2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire explained

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Overview

scope=col rowspan=3	District	scope=col colspan=2	Democratic	scope=col colspan=2	Republican	scope=col colspan=2	Others	scope=col colspan=2	Total	scope=col rowspan=3	Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"	!	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"	!	scope=col colspan=2	!	scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	% !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	% !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	% !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	%
	205,606	51.32%	185,159	46.21%	9,896	2.47%	400,661	100.0%	Democratic hold
	208,289	53.91%	168,886	43.70%	9,266	2.40%	386,441	100.0%	Democratic hold
Total	413,469	52.59%	353,650	44.98%	19,136	2.43%	787,102	100.0%

District 1

See also: New Hampshire's 1st congressional district. The 1st district is based in southeastern New Hampshire, and includes Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. The incumbent was Democrat Chris Pappas, who was elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2018.^[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Chris Pappas, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Matt Mowers, former executive director of the New Hampshire Republican Party and former U.S. State Department staffer^[2]

Eliminated in primary

• Michael Callis^[3]
• Jeff Denaro^[3]
• Matt Mayberry, U.S. Air Force veteran and former Dover city councilor^[4]
• Kevin Rondeau^[3]

Withdrawn

• William Fowler, state representative (endorsed Mowers)^[5]

Declined

• Eddie Edwards, former police chief of South Hampton, former chief of the New Hampshire State Division of Liquor Enforcement, and nominee for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2018^[6]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Matt Mayberry	Matt Mowers	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire[7]	August 28 – September 1, 2020	323 (LV)	–	17%		48%	0%	34%
Saint Anselm College[8]	August 15–17, 2020	261 (RV)	± 6.1%	12%		23%	8%		57%

Primary results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Zachary Dumont, Newmarket town councilor^[10]

General election

Debates

2022 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district debates

	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Republican	Libertarian
Key: Participant  Absent  Not invited  Invited Withdrawn
					Chris Pappas	Matt Mowers	Zachary Dumont
1	October 7, 2020	NHPR New Hampshire PBS	Peter Biello Laura Knoy	[11]
1	October 21, 2020	New Hampshire Institute of Politics WMUR		[12]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report[13]		August 14, 2020
align=left	Inside Elections[14]		August 7, 2020
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]		October 8, 2020
Politico[16]		July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[17]		October 26, 2020
RCP[18]		June 9, 2020
Niskanen[19]		July 26, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Chris Pappas (D)	Matt Mowers (R)	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire[20]	October 24–28, 2020	451 (LV)	± 4.6%	48%		50%	2%	0%
Saint Anselm College[21]	October 23–26, 2020	560 (LV)	± 4.1%		49%	44%	2%	5%
University of New Hampshire[22]	October 9–12, 2020	477 (LV)	± 4.5%		53%	43%	1%	3%
Saint Anselm College[23]	October 1–4, 2020	595 (LV)	± 4%		49%	41%	3%	7%
University of New Hampshire[24]	September 24–28, 2020	504 (LV)	± 4.4%		56%	38%	2%	4%
University of New Hampshire	August 28 – September 1, 2020	925 (LV)	–		52%	34%	2%	12%

with Matt Mayberry

Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Other	Undecided
Saint Anselm College[25]	June 13–16, 2020	567 (RV)	± 4.1%		48%	42%	2%	8%
Saint Anselm College[26]	April 23–27, 2020	442 (RV)	± 4.7%		49%	43%	1%	6%

Results

District 2

See also: New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district encompasses western and northern New Hampshire, and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. The incumbent was Democrat Annie Kuster, who was re-elected with 55.3% of the vote in 2018.^[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Annie Kuster, incumbent U.S. representative^[27]

Eliminated in primary

• Joseph Mirzoeff

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Steve Negron, former state representative and nominee for this seat in 2018

Eliminated in primary

• Matthew Bjelobrk, Haverhill town selectman^[28]
• Lynne Blankenbeker, former state representative and candidate for this district in 2018^[29]
• Eli Clemmer, school media specialist^{[30] [31]}

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Lynn Blankenbeker	Steve Negron	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire	August 28 – September 1, 2020	367 (LV)	–	20%		50%	1%	29%
Saint Anselm College	August 15–17, 2020	216 (RV)	± 6.7%	15%		37%	4%		44%

