Election Name: | 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana |
Country: | Indiana |
Type: | Presidential |
Ongoing: | y |
Previous Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in Indiana |
Previous Year: | 2020 |
Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
Next Election: | 2028 United States presidential election in Indiana |
Next Year: | 2028 |
President | |
Before Election: | Joe Biden |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
After Election: | Donald Trump |
After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
Image1: | Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg |
Nominee1: | Donald Trump |
Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
Home State1: | Florida |
Running Mate1: | JD Vance |
Electoral Vote1: | 11 |
Popular Vote1: | 1,720,347 |
Percentage1: | 58.58% |
Nominee2: | Kamala Harris |
Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Home State2: | California |
Running Mate2: | Tim Walz |
Electoral Vote2: | 0 |
Popular Vote2: | 1,163,603 |
Percentage2: | 39.62% |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Indiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
Republican Donald Trump won Indiana for the third time in a row this year, with a comfortable margin of 18.9%; he had swept the state in the previous two presidential election cycles with former Governor of Indiana Mike Pence on the ticket: by 19% in 2016 and by 16% in 2020. Prior to the election, all major news organizations considered Indiana a state Trump would win, or a red state.
Indiana has a reputation for being the most conservative state in the Great Lakes region, with the southern region of the state having cultural influence from the Upper South and Bible Belt. The only Democrat to carry Indiana at the presidential level after landslide winner Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964 was Barack Obama of neighboring Illinois, who narrowly won the state in 2008. In addition, Indiana was decided by single digits in the elections of 1976, 1992, and 1996, all three of which consisted of the state being won by a Republican as a former Southern governor won under the Democratic banner.
Trump flipped the swing county of Tippecanoe, home to Lafayette and Purdue University, which had voted Republican in 2012 and 2016 but flipped Democratic in 2020. Trump also became the first presidential Republican since George H.W. Bush in 1988 to carry the Chicago exurban county of Porter by a double-digit margin and the first since Ronald Reagan in 1984 to achieve likewise with neighboring LaPorte County.
Despite Democrat Kamala Harris's loss, she slightly improved on Joe Biden's margins of defeat in a handful of suburban Indianapolis counties — most notably Hamilton, which went for Trump by less than 7% in both this election and 2020; and Boone, in which she became the first presidential Democrat to garner over 40% of the vote since LBJ, who lost the county by a mere 4.9% in 1964.[1] With Harris narrowly winning St. Joseph County, home to South Bend, this was the first election since 1976 in which said county did not vote for the winner of the nationwide popular vote.
See main article: 2024 Indiana Democratic presidential primary. The 2024 Indiana Democratic presidential primary was held on May 7, 2024. 88 delegates, 79 pledged and 9 superdelegates, to the Democratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.
In Indiana, candidates have to gather at least 500 signatures from each congressional district, for a total of 4,500 signatures, to make the primary ballot. Incumbent President Joe Biden was the only candidate that met the requirements. Uncommitted will not appear on the ballot and write-in votes are not allowed.
With no opposition, President Biden won 100% of the primary vote.
See main article: 2024 Indiana Republican presidential primary. The Indiana Republican primary was held on May 7, 2024. Nikki Haley, who had already dropped out, and Donald Trump appeared on the ballot.
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | Cook Political Report | December 19, 2023 | |
align=left | Inside Elections | April 26, 2023 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | June 29, 2023 | |
align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | December 14, 2023 | |
align=left | CNalysis | December 30, 2023 | |
align=left | CNN | January 14, 2024 | |
align=left | The Economist | June 12, 2024 | |
538 | September 23, 2024 | ||
RCP | June 26, 2024 | ||
NBC News | October 6, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ActiVote | data-sort-value="2024-10-28" | October 3–28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 42% | – | |
ActiVote | data-sort-value="2024-09-30" | August 28 – September 30, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 57% | 43% | – | |
ARW Strategies | data-sort-value="2024-09-25" | September 23–25, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 55% | 39% | 6% | |
Emerson College | September 12–13, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 40% | 3% | ||
58% | 41% | 1% | ||||||
Lake Research Partners (D) | data-sort-value="2024-09-02" | August 26 – September 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 42% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Other / Undecided | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies | data-sort-value="2024-05-01" | April 13–21, 2024 | 418 (LV) | – | 47% | 43% | 10% |
Emerson College | data-sort-value="2024-03-07" | March 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 34% | 11% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 462 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 29% | 24% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican