2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election
Country:Kentucky
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2007 Kentucky gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2007
Election Date:November 8, 2011
Next Election:2015 Kentucky gubernatorial election
Next Year:2015
Image1:File:Steve Beshear by Gage Skidmore (1).jpg
Nominee1:Steve Beshear
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Running Mate1:Jerry Abramson
Popular Vote1:464,245
Percentage1:55.72%
Map Size:301px
Governor
Before Election:Steve Beshear
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Steve Beshear
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Turnout:28.3% 8.9 pp
Nominee2:David L. Williams
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:294,034
Percentage2:35.29%
Running Mate2:Richie Farmer
Image3:File:Gatewood Gailbraith 2011 (1).jpg
Nominee3:Gatewood Galbraith
Party3:Independent
Popular Vote3:74,860
Percentage3:8.99%
Running Mate3:Dea Riley

The 2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2011, to elect the governor of Kentucky and the lieutenant governor of Kentucky. Incumbent Democrat Steve Beshear won re-election, defeating Republican challenger David L. Williams, then the president of the state senate, and Gatewood Galbraith, an independent candidate. Statewide turnout in this election was 28%.[1]

Background

On July 19, 2009, Beshear announced his intention to run for re-election. However, in that announcement, he stated that then-Louisville mayor Jerry Abramson would be his running mate in 2011[2] instead of current Lt. Governor Daniel Mongiardo, who chose to run for the U.S. Senate in 2010.[3] Kentucky state law requires that gubernatorial candidates file to run with running mates, otherwise they cannot legally raise money. Beshear wanted to fundraise and this would have required Mongiardo also saying that he was running in 2011, which he couldn't do.[4] Beshear and Abramson did not face any opposition for the Democratic nomination.

Among Republicans, Kentucky State Senate President David Williams from Burkesville announced his official candidacy along with running mate Richie Farmer, the term-limited State Agriculture Commissioner and former Kentucky Wildcats basketball player.[5] Louisville businessman Phil Moffett also announced his ticket with State Representative Mike Harmon from Danville as his running mate.[6] Moffett was seen as the Tea Party favorite.[7] However, Williams also advocated for similar positions as Moffett, such as the repeal of the Seventeenth Amendment to the United States Constitution[8] and promoting tax reforms similar to what Moffett proposed.

Attorney Gatewood Galbraith of Lexington filed to run his fourth gubernatorial campaign as an independent on July 4, 2009, choosing marketing consultant Dea Riley as his running mate.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Polling

Poll SourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bobbie
Holsclaw
Phil
Moffett
David
Williams
Undecided
Survey USA[13] May 4–10, 2011500± 4.5%12%21% align=center47%21%
Survey USA[14] April 8–13, 2011507± 4.4%12%14% align=center49%25%

Results

Independents

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[16] November 4, 2011
Governing[17] November 4, 2011
Cook[18] November 4, 2011
Sabato[19] November 4, 2011

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Beshear (D)
David
Williams (R)
Gatewood
Galbraith (I)
Undecided
Survey USA[20] October 28 – November 1, 2011576± 4.2% align=center54%29%9%8%
Braun Research[21] October 17–19, 2011802± 3.5% align=center54%26%8%12%
Survey USA[22] September 22–27, 2011569± 4.2% align=center57%26%8%9%
Braun Research[23] August 29–31, 2011803± 3.5% align=center54%25%7%14%
Public Policy Polling[24] August 25–28, 2011600± 4.0% align=center55%28%10%8%
Survey USA[25] July 22–27, 2011512± 4.4% align=center52%28%9%11%
Braun Research[26] June 6–8, 2011802± 3.5% align=center51%30%6%14%
Survey USAApril 8–13, 20111,589± 2.5% align=center51%39%10%
Braun Research[27] February 28 – March 1, 2011804± 3.5% align=center48%38%14%
Public Policy Polling[28] October 28–30, 20101,021± 3.1% align=center44%35%21%
Mason-Dixon[29] October 18–19, 2010625± 4.0% align=center45%30%5%20%
Public Policy Polling[30] September 11–12, 2010959± 3.2% align=center44%39%17%
Braun Research[31] August 30 – September 1, 2010802± 3.5% align=center44%38%18%
Braun Research[32] July 19–21, 2010803± 3.4% align=center48%30%20%

With Moffett

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Beshear (D)
Phil
Moffett (R)
Gatewood
Galbraith (I)
Other/
Undecided
Survey USAApril 8–13, 20111,589± 2.5% align=center54%34%13%
Braun ResearchFebruary 28-March 1, 2011804± 3.5% align=center53%28%19%
Public Policy PollingOctober 28–30, 20101,021± 3.1% align=center45%26%29%
Mason-Dixon[33] October 18–19, 2010625± 4.0% align=center43%24%6%26%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 11–12, 2010959± 3.2% align=center46%28%26%
Braun ResearchSeptember 1, 2010 align=center49%29%22%

With Holsclaw

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Beshear (D)
Bobbie
Holsclaw (R)
Gatewood
Galbraith (I)
Other/
Undecided
Survey USAApril 8–13, 20111,589± 2.5% align=center53%34%13%
Braun ResearchFebruary 28 – March 1, 2011804± 3.5% align=center53%27%21%

Results

[34]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Beshear won all 6 congressional districts, including four represented by Republicans.[35]

DistrictBeshearWilliamsGalbraithRepresentative
54%41%5%Ed Whitfield
57%38%6%Brett Guthrie
67%27%6%John Yarmuth
53%40%6%Geoff Davis
47%44%8%Hal Rogers
56%23%21%Ben Chandler

