. Web site: Narcisse says he'll seek Democratic nomination in gubernatorial race. January 18, 2014. January 20, 2014. Des Moines Register. Lauren. Horsch.
13. Web site: 4th Democrat enters race for governor; Sioux City stop planned. October 2, 2013. October 14, 2013. Sioux City Journal. Bret. Hayworth.
14. News: Koplan. Tal. State Rep. Tyler Olson drops Terry Branstad challenge. December 17, 2013. Politico. December 17, 2013.
15. Web site: New Hatch committee aimed at run for governor. May 10, 2013. May 12, 2013. The Des Moines Register. Jason. Noble. Jennifer. Jacobs.
16. Web site: Democrat Chet Culver: I won't run for public office in 2014. Des Moines Register. Jacobs. Jennifer. February 12, 2014. February 12, 2014. https://archive.today/20140212230651/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2014/02/12/democrat-chet-culver-i-wont-run-for-public-office-in-2014/article. February 12, 2014. dead. mdy-all.
17. Web site: Waterloo Democrat Jeff Danielson won't run for higher office. June 4, 2013. June 5, 2013. The Des Moines Register. Jennifer. Jacobs. https://archive.today/20130620223546/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2013/06/04/waterloo-democrat-jeff-danielson-wont-run-for-higher-office. June 20, 2013. dead. mdy-all.
18. Web site: Democrat Mike Fitzgerald rules out a run for Iowa governor. August 30, 2013. August 30, 2013. The Des Moines Register. Jennifer. Jacobs.
19. Web site: Democrats Mike Gronstal and Pam Jochum won't run for governor (updated). July 30, 2013. July 30, 2013. Des Moines Register. Jennifer. Jacobs.
20. Web site: Hatch names steering committee for Iowa governor's race. October 11, 2013. October 14, 2013. The Des Moines Register. William. Petroski.
21. Web site: Krause ends bid for governor, endorses fellow Democrat Hatch . Des Moines Register . 2 January 2014 . 3 January 2014 . https://archive.today/20140103155511/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2014/01/02/krause-ends-bid-for-governor-endorses-fellow-democrat-hatch . 3 January 2014 . dead . dmy-all .
22. News: Dorman. Todd. January 2, 2014. Petersen won't run for governor. The Gazette. Cedar Rapids, Iowa. January 4, 2014.
23. Web site: Tom Vilsack won't run for Iowa governor again. June 5, 2013. June 5, 2013. The Des Moines Register. Jennifer. Jacobs.
24. Web site: Monica Vernon signs on as Jack Hatch's lieutenant governor. June 18, 2014. June 18, 2014. The Des Moines Register. Jason. Noble. https://archive.today/20140618190157/http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/elections/2014/06/17/jack-hatch-monica-vernon-iowa-lieutenant-governor/10635183/. June 18, 2014. dead. mdy-all.
25. Web site: Meet the Candidate: Iowa Governor: Jim Hennager, New Independent Party Iowa. October 14, 2014. October 17, 2014. Des Moines Register.
26. Web site: Iraq war vet among libertarians nominated at state convention. March 25, 2014. June 18, 2014. Ames Tribune. Gavin. Aronsen.
27. Web site: Iowa Party lieutenant governor candidate hopes to tap voter discontent. July 31, 2014. September 10, 2014. The Gazette. James Q. Lynch.
28. Web site: 2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 3, 2018.
29. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 3, 2018.
