2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia explained

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia
Country:West Virginia
Type:Presidential
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in West Virginia
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in West Virginia
Next Year:2028
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Donald Trump
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Nominee2:Kamala Harris
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:California
Running Mate2:Tim Walz
Image1:Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Florida
Running Mate1:JD Vance
Map Size:300px
Electoral Vote1:4
Popular Vote1:533,556
Percentage1:69.98%
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:214,309
Percentage2:28.11%

The 2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. West Virginia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of West Virginia has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost one congressional seat.

Republican Donald Trump easily won West Virginia a third time in 2024, with a 41.9% margin of victory and just under 70% of the vote. Having been Trump's strongest state in 2016 and his second-strongest state in 2020, another strong Republican win was near-guaranteed in West Virginia.

Despite being a Democratic stronghold for much of the 20th century, West Virginia — as a rural Southern state in the heart of Appalachia and largely within the Bible Belt — has trended dramatically towards the Republican Party in the 21st century. The last Democratic presidential candidate to carry the state was fellow Southerner Bill Clinton, who did so comfortably in his 1992 and 1996 victories. However, due to the increasingly liberal policies adopted by the Democratic Party — especially environmentalist policies — Republicans have rapidly gained traction among West Virginians, and carried the state in every presidential election since 2000, by consistently increasing margins. No Democratic presidential nominee has won even 40% of the state's vote since Barack Obama in 2008, or 30% since Obama's 2012 re-election. This marks the fourth presidential election, both consecutively and ever, in which the Republican won every county in West Virginia.

Trump's 69.98% of the vote is the highest percentage any party has won in all of the state's history, going back to 1864.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 West Virginia Democratic presidential primary. The West Virginia Democratic presidential primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside the Maryland and Nebraska primaries. 25 delegates (20 pledged and 5 unpledged) to the Democratic National Convention were allocated to presidential candidates.

Four candidates have been certified to appear on the primary ballot:

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 West Virginia Republican presidential primary. The West Virginia Republican presidential primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside the Maryland and Nebraska primaries. 31 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis.

Five candidates have been certified to appear on the primary ballot:

Mountain primary

See main article: 2024 Green Party presidential primaries. The Mountain primary (the state's Green Party affiliate) is scheduled to be held on May 14, 2024.

Only one candidate was certified to appear on the primary ballot, who will receive all 4 of the state's pledged delegates:

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political ReportDecember 19, 2023
align=left Inside ElectionsApril 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallJune 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The HillDecember 14, 2023
align=left CNalysisDecember 30, 2023
align=left CNNJanuary 14, 2024
align=left The EconomistJune 12, 2024
538June 11, 2024
RCPJune 26, 2024
NBC NewsOctober 6, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-05-01" April 13–21, 2024383 (LV)63%31%6%
Emerson CollegeOctober 1–4, 2023539 (RV)± 4.2%59%23%18%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Results

By congressional district

Trump won both congressional districts.[1]

DistrictTrumpHarrisRepresentative
71.28%26.87%Carol Miller
69.09%28.95%Alex Mooney (118th Congress)
Riley Moore (119th Congress)

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

Notes and References

  1. https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/WV/122766/web.345435/#/detail/100