2024 United States Senate election in Utah explained

The 2024 United States Senate election in Utah was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Utah. Republican congressman John Curtis won his first term in office, succeeding Republican incumbent Mitt Romney, who did not seek a second term.^[1]

Despite finishing a distant second behind Riverton mayor Trent Staggs at the Utah Republican convention, Curtis won the Republican primary with 49% of the vote over Staggs and former state House speaker Brad Wilson. Democratic environmentalist Caroline Gleich won her party's nomination after receiving 93% of vote at the Utah Democratic convention. Democrats have not won a Senate election in Utah since 1970.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• John Curtis, U.S. representative from Utah's 3rd congressional district (2017–present)^[2]

Eliminated in primary

• Trent Staggs, mayor of Riverton (2018–present) and nominee for mayor of Salt Lake County in 2020^[3]
• Jason Walton, pest control company owner
• Brad Wilson, former Speaker of the Utah House of Representatives (2019–2023) from HD-15 (2011–2023)^[4]

Eliminated at convention

• Jeremy Friedbaum, piano technician and perennial candidate
• Brent Hatch, attorney, treasurer of the Federalist Society, and son of former U.S. Senator Orrin Hatch^[5]
• Brian Jenkins, window cleaning contractor and perennial candidate
• Carolyn Phippen, former advisor to U.S. Senator Mike Lee^[6]
• Josh Randall, accountant and audit manager^[7]
• Chandler Tanner, attorney
• Clark White, supply chain manager

Withdrawn

• Rod Bird, mayor of Roosevelt (ran for U.S. House)^[8]
• Tyrone Jensen, political commentator and perennial candidate (ran for U.S. House)

Declined

• Spencer Cox, Governor of Utah (2021–present) (running for re-election, endorsed Wilson)^[9]
• Greg Hughes, former Speaker of the Utah House of Representatives (2015–2018) from HD-51 (2003–2018), candidate for Governor of Utah in 2020, and candidate for in 2023^[10]
• Carson Jorgensen, former chair of the Utah Republican Party (2021–2023) and candidate for Utah's 2nd congressional district in 2020^[11] (ran for governor)^[12]
• Robert O'Brien, former U.S. National Security Advisor (2019–2021)^[13]
• Sean Reyes, Utah Attorney General (2013–present)^[14]
• Josh Romney, real estate executive and son of incumbent Mitt Romney^[15]
• Mitt Romney, incumbent U.S. senator (2019–present)^[16]
• Chris Stewart, U.S. representative from (2013–2023)^[17] (resigned from Congress, endorsed Curtis)^[18]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
	John Curtis (R)	$3,796,591	$3,607,565	$575,864
	Trent Staggs (R)	$1,247,183	$871,934	$375,248
	Jason Walton (R)	$2,882,658	$2,620,544	$262,114
	Brad Wilson (R)	$5,019,090	$4,465,090	$554,000
Source: Federal Election Commission

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Curtis	Trent Staggs	Jason Walton	Brad Wilson	Other	Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights	June 20–21, 2024	432 (LV)	± 4.7%		48%	28%	6%	9%	7%	2%
HarrisX	June 4–7, 2024	469 (RV)	± 4.5%		34%	16%	4%	12%	–	33%
				47%	21%	8%	24%	–	–
Guidant Polling and Strategy	April 30 – May 3, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%		41%	15%	2%	9%	–		33%
Noble Predictive Insights	April 8–16, 2024	283 (RV)	± 5.8%		27%	5%	2%	10%	15%		41%
Dan Jones & Associates	January 16–21, 2024	428 (RV)	± 4.74%		18%	3%	1%	8%	18%		52%
Guidant Polling and Strategy	November 28– December 5, 2023	600 (RV)	± 4.0%		40%	6%	–	11%	–		43%
				44%	–	–	–	12%		44%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Deidre Henderson	Mike Kennedy	Sean Reyes	Mitt Romney	Trent Staggs	Brad Wilson	Other	Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates	August 7–14, 2023	803 (RV)	± 3.5%	–	–	–		44%	3%	6%	32%	14%
Noble Predictive Insights	July 7–18, 2023	301 (RV)	± 5.7%	3%	5%	13%		30%	3%	5%	–		39%
8%				7%		16%	–	4%	7%	–		55%

