2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina explained

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina
Country:South Carolina
Type:Presidential
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in South Carolina
Next Year:2028
President
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Donald Trump
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Image1:Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Florida
Running Mate1:JD Vance
Nominee2:Kamala Harris
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:California
Running Mate2:Tim Walz
Last Update:Nov. 10, 2024, 3:10 PM
Electoral Vote1:9
Popular Vote1:1,483,747
Percentage1:58.23%
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:1,028,452
Percentage2:40.36%
Turnout:76.76% 4.7%

The 2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. South Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of South Carolina has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College.

A Southern state in the heart of the Bible Belt, no Democrat has won South Carolina's electoral votes since Jimmy Carter of neighboring Georgia, in 1976, nor has it been contested at the presidential level since 2008, when Barack Obama lost the state by 9 points.

Incumbent Democratic President Joe Biden initially ran for re-election and became the party's presumptive nominee.[1] However, following what was widely viewed as a poor performance in the June 2024 presidential debate and amid increasing age and health concerns from within his party, he withdrew from the race on July 21 and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day. Biden's withdrawal from the race makes him the first eligible president not to stand for re-election since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968.

Former President and Republican nominee Donald Trump ran for re-election to a second non-consecutive term after losing in 2020.[2] Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gathered the required signatures to be on the ballot. Despite that, he dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump.[3]

South Carolina voted for Trump by a comfortable margin in the election, with him winning the state by 17.9%.[4] Trump received more than 1.48 million votes which was a record for votes cast for any candidate in the history of South Carolina. This was the largest Republican win in the state since 1988.

Trump was able to increase his support and gain ground in every county. Trump flipped Jasper County into the Republican column for the first time in a presidential race since Richard Nixon in 1972.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary. On February 4, 2023, the Democratic National Committee approved a new 2024 primary calendar, moving South Carolina to hold its race first on February 3, 2024. Due to protests to the change, the New Hampshire primary was scheduled for January 23, maintaining its traditional "first-in-the-nation" status. However, the primary was deemed non-binding, so the South Carolina primary was the first contest in which candidates could earn delegates. President Biden won the primary in a landslide, winning all 55 of the state's unbound delegates. The Democratic primary recorded low voter turnout among registered voters, with only 4% participating.

The South Carolina Democratic primary was held on February 3, 2024.

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary. The South Carolina Republican primary was held on February 24, 2024, the fifth contest in the nationwide Republican primaries. Nikki Haley, who served as the governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, lost her home state to former president Donald Trump by 20 points. Trump won six congressional districts, earning a total of 47 delegates. Haley won the, earning three delegates. The Republican primary recorded a voter turnout of 23% among its registered voters, passing its 2016 turnout record.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political ReportDecember 19, 2023
align=left Inside ElectionsApril 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallJune 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The HillDecember 14, 2023
align=left CNalysisDecember 30, 2023
align=left CNNJanuary 14, 2024
align=left The EconomistOctober 16, 2024
538October 21, 2024
RCPJune 26, 2024
NBC NewsOctober 6, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Other /
Undecided
ActiVotedata-sort-value="2024-10-28" October 5–29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%58.5%41.5%
ActiVotedata-sort-value="2024-02-15" September 9 – October 17, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%58%42%
Winthrop Universitydata-sort-value="2024-02-15" September 21–29, 20241,068 (LV)± 3.0%52%42%6%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Cornel
West
Jill
Stein
Chase
Oliver
Other /
Undecided
The CitadelOctober 17–25, 20241,241 (RV)± 3.6%53%41%0%0%0%6%
1,136 (LV)54%42%0%0%0%4%
East Carolina Universitydata-sort-value="2024-10-22" October 18–22, 2024950 (LV)± 3.0%55%42%1%2%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-05-01" April 13–21, 2024501 (LV)52%40%8%
Emerson Collegedata-sort-value="2024-02-20" February 14–16, 20241,197 (RV)± 3.0%51%37%12%
The Citadeldata-sort-value="2024-02-15" February 5–11, 20241,000 (RV)± 4.1%54%35%11%
Winthrop Universitydata-sort-value="2024-02-14" February 2–10, 20241,717 (RV)± 2.4%50%35%15%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic UniversityFebruary 1–8, 2024679 (RV)± 3.8%52%34%14%
643 (LV)54%36%10%
Echelon Insightsdata-sort-value="2022-09-07" August 31 – September 7, 2022600 (LV)± 5.1%51%39%10%
Blueprint Polling (D)data-sort-value="2022-08-25" August 24–25, 2022721 (LV)± 3.7%46%34%20%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Joe
Biden
Other /
Undecided
The Citadeldata-sort-value="2024-02-15" February 5–11, 20241,000 (RV)± 4.1%50%28%22%
Winthrop Universitydata-sort-value="2024-02-14" February 2–10, 20241,717 (RV)± 2.4%47%29%24%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Ballot changes after the primaries

On July 21, 2024, Joe Biden announced his withdrawal from the Presidential race and endorsed Kamala Harris. Harris and running mate Tim Walz replaced Biden on the South Carolina ballot.

On August 23, 2024, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., suspended his presidential campaign and endorsed Donald Trump. The Alliance Party of South Carolina removed Kennedy's name from the ballot, fielding no presidential candidate on their ticket for the year.

