2024 Washington Initiative 2124 Explained

Date:November 5, 2024
Initiative 2124
Question:This measure would provide that employees and self-employed people must elect to keep coverage under RCW 50B.04 and could opt-out any time. It would also repeal a law governing an exemption for employees.
Yes:1,668,435
No:2,077,216
Total:3,745,651
Map:2024 Washington Initiative 2124.svg
Map Size:250px
Mapcaption:Yes No
Yes Text:✔ Yes
No Text:✖ No

Initiative No. 2124 (I-2124) is a ballot initiative in the US State of Washington that appeared the ballot on November 5, 2024. The initiative, if passed, would make participation in Washington's state-run long term health insurance program (WA Cares) voluntary rather than mandatory.[1] The initiative was one of six brought to the state legislature by Let's Go Washington, a Redmond-based political action committee founded by businessman and hedge fund manager Brian Heywood.[2]

Background

The program known as WA Cares has its roots in the Long-Term Services and Supports Trust Act (Trust Act), which the Washington state legislature passed in 2019.[3] WA Cares is a program is a first-in-the-nation program that provides coverage for long term care costs for Washingtonians, though with a lifetime maximum benefit that started at $36,500 (and whose cap was indexed to inflation).[4] [5] Under the Trust Act, all workers in the state would be required to contribute to the program unless they had acquired private long term care insurance by 2021. Workers pay a 0.58% tax on their income (which began in July 2023) and become eligible for the benefits in July of 2026.[6]

WA Cares became one of six issues selected by the Let's Go Washington PAC in 2025 to be included in an initiative petition campaign. The argument made by the organization was that the existing benefit was inadequate to meet citizen needs and that the benefits were not portable.[7] A total of 2.6 million signatures were collected across the 6 issues, including the WA Cares repeal effort, which cleared 324,516 signature threshold required for issue consideration for the 2024 election cycle.[8] I-2124 was the last of the six initiatives to be submitted for consideration.[9] I-2124 was certified by the Secretary of State on January 23, 2024, and introduced to the state legislature on January 29, 2024.[10] [11] In February of 2024, Democratic legislative leaders ruled out any movement on I-2124 in the legislature itself, putting the initiative on track for consideration by the public during the 2024 general election.[12] [13]

Language and Impact

I-2117 places the following question before the citizens of Washington:[14] If passed, I-2124 would create an opt-out option which would repeal the payroll tax for those opting out but also make them ineligible for the benefit.[15] However, the decrease in payroll tax revenues could create what some insurers call a "death spiral", causing the program to become insolvent within a few years of beginning to pay out benefits.

Support for I-2124

As of October 31, 2024, Let's Go Washington and the Taxpayers Accountability Alliance are registered as sponsors of the initiative.[16]

Opposition to I-2124

As of October 31, 2024, the 45th district Democratic Party, the AARP No on I-2124 Committee, Defend Washington, Fuse Voters, the No on 2124 PAC, Protect Washington, the SEIU 775 Ballot Fund, and the Stop Greed PAC are registered as opponents of the initiative.

Public Opinion on I-2124

!Poll!Sponsor!Dates!Margin of Error!Mode!Sample Size!Support!Oppose!Undecided
SurveyUSA[17] Seattle Times, KING-TV, & UW Center for an Informed PublicOct 9–14, 2024± 5%Online703 LV28%49%23%
Elway[18] Cascade PBSOct 8–12, 2024± 5%Live Phone & Text401 LV45%33%22%
Elway[19] Cascade PBSSep 3–6, 2024± 5%Live Phone & Text403 RV39%33%27%
SurveyUSA[20] Seattle Times, KING-TV, & UW Center for an Informed PublicJuly 10–13, 2024± 5%Online708 LV52%27%22%
Scott Rasmussen National Survey[21] May 20–23, 2024± 3.5%800 RV58%29%14%
ElwayCascade PBSMay 13–16, 2024± 5%Live Phone & Text403 RV47%25%28%
GBAO Strategies[22] Defend WashingtonApril 11–14, 2024± 4%Live Phone & Text600 LV41%49%10%

Results

I-2124 failed with less than 45% of ballots cast in favor.[23]

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Stang . John . Initiative 2124 would make the WA Cares insurance tax optional Cascade PBS . 2024-10-15 . www.cascadepbs.org . en.
  2. Web site: 2024-01-28 . Meet the hedge fund manager upending WA politics with 6 voter initiatives . 2024-10-15 . The Seattle Times . en-US.
  3. Web site: LTSS Trust Commission WA Cares Fund . 2024-10-15 . wacaresfund.wa.gov . en.
  4. Web site: 2024-02-21 . If you leave WA, you could still be eligible for WA Cares. But the program faces a ballot test . 2024-10-31 . The Seattle Times . en-US.
  5. News: Santos . Melissa . October 7, 2024 . I-2124 would make Washington's long-term care program optional . October 31, 2024 . Axios Seattle.
  6. Web site: Demkovich . Laurel . 2024-05-07 . WA decides: Initiative 2124 to make the state's long-term care program optional • Washington State Standard . 2024-10-31 . Washington State Standard . en-US.
  7. Web site: Lotmore . Mario . 2023-12-29 . Let's Go Washington turns in over 2.6 million signatures for all six landmark initiatives . 2024-10-31 . Lynnwood Times . en-US.
  8. Web site: 2023-12-29 . Effort to repeal WA capital gains tax, other initiatives move forward . 2024-10-31 . The Seattle Times . en-US.
  9. Web site: O’Sullivan . Joseph . Six measures Washington conservatives are pushing on 2024 ballots Cascade PBS . 2024-10-31 . www.cascadepbs.org . en.
  10. Web site: 2024-01-23 . WA's capital gains tax one step closer to November ballot . 2024-10-31 . The Seattle Times . en-US.
  11. Web site: Washington State Legislature . 2024-10-31 . app.leg.wa.gov.
  12. Web site: 2024-02-14 . Repeals of WA capital gains tax, climate policy take step toward November ballot . 2024-10-31 . The Seattle Times . en-US.
  13. Web site: 2024-02-16 . Lawmakers won't act on WA long-term care ballot initiative . 2024-10-31 . The Seattle Times . en-US.
  14. Web site: Initiatives & Referendums - Elections & Voting - WA Secretary of State . 2024-10-31 . www.sos.wa.gov.
  15. Web site: 2024-10-28 . What happens if voters decide to make WA Cares optional . 2024-10-31 . The Seattle Times . en-US.
  16. Web site: Committees Washington State Public Disclosure Commission (PDC) . 2024-10-31 . www.pdc.wa.gov.
  17. Web site: 2024-10-21 . New poll shows where WA voters stand on 3 key initiatives . 2024-10-31 . . en-US.
  18. Web site: Buhain . Venice . WA voters poised to reject two initiatives, accept other two Cascade PBS . 2024-10-31 . . en.
  19. Web site: Sowersby . Shauna . Washington ballot initiatives lose ground with voters in new poll Cascade PBS . 2024-09-17 . . en.
  20. Web site: SurveyUSA News Poll #27198 . 2024-09-17 . SurveyUSA.
  21. Web site: Square . Brett Davis The Center . 2024-06-19 . Poll indicates voter support for three initiatives on Washington's fall ballot . 2024-09-17 . . en.
  22. Web site: GBAO . May 14, 2024 . Poll Analysis: WA Voters Reject Heywood Initiatives . .
  23. Web site: Official Canvass of the Returns . . 4 December 2024.