2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana explained

See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.

The 2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Louisiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.^[1]

As a Deep Southern state located largely within the Bible Belt, Louisiana has a conservative voting pattern, with the only Democrats to carry the state's electoral votes after Franklin D. Roosevelt being Adlai Stevenson II in his first bid, John F. Kennedy, Jimmy Carter in his first bid, and fellow Southerner Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas. Republicans have won the state in every presidential election since George W. Bush of neighboring Texas did in 2000, and have done so by double-digit margins since Bush in 2004.

The Republican former President Donald Trump ran for re-election to a second non-consecutive term after his defeat in the 2020 election. Trump defeated the Democratic nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris, in Louisiana by a margin of 22%. This was the first presidential election in Louisiana since 1984 where a candidate received over 60% of the vote. Trump became the first Republican to win Tensas Parish since 1988, and Iberville Parish and St. James Parish since 1972.

Primary elections

Republican primary

See main article: 2024 Louisiana Republican presidential primary. The Louisiana Republican primary was held on March 23, 2024.

Democratic primary

See main article: 2024 Louisiana Democratic presidential primary. The Louisiana Democratic primary was held on March 23, 2024, alongside the primary in Missouri.

General election

Electoral slates

The voters of Louisiana cast their ballots for electors, or representatives to the Electoral College, rather than directly for the President and Vice President. Louisiana is allocated eight electors because it has six congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot must submit a list of eight electors who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the most votes in the state is awarded all eight electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector. There are no laws on the books in Louisiana that prohibit or punish faithless electors.^[2]

These electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state:^[3]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	Cook Political Report[4]		December 19, 2023
align=left	Inside Elections[5]		April 26, 2023
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]		June 29, 2023
align=left	Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[7]		December 14, 2023
align=left	CNalysis[8]		December 30, 2023
align=left	CNN[9]		January 14, 2024
align=left	The Economist[10]		June 12, 2024
538[11]		August 26, 2024
RCP[12]		June 26, 2024
NBC News[13]		October 6, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Donald Trump	Joe Biden	Other / Undecided
Faucheux Strategies[14]	data-sort-value=2024-05-10	April 22–26, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%		52%	38%	10%
John Zogby Strategies[15]	data-sort-value="2024-05-01"	April 13–21, 2024	501 (LV)	–		54%	39%	7%
Echelon Insights[16]	data-sort-value=2022-09-07	August 31 – September 7, 2022	506 (LV)	± 6.5%		51%	36%	13%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Results