South Carolina political parties had until September 3 to make final changes and certify their presidential and vice presidential candidates for the state ballot.

Results

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Kamala Harris
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
%%%%
Abbeville8,50970.63%3,39928.21%1401.16%5,11042.42%12,048
Aiken53,59262.25%31,29836.35%1,2011.40%22,29425.90%86,091
Allendale81326.89%2,16571.62%451.49%-1,352-44.73%3,023
Anderson71,82873.07%25,28125.72%1,1871.21%46,54747.35%98,296
Bamberg2,37641.73%3,24556.99%731.28%-869-15.26%5,694
Barnwell5,60557.18%4,08241.64%1161.18%1,52315.54%9,803
Beaufort59,12356.63%44,00242.15%1,2781.22%15,12114.48%104,403
Berkeley64,77757.41%46,41641.14%1,6411.45%18,36116.27%112,834
Calhoun4,47456.53%3,33942.19%1011.28%1,13514.34%7,914
Charleston99,26546.27%111,42751.94%3,8291.79%-12,162-5.67%214,521
Cherokee18,69775.27%5,93923.91%2030.82%12,75851.36%24,839
Chester9,03058.05%6,35340.84%1731.11%2,67717.21%15,556
Chesterfield11,68263.52%6,52035.45%1891.03%5,16228.07%18,391
Clarendon9,06555.55%7,06443.28%1911.17%2,00112.27%16,320
Colleton10,69658.52%7,37640.36%2041.12%3,32018.16%18,276
Darlington17,01756.10%12,97742.78%3371.12%4,04013.32%30,331
Dillon6,52655.02%5,24144.19%940.79%1,28510.83%11,861
Dorchester43,83956.37%32,48941.78%1,4361.85%11,35014.59%77,764
Edgefield9,09265.32%4,65933.47%1681.21%4,43331.85%13,919
Fairfield4,79242.73%6,27755.97%1461.30%-1,485-13.24%11,215
Florence32,61553.34%27,70645.32%8191.34%4,9098.02%61,140
Georgetown22,32659.14%14,96539.64%4631.22%7,36119.50%37,754
Greenville158,45160.21%100,07438.01%4,7911.78%58,37722.20%263,316
Greenwood19,71563.83%10,76634.85%4071.32%8,94928.98%30,888
Hampton3,80146.17%4,32852.57%1041.26%-527-6.40%8,233
Horry141,71968.81%62,32530.26%1,9100.93%79,39438.55%205,954
Jasper9,90054.32%8,14444.68%1831.00%1,7569.64%18,227
Kershaw21,28963.49%11,82635.27%4181.24%9,46328.22%33,533
Lancaster33,62361.78%20,14637.01%6581.21%13,47724.77%54,427
Laurens21,11069.87%8,76929.02%3341.11%12,34140.85%30,213
Lee3,07838.11%4,50555.78%4936.11%-1,427-17.67%8,076
Lexington96,96566.01%47,81532.55%2,1231.44%49,15033.46%146,903
Marion5,90644.11%7,31654.65%1661.24%-1,410-10.54%13,388
Marlboro4,89648.23%5,13750.60%1191.17%-241-2.37%10,152
McCormick3,56557.94%2,51340.84%751.22%1,05217.10%6,153
Newberry12,06766.56%5,84132.22%2211.22%6,22634.34%18,129
Oconee31,77275.18%9,98723.63%5051.19%21,78551.55%42,264
Orangeburg13,75037.19%22,83261.76%3881.05%-9,082-24.57%36,970
Pickens45,72875.64%13,89122.98%8321.38%31,83752.66%60,451
Richland58,01931.81%121,11066.39%3,2821.51%-63,091-34.38%182,411
Saluda6,45271.58%2,45427.22%1081.20%3,99844.36%9,014
Spartanburg103,03266.22%50,71032.59%1,8551.19%52,23233.63%155,597
Sumter21,21546.97%23,42551.86%5301.17%-2,210-4.89%45,170
Union8,10265.93%4,08433.23%1030.84%4,01832.70%12,289
Williamsburg5,52438.55%8,63460.25%1721.20%-3,110-21.70%14,330
York88,23958.80%59,60039.72%2,2201.48%28,63919.08%150,059
Totals1,483,74758.23%1,028,45240.36%35,9411.41%455,29517.87%2,548,140

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Jasper (largest municipality: Hardeeville)

By congressional district

Trump won 6 of 7 congressional districts.[5]

DistrictTrumpHarrisRepresentative
55.79%42.69%Nancy Mace
56.23%42.27%Joe Wilson
70.89%27.84%Sheri Biggs
61.01%37.38%William Timmons
60.71%37.93%Ralph Norman
37.93%60.62%Jim Clyburn
62.65%34.24%Tom Rice

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Kinery . Emma . 2023-04-25 . Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision . 2024-11-19 . CNBC . en.
  2. Web site: Stracqualursi . Gabby Orr,Kristen Holmes,Veronica . 2022-11-16 . Former President Donald Trump announces a White House bid for 2024 CNN Politics . 2024-11-19 . CNN . en.
  3. Web site: RFK Ballot South Carolina . August 27, 2024 .
  4. News: 2024-11-05 . South Carolina Presidential Election Results . 2024-11-19 . The New York Times . en-US . 0362-4331.
  5. Web site: 2024 Pres by CD .