2024 Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan presidential election explained

Election Name:2024 Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan presidential election
Flag Image:Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (2020).svg
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Seats For Election:740 points for the first round
371 points needed to avoid a runoff
Vote Type:Caucus
Previous Election:2021 Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan presidential election
Previous Year:2021
Next Election:2027
Next Year:2027
Election Date:23 September 2024
1Blank:Seat
3Blank:Runoff
Candidate1:Yoshihiko Noda
Color1:EA1B2D
1Data1:Chiba 4th
2Data1:267 (36.18%)
3Data1:232 (56.31%)
Candidate2:Yukio Edano
Color2:0000FF
1Data2:Saitama 5th
2Data2:206 (27.91%)
3Data2:180 (43.69%)
Candidate4:Kenta Izumi
Color4:E69117
1Data4:Kyoto 3rd
2Data4:143 (19.38%)
3Data4:Eliminated
Candidate5:Harumi Yoshida
Colour5:007F5E
1Data5:Tokyo 8th
2Data5:122 (16.53%)
3Data5:Eliminated
Leader
Before Election:Kenta Izumi
After Election:Yoshihiko Noda

The 2024 Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan presidential election took place on 23 September 2024, electing the next president of the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan for a 3-year term at the expiration of the current party leader Kenta Izumi's term. The winner of this election, Yoshihiko Noda led the party in the 2024 Japanese general election, and will led them in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election.

Former Prime Minister and President of the Democratic Party of Japan Yoshihiko Noda won the election in a second round runoff, defeating opponent Yukio Edano, former party president and the party's founder.[1] [2] [3]

Election procedure

The Rules for Election of Constitutional Democratic Party Presidents establish the election process for the CDP president.[4] To qualify as a candidate officially, a candidate must be a CDP member of the National Diet and receive a nomination from at least 20 fellow CDP Diet members.

The CDP selects its leader via a two-round election involving CDP members of the Diet, local lawmakers in all 47 prefectures, and dues-paying party members from across Japan. A total of 740 points will be distributed amongst the electorate. 370 points are allocated to national lawmakers and prospective candidates; 272 of those points are assigned to the party's 136 Diet members, including the vice speaker of both houses of the Diet, at 2 points each, while 98 points are allocated to prospective candidates in national elections, at 1 point each. Meanwhile, groups of 1,236 local assembly members across the country and 114,792 rank-and-file party members and supporters are allocated 185 points each. If any candidate wins a majority (over 50%) of votes in the first round, that candidate is elected party president.

If no candidate receives a majority of votes in the first round, a runoff is held immediately between the top two candidates. The candidate who wins the most votes in the runoff is then elected president.

Election Administration Committee

Chair
Members

Background

Following the resignation of the then-party president Yukio Edano after the party's poor performance in the 2021 Japanese general election, former 2020 leadership contender and Parliamentary Secretary of the Cabinet Office Kenta Izumi was elected in 2021, defeating former Mayor of Niseko and fellow Diet member Seiji Osaka in a second round runoff.

The main issues expected to be discussed during the presidential election are the nature of the opposition parties' joint struggle to rebuild the party and the pros and cons of the “realistic course” of Izumi's fundamental policies, such as security and energy.[5] [6]

Campaign

The race formally begun on September 7, with four candidate able to qualify with 20 sponsors: former Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda, former party president Yukio Edano, incumbent party president Kenta Izumi and first-term diet member Harumi Yoshida.[7]

Candidates

Declared

Candidate(s)Date of birthCurrent positionParty factionElectoral districtReference(s)
Yukio Edano31 May 1964
Member of the House of Representatives
Sanctuary
(Kondō)
Kuni no Katachi Kenkyūkai
(Kan)
Saitama 5th district[8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14]
Kenta Izumi29 July 1974
President of the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan

Member of the House of Representatives
Shin Seiken Kenkyūkai
(Izumi)
Kyoto 3rd district[15] [16] [17] [18]
Yoshihiko Noda20 May 1957
Member of the House of Representatives
Kasaikai
Chiba 4th district[19] [20] [21] [22]
Harumi Yoshida1 January 1972
Member of the House of Representatives
Tokyo 8th district[23] [24]

Supporters

Party regulations require at least 20 Diet members’ support to run.