Convention results

State Republican convention results, 2024									- style="background:#eee; text-align:center;" ! rowspan=2 style="text-align:center;"	Candidate ! colspan=2 style="text-align:center;"	Round 1 ! colspan=2 style="text-align:center;"	Round 2 ! colspan=2 style="text-align:center;"	Round 3	Round 4
Votes ! %	Votes ! %	Votes ! %	Votes	%
	1342	42.64%	1571	51.68%	1686	57.68%	1892	69.74%
- ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;"		683	21.70%	683	22.47%	721	24.67%	821	30.26%
- ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;"		411	13.06%	356	11.71%	273	9.34% ! colspan=6 style="text-align:center;"
- ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;"	Brad Wilson	242	7.69%	162	5.56%	142	4.86% ! colspan=6 style="text-align:center;"
- ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;"	Jason Walton	224	7.12%	139	4.57%	101	3.46% ! colspan=6 style="text-align:center;"	-	- ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;"	Chandler Tanner	82	2.61%	69	2.27% ! colspan=8 style="text-align:center;"	-	- ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;"	Brent Hatch	107	3.40%	53	1.74% ! colspan=10 style="text-align:center;"	-	- ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;"	Josh Randall	47	1.49% ! colspan=10 style="text-align:center;"	-	- ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;"	Brian Jenkins	5	0.16% ! colspan=10 style="text-align:center;"	-	- ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;"	Jeremy Friedbaum	4	0.13% ! colspan=10 style="text-align:center;"	-	- ! scope="row" style="text-align:left;"	Inactive Ballots ! colspan="2"	0 ballots ! colspan="2"	0 ballots ! colspan="2"	5 ballots	21 ballots

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Caroline Gleich, skier and mountaineer^[19]

Eliminated at convention

• Laird Hamblin, biologist and Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022^[19]
• Archie Williams, heavy equipment operator and perennial candidate^[19]

Results

Convention

State Democratic Convention results, 2024
Candidate	First ballot	Pct.
Caroline Gleich	795	92.5%
Laird Hamblin	48	5.6%
Archie Williams	16	1.9%
Total

Independent American convention

Candidates

Nominee

• Carlton Bowen, former American Fork city councilor and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2000^[20]

Eliminated at convention

• Robert Newcomb, engineer

Fundraising

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report[21]		November 9, 2023
align=left	Inside Elections[22]		November 9, 2023
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball[23]		November 9, 2023
align=left	Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[24]		June 8, 2024
align=left	Elections Daily[25]		May 4, 2023
align=left	CNalysis[26]		November 21, 2023
align=left	RealClearPolitics[27]		August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[28]		October 23, 2024
538[29]		October 23, 2024

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
	John Curtis (R)	$4,497,486	$4,058,071	$826,255
	Caroline Gleich (D)	$756,449	$664,929	$91,520
	Carlton Bowen (IA)	$16,084	$15,200	$884
Source: Federal Election Commission[30]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Curtis (R)	Caroline Gleich (D)	Carlton Bowen (I)	Other	Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights	data-sort-value="2024-10-30"	October 25-28, 2024	695 (LV)	± 3.7%		54%	26%	7%	6%	7%
HarrisX	October 15–19, 2024	813 (RV)	± 3.4%		55%	20%	2%	–	21%
					65%	24%	11%	–	–
Noble Predictive Insights	October 2–7, 2024	539 (LV)	± 4.22%		53%	24%	–	–	24%
					51%	21%	2%	1%	25%
		800 (RV)	± 4.0%		50%	23%	–	–	26%
					47%	21%	3%	1%	15%
Lighthouse Research	August 29 – September 19, 2024	526 (RV)	± 4.3%		53%	34%	8%	–	5%
HarrisX	August 2–9, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%		56%	22%	8%	–	14%
					71%	29%	–	–	–

Results

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

• Carlton Bowen (IA) for Senate
• John Curtis (R) for Senate
• Caroline Gleich (D) for Senate

