Election Name: | 2015 Prince Edward Island general election |
Country: | Prince Edward Island |
Type: | parliamentary |
Ongoing: | no |
Party Colour: | no |
Party Name: | no |
Previous Election: | 2011 Prince Edward Island general election |
Previous Year: | 2011 |
Next Election: | 2019 Prince Edward Island general election |
Next Year: | 2019 |
Seats For Election: | All 27 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island |
Majority Seats: | 14 |
Opinion Polls: |
|
Turnout: | 82.10%[1] |
Leader1: | Wade MacLauchlan |
Leader Since1: | February 21, 2015 |
Leaders Seat1: | York-Oyster Bed |
Last Election1: | 22 seats, 51.39% |
Seats Before1: | 20 |
Seats1: | 18 |
Seat Change1: | 2 |
Popular Vote1: | 33,481 |
Percentage1: | 40.83% |
Swing1: | 10.56pp |
Leader2: | Rob Lantz |
Leader Since2: | February 28, 2015 |
Leaders Seat2: | Ran in Charlottetown-Brighton (lost) |
Last Election2: | 5 seats, 40.18% |
Seats Before2: | 3 |
Seats2: | 8 |
Seat Change2: | 5 |
Popular Vote2: | 30,663 |
Percentage2: | 37.39% |
Swing2: | 2.79pp |
Leader4: | Peter Bevan-Baker |
Leader Since4: | November 3, 2012 |
Leaders Seat4: | Kellys Cross-Cumberland |
Last Election4: | 0 seats, 4.36% |
Seats Before4: | 0 |
Seats4: | 1 |
Seat Change4: | 1 |
Popular Vote4: | 8,857 |
Percentage4: | 10.81% |
Swing4: | 6.45pp |
Leader5: | Michael Redmond |
Leader Since5: | October 13, 2012 |
Leaders Seat5: | Ran in Montague-Kilmuir (lost) |
Last Election5: | 0 seats, 3.16% |
Seats Before5: | 0 |
Seats5: | 0 |
Popular Vote5: | 8,997 |
Percentage5: | 10.97% |
Swing5: | 7.81pp |
Map Size: | 300px |
Premier | |
Posttitle: | Premier after election |
Before Election: | Wade MacLauchlan |
After Election: | Wade MacLauchlan |
The 2015 Prince Edward Island general election was held May 4, 2015, to elect members of the 65th General Assembly of Prince Edward Island.[2] Under amendments passed by the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island in 2008, Prince Edward Island elections are usually held on the first Monday of October in the fourth calendar year, unless it is dissolved earlier by the lieutenant governor of Prince Edward Island due to a motion of no confidence, or at the request of the premier. The current government had hinted that an election would be held "before Mother's Day" 2015, and such a dissolution would avoid any conflicts with the next federal election, expected to be held in October 2015.
The governing Liberals were elected to a third consecutive majority government under Premier Wade MacLauchlan, while the Progressive Conservatives made slight gains despite party leader Rob Lantz failing to win election in Charlottetown-Brighton. The Green Party, meanwhile, won its first seat in the legislature, with leader Peter Bevan-Baker elected in Kellys Cross-Cumberland.[3] The New Democratic Party was shut out.
