See also: 2020 United States Senate elections.
Election Name: | 2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona |
Country: | Arizona |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2016 United States Senate election in Arizona |
Previous Year: | 2016 |
Next Election: | 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona |
Next Year: | 2022 |
Election Date: | November 3, 2020 |
Image1: | File:SenatorKellyOfficialPhoto (cropped 2).jpg |
Nominee1: | Mark Kelly |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 1,716,467 |
Percentage1: | 51.16% |
Nominee2: | Martha McSally |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 1,637,661 |
Percentage2: | 48.81% |
Map Size: | 210 |
U.S. Senator | |
Before Election: | Martha McSally |
Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
After Election: | Mark Kelly |
After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
The 2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona was held on November 3, 2020, following the death in office of incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John McCain on August 25, 2018. Governor Doug Ducey was required by Arizona law to appoint a Republican to fill the vacant seat until a special election winner could be sworn in.[1] [2] On September 5, 2018, Ducey appointed former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl to fill McCain's seat. However, Kyl announced he would resign on December 31, 2018.[3]
On December 18, 2018, Ducey announced that outgoing U.S. Representative Martha McSally would be appointed to fill the seat following Kyl's resignation.[4] McSally was sworn in as the state's junior U.S. Senator on January 3, 2019, less than two months after she was defeated by Democrat Kyrsten Sinema for Arizona's Class 1 U.S. Senate seat. McSally ran to complete the term, defeating skincare executive Daniel McCarthy in the Republican primary. She faced former astronaut Mark Kelly, who ran uncontested in the Democratic primary. Primary elections took place on August 4, 2020.[5]
Once a reliably Republican state, Arizona trended more purple in the late 2010s. Kelly significantly outraised McSally and led by about 5% in the average poll leading up to Election Day.
Kelly defeated McSally by a margin of 2.4% on election night, thereby flipping the seat Democratic. As a result, he outperformed Joe Biden in the concurrent presidential election, who defeated President Donald Trump by a margin of 0.3% in the state, but underperformed his polling average. Kelly became the first Democrat to win the Class 3 Senate seat since Carl Hayden won his last term in 1962.[6] This also marked the first time since the 82nd Congress preceding the 1952 election that Democrats held both Senate seats in Arizona.
Kelly was sworn in on December 2, 2020.
Incumbent McSally faced one challenger: Daniel McCarthy, a skincare company executive. McCarthy's independent wealth was expected to set up a bruising and expensive primary campaign; however, McSally won the primary in a landslide.[13]
Neither one of the write-in candidates received enough votes to secure the Libertarian nomination in the general election.
Republican
Democratic
Other
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report[50] | October 29, 2020 | |
align=left | Inside Elections[51] | October 28, 2020 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] | November 2, 2020 | |
Daily Kos[53] | October 30, 2020 | ||
Politico[54] | November 2, 2020 | ||
RCP[55] | October 23, 2020 | ||
DDHQ[56] | November 3, 2020 | ||
538[57] | November 2, 2020 | ||
Economist[58] | November 2, 2020 |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Mark Kelly | Martha McSally | Margin | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[59] | November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.8% | 44.8% | Kelly +5.0 | |||
Real Clear Politics[60] | November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 50.5% | 44.8% | Kelly +5.7 | |||
Average | 50.2% | 44.8% | Kelly +5.4 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Martha McSally (R) | Mark Kelly (D) | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos/Reuters[61] | October 27 – November 2, 2020 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 53% | 4% | ||
Change Research/CNBC[62] | October 29 – November 1, 2020 | 409 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 51% | 2% | ||
NBC News/Marist[63] | October 29 – November 1, 2020 | 717 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 52% | 2% | ||
Swayable[64] | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 333 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 45% | 55% | – | ||
Data for Progress[65] | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 1,195 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 54% | 0% | ||
Emerson College[66] | October 29–31, 2020 | 732 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 50% | 2% | ||
Morning Consult[67] | October 22–31, 2020 | 1,059 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 48% | – | ||
Data Orbital[68] | October 28–30, 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 47% | 7% | ||
Siena College/NYT Upshot[69] | October 26–30, 2020 | 1,253 (LV) | ± 3% | 43% | 50% | 6% | ||
Grand Canyon Battleground Poll[70] | October 25–30, 2020 | 910 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 46% | 11% | ||
CNN/SSRS[71] | October 23–30, 2020 | 892 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 51% | 5% | ||
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[72] | October 27–29, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 48% | 9% | ||
Gravis Marketing[73] | October 26–28, 2020 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 50% | 6% | ||