30. Web site: 2014 Gubernatorial Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 3, 2018.
31. Web site: 2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races . Real Clear Politics . September 3, 2018.
32. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/IAResults.pdf Public Policy Polling
33. Jim Hennager (NIP) 2%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 2%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
34. https://web.archive.org/web/20141103184405/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2110 Quinnipiac University
35. http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2014/11/01/iowa-poll-joni-ernst-leads-bruce-braley/18345157/ Iowa Poll
36. http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/uim532sqyk/toplines_likely_IA.pdf YouGov
37. http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2014/10/31/fox-news-poll-iowa-senate-race/ Fox News
38. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Reuters_Ipsos_Iowa_103114.pdf Reuters/Ipsos
39. https://web.archive.org/web/20141029130432/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2103 Quinnipiac
40. https://web.archive.org/web/20141028182840/http://loras.edu/LorasCollege/files/cf/cfc0b5ab-7022-4a39-bc9a-73d4aa84c583.pdf Loras College
41. https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
42. http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/IApolls/IA141018/Complete%20October%2026,%202014%20Iowa%20NBC%20News__Marist%20Poll%20Release%20and%20Tables.pdf NBC News/Marist
43. http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-iowa-poll-of-likely-voters/ Gravis Marketing
44. https://web.archive.org/web/20141030192342/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/aabe1590-1bbe-458d-8c71-c3ee4dec4c5b.pdf Monmouth University
45. https://web.archive.org/web/20141023130402/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2100 Quinnipiac University
46. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/10_15_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk University
47. Jim Hennager (NIP) 1%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 1%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
48. https://archive.today/20141015114401/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2095 Quinnipiac University
49. http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2014/10/13/iowa-poll-governor-terry-branstad-jack-hatch/17228281/ The Iowa Poll
50. http://images.politico.com/global/2014/10/06/p4i_toplines.pdf Magellan
51. http://newscms.nbcnews.com/sites/newscms/files/iowa_october_2014_annotated_questionnaire_nbc_news_marist_poll.pdf NBC News/Marist
52. http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results CBS News/NYT/YouGov
53. http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-iowa-polling-results/ Gravis Marketing
54. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_IA_9301982.pdf Public Policy Polling
55. Jim Hennager (NIP) 3%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 2%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
56. http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2014/09/29/iowa-poll-iowa-governor-terry-branstad-jack-hatch/16455501/ Iowa Poll
57. Jim Hennager (NIP) 2%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 3%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
58. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/iowa/election_2014_iowa_governor Rasmussen Reports
59. http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2014/09/17/senate-battleground-iowa/ FOX News
60. https://web.archive.org/web/20140922061209/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2081 Quinnipiac
61. https://web.archive.org/web/20140910195335/http://www.loras.edu/LorasCollege/files/b2/b28e8e7d-f9b9-493e-9a27-5d38812dcc01.pdf Loras College
62. https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-iowa/#IAgovernor CBS News/NYT/YouGov
63. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/8_27_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk
64. Jim Hennager (NIP) 1%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 1%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 0%
65. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_IA_826930.pdf Public Policy Polling
66. http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
67. http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-iowa-polling-gravis-marketing-human-events/ Gravis Marketing
68. https://web.archive.org/web/20140717052302/http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/Partner%20RSS%20Feeds%20and%20Grid%20Packages/NBC%20News_Marist%20Poll%202014%20Iowa%20Annotated%20Questionnaire_July%202014.pdf NBC News/Marist
69. https://web.archive.org/web/20140707110258/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2054 Quinnipiac
70. http://www.poppolling.com/useruploads/files/iowa_april_2014_-_topline.pdf Vox Populi Polling
71. https://web.archive.org/web/20140629013405/http://www.loras.edu/LorasCollege/files/7f/7fcb90d1-64be-4331-967d-16b8ed3c24ee.pdf Loras College
72. http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/elections/2014/05/27/jack-hatch-polling/9628825/ Global Strategy Group
73. http://origin.library.constantcontact.com/download/get/file/1101974164056-15/Victory+Statewide+Toplines+May+2014.pdf Victory Enterprises
74. https://web.archive.org/web/20140508025328/http://buildkxlnow.org/wp/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/IA-topline-tables.pdf Hickman Analytics
75. http://www.poppolling.com/useruploads/files/iowa_april_2014_-_topline.pdf Vox Populi Polling
76. https://dew59d0rnyuyr.cloudfront.net/media/W1siZiIsIjIwMTQvMDQvMjEvMTIvMjgvMzEvNDY2L0lvd2FSZXN1bHRzLnBkZiJdXQ/IowaResults.pdf Public Policy Polling
77. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/4_9_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk University
78. Lee Hieb (L)
79. http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2018 Quinnipiac
80. http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20140310/NEWS09/303090106/-1/iowapoll/Iowa-Poll-Access-voting-trumps-voter-fraud-concerns Selzer & Co.
81. http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=1989 Quinnipiac
82. http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20131216/NEWS09/312160114/Iowa-Poll-Iowans-widely-approve-state-s-direction-Branstad-s-performance/ Selzer & Co.
83. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_Iowa_710.pdf Public Policy Polling
84. http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20130609/NEWS09/306090028/Iowa-Poll-Branstad-sees-high-approval Selzer & Co.
85. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IA_206.pdf Public Policy Polling
86. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IA_051712.pdf Public Policy Polling
87. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/4_9_2014_marginals.pdf Suffolk University
88. Web site: Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project.