By parish

Parish	Donald Trump Republican		Kamala Harris Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
		%		%		%		%
	Acadia		21,783		81.52%		4,695		17.57%		242		0.91%		17,088		63.95%		26,720
	Allen		7,003		80.03%		1,661		18.98%		87		0.99%		5,342		61.05%		8,751
	Ascension		41,319		66.14%		20,113		32.19%		1,041		1.67%		21,206		33.95%		62,473
	Assumption		6,963		67.17%		3,273		31.57%		131		1.26%		3,690		35.60%		10,367
	Avoyelles		11,379		70.95%		4,460		27.81%		198		1.23%		6,919		43.14%		16,037
	Beauregard		13,504		85.07%		2,192		13.81%		178		1.12%		11,312		71.26%		15,874
	Bienville		3,660		58.50%		2,531		40.46%		65		1.04%		1,129		18.04%		6,256
	Bossier		37,105		71.04%		14,467		27.70%		660		1.26%		22,638		43.34%		52,232
	Caddo		44,471		46.96%		48,864		51.60%		1,364		1.44%		-4,393		-4.64%		94,699
	Calcasieu		56,064		69.04%		23,918		29.46%		1,219		1.50%		32,146		39.58%		81,201
	Caldwell		3,724		85.93%		580		13.38%		30		0.69%		3,144		72.55%		4,334
	Cameron		3,120		92.80%		219		6.51%		23		0.68%		2,901		86.29%		3,362
	Catahoula		3,258		74.93%		1,060		24.38%		30		0.69%		2,198		50.55%		4,348
	Claiborne		3,522		60.56%		2,239		38.50%		55		0.95%		1,283		22.06%		5,816
	Concordia		4,974		64.14%		2,698		34.79%		83		1.07%		2,276		29.35%		7,755
	DeSoto		9,359		67.27%		4,426		31.81%		128		0.92%		4,933		35.46%		13,913
	East Baton Rouge		82,720		43.39%		103,820		54.46%		4,103		2.15%		-21,100		-11.07%		190,643
	East Carroll		931		40.37%		1,338		58.02%		37		1.60%		-407		-17.65%		2,306
	East Feliciana		6,020		60.52%		3,809		38.29%		118		1.19%		2,211		22.23%		9,947
	Evangeline		10,483		73.95%		3,526		24.87%		167		1.18%		6,957		49.08%		14,176
	Franklin		6,524		74.15%		2,196		24.96%		78		0.89%		4,328		49.19%		8,798
	Grant		7,925		87.88%		996		11.04%		97		1.08%		6,929		76.84%		9,018
	Iberia		19,511		66.52%		9,504		32.40%		316		1.08%		10,007		34.12%		29,331
	Iberville		7,616		49.60%		7,503		48.87%		235		1.53%		113		0.73%		15,354
	Jackson		5,291		73.22%		1,852		25.63%		83		1.15%		3,439		47.59%		7,226
	Jefferson		98,810		55.45%		75,731		42.50%		3,664		2.06%		23,079		12.95%		178,205
	Jefferson Davis		11,478		79.94%		2,699		18.80%		181		1.26%		8,779		61.14%		14,358
	Lafayette		72,007		64.82%		37,170		33.46%		1,909		1.72%		34,837		31.36%		111,086
	Lafourche		34,461		80.43%		7,864		18.35%		520		1.21%		26,597		62.08%		42,845
	LaSalle		6,032		90.98%		546		8.25%		51		0.77%		5,477		82.73%		6,620
	Lincoln		11,248		61.95%		6,627		36.50%		282		1.55%		4,621		25.45%		18,157
	Livingston		55,101		83.61%		9,965		15.12%		840		1.27%		45,136		68.49%		65,906
	Madison		1,846		46.24%		2,094		52.45%		52		1.30%		-248		-6.21%		3,992
	Morehouse		5,961		59.04%		4,008		39.69%		128		1.27%		1,953		19.35%		10,097
	Natchitoches		9,100		60.51%		5,740		38.16%		200		1.33%		3,360		22.35%		15,040
	Orleans		24,119		15.16%		130,749		82.16%		4,262		2.68%		-106,630		-67.00%		159,130
	Ouachita		40,808		63.33%		22,845		35.45%		783		1.22%		17,963		27.88%		64,436
	Plaquemines		6,803		68.41%		3,023		30.40%		119		1.20%		3,780		38.01%		9,945
	Pointe Coupee		7,319		63.26%		4,132		35.71%		119		1.03%		3,187		27.55%		11,570
	Rapides		36,171		67.74%		16,537		30.97%		687		1.29%		19,634		36.77%		53,395
	Red River		2,337		62.74%		1,321		35.46%		67		1.80%		1,016		27.28%		3,725
	Richland		6,354		69.12%		2,732		29.72%		107		1.16%		3,622		39.40%		9,193
	Sabine		8,613		84.69%		1,488		14.63%		69		0.68%		7,125		70.06%		10,170
	St. Bernard		11,033		63.80%		5,967		34.51%		292		1.69%		5,066		29.29%		17,292
	St. Charles		17,443		65.37%		8,812		33.02%		430		1.61%		8,631		32.35%		26,685
	St. Helena		2,804		48.81%		2,848		49.57%		93		1.62%		-44		-0.76%		5,745
	St. James		5,902		50.06%		5,792		49.13%		95		0.81%		110		0.93%		11,789
	St. John the Baptist		6,557		34.83%		12,043		63.97%		227		1.21%		-5,486		-29.14%		18,827
	St. Landry		21,812		58.88%		14,833		40.04%		398		1.07%		6,979		18.84%		37,043
	St. Martin		17,466		69.85%		7,284		29.13%		256		1.02%		10,182		40.72%		25,006
	St. Mary		13,671		65.42%		7,011		33.55%		215		1.03%		6,660		31.87%		20,897
	St. Tammany		98,377		71.09%		37,777		27.30%		2,230		1.61%		60,600		43.79%		138,384
	Tangipahoa		37,500		68.05%		16,886		30.64%		718		1.30%		20,614		37.41%		55,104
	Tensas		1,093		51.36%		1,002		47.09%		33		1.55%		91		4.27%		2,128
	Terrebonne		31,115		75.29%		9,702		23.48%		510		1.23%		21,413		51.81%		41,327
	Union		8,176		78.05%		2,206		21.06%		93		0.89%		5,970		56.99%		10,475
	Vermilion		21,510		81.39%		4,637		17.55%		282		1.07%		16,873		63.84%		26,429
	Vernon		13,474		83.44%		2,513		15.56%		162		1.00%		10,961		67.88%		16,149
	Washington		12,846		69.61%		5,411		29.32%		198		1.07%		7,435		40.29%		18,455
	Webster		10,965		67.66%		5,053		31.18%		187		1.15%		5,912		36.48%		16,205
	West Baton Rouge		7,627		55.12%		6,008		43.42%		201		1.45%		1,619		11.70%		13,836
	West Carroll		3,986		86.60%		578		12.56%		39		0.85%		3,408		74.04%		4,603
	West Feliciana		3,923		65.30%		2,004		33.36%		81		1.35%		1,919		31.94%		6,008
	Winn		4,437		76.75%		1,292		22.35%		52		0.90%		3,145		54.40%		5,781
Totals	1,208,505	60.22%	766,870	38.21%	31,600	1.57%	441,635	22.01%	2,006,975

See also

• United States presidential elections in Louisiana
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

Partisan clients

Notes and References

1. Web site: Wang . Hansi . Jin . Connie . Levitt . Zach . Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats . . August 20, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats . August 19, 2021 . April 26, 2021 . live.
2. Web site: August 1, 2024. Faithless Elector State Laws. August 1, 2024. FairVote.
3. Web site: Candidate Inquiry . LA SOS Voter Portal . 1 August 2024.
4. Web site: 2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings . December 19, 2023 . cookpolitical.com . . January 11, 2024.
5. Web site: Presidential Ratings . April 26, 2023 . insideelections.com . . January 11, 2024.
6. Web site: 2024 Electoral College ratings . June 29, 2023 . centerforpolitics.org . . January 11, 2024.
7. Web site: 2024 presidential predictions . December 14, 2023 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
8. Web site: 2024 Presidential Forecast . December 30, 2023 . projects.cnalysis.com/ . . January 11, 2024.
9. Web site: Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 . . January 14, 2024.
10. News: Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model . . June 12, 2024 . en.
11. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024 . en . August 27, 2024.
12. Web site: 2024 RCP Electoral College Map . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024 . en . June 26, 2024.
13. Web site: Presidential Election Preview 2024 . NBC News.
14. Web site: LA statewide poll report April 2024 - Faucheux Strategies. Faucheux Strategies. May 10, 2024.
15. Web site: Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump. Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
16. Web site: New National Poll: 89% of Americans Say Congress Should Focus on Addressing Inflation, Not Breaking Up Tech. Krista. Chavez. September 13, 2022. NetChoice.