Ipsos/Reutuers[74] | October 21–27, 2020 | 714 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 51% | 5% | ||
Swayable[75] | October 23–26, 2020 | 286 (LV) | ± 7.4% | 44% | 56% | – | ||
Justice Collaborative Project (D)[76] | October 22–25, 2020 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 50% | 10% | ||
OH Predictive Insights[77] | October 22–25, 2020 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 50% | 4% | ||
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research[78] | October 17–25, 2020 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 39% | 51% | 10% | ||
Patinkin Research Strategies (D)[79] | October 21–24, 2020 | 729 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 53% | 2% | ||
Y2 Analytics[80] | October 15–24, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 51% | – | ||
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)[81] | October 19–22, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 47% | 4% | ||
Ipsos/Reuters[82] | October 14–21, 2020 | 658 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 51% | 5% | ||
Morning Consult | October 11–20, 2020 | 1,066 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 48% | – | ||
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[83] | October 18–19, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 46% | 10% | ||
Change Research/CNBC[84] | October 16–19, 2020 | 232 (LV) | – | 43% | 54% | – | ||
RMG Research[85] | October 14–19, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 49% | 15% | ||
37% | 49% | 15% | ||||||
40% | 44% | 15% | ||||||
Data Orbital[86] | October 16–18, 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 48% | 10% | ||
YouGov/CBS[87] | October 13–16, 2020 | 1,074 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 52% | 7% | ||
Ipsos/Reuters[88] | October 7–14, 2020 | 667 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 41% | 52% | 8% | ||
Monmouth University[89] | October 9–13, 2020 | 502 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 52% | 5% | ||
502 (LV) | 42% | 52% | – | |||||
502 (LV) | 45% | 51% | – | |||||
Morning Consult | October 2–11, 2020 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 49% | – | ||
Trafalgar Group[90] | October 6–9, 2020 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 7% | ||
OH Predictive Insights[91] | October 4–8, 2020 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 50% | 6% | ||
Ipsos/Reuters[92] | September 29 – October 7, 2020 | 663 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 41% | 51% | 8% | ||
Latino Decisions (D)[93] | September 28 – October 6, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 47% | 7% | ||
Basswood Research (R)[94] | October 3–5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 47% | 4% | ||
Data Orbital[95] | October 3–5, 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 49% | 7% | ||
HighGround Inc.[96] https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/7223141-HG-Poll-Prop-208-Final.html | September 28 – October 5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 50% | 7% | ||
Change Research/CNBC[97] | October 2–4, 2020 | 296 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | 6% | ||
Siena College/NYT Upshot[98] | October 1–3, 2020 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 50% | 11% | ||
Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D)[99] | October 1–3, 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 50% | 5% | ||
Targoz Market Research[100] | September 23 – October 2, 2020 | 1,045 (LV) | ± nil | 41% | 51% | 8% | ||
Morning Consult[101] | September 22 – October 1, 2020 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 3% | 38% | 51% | 10% | ||
Suffolk University[102] | September 26–30, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 49% | 11% | ||
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)[103] | September 25–28, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 48% | – | ||
Data for Progress (D)[104] | September 23–28, 2020 | 808 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 51% | 7% | ||
Morning Consult[105] | September 19–28, 2020 | ~1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 36% | 53% | 10% | ||
Data For Progress[106] | September 15–22, 2020 | 481 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 38% | 47% | 15% | ||
Change Research/CNBC[107] | September 18–20, 2020 | 262 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | 6% | ||
ABC News/Washington Post[108] | September 15–20, 2020 | 579 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 49% | 3% | ||
Morning Consult[109] | September 11–20, 2020 | 907 (LV) | ± 3% | 40% | 49% | – | ||
Hart Research Associates (D)[110] | September 17–19, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 55% | – | ||
Ipsos/Reuters[111] | September 11–17, 2020 | 565 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 41% | 50% | 8% | ||
Morning Consult[112] | September 8–17, 2020 | 900 (LV) | ± (2% – 4%) | 41% | 48% | – | ||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[113] | September 14–16, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 48% | 6% | ||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[114] | September 12–16, 2020 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 35% | 53% | 13% | ||
Monmouth University[115] | September 11–15, 2020 | 420 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 50% | 5% | ||
420 (LV) | 46% | 50% | 4% | |||||
420 (LV) | 48% | 49% | 4% | |||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot[116] | September 10–15, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 50% | 8% | ||
