2020 United States presidential election in Louisiana explained

See main article: 2020 United States presidential election.

Election Name:	2020 United States presidential election in Louisiana
Country:	Louisiana
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
College Voted:	yes
Previous Election:	2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana
Previous Year:	2016
Election Date:	November 3, 2020
Next Election:	2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana
Next Year:	2024
Turnout:	69.49%
Image1:	Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Donald Trump
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:	Florida
Running Mate1:	Mike Pence
Electoral Vote1:	8
Popular Vote1:	1,255,776
Percentage1:	58.46%
Nominee2:	Joe Biden
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:	Delaware
Running Mate2:	Kamala Harris
Electoral Vote2:	0
Popular Vote2:	856,034
Percentage2:	39.85%
President
Before Election:	Donald Trump
Before Party:	Republican Party (United States)
After Election:	Joe Biden
After Party:	Democratic Party (United States)

The 2020 United States presidential election in Louisiana was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.^[1] Louisiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[2]

Trump won Louisiana on the day of the election 58.5% to 39.9%, a margin of 18.6%, down from 19.4% in 2016. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, his strength in Louisiana came from White born-again/Evangelical Christians as well as conservative Roman Catholics who have a high population in Louisiana, who supported Trump with 91% and 80% of their vote. On the issue of abortion, 57% of voters believed abortion should be illegal in most or all cases. As is the case in most southern states, there was a stark racial divide in voting for this election: Whites supported Trump by 77%–22% while African-Americans supported Biden by 88%–10%.^[3]

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 4, 2020. On March 13, they were moved to June 20 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.^[4] Then on April 14, they were further pushed back to July 11.^[5]

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump was essentially uncontested in the Republican primary.^[6] The state has 46 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.^[7]

Democratic primary

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[8]		September 10, 2020
Inside Elections^[9]		September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[10]		July 14, 2020
Politico^[11]		September 8, 2020
RCP^[12]		August 3, 2020
Niskanen^[13]		July 26, 2020
CNN^[14]		August 3, 2020
The Economist^[15]		September 23, 2020
CBS News^[16]		August 16, 2020
270towin^[17]		August 2, 2020
ABC News^[18]		July 31, 2020
NPR^[19]		August 3, 2020
NBC News^[20]		August 6, 2020
538^[21]		November 2, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Joe
Biden
! class="unsortable"
Donald Trump	Other/ Undecided	Margin
270 to Win^[22]	October 14–27, 2020	November 3, 2020	36.0%	56.5%	7.5%	Trump +20.5
FiveThirtyEight^[23]	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	37.1%	57.6%	5.3%	Trump +20.6
Average			36.6%	57.1%	6.4%	Trump +20.5

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin	Joe Biden	Jo Jorgensen	Howie Hawkins	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios^[24]	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	1,556 (LV)	± 3.5%	62%	36%	–	–	–	–
Swayable^[25]	Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020	378 (LV)	± 6.7%	57%	39%	4%	–	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28, 2020	2,633 (LV)	–	60%	38%	–	–	–	–
University of New Orleans^[26]	Oct 22, 2020	755 (LV)	± 3.6%	59%	36%	–	–	4%	1%
Trafalgar Group^[27]	Oct 4–6, 2020	1,048 (LV)	± 2.95%	54%	36%	3%	–	1%	6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30, 2020	2,475 (LV)	–	60%	38%	–	–	–	2%
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance^[28]	Sep 2–5, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4%	48%	42%	2%	–	No voters	7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31, 2020	2,587 (LV)	–	59%	38%	–	–	–	2%
Trafalgar Group^[29]	Aug 13–17, 2020	1,002 (LV)	± 2.99%	54%	38%	3%	–	1%	4%
ALG Research/Perkins for LA^[30] https://perkinsforla.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Baseline-LA-Statewide-Online-Aug-2020.pdf	Aug 6–12, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	43%	–	–	–	7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31, 2020	2,998 (LV)	–	60%	39%	–	–	–	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30, 2020	1,134 (LV)	–	60%	37%	–	–	–	3%