18 | 8 | 1 | |
Liberal | Progressive Conservative | GP |
+ 2015 PEI general election - synopsis of riding results[4] | |||||||||||||||||||
Riding | Federal Riding | 2011 | Winning party | Turnout [5] | Votes[6] | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Votes | Share | Margin # | Margin % | Lib | PC | Green | NDP | Total | ||||||||||
Alberton-Roseville | 26 | EGM | Lib | Lib | 1,569 | 53.7% | 403 | 13.8% | 85.6% | 1,569 | 1,166 | - | 188 | 2,923 | |||||
Belfast-Murray River | 4 | CAR | Lib | PC | 1,203 | 45.1% | 108 | 4.0% | 85.5% | 1,095 | 1,203 | 152 | 216 | 2,666 | |||||
Borden-Kinkora | 19 | MPQ | Lib | PC | 1,597 | 47.1% | 443 | 13.1% | 82.7% | 1,154 | 1,597 | 511 | 126 | 3,388 | |||||
Charlottetown-Brighton[7] | 13 | CHA | Lib | Lib | 1,054 | 39.0% | 22 | 0.8% | 85.6% | 1,054 | 1,032 | 352 | 265 | 2,703 | |||||
Charlottetown-Lewis Point | 14 | CHA | Lib | Lib | 1,040 | 34.3% | 109 | 3.6% | 79.9% | 1,040 | 821 | 244 | 931 | 3,036 | |||||
Charlottetown-Parkdale | 11 | CHA | Lib | Lib | 1,166 | 43.7% | 467 | 17.5% | 79.9% | 1,166 | 699 | 511 | 292 | 2,668 | |||||
Charlottetown-Sherwood | 10 | CHA | Lib | Lib | 1,425 | 45.8% | 394 | 12.7% | 81.8% | 1,425 | 1,031 | 295 | 360 | 3,111 | |||||
Charlottetown-Victoria Park | 12 | CHA | Lib | Lib | 955 | 39.4% | 289 | 11.9% | 80.7% | 955 | 666 | 456 | 348 | 2,425 | |||||
Cornwall-Meadowbank | 16 | MPQ | Lib | Lib | 1,444 | 46.3% | 388 | 12.5% | 81.5% | 1,444 | 1,056 | 377 | 243 | 3,120 | |||||
Evangeline-Miscouche | 24 | EGM | Lib | Lib | 1,419 | 62.6% | 833 | 25.8% | 85.9% | 1,419 | 586 | 125 | 138 | 2,268 | |||||
Georgetown-St. Peters | 2 | CAR | PC | PC | 1,448 | 48.0% | 278 | 9.2% | 84.8% | 1,170 | 1,448 | 145 | 256 | 3,019 | |||||
Kellys Cross-Cumberland | 17 | MPQ | Lib | Grn | 2,077 | 54.8% | 1,031 | 27.2% | 85.2% | 1,046 | 609 | 2,077 | 58 | 3,790 | |||||
Kensington-Malpeque | 20 | MPQ | Lib | PC | 1,984 | 54.3% | 951 | 26.0% | 82.3% | 1,033 | 1,984 | 374 | 264 | 3,655 | |||||
Montague-Kilmuir | 3 | CAR | Lib | Lib | 1,060 | 41.8% | 275 | 10.8% | 82.5% | 1,060 | 785 | 106 | 585 | 2,536 | |||||
Morell-Mermaid | 7 | CAR | PC | PC | 1,501 | 50.0% | 387 | 12.9% | 82.8% | 1,114 | 1,501 | 177 | 211 | 3,004 | |||||
O'Leary-Inverness | 25 | EGM | Lib | Lib | 1,310 | 48.8% | 247 | 8.9% | 81.2% | 1,310 | 1,063 | - | 311 | 2,684 | |||||
Rustico-Emerald | 18 | MPQ | Lib | PC | 1,585 | 47.2% | 433 | 12.9% | 85.7% | 1,152 | 1,585 | 325 | 294 | 3,356 | |||||
Souris-Elmira | 1 | CAR | PC | PC | 1,179 | 44.4% | 228 | 8.6% | 86.2% | 951 | 1,179 | - | 528 | 2,658 | |||||
Stratford-Kinlock | 6 | CAR | PC | PC | 2,155 | 50.3% | 702 | 16.4% | 81.4% | 1,453 | 2,155 | 330 | 350 | 4,288 | |||||
Summerside-St. Eleanors | 22 | EGM | Lib | Lib | 1,246 | 41.2% | 148 | 4.9% | 75.6% | 1,246 | 1,098 | 321 | 358 | 3,023 | |||||
Summerside-Wilmot | 21 | EGM | Lib | Lib | 1,135 | 39.4% | 30 | 1.0% | 74.8% | 1,135 | 1,105 | 285 | 353 | 2,878 | |||||
Tignish-Palmer Road | 27 | EGM | PC | Lib | 1,486 | 58.2% | 668 | 26.1% | 87.6% | 1,486 | 818 | 167 | 81 | 2,552 | |||||
Tracadie-Hillsborough Park | 8 | CHA | Lib | Lib | 1,354 | 45.7% | 528 | 17.9% | 76.6% | 1,354 | 826 | 237 | 549 | 2,966 | |||||
