2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi explained

Election Name:2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi
Country:Mississippi
Flag Image:Flag of Mississippi (2001–2020).svg
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 United States Senate election in Mississippi
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi
Next Year:2024
Election Date:November 6, 2018
Turnout:49.7%
Image1:File:Roger F. Wicker crop.jpg
Nominee1:Roger Wicker
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:547,619
Percentage1:58.49%
Nominee2:David Baria
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:369,567
Percentage2:39.47%
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Roger Wicker
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Roger Wicker
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Incumbent Republican Roger Wicker was re-elected to a second full term, defeating his Democratic challenger, David Baria.

The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018, with a runoff on June 26 if a party's primary fails to produce a majority winner.[1] The race took place on the same day as the nonpartisan jungle primary for the other U.S. Senate seat in Mississippi, which was vacated by Thad Cochran in the spring of 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Roger
Wicker		Chris
McDaniel		Tate
Reeves		Undecided
Triumph Campaigns[11] April 10–11, 2018446– align=center66%16%–18%
JMC Analytics[12] February 15–17, 2018500± 4.4% align=center38%–15% align=center47%
align=center38%20%– align=center42%
Mason-Dixon[13] December 13–15, 2017400± 5.0% align=center49%33%–18%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Wicker)[14] April 22–25, 2017500± 4.2% align=center55%30%–14%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		David
Baria		Chuck
Espy		Jim
Hood		Bennie
Thompson		Undecided
Triumph Campaigns[23] January 29, 20182,145± 1.8%––33% align=center47%20%
10% align=center34%–– align=center56%

Results

Runoff results

Independents and third party candidates

Libertarian Party

Declared

Reform Party

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[25] October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[26] November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] November 5, 2018
Fox News[28] July 9, 2018
CNN[29] July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[30] June 2018

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2018
CandidateTotal receiptsTotal disbursementsCash on hand
Roger Wicker (R)$5,349,028$3,831,418$3,138,044
David Baria (D)$532,629$528,325$72,922
Source: Federal Election Commission[31]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Roger
Wicker (R)		David
Baria (D)		Danny
Bedwell (L)		OtherUndecided
Change Research[32] November 2–4, 20181,003– align=center48%40%5%3%[33] –
Marist College[34] October 13–18, 2018511 LV± 6.1% align=center57%31%2%2%[35] 9%
align=center60%32%–2%7%
856 RV± 4.7% align=center54%30%3%2%10%
align=center57%32%–2%9%
SurveyMonkey[36] September 9–24, 2018985± 4.3% align=center43%29%––27%
Triumph Campaigns[37] July 30–31, 20182,100± 3.5% align=center53%32%1%2%[38] 12%
Triumph CampaignsApril 10–11, 20181,000± 3.0% align=center48%31%––21%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Wicker won 3 of 4 congressional districts.[39]

DistrictWickerBariaRepresentative
66%32%Trent Kelly
38%61%Bennie Thompson
62%36%Michael Guest
68%30%Steven Palazzo

