Canadian federal election results on Vancouver Island explained

This page shows results of Canadian federal elections on Vancouver Island.

Regional profile

Like most of British Columbia outside of Greater Vancouver, Vancouver Island tends to be a battleground between the Conservatives and the New Democratic Party (NDP). This is as true now, as has been in the past, except between 1988 and 2004. In 1988, the NDP swept the island in a wave of popular support that saw the party win the most seats in its history. This was wiped out in 1993 however, when many NDP voters switched to the Reform Party which won every seat except Victoria, which was picked up by the Liberals for the first time since 1968. This arrangement continued until the resurgence of the NDP in 2004, which led to it picking up Nanaimo—Cowichan, while the Liberals benefited by the seat switching of Keith Martin in Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca, whose personal popularity allowed him to be re-elected as a Liberal.

Since winning their first seat in the region in seventeen years in 2004, the NDP won two more seats here in 2006 picking up Victoria from the Liberals and Vancouver Island North from the Tories. The Tories won Vancouver Island North back in 2008. In 2011, the NDP picked up Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca from the Liberals while Green Party leader Elizabeth May defeated Tory cabinet member Gary Lunn in Saanich—Gulf Islands to win her party's first elected parliamentary seat in history. The Liberals failed to cross the 15 percent mark in any Vancouver Island-based riding. The island swung hard to the NDP in 2015; May was the only non-NDP MP elected here. In 2019, the Greens were able to pick up Nanaimo-Ladysmith, as well as win over 25% of the vote in Victoria and Esquimalt-Saanich Sooke. The Island is now a 3 way race between the NDP, the Conservatives, and the Greens.

Votes by party throughout time

Election /
197943,290
17.5%		92,056
37.1%		110,908
44.7%		1,647
0.7%
198038,564
15.3%		107,446
42.8%		101,767
40.5%		3,471
1.4%
198433,829
11.5%		121,076
41.1%		2,543
0.9%		133,294
45.3%		3,613
1.2%
198849,742
15.7%		138,695
43.9%		3,012
1.0%		94,076
29.8%		26,695
8.4%		3,994
1.3%
199385,732
25.6%		64,369
19.2%		3,401
1.0%		32,638
9.7%		124,229
37.1%		24,526
7.3%
199779,350
26.1%		65,325
21.5%		8,670
2.9%		16,319
5.4%		130,561
42.9%		3,844
1.3%
200088,094
28.0%		40,367
12.8%		12,291
3.9%		25,512
8.1%		140,877
44.8%		7,486
2.4%
200489,248
25.7%		108,848
31.4%		111,322
32.1%		35,182
10.1%		2,241
0.6%
200683,579
22.7%		124,640
33.9%		132,333
36.0%		24,175
6.6%		3,112
0.8%
200867,821
18.7%		142,006
39.3%		113,924
31.5%		35,755
9.9%		2,251
0.6%
201130,125
7.9%		146,783
38.4%		146,878
38.5%		56,751
14.9%		1,395
0.4%
2015100,557
21.3%		99,934
21.2%		157,187
33.3%		111,988
23.8%		1,854
0.4%
201976,739
15.9%		116,262
24.1%		150,437
31.2%		130,021
27.0%		8,652
1.8%
202181,548
17.8%		118,160
25.7%		170,555
37.0%		66,819
14.6%		22,040
4.8%

2021

See main article: 2021 Canadian federal election.

Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th5th
60010
10141
05200
02410
00016
|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Courtenay—Alberni||Susan Farlinger
9,276
13.39%||Mary Lee
22,181
32.03%|||Gord Johns
30,612
44.21%||Susanne Lawson
3,590
5.18%||Robert Eppich
3,467
5.01%||Barbara Biley (M-L)
124
0.18%|||Gord Johns|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Cowichan—Malahat—Langford||Blair Herbert
10,320
16.37%||Alana DeLong
17,870
28.35%|||Alistair MacGregor
26,968
42.78%||Lia Versaevel
3,922
6.22%||Mark Hecht
3,952
6.27%|||||Alistair MacGregor|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke||Doug Kobayashi
14,466
22.07%||Laura Anne Frost
13,885
21.18%|||Randall Garrison
28,056
42.81%||Harley Gordon
5,891
8.99%||Rob Anderson
2,995
4.57%||Tyson Riel Strandlund (Comm.)
249
0.38%|||Randall Garrison|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Nanaimo—Ladysmith||Michelle Corfield
9,314
13.54%||Tamara Kronis
18,627
27.09%|||Lisa Marie Barron
19,826
28.83%||Paul Manly
17,640
25.65%||Stephen Welton
3,358
4.88%|||||Paul Manly|-|rowspan=2 style="background-color:whitesmoke" |North Island—Powell River|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Jennifer Grenz
7,922
13.15%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Shelley Downey
21,670
35.96%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Rachel Blaney
23,833
39.55%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Jessica Wegg
3,656
6.07%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Paul Macknight
2,795
4.64%||Stacey Gastis (Mav.)
310 0.51%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Rachel Blaney|-||Carla Neal (M-L)
77 0.13%|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Saanich—Gulf Islands||Sherri Moore-Arbour
12,056
18.40%||David Busch
14,775
22.55%||Sabina Singh
11,959
18.25%|||Elizabeth May
24,648
37.62%||David Hilderman
1,943
2.97%||Dock Currie (Comm.)
141
0.22%|||Elizabeth May|-|rowspan=2 style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Victoria|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Nikki Macdonald
18,194
27.26%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Hannah Hodson
9,152
13.71%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Laurel Collins
29,301
43.90%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Nick Loughton
7,472
11.19%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |John Randal Phipps
2,065
3.09%||Jordan Reichert (Animal)
273 0.41%|rowspan=2 ||rowspan=2 |Laurel Collins|-||Janis Zroback (Comm.)
291 0.44%|}