Declined

Opinion polls

(Figures in parentheses are approval ratings of Constitutional Democratic Party supporters)

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample sizeYoshihiko
Noda
Yukio
Edano
Kenta
Izumi
Harumi
Yoshida
Kenji
Eda
Sumio
Mabuchi
Chinami
Nishimura
Junya
Ogawa
Seiji
Osaka
Others//
21–22 Sep 2024ANN1,01239189826
21 Sep 2024SSRC2,04430
(58)
10
(18)
5
(9)
6
(11)
49
(4)
15–16 Sep 2024Kyodo NewsN/A(58.8)(20.9)(7.6)(7.8)(4.8)
14–15 Sep 2024go2senkyo/JX99238.111.46.19.534.9
14–15 Sep 2024Sankei/FNN1,01230.815.37.36.340.3
14–15 Sep 2024go2senkyo/JXN/A38.1
(53.9)
11.4
(22.7)
6.1
(7.1)
9.5
(7.8)
34.9
(8.5)
14–15 Sep 2024Asahi1,07029156545
13–15 Sep 2024Nikkei/TV Tokyo90240
(58)
189627
13–15 Sep 2024Yomiuri/NNN1,04032148937
7–8 Sep 2024JNN1,01130.9
(53.3)
11.3
(17.9)
9.7
(8.1)
7.1
(6.5)
41
(14.2)
6–9 Sep 2024Jiji Press1,17027.5
(46.8)
14.5
(23.4)
8.5
(14.9)
3
(4.3)
46.5
(10.6)
6–8 Sep 2024NHK1,22035.314.495.64.930.7
7 Sep 2024Nomination period closes. Official campaign period begins.
31 Aug–1 Sep 2024go2senkyo1,00015.49.23.80.91.61.168
24–25 Aug 2024SSRC1,75221135211155
24–25 Aug 2024ANN1,0152714942143
24–25 Aug 2024Mainichi95027
(32)
14
(37)
7
(6)
4
(6)
221924
24–25 Aug 2024Sankei/FNN1,01720.1
(37.8)
16.4
(36.1)
6.6
(9.5)
2.5
(6)
2.1
(0.4)
1.2
(0.6)
1.2
(1.1)
50
(8.5)
23–25 Aug 2024Yomiuri/NNN1,0562515833343
17–18 Aug 2024go2senkyo/JX98722.810.610.72.22.714.936
2–5 Aug 2024Jiji Press1,19414.914.69.361.2
15–16 Jun 2024go2senkyo/JX98419.28.411.421.30.51.51.311.143.3

Results

Full results by round[29]
CandidateFirst RoundSecond Round
Diet members and candidatesLocal assembly membersParty membersTotal pointsDiet members and candidatesPrefectural chaptersTotal points
Votes cast%Points%Votes cast%Points%Votes cast%Points%Total votes%Votes cast%Votes cast%Total votes%
Yoshihiko Noda 8336.62%12834.78%34831.21%5831.35%24,08743.59%8143.79%26736.18%<--- 2nd Round ---->13257.39%2859.57%23256.31%
Yukio Edano5021.46%8322.55%42638.21%7138.38%15,45927.98%5228.11%20627.91%<--- 2nd Round ---->9842.61%1942.43%18043.69%
Kenta Izumi5523.61%8422.83%20017.94%3317.84%7,93214.36%2614.05%14319.38%colspan="6"
Harumi Yoshida4519.31%7319.84%14112.64%2312.43%7,77614.07%2614.05%12216.53%colspan="6"
Total233100.00%368100.00%1,115100.00%185100.00%55,254100.00%185100.00%738100.00%230100.00%47100.00%412100.00%
Valid votes233100.00%368100.00%1,115100.00%185100.00%55,25499.91%185100.00%738100.00%230100.00%47100.00%412100.00%
Invalid and blank votes00.00%00.00%00.00%00.00%4930.09%00.00%00.00%00.00%00.00%00.00%
Turnout23399.57%36899.46%1,11590.21%185100.00%55,25448.13%185100.00%73899.73%23098.29%47100.00%41298.80%
Registered electors234100.00%370100.00%1,236100.00%185100.00%111,792100.00%185100.00%740100.00%234100.00%47100.00%417100.00%