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin	Donald Trump (R)	Generic Opponent	Other	Undecided
Multi-Quest International/The Hay Ride^[31]	Jul 19–21, 2019	601 (RV)	± 4%		50%	39%	1%	10%
Market Research Insight^[32]	Apr 9–11, 2019	600 (LV)	± 4.1%		54%	37%	–	10%

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Results

By parish

Parish	Donald Trump Republican		Joe Biden Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
Parish		%		%		%		%	Total
	Acadia		22,596		79.49%		5,443		19.15%	386	1.36%	17,153	60.34%	28,425
	Allen		7,574		77.21%		2,108		21.49%	128	1.30%	5,466	55.72%	9,810
	Ascension		40,687		65.28%		20,399		32.73%	1,239	1.99%	20,288	32.55%	62,325
	Assumption		7,271		64.72%		3,833		34.12%	131	1.16%	3,438	30.60%	11,235
	Avoyelles		12,028		69.56%		4,979		28.79%	285	1.65%	7,049	40.77%	17,292
	Beauregard		13,575		82.99%		2,542		15.54%	240	1.47%	11,033	67.45%	16,357
	Bienville		3,891		55.19%		3,067		43.50%	92	1.31%	824	11.69%	7,050
	Bossier		38,074		69.66%		15,662		28.66%	919	1.68%	22,412	41.00%	54,655
	Caddo		48,021		45.77%		55,110		52.53%	1,781	1.70%	-7,089	-6.76%	104,912
	Calcasieu		55,066		66.62%		25,982		31.43%	1,615	1.95%	29,084	35.19%	82,663
	Caldwell		3,976		83.49%		745		15.64%	41	0.87%	3,231	67.85%	4,762
	Cameron		3,671		90.89%		324		8.02%	44	1.09%	3,347	82.87%	4,039
	Catahoula		3,541		72.89%		1,269		26.12%	48	0.99%	2,272	46.77%	4,858
	Claiborne		3,770		57.29%		2,731		41.50%	79	1.21%	1,039	15.79%	6,580
	Concordia		5,550		62.87%		3,177		35.99%	101	1.14%	2,373	26.88%	8,828
	DeSoto		9,112		61.83%		5,457		37.03%	167	1.14%	3,655	24.80%	14,736
	East Baton Rouge		88,420		42.47%		115,577		55.52%	4,185	2.01%	-27,157	-13.05%	208,182
	East Carroll		1,080		35.57%		1,900		62.58%	56	1.85%	-820	-27.01%	3,036
	East Feliciana		6,064		57.70%		4,280		40.73%	165	1.57%	1,784	16.97%	10,509
	Evangeline		11,053		71.72%		4,158		26.98%	201	1.30%	6,895	44.74%	15,412
	Franklin		6,970		71.71%		2,658		27.35%	92	0.94%	4,312	44.36%	9,720
	Grant		8,117		86.42%		1,157		12.32%	118	1.26%	6,960	74.10%	9,392
	Iberia		21,251		64.96%		11,027		33.71%	435	1.33%	10,224	31.25%	32,713
	Iberville		7,893		47.21%		8,514		50.92%	312	1.87%	-621	-3.71%	16,719
	Jackson		5,394		70.68%		2,143		28.08%	95	1.24%	3,251	42.60%	7,632
	Jefferson		105,949		54.69%		84,477		43.60%	3,307	1.71%	21,472	11.09%	193,733
	Jefferson Davis		11,423		76.97%		3,208		21.62%	210	1.41%	8,215	55.35%	14,841
	Lafayette		72,519		63.32%		39,685		34.65%	2,317	2.03%	32,834	28.67%	114,521
	Lafourche		36,024		79.37%		8,672		19.11%	692	1.52%	27,352	60.26%	45,388
	LaSalle		6,378		90.12%		638		9.02%	61	0.86%	5,740	81.10%	7,077