Endorsements

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

• Andrew Olding^[28]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report		August 5, 2020
align=left	Inside Elections		August 7, 2020
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		July 23, 2020
Politico		July 6, 2020
Daily Kos		July 21, 2020
RCP		October 24, 2020
Niskanen		July 26, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Annie Kuster (D)	Steve Negron (R)	Andrew Olding (L)	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire	October 24–28, 2020	451 (LV)	± 4.6%		51%	41%	7%	0%	1%
Saint Anselm College	October 23–26, 2020	458 (LV)	± 4.6%		54%	39%	3%	1%	3%
University of New Hampshire	October 9–12, 2020	410 (LV)	± 4.8%		49%	45%	2%	0%	3%
Saint Anselm College	October 1–4, 2020	552 (LV)	± 4.1%		52%	38%	4%	2%	5%
University of New Hampshire	September 24–28, 2020	463 (LV)	± 4.5%		48%	42%	5%	0%	5%
University of New Hampshire	August 28 – September 1, 2020	917 (LV)	–		52%	40%	2%	3%	4%

with Lynne Blankenbeker

Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Other	Undecided
Saint Anselm College	Jun 13–16, 2020	505 (RV)	± 4.4%	44%	44%	3%	9%
Saint Anselm College	Apr 23–27, 2020	378 (RV)	± 5%		47%	41%	5%	7%

Results

See also

• 2020 New Hampshire elections

External links

• • • Web site: League of Women Voters of New Hampshire . (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

• Zachary Dumont (L) for Congress
• Matt Mowers (R) for Congress
• Chris Pappas (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• Annie Kuster (D) for Congress
• Steve Negron (R) for Congress

Notes and References

1. Web site: Wasserman. David. Flinn. Ally. 2018 House Popular Vote Tracker. Cook Political Report. November 7, 2018. February 15, 2019. April 3, 2019. https://web.archive.org/web/20190403141334/https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WxDaxD5az6kdOjJncmGph37z0BPNhV1fNAH_g7IkpC0/htmlview. dead.
2. Web site: Sexton . Adam . Republicans Mayberry, Mowers push for chance to unseat Pappas in First Congressional District . WMUR 9 . August 29, 2020 . August 26, 2020.
3. Web site: Markos . Mary . 2020 Voter's Guide: How to Cast a Ballot in New England During the Pandemic . New England Cable News . August 29, 2020 . August 21, 2020.
4. Web site: DiStaso . John . NH Primary Source: Republican Matt Mayberry says he'll run for 1st District US House seat . WMUR 9 . December 9, 2019 . December 5, 2019.
5. Web site: DiStaso . John . NH Primary Source: Fowler ends US House campaign, endorses Mowers . WMUR . WMUR9 . April 9, 2020.
6. News: DiStaso. John. NH Primary Source: Eddie Edwards is being urged to run again for US House. WMUR. January 17, 2019. February 15, 2019.
7. https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1606&context=survey_center_polls University of New Hampshire
8. https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/Documents/NHIOP/August%202020%20Summary.pdf Saint Anselm College
9. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vVQTrhW3USY YouTube
10. Web site: DiStaso . John . Libertarian Party says it has enough certified petitions for its candidates to appear on Nov. ballot . WMUR 9 . August 29, 2020 . August 27, 2020.
11. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVlv_zzQH8o YouTube
12. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UlUmipjzdX8 YouTube
13. Web site: 2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019 . The Cook Political Report . September 20, 2019.
14. Web site: 2020 Senate Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . October 3, 2019.
15. Web site: 2020 Senate race ratings . Sabato's Crystal Ball . August 28, 2019 . August 22, 2019 . https://web.archive.org/web/20190822073139/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/ . dead .
16. Web site: 2020 Election Forecast. November 19, 2019 . Politico.
17. Web site: Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020 . Daily Kos Elections. February 28, 2020.
18. Web site: Battle for White House. April 19, 2019 . RCP.
19. Web site: 2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections. April 28, 2020. Niskanen Center. May 1, 2020. June 21, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200621124503/https://www.niskanencenter.org/negative-partisanship-and-the-2020-congressional-elections/. dead.
20. https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1624&context=survey_center_polls University of New Hampshire
21. https://htv-prod-media.s3.amazonaws.com/files/saintanselmlateoctoberpoll-1604003692.pdf Saint Anselm College
22. https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1619&context=survey_center_polls University of New Hampshire
23. https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/Documents/NHIOP/Polls/October%202020%20FullResults.pdf Saint Anselm College
24. https://scholars.unh.edu/survey_center_polls/613/ University of New Hampshire
25. https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/Documents/NHIOP/Polls/June%202020%20Survey.pdf Saint Anselm College
26. https://htv-prod-media.s3.amazonaws.com/files/stanselmpollapril2020-1588192419.pdf Saint Anselm College
27. Web site: Home - Annie Kuster for Congress. www.kusterforcongress.com.
28. Web site: Rooney . Jack . Four Republicans seek Congressional seat in NH-2 . Sentinel Source . August 29, 2020 . August 29, 2020.
29. News: Steinhauser. Paul. On the trail: Blankenbeker launches 2020 congressional bid, Gabbard accuses Dems of election rigging. October 10, 2019. October 28, 2019.
30. Web site: Clemmer For NH. Clemmer For NH. 2020-02-19. February 22, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200222015547/https://clemmerforcongress.com/. dead.
31. Web site: Berlin 1-14-20. The Berlin Sun. 2020-02-19.
32. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FebDuay1VJ4 YouTube