See also

External links

Candidates

Information

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Election summary . May 1, 2021 . February 11, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210211005146/https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/KY/33652/51635/en/summary.html . dead .
  2. News: Abramson to be Beshear's running mate in 2011. https://archive.today/20130102171000/http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20090719/NEWS01/907190334/-1/NLETTER05/Abramson+to+be+Beshear+s+running+mate+in+2011?source=nletter-breakingnews. dead. 2013-01-02. Gerth. Joseph. 2009-07-19. The Courier-Journal. 2009-07-20.
  3. Web site: Ronnie Ellis . Beshear endorses Mongiardo for Senate . News-tribune.net . 2009-03-27 . 2012-08-18 . https://archive.today/20130222105255/http://www.news-tribune.net/statenews/kentuckystatehouse_story_086172706.html . 2013-02-22 . dead .
  4. Web site: Mongiardo considers running for Senate.
  5. Web site: Alford . Roger . Farmer mulls run for governor . Lexington Herald-Leader . 2009-10-28 . 2009-10-28.
  6. Web site: Arnold . Joe . Phil Moffett announces candidacy for governor | WHAS11.com Louisville . Whas11.com . 2010-07-29 . 2012-08-18 . https://web.archive.org/web/20120305224240/http://www.whas11.com/video/featured-videos/Phil-Moffett-announces-his-candidacy-for-governor-99579484.html . 2012-03-05 . dead .
  7. Web site: David Williams and Phil Moffett in a battle for the Republican Party's soul. Lexington Herald Leader. Brammer. Jack. November 15, 2010. February 5, 2020.
  8. Jack Brammer, Lexington Herald Leader, November 19, 2010 "Williams pushes repeal of 17th amendment"
  9. Web site: Stage Set For the Primary Election. Kentuckians For The Commonwealth. Newton. Dave. January 25, 2011. February 2, 2020.
  10. Web site: Louisville businessman Phil Moffett running for governor : Bluegrass Politics . Bluegrasspolitics.bloginky.com . 2010-07-29 . 2012-08-18.
  11. News: Republican Phil Moffett announces gubernatorial campaign, hopes for Tea Party support. https://archive.today/20120326163952/http://archive.apexmediawire.net/gallery/20100729-KY-Republican-Phil-Moffett-announces-gubernatorial-campaign-hopes-for-Tea-Party-support/G0000rQukt4bc9ME. dead. 2012-03-26. 2009-07-29. Apex MediaWire. 2009-07-29.
  12. News: Brammer . Jack . David Williams and Richie Farmer form slate to seek state's top offices . Lexington Herald-Leader . 2010-09-02 . 2010-09-02 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20100903050001/http://www.kentucky.com/2010/09/02/1416058/david-williams-and-richie-farmer.html . September 3, 2010 .
  13. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=cce11ec2-3752-4c6c-bccf-07738c1a9301/ Survey USA
  14. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=04dd2822-cc19-4ded-a82c-7585e931de64/ Survey USA
  15. Web site: Dea Riley brings energy, and baggage, to Gatewood Galbraith's campaign. Lexington Herald Leader. Blackford. Linda B.. October 13, 2011. February 2, 2020.
  16. Web site: Gubernatorial Ratings Inside Elections . www.insideelections.com.
  17. Web site: https://web.archive.org/web/20110801190131/http://www.governing.com/blogs/politics/update-2011-2012-gubernatorial-contests.html . An Update on the 2011-2012 Gubernatorial Contests . August 1, 2011 . July 25, 2011 . Governing.
  18. Web site: 2011/2012 GOVERNORS RACE RATINGS . The Cook Political Report . September 15, 2011 . https://web.archive.org/web/20111007113156/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2011-09-15_14-50-15.php . October 7, 2011.
  19. Web site: 2012 Governor . Sabato's Crystal Ball .
  20. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a6252cf4-7dc0-42af-b52f-61d935033d10 Survey USA
  21. http://mycn2.com/politics/beshear-and-other-democrats-still-lead-as-numbers-barely-move-from-aug-cn2-poll-shows Braun Research
  22. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9abf6d5a-9a7e-4f08-942d-9c6ad23f126c Survey USA
  23. http://mycn2.com/politics/cn2-poll-beshear-s-lead-increases-but-other-races-largely-unchanged-since-june Braun Research
  24. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_KY_0830513.pdf Public Policy Polling
  25. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ea0ffebf-3883-4d8e-904c-4a6e511077ce Survey USA
  26. http://mycn2.com/politics/beshear-leads-williams-by-21-points-after-ad-blitz-cn2-poll-shows Braun Research
  27. http://mycn2.com/politics/cn2-poll-governors-race-march Braun Research
  28. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_KY_1109.pdf Public Policy Polling
  29. http://media.kentucky.com/smedia/2010/10/20/21/Governor.source.prod_affiliate.79.pdf Mason-Dixon
  30. http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2010/9/11/KY/2/UXa34 Public Policy Polling
  31. http://politics.mycn2.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Sept-2-Governors-race-poll.pdf Braun Research
  32. http://mycn2.com/politics/david-williams-confirms-interest-in-running-for-governor-with-richie-farmer-as-running-mate Braun Research
  33. http://media.kentucky.com/smedia/2010/10/20/21/Governor.source.prod_affiliate.79.pdf Mason-Dixon
  34. Web site: KY – Election Results . 2012-08-18.
  35. https://x.com/kentucky_kiwi/status/1690856927197024258