	Lincoln		11,311		58.68%		7,559		39.22%	405	2.10%	3,752	19.46%	19,275
	Livingston		54,877		84.13%		9,249		14.18%	1,104	1.69%	45,628	69.95%	65,230
	Madison		1,930		41.33%		2,654		56.83%	86	1.84%	-724	-15.50%	4,670
	Morehouse		6,510		56.25%		4,946		42.73%	118	1.02%	1,564	13.52%	11,574
	Natchitoches		9,358		56.53%		6,896		41.66%	300	1.81%	2,462	14.87%	16,554
	Orleans		26,664		15.00%		147,854		83.15%	3,301	1.85%	-121,190	-68.15%	177,819
	Ouachita		42,255		61.09%		25,913		37.46%	998	1.45%	16,342	23.63%	69,166
	Plaquemines		7,412		67.30%		3,414		31.00%	188	1.70%	3,998	36.30%	11,014
	Pointe Coupee		7,503		60.65%		4,683		37.85%	185	1.50%	2,820	22.80%	12,371
	Rapides		38,347		65.14%		19,475		33.08%	1,043	1.78%	18,872	32.06%	58,865
	Red River		2,413		58.40%		1,644		39.79%	75	1.81%	769	18.61%	4,132
	Richland		6,607		66.47%		3,225		32.44%	108	1.09%	3,382	34.03%	9,940
	Sabine		8,776		82.82%		1,731		16.34%	89	0.84%	7,045	66.48%	10,596
	St. Bernard		11,179		63.34%		6,151		34.85%	320	1.81%	5,028	28.49%	17,650
	St. Charles		18,233		63.94%		9,800		34.37%	484	1.69%	7,433	29.57%	28,517
	St. Helena		2,714		44.07%		3,346		54.34%	98	1.59%	-632	-10.27%	6,158
	St. James		5,954		47.29%		6,510		51.71%	126	1.00%	-556	-4.42%	12,590
	St. John the Baptist		7,538		35.17%		13,582		63.37%	312	1.46%	-6,044	-28.20%	21,432
	St. Landry		23,171		56.30%		17,372		42.21%	611	1.49%	5,799	14.09%	41,154
	St. Martin		18,203		67.32%		8,439		31.21%	396	1.47%	9,764	36.11%	27,038
	St. Mary		14,811		63.88%		8,055		34.74%	320	1.38%	6,766	29.14%	23,186
	St. Tammany		99,666		71.13%		37,746		26.94%	2,698	1.93%	61,920	44.19%	140,110
	Tangipahoa		37,806		65.57%		18,887		32.76%	968	1.67%	18,919	32.81%	57,661
	Tensas		1,197		46.87%		1,329		52.04%	28	1.09%	-132	-5.17%	2,554
	Terrebonne		34,339		74.26%		11,198		24.22%	703	1.52%	23,141	50.04%	46,240
	Union		8,407		75.06%		2,654		23.69%	140	1.25%	5,753	51.37%	11,201
	Vermilion		21,930		80.26%		5,009		18.33%	385	1.41%	16,921	61.93%	27,324
	Vernon		14,107		81.69%		2,898		16.78%	263	1.53%	11,209	64.91%	17,268
	Washington		13,307		68.20%		5,970		30.59%	236	1.21%	7,337	37.61%	19,513
	Webster		11,830		64.94%		6,172		33.88%	214	1.18%	5,658	31.06%	18,216
	West Baton Rouge		7,684		54.51%		6,200		43.98%	213	1.51%	1,484	10.53%	14,097
	West Carroll		4,317		85.45%		710		14.05%	25	0.50%	3,607	71.40%	5,052
	West Feliciana		3,863		61.63%		2,298		36.66%	107	1.71%	1,565	24.97%	6,268
	Winn		4,619		74.20%		1,543		24.79%	63	1.01%	3,076	49.41%	6,225
Totals	1,255,776	58.46%	856,034	39.85%	36,252	1.69%	399,742	18.61%	2,148,062

By congressional district

Trump won 5 of the 6 congressional districts in Louisiana.