Tyne Valley-Linkletter | 23 | EGM | Lib | Lib | 1,147 | 43.0% | 337 | 12.7% | 77.8% | 1,147 | 810 | 240 | 473 | 2,670 | |||||
Vernon River-Stratford | 5 | CAR | Lib | Lib | 1,173 | 41.3% | - | - | 83.3% | 1,173 | 1,173 | 234 | 258 | 2,838 | |||||
West Royalty-Springvale | 15 | CHA | Lib | Lib | 1,389 | 37.6% | 59 | 1.6% | 82.1% | 1,389 | 1,330 | 462 | 516 | 3,697 | |||||
York-Oyster Bed | 9 | MPQ | Lib | Lib | 1,938 | 47.7% | 600 | 14.8% | 81.1% | 1,938 | 1,338 | 347 | 442 | 4,065 |
= results as certified in a judicial recount
= open seat
= turnout is above provincial average
= incumbent re-elected in same riding
= incumbent changed allegiance
= other incumbent renominated
= tied for first place - settled by coin toss
Party | ||||||
align="center" | Lib | align="center" | PC | align="center" | Grn | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats retained | Incumbents returned | 12 | 3 | 15 | ||
Incumbent returned on coin toss | 1 | 1 | ||||
Open seats held | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
Seats changing hands | Incumbents defeated | 1 | 1 | 2 | ||
Open seats gained | 3 | 3 | ||||
Incumbent changing affiliation | 1 | 1 | ||||
Total | 18 | 8 | 1 | 27 |
Region | Seats won | Vote share (%) | Change (pp) | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
align="center" | Lib | align="center" | PC | align="center" | Grn | align="center" | Lib | align="center" | PC | align="center" | Grn | align="center" | NDP | align="center" | Lib | align="center" | PC | align="center" | Grn | align="center" | NDP | Major swing |
Cardigan | 2 | 5 | - | 38.16 | 44.95 | 5.45 | 11.44 | -4.38 | -4.73 | +2.13 | +9.38 | → 6.88 | ||||||||||
Malpeque | 2 | 3 | 1 | 36.33 | 38.21 | 18.76 | 6.69 | -16.54 | +0.11 | +13.95 | +2.92 | → 15.25 | ||||||||||
Charlottetown | 7 | - | - | 40.69 | 31.08 | 12.41 | 15.82 | -13.62 | -0.08 | +5.01 | +8.85 | → 11.24 | ||||||||||
Egmont | 7 | - | - | 49.00 | 34.97 | 6.01 | 10.01 | -8.01 | -3.92 | +3.27 | +9.18 | → 8.60 | ||||||||||
Total | 18 | 8 | 1 | 40.83 | 37.39 | 10.81 | 10.98 | -10.55 | -2.77 | +6.45 | +7.82 | → 9.19 |
width=20% | Polling Firm | width=15% | Last date of polling | width=7% | Link | Liberal | PC | Green | NDP | Island | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Corporate Research Associates | HTML | 44 | 35 | 6 | 15 | ||||||
Abingdon Research | 43 | 27 | 12 | 18 | |||||||
Corporate Research Associates | 58 | 26 | 4 | 12 | 0 | ||||||
Corporate Research Associates | 50 | 23 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 0 | |||||
Corporate Research Associates | 48 | 28 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 0 | |||||
Corporate Research Associates | 53 | 23 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | |||||
Corporate Research Associates | 53 | 17 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 1 | |||||
Corporate Research Associates | 49 | 17 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 1 | |||||
Corporate Research Associates | 42 | 23 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 0 | |||||