Morning Consult | September 5–14, 2020 | ~1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 38% | 50% | 13% | ||
Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D) | September 10–13, 2020 | 679 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 50% | 5% | ||
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report[117] | August 29 – September 13, 2020 | 1,298 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 44% | 20% | ||
Gravis Marketing[118] | September 10–11, 2020 | 684 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 48% | 9% | ||
YouGov/CBS[119] | September 9–11, 2020 | 1,106 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 49% | 9% | ||
OH Predictive Insights[120] | September 8–10, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 52% | 6% | ||
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group[121] | August 28 – September 8, 2020 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% | ||
Change Research/CNBC[122] | September 4–6, 2020 | 470 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 51% | 4% | ||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[123] | August 30 – September 4, 2020 | 830 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 53% | 8% | ||
Morning Consult | August 26 – September 4, 2020 | ~1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 39% | 50% | 11% | ||
FOX News[124] | August 29 – September 1, 2020 | 772 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 56% | 5% | ||
853 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 55% | 6% | ||||
Basswood Research (R)[125] | August 29–31, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 4% | ||
Morning Consult | August 16–25, 2020 | ~1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 35% | 53% | 13% | ||
Redfield and Wilton Strategies[126] | August 16–18, 2020 | 856 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 34% | 53% | 12% | ||
Morning Consult | August 6–15, 2020 | ~1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 43% | 46% | 11% | ||
Emerson College[127] | August 8–10, 2020 | 661 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 52% | 7% | ||
Change Research/CNBC[128] | August 7–9, 2020 | 428 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 49% | 8% | ||
Morning Consult | July 27 – August 5, 2020 | ~1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 38% | 49% | 13% | ||
OH Predictive Insights[129] | August 3–4, 2020 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% | ||
OnMessage Inc. (R)[130] | August 2–4, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | 4% | ||
Data for Progress[131] | July 24 – August 2, 2020 | 1,215 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 40% | 50% | 10% | ||
Change Research/CNBC[132] | July 24–26, 2020 | 365 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 45% | 47% | 8% | ||
Morning Consult[133] | July 17–26, 2020 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 52% | 13% | ||
CNN/SSRS[134] | July 18–24, 2020 | 873 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 50% | 7% | ||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[135] | July 19–23, 2020 | 858 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 35% | 53% | 13% | ||
Morning Consult | July 14–23, 2020 | ~1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 39% | 49% | 12% | ||
Public Policy Polling[136] | July 21–22, 2020 | 816 (V) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 51% | 7% | ||
NBC News/Marist[137] | July 14–22, 2020 | 826 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 53% | 6% | ||
Spry Strategies (R)[138] | July 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 48% | 11% | ||
Change Research/CNBC[139] | July 10–12, 2020 | 345 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 52% | 3% | ||
CBS News/YouGov[140] | July 7–10, 2020 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 46% | 12% | ||
OH Predictive Insights[141] | July 6–7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 52% | 6% | ||
Data Orbital[142] | June 27–29, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 50% | 7% | ||
Gravis Marketing (R)[143] | June 27, 2020 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 42% | 12% | ||
Change Research/CNBC[144] | June 26–28, 2020 | 311 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 44% | 53% | 3% | ||
Global Strategy Group (D)[145] | June 19–24, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 49% | 9% | ||
Change Research (D)[146] | June 20–23, 2020 | 946 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 50% | 8% | ||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[147] | June 14–17, 2020 | 865 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 49% | 17% | ||
NYT Upshot/Siena College[148] | June 8–16, 2020 | 650 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 38% | 47% | 16% | ||
Civiqs/Daily Kos[149] | June 13–15, 2020 | 1,368 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 42% | 51% | 7% | ||
FOX News[150] | May 30 – June 2, 2020 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 37% | 50% | 13% | ||
HighGround Public Affairs[151] | May 18–22, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 51% | 8% | ||
OH Predictive Insights[152] | May 9–11, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 51% | 10% | ||
OH Predictive Insights[153] | April 7–8, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | 8% | ||
NBC News/Marist[154] | March 10–15, 2020 | 2,523 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 45% | 48% | 7% | ||
Monmouth University[155] | March 11–14, 2020 | 847 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 50% | 6% | ||
Univision/Arizona State University[156] | March 6–11, 2020 | 1,036 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 48% | 16% | ||
