2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska explained

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the State of Nebraska, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The Primary elections were held on May 14, 2024.

District 1

See also: Nebraska's 1st congressional district. The 1st district is located in eastern Nebraska surrounding Omaha and its suburbs, taking in Lincoln, Bellevue, Fremont, and Norfolk. The incumbent is Republican Mike Flood, who was re-elected with 57.9% of the vote in 2022.^[1]

Republican primary

Nominee

• Mike Flood, incumbent U.S. Representative^[2]

Eliminated in primary

• Michael Connely, education advisor and candidate for governor in 2022^[3]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
	Michael Connely (R)	$0	$0	$0
	Mike Flood (R)	$1,279,065	$928,355	$357,582
Source: Federal Election Commission[4]

Results

Democratic primary

Nominee

• Carol Blood, state senator and nominee for governor in 2022^[5]

Results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report[6]		April 29, 2024
align=left	Inside Elections[7]		March 10, 2023
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]		February 23, 2023
align=left	Elections Daily[9]		October 5, 2023
align=left	CNalysis[10]		November 16, 2023

Results

District 2

See also: Nebraska's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district covers the Omaha metropolitan area, including all of Douglas County, home to the city of Omaha, Saunders County, and suburban parts of northern Sarpy County, including La Vista and Papillon. The incumbent is Republican Don Bacon, who was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2022.^[1]

Republican primary

Nominee

• Don Bacon, incumbent U.S. representative^[11]

Eliminated in primary

• Dan Frei, businessman, former member of the Nebraska Republican Party State Central Committee, and candidate for this district in 2014^[12]

Withdrawn

• Michael Connely, education advisor and candidate for governor in 2022 (endorsed Frei, switched to the 1st district)^[3]

Declined

• Robert Anthony, real estate broker (endorsed Frei)^[13]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
	Don Bacon (R)	$3,465,982	$1,929,712	$1,727,525
	Dan Frei (R)	$125,759	$84,491	$41,268
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

Results

Democratic primary

Nominee

• Tony Vargas, state senator and nominee for this district in 2022^[15]

Results

Independents

Declined

• Megan Hunt, state senator^[16]

General election

Debates and forums

! scope="col"

Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Participants
<					----> Participant   Absent   Non-invitee  <	----> Invitee Withdrawn
					Bacon	Vargas
1[17]	October 4, 2024	WOWT	Brian Mastre	[18]
2[19]	October 8, 2024	Nebraska Public Media	Aaron Sanderford	[20]
3[21]	October 13, 2024	KETV	Rob McCartney	[22]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report		November 1, 2024
align=left	Inside Elections		October 10, 2024
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		September 30, 2024
align=left	Elections Daily		October 10, 2024
align=left	CNalysis		October 7, 2024
align=left	Roll Call[23]		October 15, 2024
align=left	Fox News[24]		September 25, 2024
DDHQ[25]		November 4, 2024
FiveThirtyEight[26]		October 8, 2024
The Economist[27]		October 10, 2024

Polling

Aggregate polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Don Bacon (R)	Tony Vargas (D)	Undecided
YouGov	October 21–28, 2024	389 (LV)	± 6.2%	46%		50%	4%
The New York Times/Siena College	September 24–26, 2024	663 (LV)	± 4.1%	46%		49%	6%
		663 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%		48%	8%
SSRS	September 20-25, 2024	749 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%		50%	6%
	September 19-23, 2024	Republican efforts to move Nebraska to a winner-take-all electoral vote system for President[28] [29]
Change Research (D)	September 16-23, 2024	548 (LV)	–	41%		49%	10%
Global Strategy Group	September 9-13, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%		49%	6%
SurveyUSA	August 23–27, 2024	507 (RV)	± 5.6%	40%		46%	14%
Change Research (D)	August 10–17, 2024	2,429 (V)	± 2.2%	43%		48%	9%
Remington Research Group (R)	August 14–17, 2024	656 (LV)	± 3.8%		46%	44%	10%
GQR (D)	July 16–21, 2024	400 (LV)	–	45%		49%	6%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden withdraws from the presidential race
Torchlight Strategies (R)	July 8–11, 2024	300 (LV)	± 6.3%		46%	43%	11%
Global Strategy Group (D)	June 25–30, 2024	700 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%		46%	9%
Global Strategy Group (D)	February 20–25, 2024	500 (A)	± 4.4%	43%		46%	11%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
	Don Bacon (R)	$5,630,302	$3,638,458	$2,006,079
	Tony Vargas (D)	$6,189,421	$4,718,757	$1,524,052
Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

District 3

See also: Nebraska's 3rd congressional district. The 3rd district covers most of the rural central and western part of the state, and includes Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte, Alliance, and Scottsbluff. The incumbent is Republican Adrian Smith, who was re-elected with 78.3% of the vote in 2022.^[1]

Republican primary

Nominee

• Adrian Smith, incumbent U.S. representative^[30]

Eliminated in primary

• Robert McCuiston, former mayor of Tamora^[31]
• John Walz, mechanical engineer^[32]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
	Adrian Smith (R)	$1,236,502	$945,970	$1,205,069
	John Walz (R)	$19,932	$18,380	$1,570
Source: Federal Election Commission[33]