Corporate Research Associates | 52 | 22 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 1 | |||||
Corporate Research Associates | 51 | 16 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 0 | |||||
Corporate Research Associates | 45 | 28 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 0 | |||||
Corporate Research Associates | 42 | 32 | 8 | 18 | 0 | 0 | |||||
Corporate Research Associates | 47 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 1 | 1 | |||||
Corporate Research Associates | 50 | 33 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | |||||
Corporate Research Associates | 53 | 34 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |||||
2011 election | 51.38 | 40.16 | 4.36 | 3.16 | 0.91 | 0.02 | |||||
|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|4. Belfast-Murray River||Charlie McGeoghegan
1,095 - 41.1%|||Darlene Compton
1,203 - 45.1%||Jordan MacPhee
152 - 5.7%||Alan Hicken
216 - 8.1%|| |Charlie McGeoghegan|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|2. Georgetown-St. Peters||Russ Stewart
1,170 - 38.8%|||Steven Myers
1,448 - 48.0%||Heather Gallant
145 - 4.8%||Nathan Bushey
256 - 8.5%|| |Steven Myers|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|3. Montague-Kilmuir|||Allen Roach
1,060 - 41.8%||Andrew Daggett
785 - 31.0%||Jason Furness
106 - 4.2%||Mike Redmond
585 - 23.1%|| |Allen Roach|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|7. Morell-Mermaid||Daniel MacDonald
1,114 - 37.1%|||Sidney MacEwen
1,501 - 50.0%||Meaghan Lister
177 - 5.9%||Edith Perry
211 - 7.0%|| |Olive Crane†|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|1. Souris-Elmira||Tommy Kickham
951 - 35.8%|||Colin LaVie
1,179 - 44.4%|| ||Susan Birt
528 - 19.9%|||Colin LaVie|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|6. Stratford-Kinlock||David Dunphy
1,453 - 33.9%|||James Aylward
2,155 - 50.3%||Samantha Saunders
330 - 7.7%||Chris van Ouwerkerk
350 - 8.2%|||James Aylward|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|5. Vernon River-Stratford*|||Alan McIsaac*
1,173 - 41.3%||Mary Ellen McInnis*
1,173 - 41.3%||Nicholas Graveline
234 - 8.2%||Kathleen Romans
258 - 9.1%|||Alan McIsaac|}
|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|19. Borden-Kinkora||Ramona Roberts
1,154 - 34.1%|||Jamie Fox
1,597 - 47.1%||Ranald MacFarlane
511 - 15.1%||Aleida Tweten
126 - 3.7%|||George Webster†|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|16. Cornwall-Meadowbank|||Heath MacDonald
1,444 - 46.3%||Michael Drake
1,056 - 33.8%||Rosalyn Abbott
377 - 12.1%||Jennifer Coughlin
243 - 7.8%|||Ron MacKinley†|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|17. Kellys Cross-Cumberland||Valerie Docherty
1,046 - 27.6%||Randy Robar
609 - 16.1%|||Peter Bevan-Baker
2,077 - 54.8%||Jesse Cousins
58 - 1.5%|||Valerie Docherty|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|20. Kensington-Malpeque||Paul Montgomery
1,033 - 28.3%|||Matthew MacKay
1,984 - 54.3%||Lynne Lund
374 - 10.2%||Joseph Larkin
264 - 7.2%|||Vacant|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|18. Rustico-Emerald||Bertha Campbell
1,152 - 34.3%|||Brad Trivers