OH Predictive Insights[157] | March 3–4, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% | ||
Public Policy Polling[158] | March 2–3, 2020 | 666 (V) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 47% | 12% | ||
HighGround Public Affairs[159] | February 7–9, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 46% | 15% | ||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[160] | January 22–24, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 45% | 8% | ||
Public Policy Polling[161] | January 2–4, 2020 | 760 (V) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 46% | 12% | ||
OH Predictive Insights[162] | December 3–4, 2019 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | 9% | ||
Emerson College[163] | October 25–28, 2019 | 904 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 46% | 9% | ||
Change Research (D)[164] | September 27–28, 2019 | 856 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 47% | 8% | ||
Bendixen & Amandi International[165] | September 9–12, 2019 | 520 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 42% | 16% | ||
OH Predictive Insights[166] | August 13–14, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 13% | ||
Fabrizio Ward/AARP[167] | July 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | 11% | ||
OH Predictive Insights[168] | May 1–2, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | 11% | ||
OH Predictive Insights[169] | February 12–13, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
with Daniel McCarthy and Mark Kelly
with Ruben Gallego
on whether McSally deserves to be re-elected
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Yes | No | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio Ward/AARP | July 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 45% | 16% | ||
Public Policy Polling[171] https://web.archive.org/web/20190731111019/https://static1.squarespace.com/static/577d34d137c58194f7d3f055/t/5c5350fafa0d606e87774032/1548964090476/ArizonaResults.pdf | January 24–25, 2019 | 682 (V) | – | 40% | 54% | 6% |
with generic Republican and generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OH Predictive Insights | October 4–8, 2020 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% | ||
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart[172] | September 23 – October 2, 2020 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 42% | 14% | ||
Data For Progress | September 15–22, 2020 | 481 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 42% | 15% | ||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | September 10–15, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 44% | 50% | 6% | ||
Emerson College | August 8–10, 2020 | 661 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 46% | 13% | ||
OnMessage Inc. (R) | August 2–4, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 43% | 14% | ||
Climate Nexus[173] | Feb 11–15, 2020 | 539 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 44% | 12% | ||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | Jan 22–24, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 45% | 6% | ||
OH Predictive Insights | December 3–4, 2019 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 44% | 11% | ||
Fabrizio Ward/AARP | July 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | 14% | ||
OH Predictive Insights[174] | February 12–13, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 39% | 17% |
County | Mark Kelly Democratic | Martha McSally Republican | Write-in | Margin | Total votes | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
data-sort-type="number" | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | data-sort-type="number" | % | ||||||||
Apache | 24,050 | 68.47 | 11,052 | 31.47 | 22 | 0.06 | 12,998 | 37.01 | 35,124 | ||||||||||
Cochise | 24,843 | 41.35 | 35,214 | 58.61 | 29 | 0.05 | -10,371 | -17.26 | 60,086 | ||||||||||
Coconino | 45,561 | 62.54 | 27,255 | 37.41 | 29 | 0.04 | 18,306 | 25.13 | 72,845 | ||||||||||
Gila | 9,648 | 35.02 | 17,889 | 64.94 | 11 | 0.04 | -8,241 | -29.91 | 27,548 | ||||||||||
Graham | 4,506 | 30.42 | 10,303 | 69.55 | 4 | 0.03 | -5,797 | -39.13 | 14,813 | ||||||||||
Greenlee | 1,403 | 38.65 | 2,225 | 61.29 | 2 | 0.06 | -822 | -22.66 | 3,630 | ||||||||||
La Paz | 2,492 | 34.00 | 4,835 | 65.97 | 2 | 0.03 | -2,343 | -31.97 | 7,329 | ||||||||||
Maricopa | 1,064,396 | 51.94 | 984,203 | 48.03 | 698 | 0.03 | 80,193 | 3.91 | 2,049,297 | ||||||||||
Mohave | 27,414 | 26.66 | 75,359 | 73.29 | 49 | 0.05 | -47,945 | -46.63 | 102,822 | ||||||||||
Navajo | 24,396 | 47.49 | 26,952 | 52.47 | 21 | 0.04 | -2,556 | -4.98 | 51,369 | ||||||||||
Pima | 309,142 | 59.84 | 207,317 | 40.13 | 152 | 0.03 | 101,825 | 19.71 | 516,611 | ||||||||||
Pinal | 79,114 | 43.18 | 104,048 | 56.78 | 76 | 0.04 | -24,934 | -13.61 | 183,238 | ||||||||||
Santa Cruz | 13,689 | 70.65 | 5,685 | 29.34 | 2 | 0.01 | 8,004 | 41.31 | 19,376 | ||||||||||
Yavapai | 51,852 | 36.49 | 90,180 | 63.47 | 57 | 0.04 | -38,328 | -26.97 | 142,089 | ||||||||||
Yuma | 33,961 | 49.13 | 35,144 | 50.84 | 15 | 0.02 | -1,183 | -1.71 | 69,120 | ||||||||||
Totals | 1,716,467 | 51.16 | 1,637,661 | 48.81 | 1,189 | 0.03 | 78,826 | 2.35 | 3,355,317 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic[175]
Kelly won 5 of the 9 congressional districts.[176]
District | McSally | Kelly | Representative | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
48% | 52% | Tom O'Halleran | |||
44% | 56% | Ann Kirkpatrick | |||
35% | 65% | ||||
67% | 33% | Paul Gosar | |||
56% | 44% | Andy Biggs | |||
52% | 48% | David Schweikert | |||
24% | 76% | ||||
57% | 43% | Debbie Lesko | |||
38% | 62% | Greg Stanton | |||
Partisan clients
Official campaign websites