2019

See main article: 2019 Canadian federal election.

Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
5011
2230
0511
0025
|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Courtenay—Alberni||Jonah Baden Gowans
8,620
11.93%||Byron Horner
23,936
33.12%|||Gord Johns
29,790
41.21%||Sean Wood
9,762
13.51%||||Barbara Biley (M-L)
172
0.24%|||Gord Johns|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Cowichan—Malahat—Langford||Blair Herbert
10,301
15.79%||Alana DeLong
16,959
26.00%|||Alistair MacGregor
23,519
36.06%||Lydia Hwitsum
13,181
20.21%||Rhonda Chen
1,066
1.63%||Robin Morton Stanbridge (CHP)
202
0.31%|||Alistair MacGregor|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke||Jamie Hammond
12,554
17.90%||Randall Pewarchuk
13,409
19.12%|||Randall Garrison
23,887
34.06%||David Merner
18,506
26.39%||Jeremy Gustafson
1,089
1.55%||Fidelia Godron (Ind.)
99
0.14%
Louis Lesosky (Ind.)
100
0.14%
Philip Ney (Ind.)
83
0.12%
Josh Steffler (Libert.)
287
0.41%
Tyson Strandlund (Comm.)
111
0.16%|||Randall Garrison|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Nanaimo—Ladysmith||Michelle Corfield
9,735
13.55%||John Hirst
18,634
25.93%||Bob Chamberlin
16,985
23.63%|||Paul Manly
24,844
34.57%||Jennifer Clarke
1,049
1.46%||James Chumsa (Comm.)
104
0.14%
Brian Marlatt (PC)
207
0.29%
Geoff Stoneman (Ind.)
235
0.33%
Echo White (Ind.)
71
0.10%|||Paul Manly|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |North Island—Powell River||Peter Schwarzhoff
8,251
13.11%||Shelley Downey
20,502
32.59%|||Rachel Blaney
23,834
37.88%||Mark de Bruijn
8,891
14.13%||Brian Rundle
1,102
1.75%||Carla Neal (M-L)
48
0.08%
Glen Staples (Ind.)
287
0.46%|||Rachel Blaney|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Saanich—Gulf Islands||Ryan Windsor
11,326
16.62%||David Busch
13,784
20.23%||Sabina Singh
8,657
12.70%|||Elizabeth May
33,454
49.09%||Ron Broda
929
1.36%|||||Elizabeth May|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Victoria||Nikki Macdonald
15,952
22.30%||Richard Caron
9,038
12.63%|||Laurel Collins
23,765
33.21%||Racelle Kooy
21,383
29.89%||Alyson Culbert
920
1.29%||Robert Duncan (Comm.)
113
0.16%
Jordan Reichert (Animal)
221
0.31%
Keith Rosenberg (VCP)
46
0.06%
David Shebib (Ind.)
111
0.16%|||Murray Rankin†|}

2015

See main article: 2015 Canadian federal election.

2011

See main article: 2011 Canadian federal election.

2008

See main article: 2008 Canadian federal election.

2006

See main article: 2006 Canadian federal election.

2004

See main article: 2004 Canadian federal election.

Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
3120
2130
1410
0006

Maps

  1. Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
  2. Nanaimo-Alberni
  3. Nanaimo-Cowichan
  4. Saanich-Gulf Islands
  5. Vancouver Island North
  6. Victoria

2000

See main article: 2000 Canadian federal election.

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Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
5100
1500
0051
0015