1,585 - 47.2%||Marianne Janowicz
325 - 9.7%||Leah-Jane Hayward
294 - 8.8%|||Carolyn Bertram†|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|9. York-Oyster Bed|||Wade MacLauchlan
1,938 - 47.7%||Jim "Benson" Carragher
1,338 - 32.9%||Thane Bernard
347 - 8.5%||Gordon Gay
442 - 10.9%|||Vacant|}
|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|13. Charlottetown-Brighton|||Jordan Brown
1,054 - 39.0%||Rob Lantz
1,032 - 38.2%||Derrick Biso
352 - 13.0%||Bob MacLean
265 - 9.8%||Vacant|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|14. Charlottetown-Lewis Point|||Kathleen Casey
1,040 - 34.3%||Dianne Young
821 - 27.0%||Doug Millington
244 - 8.0%||Gord McNeilly
931 - 30.7%|| |Kathleen Casey|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|11. Charlottetown-Parkdale|||Doug Currie
1,166 - 43.7%||Lynn MacLaren
699 - 26.2%||Becka Viau
511 - 19.2%||Andrew Watts
292 - 10.9%|| |Doug Currie|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|10. Charlottetown-Sherwood|||Robert Mitchell
1,425 - 45.8%||Mike Gillis
1,031 - 33.1%||Mitchell Gallant
295 - 9.5%||Karalee McAskill
360 - 11.6%|| |Robert Mitchell|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|12. Charlottetown-Victoria Park|||Richard Brown
955 - 39.4%||Joey Kitson
666 - 27.5%||Darcie Lanthier
456 - 18.8%||Chris Clay
348 - 14.4%|| |Richard Brown|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|8. Tracadie-Hillsborough Park|||Buck Watts
1,354 - 45.7%||Darren Creamer
826 - 27.8%||Isaac Williams
237 - 8.0%||Jason Murray
549 - 18.5%|||Buck Watts|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|15. West Royalty-Springvale|||Bush Dumville
1,389 - 37.6%||Linda Clements
1,330 - 36.0%||Charles Sanderson
462 - 12.5%||Peter Meggs
516 - 14.0%|||Bush Dumville|}
|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|26. Alberton-Roseville|||Pat Murphy
1,569 - 53.7%||John Griffin
1,166 - 39.9%|| ||Orville Lewis
188 - 6.4%|| |Pat Murphy|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|24. Evangeline-Miscouche|||Sonny Gallant
1,419 - 62.6%||Debbie Montgomery
586 - 25.8%||Jordan Cameron
125 - 5.5%||Grant Gallant
138 - 6.1%|| |Sonny Gallant|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|25. O'Leary-Inverness|||Robert Henderson
1,310 - 48.8%||Daniel MacDonald
1,063 - 39.6%|| ||Billy Mackendrick
311 - 11.6%|| |Robert Henderson|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|22. Summerside-St. Eleanors|||Tina Mundy
1,246 - 41.2%||Major Stewart
1,098 - 36.3%||Caleb Adams
321 - 10.6%||Olivia Wood
358 - 11.8%|| |Gerard Greenan†|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|21. Summerside-Wilmot|||Janice Sherry
1,135 - 39.4%||Brian Ramsay
1,105 - 38.4%||Donald MacFadzen-Reid
285 - 9.9%||Scott Gaudet
353 - 12.3%|| |Janice Sherry|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|27. Tignish-Palmer Road|||Hal Perry
1,486 - 58.2%||Joseph Profit
818 - 32.1%||Malcolm Pitre
167 - 6.5%||John A'Hearn
81 - 3.2%|| |Hal Perry|-|bgcolor="whitesmoke"|23. Tyne Valley-Linkletter|||Paula Biggar
1,147 - 43.0%||Ryan Williams
810 - 30.3%||Shelagh Young
240 - 9.0%||Jacqueline Tuplin
473 - 17.7%|| |Paula Biggar|}