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. News: United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2018 – Ballotpedia. March 3, 2017. en-US. April 21, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170421135121/https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_Mississippi,_2018. live.
  2. Web site: Former President Bush to attend private event in Jackson. Starkville Daily News. June 1, 2017. June 5, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20180612140121/https://www.starkvilledailynews.com/content/former-president-bush-attend-private-event-jackson. June 12, 2018. dead.
  3. Web site: Candidacy form . docquery.fec.gov . 2018-02-15 . 2018-02-16 . https://web.archive.org/web/20180216085014/http://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/962/201802130200160962/201802130200160962.pdf . live .
  4. Web site: Some post-Trump political prognostics. The Clarion-Ledger. Pender. Geoff. November 16, 2015. December 6, 2016. October 13, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20211013235610/https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/politicalledger/2016/11/15/trump-political-prognostics/93930364/. live.
  5. Web site: Precursor to 2018? Coordinated effort by McDaniel, Sojourner, Walters to malign Sen. @RogerWicker. Yall Politics. November 14, 2015. December 6, 2016. December 20, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20161220224239/http://yallpolitics.com/index.php/yp/post/45390/. live.
  6. Web site: Will Tupelo's Wicker face McDaniel challenge in 2018 Senate race?. Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal. Harrison. Bobby. July 9, 2017. July 17, 2017. July 16, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170716112853/http://www.djournal.com/news/state-news/will-tupelo-s-wicker-face-mcdaniel-challenge-in-senate-race/article_9cbe55f3-4917-5fda-afb5-0d11af850fbb.html. live.
  7. News: GOP showdown: McDaniel expected to challenge Wicker for Senate. . 2018-02-26. 2018-02-27. https://web.archive.org/web/20180227030653/https://www.politico.com/story/2018/02/26/gop-showdown-mcdaniel-to-challenge-wicker-for-senate-425356. live.
  8. Web site: McDaniel makes GOP Senate challenge official in Miss.. Ian. Swanson. 28 February 2018. 28 February 2018. 1 March 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180301044128/http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/376063-mcdaniel-makes-mississippi-primary-bid-official. live.
  9. Web site: McDaniel to Run for Open Mississippi Senate Seat – Chris McDaniel for US Senate. 14 March 2018. 14 March 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180315114454/https://mcdaniel2018.com/2018/03/14/mcdaniel-run-open-mississippi-senate-seat/. 15 March 2018. dead.
  10. Web site: Senator Chris McDaniel. www.facebook.com. 2018-03-14. 2021-03-08. https://web.archive.org/web/20210308090559/https://www.facebook.com/senatormcdaniel/posts/1773046812759199. live.
  11. https://scribd.com/document/376522205/Yall-Politics-Statewide-US-Senate-Poll-Results-mssen Triumph Campaigns
  12. http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/Mississippi-Executive-Summary-1.pdf JMC Analytics
  13. https://www.scribd.com/document/367602305/Mason-Dixon-Mississippi-Poll-122017 Mason-Dixon
  14. https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2017/05/21/has-chris-mcdaniels-star-faded/333815001/ Public Opinion Strategies (R-Wicker)
  15. Web site: Dovere. Edward-Isaac. Edward-Isaac Dovere. Democrat David Baria enters Senate race in Mississippi. POLITICO. February 28, 2018. March 29, 2018. March 7, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180307223837/https://www.politico.com/story/2018/02/28/mississippi-senate-democrat-baria-430825. live.
  16. Web site: BOHREN, JENSEN MR - Candidate overview - FEC.gov. FEC.gov. 2017-06-30. 2017-08-11. https://web.archive.org/web/20170811110457/https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/S8MS00220/. live.
  17. Web site: Omeria Scott running for US Senate. WTOK.com. en. March 1, 2018. March 29, 2018. March 29, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180329184803/http://www.wtok.com/content/news/Omeria-Scott-running-for-US-Senate-475608403.html. live.
  18. News: 2 Democrats — state lawmaker, Sela Ward's husband — enter #MSSEN race . Hall . Sam R. . February 28, 2018 . . February 28, 2018 . Pender . Geoff . October 13, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20211013235609/https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/politics/2018/02/28/democrat-david-baria-running-u-s-senate-face-winner-roger-wicker-chris-mcdaniel-gop-primary/382814002/ . live .
  19. News: Here are a few Democrats who could make a U.S. Senate run in Mississippi. The Clarion Ledger. 2017-12-29. en. 2021-10-13. https://web.archive.org/web/20211013235610/https://www.clarionledger.com/story/opinion/columnists/2017/12/22/democrats-who-could-make-u-s-senate-run-mississippi/977223001/. live.
  20. News: Millennial Democrat enters 4th Congressional District race. sunherald. 2017-12-29. en. 2017-12-29. https://web.archive.org/web/20171229233011/http://www.sunherald.com/news/politics-government/election/article182533731.html. live.
  21. Web site: Presley could be hope for Democrats under right circumstances. Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal. Harrison. Bobby. October 19, 2017. October 19, 2017. October 19, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20171019081032/http://www.djournal.com/opinion/bobby-harrison-presley-could-be-hope-for-democrats-under-right/article_c0bcbd0f-9058-5cf8-b8a3-ec5543eaa8d9.html. live.
  22. News: Dovere. Edward-Isaac. Top Democratic recruit passes on Mississippi Senate run. January 18, 2018. Politico. January 18, 2018. January 18, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180118195837/https://www.politico.com/story/2018/01/18/brandon-presley-no-mississippi-senate-bid-345708. live.
  23. https://web.archive.org/web/20180206182549/http://yallpolitics.com/2018/02/05/new-yall-politics-poll-of-ms-dems-shows-jim-hood-is-potentially-vulnerable-in-a-primary/ Triumph Campaigns
  24. Web site: Qualifying list . www.sos.ms.gov . 2018-04-09 . 2020-11-25 . https://web.archive.org/web/20201125230404/https://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Documents/QualifyingForms/2018%20Candidate%20Qualifying.pdf . live .
  25. Web site: 2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018. The Cook Political Report. March 13, 2021. February 5, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210205112138/https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/187540. live.
  26. Web site: 2018 Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. March 13, 2021. September 12, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210912235626/https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2018-senate-ratings-november-1-2018. live.
  27. Web site: 2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings. Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 11, 2017. October 12, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20171012072206/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2018-senate/. live.
  28. Web site: 2018 Senate Power Rankings. . July 10, 2018. July 4, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180704201036/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/midterms-2018.html. live.
  29. Web site: Key Races: Senate. July 15, 2018. June 14, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180614221216/https://edition.cnn.com/election/2018/key-races/senate. live.
  30. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2018. July 15, 2018. July 9, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180709194218/https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/2018_elections_senate_map.html. live.
  31. Web site: Campaign finance data. July 27, 2018. July 26, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180726201707/https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/senate/MS/2018/. live.
  32. https://web.archive.org/web/20181105223759/https://twitter.com/ChangePolls/status/1059562237898055681 Change Research
  33. Shawn O'Hara (Reform) with 3%
  34. http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/NBC-News_Marist-Poll_MS-Adults-and-Registered-Voters-and-Likely-Voters_NOS-and-Tables_1810220840.pdf Marist College
  35. Shawn O'Hara (Reform) with 1%, other with 1%
  36. http://media1.s-nbcnews.com/i/today/z_creative/NBCNewsSurveyMonkeyMississippiPollToplinesMethodology102.pdf SurveyMonkey
  37. https://www.scribd.com/document/385819107/YallPolitics-Statewide-Survey-Results-080918 Triumph Campaigns
  38. Shawn O'Hara (Reform) with 2%
  39. Web site: DRA 2020. Daves Redistricting. August 18, 2024.

This article is licensed under the GNU Free Documentation License. It uses material from the Wikipedia article "2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi".

Except where otherwise indicated, Everything.Explained.Today is © Copyright 2009-2025, A B Cryer, All Rights Reserved. Cookie policy.