Results

Democratic primary

Nominee

• Daniel Ebers, hotel manager^[31]

Eliminated in primary

• David Else, farmer and nominee for this district in 2022^[31]

Results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report		April 29, 2024
align=left	Inside Elections		March 10, 2023
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		February 23, 2023
align=left	Elections Daily		October 5, 2023
align=left	CNalysis		November 16, 2023

Results

See also

• 2024 Nebraska elections

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

• Carol Blood (D) for Congress
• Mike Flood (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• Don Bacon (R) for Congress
• Tony Vargas (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

• Adrian Smith (R) for Congress

Notes and References

1. Web site: 2022 National House Vote Tracker. December 29, 2023. Cook Political Report.
2. News: Stoddard . Martha . Republican Mike Flood files for reelection to 1st District congressional seat . January 25, 2024 . . January 24, 2024 . en.
3. News: . March 4, 2024 . Republican challenger switches House races to clear NE02 GOP primary field for Bacon vs. Frei. March 1, 2024 . Sanderford, Aaron .
4. Web site: 2024 Election United States House - Nebraska 1st . May 3, 2024 . fec.gov . Federal Election Commission.
5. Web site: Sanderford . Aaron . January 23, 2024 . Nebraska State Sen. Carol Blood poised to run against Rep. Mike Flood for Congress. January 23, 2024 . Nebraska Examiner . en-US.
6. Web site: 2024 CPR House Race Ratings . April 19, 2024 . Cook Political Report.
7. Web site: House Ratings . April 20, 2024 . Inside Elections.
8. Web site: Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up . Sabato's Crystal Ball . February 23, 2023. February 23, 2023.
9. Web site: 2023-09-13 . Election Ratings . 2023-09-17 . Elections Daily . en-US.
10. Web site: 2024 House Forecast. November 20, 2023. December 29, 2023.
11. News: Diamond Eye Candidate Report . Frisk . Garrett . 21 July 2023 . 21 July 2023 . We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said..
12. News: . January 21, 2024 . Dan Frei makes it official, files to challenge Rep. Don Bacon in 2nd District. January 21, 2024 . Sanderford, Aaron .
13. News: Sanderford, Aaron . January 5, 2024 . . January 5, 2023 . U.S. Rep. Don Bacon likely to face a challenger on his right.
14. Web site: 2024 Election United States House - Nebraska 2nd . October 17, 2024 . fec.gov . Federal Election Commission.
15. Web site: Sanderford . Aaron . 2023-07-05 . State Sen. Tony Vargas announces 2024 run at Rep. Don Bacon in Nebraska's 2nd District . 2023-07-05 . Nebraska Examiner . en-US.
16. NebraskaMegan . 1639064701094035457 . This is very flattering, but I would never allow the Governor of Nebraska to appoint my replacement in the Legislature. There's no way I could do that to my district! But thanks so much for the encouragement — I'm right where I need to be. ❤️ . Senator Megan Hunt . March 23, 2023 . May 7, 2024.
17. Web site: Don Bacon, Tony Vargas debate abortion ahead of 2024 Election . 2024-10-08 . WOWT . en.
18. https://www.wowt.com/video/2024/10/04/full-video-2024-nebraska-2nd-district-congressional-debate/ WOWT
19. Web site: Bacon and Vargas join 2nd District debate on Nebraska Public Media . 2024-09-18 . Nebraska Examiner . en.
20. https://nebraskapublicmedia.org/en/watch/live/ Nebraska Public Media
21. Web site: KETV's Commitment 2024 to hold town hall and debate with candidates in October . KETV . en.
22. https://www.ketv.com/nowcast KETV
23. Web site: Gonzales . Nathan L. . 2024-10-15 . Rating Changes: 8 in the House, 2 in the Senate . 2024-10-15 . Roll Call . en-US.
24. Web site: Numa . Rémy . 2024-09-25 . Fox News Power Rankings: Harris ticks up and Senate Republicans take charge . 2024-09-28 . Fox News . en.
25. Web site: Staff . DDHQ . 2024-09-28 . 2024 House Forecast . 2024-09-28 . DDHQ . en.
26. Web site: Morris . G. Elliott . 2024-10-10 . 2024 House Forecast . 2024-10-10 . FiveThirtyEight . en.
27. News: The Economist's 2024 House Election forecast . The Economist . September 10, 2024.
28. Web site: Zeleny . Jeff . 2024-09-21 . Trump presses to change Nebraska election law, in fight for a sole electoral vote CNN Politics . 2024-09-22 . CNN . en.
29. Web site: September 20, 2024 . How One Man's Vote in Nebraska Could Change the Presidential Election . The New York Times.
30. News: Allen . Ashanti . Adrian Smith files for re-election for Nebraska's Third Congressional District . January 10, 2024 . . January 9, 2024 . en.
31. News: Nebraska Statewide Candidate List . Nebraska Secretary of State . January 5, 2024.
32. News: . January 9, 2023 . Hastings man running against Adrian Smith for congress. December 27, 2023 .
33. Web site: 2024 Election United States House - Nebraska 3rd . May 3, 2023 . fec.gov . Federal Election Commission.