2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota explained

Election Name:2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota
Country:North Dakota
Type:Presidential
College Voted:no
Previous Election:2020 United States presidential election in North Dakota
Previous Year:2020
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 United States presidential election in North Dakota
Next Year:2028
Map Size:300px
President
Nominee2:Kamala Harris
Home State2:California
Running Mate2:Tim Walz
Party2:North Dakota Democratic–Nonpartisan League Party
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:112,327
Percentage2:30.51%
Image1:Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg
Nominee1:Donald Trump
Party1:North Dakota Republican Party
Home State1:Florida
Running Mate1:JD Vance
Electoral Vote1:3
Popular Vote1:246,505
Percentage1:66.96%
Before Election:Joe Biden
Before Party:Democratic-NPL
After Election:Donald Trump
After Party:North Dakota Republican Party

The 2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Dakota voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Dakota has three electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

A sparsely-populated Great Plains state with a predominantly White populace and electorate, North Dakota has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson won it in his nationwide 1964 landslide. Furthermore, it has only been decided by single digits in three presidential elections since 1964: 1976, 1996, and 2008. Agribusiness and the recent oil boom have played a key role in cementing the GOP's overwhelming popularity in the state. North Dakota is considered a deeply red state, and Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump won it by over 30 percentage points in both 2016 and 2020.In terms of popular vote percentage, North Dakota was Libertarian candidate Chase Oliver's strongest state, with 1.7 percent.

This was the largest Republican presidential victory in the state since 1980.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 North Dakota Democratic presidential primary. The North Dakota Democratic primary was held mostly through mail in ballots. Limited in person voting was held, and all ballots were due March 30, 2024.

Republican caucuses

See main article: 2024 North Dakota Republican presidential caucuses. The North Dakota Republican caucuses were held on March 4, 2024, one day before Super Tuesday, where 15 states and 865 total delegates were up for election.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political ReportDecember 19, 2023
align=left Inside ElectionsApril 26, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallJune 29, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The HillDecember 14, 2023
align=left CNalysisDecember 30, 2023
align=left CNNJanuary 14, 2024
align=left The EconomistJune 12, 2024
538June 11, 2024
RCPJune 26, 2024
NBC NewsOctober 6, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)June 15–19, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%62%28%10%
John Zogby Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-05-01" April 13–21, 2024300 (LV)55%37%8%
Emerson CollegeOctober 1–4, 2023419 (RV)± 4.8%54%17%28%
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Results

See also

Notes

Partisan clients