Biden	Representative
68%	30.1%	Steve Scalise
23%	75.3%	Cedric Richmond
68.1%	30.2%	Clay Higgins
61.5%	37%	Mike Johnson
64.5%	34.1%	Ralph Abraham
63.8%	34.4%	Garret Graves

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

- - Web site: League of Women Voters of Louisiana . (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- . (Guidance to help voters get to the polls; addresses transport, childcare, work, information challenges)

Notes and References

News: US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?. https://web.archive.org/web/20180802011326/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html . 2018-08-02 . limited . live. Kelly. Ben. August 13, 2018. The Independent. January 3, 2019.
Web site: Distribution of Electoral Votes. National Archives and Records Administration. January 3, 2019.
News: 2020-11-03. Louisiana Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted. en-US. The New York Times. 2020-11-09. 0362-4331.
News: Louisiana postpones Democratic primary over coronavirus, the first state to do so. CNBC. March 13, 2020.
News: Louisiana presidential primary pushed back again, to July 11. ABC News. April 14, 2020.
Web site: Donald Trump, Joe Biden win Louisiana's presidential primary. Associated Press. July 11, 2020.
Web site: Louisiana Republican Delegation 2020. The Green Papers. June 23, 2020.
Web site: 2020 POTUS Race ratings. The Cook Political Report. en. 2019-05-21.
Web site: POTUS Ratings Inside Elections. insideelections.com. 2019-05-21.
Web site: Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President. crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. 2019-05-21.
Web site: 2020 Election Forecast. November 19, 2019 . Politico.
Web site: Battle for White House. April 19, 2019 . RCP.
https://www.niskanencenter.org/bitecofer-post-primary-update/ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions
Web site: David Chalian . Terence Burlij. Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020. 2020-06-16. CNN. June 11, 2020 .
News: Forecasting the US elections . The Economist . July 7, 2020.
Web site: 2020 Election Battleground Tracker. CBS News. July 12, 2020. July 13, 2020.
Web site: 2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map. 270 to Win.
Web site: ABC News Race Ratings. CBS News. July 24, 2020. July 24, 2020.
Web site: 2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes. 2020-08-03. NPR.org. August 3, 2020 . en. Montanaro . Domenico .
Web site: Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten. 2020-08-06. NBC News. August 6, 2020 . en.
Web site: 2020 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . August 12, 2020 . August 14, 2020.
Web site: Louisiana 2020 Presidential Election Polls: Biden vs. Trump - 270toWin. 270toWin.com.
Web site: Louisiana : President: general election Polls. Ryan. Best. Aaron. Bycoffe. Ritchie. King. Dhrumil. Mehta. Anna. Wiederkehr. June 28, 2018. FiveThirtyEight.
Web site: Candidate preference. www.tableau.com.
Web site: Swayable. https://web.archive.org/web/20201127001647/https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-small.html. November 27, 2020.
Web site: THE 2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IN LOUISIANA | The University of New Orleans. www.uno.edu.
Web site: TRF LA Pres '20 Oct Poll Report.pdf. Google Docs.
Web site: Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance.
Web site: LA '20 Pres Poll Report.pdf. Google Docs.
Web site: ALG Research/Perkins for LA. https://web.archive.org/web/20201101114422/https://mcusercontent.com/70dd8d69ff6d12f740d3fd646/files/e706bc9c-0729-4ed4-82e9-36bd9c49862b/LA_SEN_POLL_MEMO_AUG_2020_081820_FINAL.01.pdf. November 1, 2020.
Web site: Multi-Quest International/The Hay Ride.
Web site: Market Research Insight.
Web site: Grace Notes: How does Louisiana feel about President Trump? New poll shows a deep divide. Stephanie. Grace. July 31, 2020. NOLA.com.