See also

Notes and References

  1. News: Johnston. Eric. Former PM Yoshihiko Noda elected new leader of main opposition CDP. 23 September 2024. 23 September 2024. The Japan Times. https://web.archive.org/web/20240923073917/https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/09/23/japan/politics/cdp-new-leader/. 23 September 2024. live.
  2. News: Ex-PM Noda elected Japan main opposition leader, vows to win power . Kyodo News . 23 September 2024. https://web.archive.org/web/20240923003935/https://english.kyodonews.net/news/2024/09/084c5eb995d0-japans-main-opposition-party-to-choose-new-leader-as-election-looms.html. 23 September 2024. live.
  3. News: 立憲新代表に野田元首相、決選投票で枝野氏上回る 人事で「刷新感」. 23 September 2024. 23 September 2024. The Asahi Shimbun. https://web.archive.org/web/20240923072340/https://www.asahi.com/articles/ASS9R1F3XS9RUTFK02TM.html. 23 September 2024. live.
  4. Web site: 立憲民主党代表選挙規則. Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan. 23 September 2024. ja. https://web.archive.org/web/20240923200040/https://cdp-japan.jp/about/byelaw_presidential-election. 23 September 2024. live.
  5. Web site: 立憲民主党代表選は新旧対決へ…泉氏と枝野氏が出馬の意向、「第3の候補」求める声も . . 3 August 2024 . 30 August 2024 . ja . https://web.archive.org/web/20240818060426/https://www.yomiuri.co.jp/politics/20240731-OYT1T50287/. 18 August 2024. live.
  6. Web site: 立民、安保・原発「現実路線」 リベラル系反発、代表選争点も. . 3 August 2024 . 30 August 2024 . ja . https://web.archive.org/web/20240814060246/https://www.jiji.com/sp/article?k=2024072700306&g=pol. 14 August 2024. live.
  7. News: Four run in CDP leadership race as Yoshida enters at the last minute. 7 September 2024. 7 September 2024. The Asahi Shimbun. https://web.archive.org/web/20240907111403/https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/15418579. 7 September 2024. live.
  8. News: Ninivaggi. Gabriele. CDP's Edano takes another shot at party leadership after 2021 polls failure. 21 August 2024. 21 August 2024. The Japan Times. https://web.archive.org/web/20240821121042/https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/08/21/japan/politics/cdp-edano-press-conference/. 21 August 2024. live.
  9. News: Japan CDP's Edano Announces Bid for Leadership. 21 August 2024. 21 August 2024. Jiji Press. Nippon.com. https://web.archive.org/web/20240821121042/https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/08/21/japan/politics/cdp-edano-press-conference/. 21 August 2024. live.
  10. News: Ex-main opposition CDPJ chief Edano eyes comeback in leadership race. 21 August 2024. 21 August 2024. Kyodo News. https://web.archive.org/web/20240821072135/https://english.kyodonews.net/news/2024/08/26a7a3d9562c-ex-main-opposition-cdpj-chief-edano-eyes-comeback-in-leadership-race.html. 21 August 2024. live.
  11. News: Ex-main opposition CDPJ chief Yukio Edano eyes comeback in leadership race. 21 August 2024. 21 August 2024. Mainichi Shimbun. https://web.archive.org/web/20240821194354/https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20240821/p2g/00m/0na/040000c. 21 August 2024. live.
  12. News: Johnston. Eric. CDP faced with division as it heads into leadership race. 20 August 2024. 21 August 2024. The Japan Times. https://web.archive.org/web/20240820140851/https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/08/20/japan/politics/japan-cdp-presidential-race. 20 August 2024. live.
  13. News: 立憲・枝野氏が連合・芳野会長に"出馬"を報告 野田元首相は維新との勉強会に参加「連携を見据えた動き」との見方も . 2024-08-23 . 2024-08-24 . ja . https://web.archive.org/web/20240824011802/https://www.fnn.jp/articles/-/747816. 24 August 2024. live.
  14. News: 立民代表選、枝野幸男氏が正式出馬表明「自民に代わる国民政党へ」 党改革に意欲 . 2024-08-21 . 2024-08-26 . ja . https://web.archive.org/web/20240821092226/https://www.sankei.com/article/20240821-VEV7ZO53BRL6FGBDSHDG7AIZYY/. 21 August 2024. live.