Notes and References

1. Web site: Romney Won't Run for Reelection, Opening GOP Primary Fight. September 13, 2023. Cook Political.
2. News: Rep. John Curtis officially running for Romney's senate seat . Aerts . Lindsay . January 2, 2024. January 2, 2024 . KSL Newsradio.
3. Web site: Bates . Suzanne . Riverton Mayor Trent Staggs announces run for Mitt Romney's Senate seat . . 23 May 2023.
4. News: Irwin . Lauren . Utah House speaker joins race to replace Romney . September 28, 2023 . . September 27, 2023.
5. Web site: Brent Hatch, Orrin's son, joins Senate race to replace Mitt Romney. Bates. Suzanne. January 2, 2024. January 2, 2024. Deseret News.
6. News: Ballots & Boundaries . September 15, 2023 . . September 15, 2023.
7. News: . October 30, 2023 . These Utahns are running for Mitt Romney's seat in the U.S. Senate. October 20, 2023 . Anderson Stern, Emily .
8. Web site: Tomco . Brigham . Roosevelt mayor opts for House bid, says background in energy sector makes him 'a good fit' . . 4 January 2024 . 3 January 2024 . Roosevelt Mayor Rod Bird Jr. ended his U.S. Senate campaign Wednesday, filing instead to run for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District..
9. News: Woodruff . Daniel . Utah governor not considering run for U.S. Senate. September 15, 2023 . . September 14, 2023 .
10. News: September 13, 2023 . September 14, 2023 . Winslow . Ben . . As Romney exits, Republicans line up to replace him . Former House Speaker Greg Hughes, who recently lost a bid for GOP nomination for the 2nd Congressional District, said he was not interested in running for the seat..
11. Web site: Pignanelli . Frank . Webb . LaVarr . September 13, 2023 . Opinion: Who will replace Mitt Romney? . September 13, 2023 . Deseret News.
12. Web site: Former Utah GOP chair Carson Jorgensen jumps into governor's race. Bojórquez. Kim. January 5, 2024. January 5, 2024. Axios.
13. News: Tomco . Brigham . September 18, 2023 . The latest on who might run for Romney's Senate seat: Robert O'Brien announces his decision . September 18, 2023 . Deseret News.
14. News: 10 August 2023 . . A group of 60 members of the Utah Legislature are pushing Brad Wilson to run for the U.S. Senate seat held by Mitt Romney.. 10 August 2023 . Everett . Burgess . Adragna . Anthony .
15. News: . September 28, 2023 . Schott . Bryan . September 28, 2023 . Josh Romney won't run to replace his father in the Senate next year.
16. News: . 13 September 2023 . 13 September 2023 . Mitt Romney says he will not seek a second term in the Senate. Balz . Dan .
17. Web site: Sources say Rep. Chris Stewart, who represents Utah’s 2nd Congressional District, and Rep. John Curtis, who represents Utah’s 3rd Congressional District, have thought about running . April 13, 2023 . Utah House Speaker Brad Wilson forms committee to explore run for Romney's Senate seat . April 14, 2023 . Deseret News . en . Bates, Suzanne.
18. Web site: Schott . Bryan . Breaking: Rep. Chris Stewart plans to resign from Congress . . 30 May 2023.
19. News: . April 27, 2024 . April 27, 2024 . Utah Democrats nominate Caroline Gleich for Senate, Katrina Fallick-Wang for House. Lewis, Scott .
20. Web site: 2024 Candidate Filings – Utah Voter Information . 2024-01-06 . vote.utah.gov.
21. Web site: 2024 Senate Race ratings . 2023-01-25 . Cook Political Report . en.
22. Web site: January 6, 2023. January 10, 2023 . Senate Ratings . Inside Elections.
23. Web site: January 24, 2023. February 13, 2023 . 2024 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball.
24. Web site: 2024 Senate prediction map . June 8, 2024 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . June 8, 2024.
25. Web site: 2023-08-01 . Election Ratings . 2023-08-02 . Elections Daily . en-US.
26. Web site: '24 Senate Forecast . November 21, 2023 . CNalysis . en-US.
27. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2024 . August 5, 2024 . . en-US.
28. Web site: 2024 Senate Forecast . Split Ticket . 23 October 2024.
29. Web site: 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . 23 October 2024.
30. Web site: 2024 Election United States Senate - Utah . fec.gov . . August 4, 2024.