  15. News: 立民代表選 泉代表 立候補を表明「政権交代目指し先頭に立つ」. 6 September 2024. 6 September 2024. NHK. ja. https://web.archive.org/web/20240906022105/https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20240906/k10014574021000.html. 6 September 2024. live.
  16. News: Kenta Izumi seeks reelection in Japan's main opposition leadership race. 6 September 2024. 6 September 2024. Mainichi Shimbun. https://web.archive.org/web/20240906034251/https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20240906/p2g/00m/0na/015000c. 6 September 2024. live.
  17. News: 「現社長だが挑戦者のつもりで挑む」 立憲・泉代表が出馬を正式表明. 6 September 2024. 6 September 2024. The Asahi Shimbun. ja. https://web.archive.org/web/20240906022059/https://www.asahi.com/articles/ASS960H96S96UTFK00DM.html. 6 September 2024. live.
  18. News: 「現社長だが挑戦者のつもりで挑む」 立憲・泉代表が出馬を正式表明. 6 September 2024. 6 September 2024. Mainichi Shimbun. ja. https://web.archive.org/web/20240906205507/https://mainichi.jp/articles/20240906/k00/00m/010/086000c. 6 September 2024. live.
  19. News: 立民代表選 野田元首相 立候補を表明「再び総理大臣目指す」. 29 August 2024. 29 August 2024. NHK. ja. https://web.archive.org/web/20240829012652/https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20240829/k10014563251000.html. 29 August 2024. live.
  20. News: Ex-PM Yoshihiko Noda to run in Japan's main opposition leadership race in September. 29 August 2024. 29 August 2024. The Mainichi Shimbun. https://web.archive.org/web/20240829025944/https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20240829/p2g/00m/0na/014000c. 29 August 2024. live.
  21. News: Ex-PM Yoshihiko Noda to run in Japan's main opposition leadership race in September. 29 August 2024. 29 August 2024. The Mainichi Shimbun. https://web.archive.org/web/20240829011907/https://mainichi.jp/articles/20240828/k00/00m/010/278000c. 29 August 2024. live.
  22. News: 野田佳彦元首相、立憲代表選への出馬表明 地元の千葉・習志野で. 29 August 2024. 6 September 2024. Mainichi Shimbun. ja. https://web.archive.org/web/20240829011907/https://mainichi.jp/articles/20240828/k00/00m/010/278000c. 29 August 2024. live.
  23. News: 野田・枝野・泉・吉田の4氏が立候補届け出 立憲代表選が告示. 7 September 2024. 7 September 2024. The Asahi Shimbun. ja. https://web.archive.org/web/20240907022356/https://www.asahi.com/articles/ASS970H04S97UTFK01XM.html. 7 September 2024. live.
  24. News: 【同時提供】立民代表選が告示 野田 枝野 泉 吉田 4氏が立候補. 7 September 2024. 7 September 2024. NHK. ja. https://web.archive.org/web/20240909224630/https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20240907/k10014575381000.html. 9 September 2024. live.
  25. Web site: Main opposition CDP kicks off leadership race . japantimes . Jiji Press . 9 September 2024. https://web.archive.org/web/20240907053413/https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/09/07/japan/politics/cdp-leadership-race//. 2024-09-07. live.
  26. News: 馬淵澄夫元国交相、立憲民主党代表選の出馬見送りへ. 5 September 2024. 7 September 2024. ja. The Nikkei. https://web.archive.org/web/20240906010438/https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZQOUA053QW0V00C24A9000000/ . 6 September 2024. live.
  27. News: 立憲代表選、西村智奈美氏は不出馬の意向 「ためらいあった」. 4 September 2024. 7 September 2024. ja. Mainichi Shimbun. https://web.archive.org/web/20240905005445/https://mainichi.jp/articles/20240904/k00/00m/010/203000c . 5 September 2024. live.
  28. News: 立民・小川淳也氏が代表選出馬の見送り表明 「恩人の野田佳彦元首相の出馬が影響」 . 30 August 2024 . 30 August 2024 . . ja . https://web.archive.org/web/20240830075106/https://www.sankei.com/article/20240830-IBNTOQKVAFB45HBJSWG5KBUCNA/. 30 August 2024. live.
  29. Web site: 2024年9月立憲民主党代表選挙の結果に関する公告 . The Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan . 23 September 2024 . ja . https://web.archive.org/web/20240923200425/https://cdp-japan.jp/news/20240913_8259. 23 September 2024. live.